Townsley Law Arena · at McNeese · Conference game
Closing line
MCN -11.5✓ RGV covered by 4.5
MCN -11.5✓ RGV covered by 4.5Closing total146.5Under by 3.5
 RGV | This season | MCN |
|---|---|---|
| 14-12 | Record | 21-5 |
| 14-12 | ATS | 13-13 |
| 11-15 | O/U | 13-13 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: RGV 67–78 MCN · ✓ MCN (84%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RGV | 22 | 46 | 68 |
| MCN | 34 | 41 | 75 |
1st half: RGV 22, MCN 34 (MCN by 12). The model had MCN by 6.6 and a total of 68.0 (actual 56).
Team stats
| RGV | MCN | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-50 50% | Field goals | 25-58 43% |
| 8-27 30% | 3-pointers | 4-18 22% |
| 10-17 59% | Free throws | 21-29 72% |
| 33 6 off | Rebounds | 35 13 off |
| 12 | Assists | 15 |
| 6 | Steals | 13 |
| 2 | Blocks | 2 |
| 17 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 21 | Fouls | 15 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 12 |
Players
| RGV | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Koree Cotton G | 30 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 2-6 | 1-5 |
| Jaylen Washington Jr. G | 30 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 4-9 | 1-3 |
| Filip Brankovic F | 29 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 7-11 | 1-4 |
| Marvin McGhee III G | 29 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 3-8 | 3-8 |
| Julien Gomez G | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Zae Blake G | 27 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 4-9 | 1-5 |
| Dane Christensen F | 20 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Always Wright G | 17 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Kwo Agwa F | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Jalen Ricks G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Mustafo Vanjov, Kye Dickson, Marshal Destremau, Demarris Winters, Luis Ramirez
| MCN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Larry Johnson G | 36 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 8-17 | 0-4 |
| Garwey Dual G | 32 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 4-8 | 0-0 |
| DJ Richards Jr. G | 32 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 2-6 | 2-6 |
| Tyshawn Archie G | 27 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 5-15 | 2-6 |
| Jerrell Colbert F | 25 | 10 | 9 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jacolb Fredson-Cole F | 18 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Carl Cherenfant G | 16 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Yanis Ndjonga F | 13 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Peitok Machar F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: JJ Rembert, Erik Villarreal, Kaleb Brewer, Akim Mazou, T'Johnn Brown, Javohn Garcia
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketMCN -11.5
ModelMCN -11.4
Model edgeRGV +0.1
W RGV covered
Total
Market146.5
Model145.4
Model edgeUnder 1.1
W Under
Projected score
RGV 67 · MCN 78.4
RGV 68 · MCN 75
Win probability
MCN 84%
1st half
Spread
MCN -6.6
MCN -12.0
Total
68.0
56 points
Projected score
RGV 30.7 · MCN 37.3
RGV 22 · MCN 34
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMCN -10.5
1 → MCN
CloseMCN -11.5
1 pt toward MCN
Total
Open143.5
▲ 3
Close146.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
RGV +600 · MCN -900
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MCN -10.5 · closed MCN -11.5 · moved 1 toward MCNmodel MCN -11.5 matches the line
model MCN -11.5 = line ✓
Opened 143.5 · closed 146.5 · moved 3 upmodel 145.5
model 145.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RGV | 9-1 90% | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% |
| MCN | 9-1 90% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
RGV 1–2 MCNMCN leads · 3 games since 2021-22 · RGV 1-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2025-26 | MCN 76 @ RGV 79 | RGV +9.5 | RGV W |
| Feb 24, 2024-25 | RGV 65 @ MCN 100 | MCN -14.5 | MCN W |
| Jan 25, 2024-25 | MCN 93 @ RGV 63 | RGV +9.5 | MCN W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UT Rio Grande
26 games played
Straight up
14-12
54% wins
Against the spread
14-12
54% covers · avg +4.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-15
42% overs · avg −1.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ BAY | L 81-96 | +24.5 | W +9.5 | 154.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 8 | @ SUU | W 95-72 | -1.5 | W +21.5 | 160.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 11 | @ BOIS | L 65-85 | +16.5 | L −3.5 | 161.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 22 | @ MOST | L 67-74 | +3.5 | L −3.5 | 149.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 24 | @ ILL | L 73-87 | +33.5 | W +19.5 | 164.5 | U 160 |
| Dec 3 | @ SFA | L 60-73 | +6.5 | L −6.5 | 143.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 7 | vs APSU | W 63-50 | -2.5 | W +10.5 | 151.5 | U 113 |
| Dec 11 | vs UTA | L 50-58 | -4.5 | L −12.5 | 145.5 | U 108 |
| Dec 16 | @ LAM | W 83-72 | +3.5 | W +14.5 | 139.5 | O 155 |
| Dec 29 | vs NOLA | L 69-85 | -6.5 | L −22.5 | 152.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 31 | vs NICH | L 69-71 | -3.5 | L −5.5 | 145.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 3 | vs AMCC | L 59-63 | -2.5 | L −6.5 | 137.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 5 | vs UIW | W 80-67 | -1.5 | W +11.5 | 146.5 | O 147 |
| Jan 10 | @ ETAM | L 69-77 | -3.5 | L −11.5 | 145.5 | O 146 |
| Jan 12 | @ NWST | L 63-64 | -2.5 | L −3.5 | 143.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 17 | vsMCN | W 79-76 | +9.5 | W +12.5 | 146.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 19 | vs SELA | W 68-65 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 135.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 24 | @ HCU | W 68-51 | -2.5 | W +14.5 | 140.5 | U 119 |
| Jan 26 | @AMCC | W 64-55 | +2.5 | W +11.5 | 135.5 | U 119 |
| Jan 31 | @UIW | W 106-93 | -1.5 | W +11.5 | 140.5 | O 199 |
| Feb 2 | vsHCU | W 74-57 | -9.5 | W +7.5 | 141.5 | U 131 |
| Feb 7 | @NOLA | W 95-76 | -1.5 | W +17.5 | 151.5 | O 171 |
| Feb 9 | @NICH | W 92-72 | -3.5 | W +16.5 | 147.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 14 | vsSFA | L 57-66 | +1.5 | L −7.5 | 144.5 | U 123 |
| Feb 16 | vsLAM | W 70-65 | -6.5 | L −1.5 | 141.5 | U 135 |
| Feb 21 | @SELA | W 96-75 | -4.5 | W +16.5 | 138.5 | O 171 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@BAY
BAYL 81-96
+9.5
8
@SUU
SUUW 95-72
+21.5
11
@BOIS
BOISL 65-85
−3.5
22
@MOST
MOSTL 67-74
−3.5
24
@ILL
ILLL 73-87
+19.5
3
@SFA
SFAL 60-73
−6.5
7
vsAPSU
APSUW 63-50
+10.5
11
vsUTA
UTAL 50-58
−12.5
16
@LAM
LAMW 83-72
+14.5
29
vsNOLA
NOLAL 69-85
−22.5
31
vsNICH
NICHL 69-71
−5.5
3
vsAMCC
AMCCL 59-63
−6.5
5
vsUIW
UIWW 80-67
+11.5
10
@ETAM
ETAML 69-77
−11.5
12
@NWST
NWSTL 63-64
−3.5
17
vsMCN
MCNW 79-76
+12.5
19
vsSELA
SELAW 68-65
−2.5
24
@HCU
HCUW 68-51
+14.5
26
@AMCC
AMCCW 64-55
+11.5
31
@UIW
UIWW 106-93
+11.5
2
vsHCU
HCUW 74-57
+7.5
7
@NOLA
NOLAW 95-76
+17.5
9
@NICH
NICHW 92-72
+16.5
14
vsSFA
SFAL 57-66
−7.5
16
vsLAM
LAMW 70-65
−1.5
21
@SELA
SELAW 96-75
+16.5
covered 14didn’t cover 12avg +4.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@BAY
BAYL 81-96
+22.5
8
@SUU
SUUW 95-72
+6.5
11
@BOIS
BOISL 65-85
−11.5
22
@MOST
MOSTL 67-74
−8.5
24
@ILL
ILLL 73-87
−4.5
3
@SFA
SFAL 60-73
−10.5
7
vsAPSU
APSUW 63-50
−38.5
11
vsUTA
UTAL 50-58
−37.5
16
@LAM
LAMW 83-72
+15.5
29
vsNOLA
NOLAL 69-85
+1.5
31
vsNICH
NICHL 69-71
−5.5
3
vsAMCC
AMCCL 59-63
−15.5
5
vsUIW
UIWW 80-67
+0.5
10
@ETAM
ETAML 69-77
+0.5
12
@NWST
NWSTL 63-64
−16.5
17
vsMCN
MCNW 79-76
+8.5
19
vsSELA
SELAW 68-65
−2.5
24
@HCU
HCUW 68-51
−21.5
26
@AMCC
AMCCW 64-55
−16.5
31
@UIW
UIWW 106-93
+58.5
2
vsHCU
HCUW 74-57
−10.5
7
@NOLA
NOLAW 95-76
+19.5
9
@NICH
NICHW 92-72
+16.5
14
vsSFA
SFAL 57-66
−21.5
16
vsLAM
LAMW 70-65
−6.5
21
@SELA
SELAW 96-75
+32.5
over 11under 15avg −1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
McNeese
26 games played
Straight up
21-5
81% wins
Against the spread
13-13
50% covers · avg +0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-13
50% overs · avg −0.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | @ SCU | L 67-79 | +6.5 | L −5.5 | 151.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 14 | vs UL | W 88-62 | -15.5 | W +10.5 | 134.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 23 | vs GW | W 92-86 | +5.5 | W +11.5 | 157.5 | O 178 |
| Nov 24 | vs MUR | W 73-60 | -2.5 | W +10.5 | 158.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 25 | vs MTSU | W 72-62 | -9.5 | W +0.5 | 147.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 1 | @UIW | L 67-71 | -10.5 | L −14.5 | 145.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 5 | vsNWST | W 92-54 | -19.5 | W +18.5 | 139.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 9 | @ URI | W 66-64 | -1.5 | W +0.5 | 146.5 | U 130 |
| Dec 12 | vsETAM | W 102-66 | -20.5 | W +15.5 | 142.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 15 | @HCU | W 78-68 | -14.5 | L −4.5 | 137.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 29 | @ MICH | L 71-112 | +24.5 | L −16.5 | 161.5 | O 183 |
| Jan 2 | vsLAM | W 82-70 | -16.5 | L −4.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 5 | vsSFA | W 66-64 | -10.5 | L −8.5 | 144.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 10 | vsSELA | W 73-61 | -16.5 | L −4.5 | 138.5 | U 134 |
| Jan 12 | vsNICH | W 94-68 | -15.5 | W +10.5 | 146.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 17 | @RGV | L 76-79 | -9.5 | L −12.5 | 146.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 19 | @AMCC | W 69-53 | -9.5 | W +6.5 | 140.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 24 | vsNOLA | W 82-63 | -18.5 | W +0.5 | 156.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 27 | @SELA | W 76-66 | -12.5 | L −2.5 | 139.5 | O 142 |
| Jan 31 | @LAM | W 64-63 | -10.5 | L −9.5 | 144.5 | U 127 |
| Feb 2 | @SFA | L 60-67 | -2.5 | L −9.5 | 141.5 | U 127 |
| Feb 7 | vsUIW | W 81-64 | -16.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | U 145 |
| Feb 9 | vsHCU | W 73-69 | -21.5 | L −17.5 | 137.5 | O 142 |
| Feb 14 | @ETAM | W 97-54 | -13.5 | W +29.5 | 142.5 | O 151 |
| Feb 16 | @NWST | W 75-64 | -14.5 | L −3.5 | 138.5 | O 139 |
| Feb 21 | vsAMCC | W 70-54 | -14.5 | W +1.5 | 139.5 | U 124 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@SCU
SCUL 67-79
−5.5
14
vsUL
ULW 88-62
+10.5
23
vsGW
GWW 92-86
+11.5
24
vsMUR
MURW 73-60
+10.5
25
vsMTSU
MTSUW 72-62
+0.5
1
@UIW
UIWL 67-71
−14.5
5
vsNWST
NWSTW 92-54
+18.5
9
@URI
URIW 66-64
+0.5
12
vsETAM
ETAMW 102-66
+15.5
15
@HCU
HCUW 78-68
−4.5
29
@MICH
MICHL 71-112
−16.5
2
vsLAM
LAMW 82-70
−4.5
5
vsSFA
SFAW 66-64
−8.5
10
vsSELA
SELAW 73-61
−4.5
12
vsNICH
NICHW 94-68
+10.5
17
@RGV
RGVL 76-79
−12.5
19
@AMCC
AMCCW 69-53
+6.5
24
vsNOLA
NOLAW 82-63
+0.5
27
@SELA
SELAW 76-66
−2.5
31
@LAM
LAMW 64-63
−9.5
2
@SFA
SFAL 60-67
−9.5
7
vsUIW
UIWW 81-64
+0.5
9
vsHCU
HCUW 73-69
−17.5
14
@ETAM
ETAMW 97-54
+29.5
16
@NWST
NWSTW 75-64
−3.5
21
vsAMCC
AMCCW 70-54
+1.5
covered 13didn’t cover 13avg +0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@SCU
SCUL 67-79
−5.5
14
vsUL
ULW 88-62
+15.5
23
vsGW
GWW 92-86
+20.5
24
vsMUR
MURW 73-60
−25.5
25
vsMTSU
MTSUW 72-62
−13.5
1
@UIW
UIWL 67-71
−7.5
5
vsNWST
NWSTW 92-54
+6.5
9
@URI
URIW 66-64
−16.5
12
vsETAM
ETAMW 102-66
+25.5
15
@HCU
HCUW 78-68
+8.5
29
@MICH
MICHL 71-112
+21.5
2
vsLAM
LAMW 82-70
+6.5
5
vsSFA
SFAW 66-64
−14.5
10
vsSELA
SELAW 73-61
−4.5
12
vsNICH
NICHW 94-68
+15.5
17
@RGV
RGVL 76-79
+8.5
19
@AMCC
AMCCW 69-53
−18.5
24
vsNOLA
NOLAW 82-63
−11.5
27
@SELA
SELAW 76-66
+2.5
31
@LAM
LAMW 64-63
−17.5
2
@SFA
SFAL 60-67
−14.5
7
vsUIW
UIWW 81-64
−0.5
9
vsHCU
HCUW 73-69
+4.5
14
@ETAM
ETAMW 97-54
+8.5
16
@NWST
NWSTW 75-64
+0.5
21
vsAMCC
AMCCW 70-54
−15.5
over 13under 13avg −0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UT Rio Grande
14-12 overall · 12-7 in conference · Southland Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ SE Louisiana96–75
- Wvs Lamar70–65
- Lvs SF Austin57–66
- W@ Nicholls92–72
- W@ LSU N Orleans95–76
2 days since their last game.
McNeese
21-5 overall · 16-3 in conference · Southland Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Texas A&M-CC70–54
- W@ N'Western St75–64
- W@ East Texas A&M97–54
- Wvs Hou Christian73–69
- Wvs Incarnate Word81–64
2 days since their last game.