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Half finalConference
1H spread
—
no 1H line yet
1H total
—
model 74.1
Projected
38–37
✗ LOU lost
Half finalConference
1H spread
—
no 1H line yet
1H total
—
model 61.9
Projected
31–31
✓ AMCC won
Half finalConference
1H spread
—
no 1H line yet
1H total
—
model 67.7
Projected
33–35
✓ LAM won
Half finalConference
1H spread
—
no 1H line yet
1H total
—
model 67.2
Projected
33–34
✗ NWST lost
Half finalConference
1H spread
—
no 1H line yet
1H total
—
model 71.0
Projected
33–38
✗ SFA lost
Half finalConference
1H spread
—
no 1H line yet
1H total
—
model 68.0
Projected
31–37
✓ MCN won
Half finalConference
1H spread
—
no 1H line yet
1H total
—
model 64.5
Projected
32–33
✗ ETAM lost
Half finalConference
1H spread
—
no 1H line yet
1H total
—
model 64.1
Projected
33–31
✗ HOU lost
Half finalConference
1H spread
—
no 1H line yet
1H total
—
model 63.8
Projected
27–37
✓ GRAM won
| Status | Matchup | Spread | Total | Model line | Spread edge | Model total | Total edge | Win prob | Model | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Half final |  20-7 · #14  21-6 · #44 |
— | — | LOU -1.0 | — | 74.1 | — | 54% LOU | › | |
| Half final |  10-14 · #238  7-20 · #252 |
— | — | AMCC -0.5 | — | 61.9 | — | 52% AMCC | › | |
| Half final |  10-17 · #285  10-16 · #293 |
— | — | LAM -2.8 | — | 67.7 | — | 62% LAM | › | |
| Half final |  8-17 · #289  7-19 · #318 |
— | — | NWST -1.3 | — | 67.2 | — | 55% NWST | › | |
| Half final |  13-15 · #276  23-3 · #193 |
— | — | SFA -5.4 | — | 71.0 | — | 72% SFA | › | |
| Half final |  14-12 · #287  21-5 · #127 |
— | — | MCN -6.6 | — | 68.0 | — | 77% MCN | › | |
| Half final |  8-18 · #300  9-18 · #342 |
— | — | ETAM -1.2 | — | 64.5 | — | 55% ETAM | › | |
| Half final |  23-4 · #2  20-7 · #16 |
— | — | HOU -2.2 | — | 64.1 | — | 59% HOU | › | |
| Half final |  1-26 · #366  9-15 · #338 |
— | — | GRAM -10.5 | — | 63.8 | — | 87% GRAM | › |
The model’s 1st half is fitted from its full-game numbers and past halves; ESPN posts no 1st-half lines for college games. The # beside a record is the team’s power rank today, from the Rankings; AP is the poll. Spread is the market line (the favorite shows the minus). Model line and Model edge are from the model, never the market. Lines are pre-tip-off: after tip-off a tile shows the closing line. Model record