Casey's Center · at Iowa
Closing line
IOWA -25.5✓ IOWA covered by 29.5
IOWA -25.5✓ IOWA covered by 29.5Closing total133.5Under by 0.5
 BUCK | This season | IOWA |
|---|---|---|
| 3-9 | Record | 9-2 |
| 6-6 | ATS | 9-2 |
| 3-9 | O/U | 6-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: BUCK 56–83 IOWA · ✓ IOWA (99%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BUCK | 21 | 18 | 39 |
| IOWA | 43 | 51 | 94 |
1st half: BUCK 21, IOWA 43 (IOWA by 22). The model had IOWA by 16.0 and a total of 65.4 (actual 64).
Team stats
| BUCK | IOWA | |
|---|---|---|
| 15-41 37% | Field goals | 38-63 60% |
| 5-23 22% | 3-pointers | 8-21 38% |
| 4-6 67% | Free throws | 10-12 83% |
| 16 3 off | Rebounds | 36 13 off |
| 11 | Assists | 18 |
| 5 | Steals | 19 |
| 0 | Blocks | 2 |
| 25 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 16 | Fouls | 11 |
| 20 | Points in paint | 50 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 19 |
Players
| BUCK | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amon Dorries C | 36 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Achile Spadone G | 34 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3-11 | 0-5 |
| Jayden Williams G | 30 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Ruot Bijiek F | 30 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 3-10 | 3-9 |
| Grgur Brcic F | 24 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Aleksander Pachucki G | 20 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-6 | 1-4 |
| Jacob Meachem G | 15 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Patrick O'Brien F | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Matt Lange G | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Kellen Welch F | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Josh Fulton, Brady Muller, Quin Berger, Pat Curtin, Brandon McCreesh
| IOWA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bennett Stirtz G | 32 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 4-8 | 0-3 |
| Kael Combs G | 25 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 6-7 | 1-1 |
| Tavion Banks G | 23 | 16 | 9 | 0 | 4-8 | 1-2 |
| Cooper Koch F | 13 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Cam Manyawu F | 10 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tate Sage G | 23 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 3-4 | 1-1 |
| Alvaro Folgueiras F | 20 | 17 | 3 | 2 | 7-10 | 3-5 |
| Brendan Hausen G | 16 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 3-6 | 2-5 |
| Isaia Howard G | 16 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Trevin Jirak C | 13 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2-5 | 0-3 |
| Joey Matteoni F | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Jacob Koch G | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Peyton McCollum, Trey Thompson
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketIOWA -25.5
ModelIOWA -26.8
Model edgeIOWA +1.3
W IOWA covered
Total
Market133.5
Model139.5
Model edgeOver 6.0
L Under
Projected score
BUCK 56.3 · IOWA 83.1
BUCK 39 · IOWA 94
Win probability
IOWA 99%
1st half
Spread
IOWA -16.0
IOWA -22.0
Total
65.4
64 points
Projected score
BUCK 24.7 · IOWA 40.7
BUCK 21 · IOWA 43
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenIOWA -25.5
no move
CloseIOWA -25.5
No change since the open
Total
Open137.5
▼ 4
Close133.5
Down 4 since the open
Moneyline
—
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened IOWA -25.5 · unchangedmodel IOWA -27
model IOWA -27
Opened 137.5 · closed 133.5 · moved 4 downmodel 139.5
model 139.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BUCK | 1-9 10% | 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% |
| IOWA | 8-2 80% | 8-2 80% | 5-5 50% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Bucknell
12 games played
Straight up
3-9
25% wins
Against the spread
6-6
50% covers · avg −3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-9
25% overs · avg −4.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs DEL | W 78-70 | -2.5 | W +5.5 | 149.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 7 | @ MSM | W 73-62 | +1.5 | W +12.5 | 143.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 11 | @ PRIN | L 63-73 | +4.5 | L −5.5 | 146.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 14 | vs HOF | L 77-83 | +4.5 | L −1.5 | 139.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 17 | @ PITT | L 50-84 | +16.5 | L −17.5 | 141.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 20 | @ SJU | L 49-97 | +28.5 | L −19.5 | 158.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 24 | vs BGSU | L 66-71 | +10.5 | W +5.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 26 | vs BUF | L 71-73 | +4.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 30 | vs COR | L 72-101 | +5.5 | L −23.5 | 159.5 | O 173 |
| Dec 3 | @ AKR | L 77-97 | +23.5 | W +3.5 | 157.5 | O 174 |
| Dec 6 | vs UMBC | L 66-73 | -1.5 | L −8.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 9 | @ RID | W 51-38 | -2.5 | W +10.5 | 135.5 | U 89 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsDEL
DELW 78-70
+5.5
7
@MSM
MSMW 73-62
+12.5
11
@PRIN
PRINL 63-73
−5.5
14
vsHOF
HOFL 77-83
−1.5
17
@PITT
PITTL 50-84
−17.5
20
@SJU
SJUL 49-97
−19.5
24
vsBGSU
BGSUL 66-71
+5.5
26
vsBUF
BUFL 71-73
+2.5
30
vsCOR
CORL 72-101
−23.5
3
@AKR
AKRL 77-97
+3.5
6
vsUMBC
UMBCL 66-73
−8.5
9
@RID
RIDW 51-38
+10.5
covered 6didn’t cover 6avg −3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsDEL
DELW 78-70
−1.5
7
@MSM
MSMW 73-62
−8.5
11
@PRIN
PRINL 63-73
−10.5
14
vsHOF
HOFL 77-83
+20.5
17
@PITT
PITTL 50-84
−7.5
20
@SJU
SJUL 49-97
−12.5
24
vsBGSU
BGSUL 66-71
−7.5
26
vsBUF
BUFL 71-73
−2.5
30
vsCOR
CORL 72-101
+13.5
3
@AKR
AKRL 77-97
+16.5
6
vsUMBC
UMBCL 66-73
−4.5
9
@RID
RIDW 51-38
−46.5
over 3under 9avg −4.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Iowa
11 games played
Straight up
9-2
82% wins
Against the spread
9-2
82% covers · avg +3.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-5
55% overs · avg +0.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs RMU | W 101-69 | -22.5 | W +9.5 | 136.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 7 | vs WIU | W 77-58 | -30.5 | L −11.5 | 145.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 14 | vs XAV | W 81-62 | -15.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 18 | vs SEMO | W 99-70 | -23.5 | W +5.5 | 147.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 20 | vs CHST | W 93-54 | -31.5 | W +7.5 | 142.5 | O 147 |
| Nov 25 | vs MISS | W 74-69 | -4.5 | W +0.5 | 140.5 | O 143 |
| Nov 26 | vs GCU | W 59-46 | -8.5 | W +4.5 | 143.5 | U 105 |
| Dec 2 | @ MSU | L 52-71 | +5.5 | L −13.5 | 133.5 | U 123 |
| Dec 6 | vs MD | W 83-64 | -10.5 | W +8.5 | 137.5 | O 147 |
| Dec 11 | @ ISU | L 62-66 | +11.5 | W +7.5 | 141.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 14 | vs WMU | W 91-51 | -25.5 | W +14.5 | 137.5 | O 142 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsRMU
RMUW 101-69
+9.5
7
vsWIU
WIUW 77-58
−11.5
14
vsXAV
XAVW 81-62
+3.5
18
vsSEMO
SEMOW 99-70
+5.5
20
vsCHST
CHSTW 93-54
+7.5
25
vsMISS
MISSW 74-69
+0.5
26
vsGCU
GCUW 59-46
+4.5
2
@MSU
MSUL 52-71
−13.5
6
vsMD
MDW 83-64
+8.5
11
@ISU
ISUL 62-66
+7.5
14
vsWMU
WMUW 91-51
+14.5
covered 9didn’t cover 2avg +3.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsRMU
RMUW 101-69
+33.5
7
vsWIU
WIUW 77-58
−10.5
14
vsXAV
XAVW 81-62
−0.5
18
vsSEMO
SEMOW 99-70
+21.5
20
vsCHST
CHSTW 93-54
+4.5
25
vsMISS
MISSW 74-69
+2.5
26
vsGCU
GCUW 59-46
−38.5
2
@MSU
MSUL 52-71
−10.5
6
vsMD
MDW 83-64
+9.5
11
@ISU
ISUL 62-66
−13.5
14
vsWMU
WMUW 91-51
+4.5
over 6under 5avg +0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Bucknell
3-9 overall · 0-0 in conference · Patriot League
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Rider51–38
- Lvs UMBC66–73
- L@ Akron77–97
- Lvs Cornell72–101
- Lvs Buffalo71–73
A week or more of rest.
Iowa
9-2 overall · 1-1 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs W Michigan91–51
- L@ Iowa State62–66
- Wvs Maryland83–64
- L@ Michigan St52–71
- Wvs Grand Canyon59–46
6 days since their last game.