LionTree Arena · at UC San Diego · Conference game
Closing line
UCSD -5.5✓ UCSD covered by 11.5
UCSD -5.5✓ UCSD covered by 11.5Closing total150.5Under by 31.5
 UCD | This season | UCSD |
|---|---|---|
| 13-9 | Record | 14-9 |
| 12-9 | ATS | 12-11 |
| 12-9 | O/U | 11-12 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UCD 70–77 UCSD · ✓ UCSD (72%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCD | 20 | 31 | 51 |
| UCSD | 33 | 35 | 68 |
1st half: UCD 20, UCSD 33 (UCSD by 13). The model had UCSD by 3.9 and a total of 68.8 (actual 53).
Team stats
| UCD | UCSD | |
|---|---|---|
| 22-62 35% | Field goals | 27-50 54% |
| 6-20 30% | 3-pointers | 7-17 41% |
| 1-7 14% | Free throws | 7-9 78% |
| 29 9 off | Rebounds | 40 4 off |
| 11 | Assists | 13 |
| 14 | Steals | 5 |
| 3 | Blocks | 8 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 21 |
| 9 | Fouls | 15 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 23 | Fast-break points | 5 |
Players
| UCD | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Sevilla G | 26 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3-8 | 1-3 |
| Marcus Wilson G | 25 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 6-15 | 1-2 |
| Jalen Stokes G | 23 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Carl Daughtery Jr. G | 17 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3-7 | 1-4 |
| Niko Rocak F | 12 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Brayden Fagbemi G | 30 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1-5 | 0-1 |
| Omer Suljanovic F | 19 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2-7 | 0-3 |
| Nils Cooper G | 17 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-1 |
| Isaiah Chappell F | 10 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Chase Rawlins G | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 3-3 | 1-1 |
| Cyril Franklin Jr. G | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Abdullah Amzil F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Ylan Esso-Essis, Jonathan Noudjihidi
| UCSD | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hudson Mayes G | 34 | 18 | 12 | 3 | 6-9 | 0-0 |
| Tom Beattie G | 32 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 4-6 | 2-3 |
| Bol Dengdit C | 29 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 8-12 | 4-6 |
| Leo Beath F | 25 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-2 |
| Alex Chaikin G | 12 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Aidan Burke G | 28 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4-7 | 0-3 |
| Jaden Vance F | 21 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 4-8 | 1-2 |
| Trap Johnson G | 15 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Ryder Elisaldez G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Cade Pendleton F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Tyson Dunn, Yaqub Mir, Dimitrije Vukicevic, Christopher Cox, Jasen Brooks, Emanuel Prospere II
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUCSD -5.5
no move
CloseUCSD -5.5
No change since the open
Total
Open147.5
▲ 3
Close150.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
UCD +210 · UCSD -258
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UCSD -5.5 · unchangedmodel UCSD -6.5
model UCSD -6.5
Opened 147.5 · closed 150.5 · moved 3 upmodel 147
model 147
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | UCSD -5.5 | UCSD -6.7 | UCSD +1.2 | W UCSD covered |
| Total | 150.5 | 147.1 | Under 3.4 | W Under |
| Projected score | — | UCD 70.2 · UCSD 76.9 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | UCSD -3.9 | UCSD -13.0 |
| 1H total | 68.8 | 53 |
| 1H projected score | UCD 32.5 · UCSD 36.4 | UCD 20 · UCSD 33 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCD | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% |
| UCSD | 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
UCD 4–4 UCSDSeries tied · 8 games since 2021-22 · UCSD has won the last 3 meetings · UCD 5-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2025-26 | UCSD 80 @ UCD 74 | UCD +1.5 | UCSD W |
| Mar 8, 2024-25 | UCSD 68 @ UCD 57 | UCD +12.5 | UCD W |
| Feb 15, 2024-25 | UCD 60 @ UCSD 85 | UCSD -14.5 | UCSD W |
| Mar 7, 2023-24 | UCD 70 @ UCSD 63 | UCSD -6.5 | UCD W |
| Jan 27, 2023-24 | UCSD 92 @ UCD 59 | UCD -2.5 | UCSD W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UC Davis
22 games played
Straight up
13-9
59% wins
Against the spread
12-9
57% covers · avg +1.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-9
57% overs · avg +2.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | vs NDSU | W 80-68 | -1.5 | W +10.5 | 142.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 9 | @ PORT | L 63-67 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 151.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 14 | vs SAC | W 77-73 | -4.5 | L −0.5 | 151.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 18 | @ NEV | W 75-71 | +12.5 | W +16.5 | 143.5 | O 146 |
| Nov 21 | @ COLO | L 79-95 | +14.5 | L −1.5 | 152.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 24 | vs UL | W 77-56 | -9.5 | W +11.5 | 136.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 4 | @ HAW | L 69-75 | — | — | — | — |
| Dec 13 | @ ORE | L 62-104 | +13.5 | L −28.5 | 146.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 17 | vs SEA | L 78-79 | +2.5 | W +1.5 | 143.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 21 | @ IDST | W 93-83 | +5.5 | W +15.5 | 143.5 | O 176 |
| Jan 1 | vs CSUN | W 89-80 | -3.5 | W +5.5 | 162.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 3 | vs CSUB | L 79-81 | -9.5 | L −11.5 | 151.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 8 | @ UCSB | W 93-86 | +4.5 | W +11.5 | 147.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 10 | @ CP | L 78-84 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 168.5 | U 162 |
| Jan 15 | vs CSUF | W 74-69 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 166.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 17 | vs UCI | W 75-72 | +3.5 | W +6.5 | 148.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 22 | vsUCSD | L 74-80 | +1.5 | L −4.5 | 152.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 24 | vs UCR | W 74-66 | -9.5 | L −1.5 | 149.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 29 | @CSUN | L 78-94 | +3.5 | L −12.5 | 163.5 | O 172 |
| Jan 31 | @CSUB | W 80-72 | -5.5 | W +2.5 | 152.5 | U 152 |
| Feb 5 | vsUCSB | W 85-75 | +3.5 | W +13.5 | 147.5 | O 160 |
| Feb 7 | vsCP | W 67-58 | -5.5 | W +3.5 | 169.5 | U 125 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
vsNDSU
NDSUW 80-68
+10.5
9
@PORT
PORTL 63-67
−2.5
14
vsSAC
SACW 77-73
−0.5
18
@NEV
NEVW 75-71
+16.5
21
@COLO
COLOL 79-95
−1.5
24
vsUL
ULW 77-56
+11.5
13
@ORE
OREL 62-104
−28.5
17
vsSEA
SEAL 78-79
+1.5
21
@IDST
IDSTW 93-83
+15.5
1
vsCSUN
CSUNW 89-80
+5.5
3
vsCSUB
CSUBL 79-81
−11.5
8
@UCSB
UCSBW 93-86
+11.5
10
@CP
CPL 78-84
−7.5
15
vsCSUF
CSUFW 74-69
+1.5
17
vsUCI
UCIW 75-72
+6.5
22
vsUCSD
UCSDL 74-80
−4.5
24
vsUCR
UCRW 74-66
−1.5
29
@CSUN
CSUNL 78-94
−12.5
31
@CSUB
CSUBW 80-72
+2.5
5
vsUCSB
UCSBW 85-75
+13.5
7
vsCP
CPW 67-58
+3.5
covered 12didn’t cover 9avg +1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
vsNDSU
NDSUW 80-68
+5.5
9
@PORT
PORTL 63-67
−21.5
14
vsSAC
SACW 77-73
−1.5
18
@NEV
NEVW 75-71
+2.5
21
@COLO
COLOL 79-95
+21.5
24
vsUL
ULW 77-56
−3.5
13
@ORE
OREL 62-104
+19.5
17
vsSEA
SEAL 78-79
+13.5
21
@IDST
IDSTW 93-83
+32.5
1
vsCSUN
CSUNW 89-80
+6.5
3
vsCSUB
CSUBL 79-81
+8.5
8
@UCSB
UCSBW 93-86
+31.5
10
@CP
CPL 78-84
−6.5
15
vsCSUF
CSUFW 74-69
−23.5
17
vsUCI
UCIW 75-72
−1.5
22
vsUCSD
UCSDL 74-80
+1.5
24
vsUCR
UCRW 74-66
−9.5
29
@CSUN
CSUNL 78-94
+8.5
31
@CSUB
CSUBW 80-72
−0.5
5
vsUCSB
UCSBW 85-75
+12.5
7
vsCP
CPW 67-58
−44.5
over 12under 9avg +2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
UC San Diego
23 games played
Straight up
14-9
61% wins
Against the spread
12-11
52% covers · avg −0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-12
48% overs · avg −3.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | vs HCU | W 78-60 | -7.5 | W +10.5 | 141.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 12 | @ FRES | W 78-73 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 148.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 15 | vs IDHO | W 75-67 | -5.5 | W +2.5 | 148.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 24 | vs TEM | W 91-76 | +1.5 | W +16.5 | 148.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 25 | vs BRAD | W 87-77 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 145.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 26 | vs TOW | W 87-73 | -1.5 | W +12.5 | 138.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 2 | @NEV | L 70-76 | +5.5 | L −0.5 | 149.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 6 | @ LBSU | W 80-74 | -8.5 | L −2.5 | 145.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 13 | vs TULN | W 93-67 | -5.5 | W +20.5 | 149.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 16 | @ LMU | W 67-57 | -1.5 | W +8.5 | 150.5 | U 124 |
| Dec 19 | vs USD | L 80-82 | -12.5 | L −14.5 | 156.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 1 | @CP | L 65-67 | -8.5 | L −10.5 | 174.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 3 | vsHAW | W 83-73 | -2.5 | W +7.5 | 148.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 8 | vsCSUF | L 71-88 | -13.5 | L −30.5 | 166.5 | U 159 |
| Jan 10 | @UCR | W 69-66 | -10.5 | L −7.5 | 149.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 15 | vsCSUN | L 79-84 | -7.5 | L −12.5 | 159.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 17 | @CSUB | W 83-62 | -8.5 | W +12.5 | 147.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 22 | @UCD | W 80-74 | -1.5 | W +4.5 | 152.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 24 | vsUCI | L 59-61 | -2.5 | L −4.5 | 146.5 | U 120 |
| Jan 29 | vsUCSB | L 48-62 | -4.5 | L −18.5 | 145.5 | U 110 |
| Jan 31 | @CSUN | L 64-81 | -1.5 | L −18.5 | 160.5 | U 145 |
| Feb 5 | vsLBSU | W 77-74 | -10.5 | L −7.5 | 144.5 | O 151 |
| Feb 7 | @HAW | L 67-72 | +6.5 | W +1.5 | 149.5 | U 139 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
vsHCU
HCUW 78-60
+10.5
12
@FRES
FRESW 78-73
+6.5
15
vsIDHO
IDHOW 75-67
+2.5
24
vsTEM
TEMW 91-76
+16.5
25
vsBRAD
BRADW 87-77
+11.5
26
vsTOW
TOWW 87-73
+12.5
2
@NEV
NEVL 70-76
−0.5
6
@LBSU
LBSUW 80-74
−2.5
13
vsTULN
TULNW 93-67
+20.5
16
@LMU
LMUW 67-57
+8.5
19
vsUSD
USDL 80-82
−14.5
1
@CP
CPL 65-67
−10.5
3
vsHAW
HAWW 83-73
+7.5
8
vsCSUF
CSUFL 71-88
−30.5
10
@UCR
UCRW 69-66
−7.5
15
vsCSUN
CSUNL 79-84
−12.5
17
@CSUB
CSUBW 83-62
+12.5
22
@UCD
UCDW 80-74
+4.5
24
vsUCI
UCIL 59-61
−4.5
29
vsUCSB
UCSBL 48-62
−18.5
31
@CSUN
CSUNL 64-81
−18.5
5
vsLBSU
LBSUW 77-74
−7.5
7
@HAW
HAWL 67-72
+1.5
covered 12didn’t cover 11avg −0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
vsHCU
HCUW 78-60
−3.5
12
@FRES
FRESW 78-73
+2.5
15
vsIDHO
IDHOW 75-67
−6.5
24
vsTEM
TEMW 91-76
+18.5
25
vsBRAD
BRADW 87-77
+18.5
26
vsTOW
TOWW 87-73
+21.5
2
@NEV
NEVL 70-76
−3.5
6
@LBSU
LBSUW 80-74
+8.5
13
vsTULN
TULNW 93-67
+10.5
16
@LMU
LMUW 67-57
−26.5
19
vsUSD
USDL 80-82
+5.5
1
@CP
CPL 65-67
−42.5
3
vsHAW
HAWW 83-73
+7.5
8
vsCSUF
CSUFL 71-88
−7.5
10
@UCR
UCRW 69-66
−14.5
15
vsCSUN
CSUNL 79-84
+3.5
17
@CSUB
CSUBW 83-62
−2.5
22
@UCD
UCDW 80-74
+1.5
24
vsUCI
UCIL 59-61
−26.5
29
vsUCSB
UCSBL 48-62
−35.5
31
@CSUN
CSUNL 64-81
−15.5
5
vsLBSU
LBSUW 77-74
+6.5
7
@HAW
HAWL 67-72
−10.5
over 11under 12avg −3.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UC Davis
13-9 overall · 8-5 in conference · Mountain West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Cal Poly67–58
- Wvs Santa Barbara85–75
- W@ Bakersfield80–72
- L@ CSU Northridge78–94
- Wvs UC Riverside74–66
5 days since their last game.
UC San Diego
14-9 overall · 6-7 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Hawai'i67–72
- Wvs Long Beach St77–74
- L@ CSU Northridge64–81
- Lvs Santa Barbara48–62
- Lvs UC Irvine59–61
5 days since their last game.