Reed Green Coliseum · at Southern Miss · Conference game
Closing line
APP -1.5✓ APP covered by 5.5
APP -1.5✓ APP covered by 5.5Closing total134.5Under by 1.5
| APP | This season | USM |
|---|---|---|
| 11-9 | Record | 9-11 |
| 12-8 | ATS | 7-13 |
| 8-12 | O/U | 12-8 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: APP 68–69 USM · ✗ USM (53%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| APP | 29 | 41 | 70 |
| USM | 27 | 36 | 63 |
1st half: APP 29, USM 27 (APP by 2). The model had USM by 0.4 and a total of 64.1 (actual 56).
Team stats
| APP | USM | |
|---|---|---|
| 20-51 39% | Field goals | 21-58 36% |
| 8-17 47% | 3-pointers | 3-17 18% |
| 22-29 76% | Free throws | 18-26 69% |
| 35 8 off | Rebounds | 42 15 off |
| 8 | Assists | 8 |
| 5 | Steals | 1 |
| 5 | Blocks | 2 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 22 | Fouls | 22 |
| 22 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 11 | Fast-break points | 3 |
Players
| APP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alonzo Dodd G | 38 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 3-13 | 0-2 |
| Jalen Tot G | 36 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 5-7 | 5-7 |
| Kasen Jennings G | 35 | 18 | 7 | 2 | 4-12 | 2-4 |
| Michael Marcus Jr. F | 26 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 4-9 | 1-3 |
| Luke Wilson C | 20 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 2-6 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Eren Banks G | 26 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Chad Moodie F | 16 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Jacari Brim G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Ted Neal, Grant Clayton, Tre McKinnon, Cameron O'Kelley, Luke Ledford, KJ Vasser, Jason Clarke Jr., Andrin Njock
| USM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Brumfield G | 36 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 3-10 | 0-1 |
| Tylik Weeks F | 33 | 21 | 8 | 3 | 6-13 | 0-0 |
| Israel Hart G | 31 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 5-11 | 3-7 |
| Curt Lewis G | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Djahi Binet F | 28 | 11 | 12 | 1 | 4-8 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Chiante' Tramble G | 15 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-5 | 0-2 |
| Brewer Carruth G | 13 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-6 | 0-4 |
| Tegra Izay C | 12 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Felipe Patino G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: IJ Ezuma, Chandler Watts, Robert Cowherd, Fallou Diagne, Blake Lander, Isaac Taveras, Dalyn Brandon, Jett Montgomery, EJ Paymon
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUSM -1.5
3 → APP
CloseAPP -1.5
3 pts toward APP
Total
Open132.5
▲ 2
Close134.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
APP -125 · USM +105
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened USM -1.5 · closed APP -1.5 · moved 3 toward APPmodel USM -1
model USM -1
Opened 132.5 · closed 134.5 · moved 2 upmodel 137
model 137
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | APP -1.5 | USM -0.9 | USM +2.4 | L APP covered |
| Total | 134.5 | 136.8 | Over 2.3 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | APP 67.9 · USM 68.8 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | USM -0.4 | APP -2.0 |
| 1H total | 64.1 | 56 |
| 1H projected score | APP 31.8 · USM 32.2 | APP 29 · USM 27 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| APP | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
| USM | 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
APP 1–1 USMSeries tied · 2 games since 2021-22 · APP 1-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2024-25 | USM 58 @ APP 60 | APP -8.5 | USM W |
| Dec 31, 2022-23 | APP 70 @ USM 76 | USM -6.5 | APP W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
App State
20 games played
Straight up
11-9
55% wins
Against the spread
12-8
60% covers · avg +0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-12
40% overs · avg −2.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ CMU | L 66-82 | +1.5 | L −14.5 | 142.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 9 | vs NCCU | W 76-54 | -10.5 | W +11.5 | 136.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 11 | @ OSU | L 53-75 | +23.5 | W +1.5 | 147.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 16 | @ DART | W 85-77 | -1.5 | W +6.5 | 140.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 21 | vs CLT | W 65-63 | -1.5 | W +0.5 | 132.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 24 | vs ELON | L 53-88 | -5.5 | L −40.5 | 143.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 26 | @ MER | L 67-75 | +6.5 | L −1.5 | 142.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 30 | vs UNCA | L 55-67 | +1.5 | L −10.5 | 137.5 | U 122 |
| Dec 11 | @ ECU | W 67-54 | +4.5 | W +17.5 | 130.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 14 | vs HPU | W 86-78 | +12.5 | W +20.5 | 144.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 18 | vs CCU | W 67-49 | -4.5 | W +13.5 | 137.5 | U 116 |
| Dec 20 | vs GAST | L 63-70 | -7.5 | L −14.5 | 137.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 31 | @ ODU | W 81-73 | +1.5 | W +9.5 | 136.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 3 | @ MRSH | L 81-88 | +7.5 | W +0.5 | 141.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 8 | @GAST | W 52-50 | -1.5 | W +0.5 | 140.5 | U 102 |
| Jan 10 | @CCU | L 62-67 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 133.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 15 | vs JMU | W 80-65 | -2.5 | W +12.5 | 133.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 17 | vsODU | L 73-75 | -7.5 | L −9.5 | 140.5 | O 148 |
| Jan 22 | vs UL | W 72-58 | -9.5 | W +4.5 | 124.5 | O 130 |
| Jan 23 | vs ULM | W 59-43 | -16.5 | L −0.5 | 144.5 | U 102 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@CMU
CMUL 66-82
−14.5
9
vsNCCU
NCCUW 76-54
+11.5
11
@OSU
OSUL 53-75
+1.5
16
@DART
DARTW 85-77
+6.5
21
vsCLT
CLTW 65-63
+0.5
24
vsELON
ELONL 53-88
−40.5
26
@MER
MERL 67-75
−1.5
30
vsUNCA
UNCAL 55-67
−10.5
11
@ECU
ECUW 67-54
+17.5
14
vsHPU
HPUW 86-78
+20.5
18
vsCCU
CCUW 67-49
+13.5
20
vsGAST
GASTL 63-70
−14.5
31
@ODU
ODUW 81-73
+9.5
3
@MRSH
MRSHL 81-88
+0.5
8
@GAST
GASTW 52-50
+0.5
10
@CCU
CCUL 62-67
−6.5
15
vsJMU
JMUW 80-65
+12.5
17
vsODU
ODUL 73-75
−9.5
22
vsUL
ULW 72-58
+4.5
23
vsULM
ULMW 59-43
−0.5
covered 12didn’t cover 8avg +0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@CMU
CMUL 66-82
+5.5
9
vsNCCU
NCCUW 76-54
−6.5
11
@OSU
OSUL 53-75
−19.5
16
@DART
DARTW 85-77
+21.5
21
vsCLT
CLTW 65-63
−4.5
24
vsELON
ELONL 53-88
−2.5
26
@MER
MERL 67-75
−0.5
30
vsUNCA
UNCAL 55-67
−15.5
11
@ECU
ECUW 67-54
−9.5
14
vsHPU
HPUW 86-78
+19.5
18
vsCCU
CCUW 67-49
−21.5
20
vsGAST
GASTL 63-70
−4.5
31
@ODU
ODUW 81-73
+17.5
3
@MRSH
MRSHL 81-88
+27.5
8
@GAST
GASTW 52-50
−38.5
10
@CCU
CCUL 62-67
−4.5
15
vsJMU
JMUW 80-65
+11.5
17
vsODU
ODUL 73-75
+7.5
22
vsUL
ULW 72-58
+5.5
23
vsULM
ULMW 59-43
−42.5
over 8under 12avg −2.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Southern Miss
20 games played
Straight up
9-11
45% wins
Against the spread
7-13
35% covers · avg −0.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-8
60% overs · avg +1.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ BUF | L 79-85 | +3.5 | L −2.5 | 153.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 9 | @ SC | L 79-83 | +17.5 | W +13.5 | 147.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 13 | @ GRAM | L 70-75 | +2.5 | L −2.5 | 148.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 22 | vs UNF | W 92-83 | -9.5 | L −0.5 | 154.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 23 | vs UTM | W 70-60 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 146.5 | U 130 |
| Dec 3 | @ RAD | W 82-75 | +3.5 | W +10.5 | 152.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 6 | @ MIA | L 64-88 | +19.5 | L −4.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 8 | vsGRAM | W 68-60 | -8.5 | L −0.5 | 142.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 13 | vs MISS | L 67-71 | +12.5 | W +8.5 | 138.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 18 | vsUL | W 62-54 | -11.5 | L −3.5 | 132.5 | U 116 |
| Dec 20 | vs ARST | L 86-93 | +1.5 | L −5.5 | 155.5 | O 179 |
| Dec 29 | @ LSU | L 62-90 | +21.5 | L −6.5 | 154.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 1 | @ULM | W 87-73 | -9.5 | W +4.5 | 152.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 3 | @UL | W 74-67 | -3.5 | W +3.5 | 129.5 | O 141 |
| Jan 8 | vs TXST | W 80-70 | -2.5 | W +7.5 | 144.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 10 | vsULM | W 70-60 | -14.5 | L −4.5 | 155.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 14 | @ TROY | L 65-91 | +8.5 | L −17.5 | 145.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 17 | @TXST | L 67-74 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 140.5 | O 141 |
| Jan 22 | @GAST | L 62-69 | +1.5 | L −5.5 | 144.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 24 | @CCU | L 67-85 | +2.5 | L −15.5 | 141.5 | O 152 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@BUF
BUFL 79-85
−2.5
9
@SC
SCL 79-83
+13.5
13
@GRAM
GRAML 70-75
−2.5
22
vsUNF
UNFW 92-83
−0.5
23
vsUTM
UTMW 70-60
+11.5
3
@RAD
RADW 82-75
+10.5
6
@MIA
MIAL 64-88
−4.5
8
vsGRAM
GRAMW 68-60
−0.5
13
vsMISS
MISSL 67-71
+8.5
18
vsUL
ULW 62-54
−3.5
20
vsARST
ARSTL 86-93
−5.5
29
@LSU
LSUL 62-90
−6.5
1
@ULM
ULMW 87-73
+4.5
3
@UL
ULW 74-67
+3.5
8
vsTXST
TXSTW 80-70
+7.5
10
vsULM
ULMW 70-60
−4.5
14
@TROY
TROYL 65-91
−17.5
17
@TXST
TXSTL 67-74
−4.5
22
@GAST
GASTL 62-69
−5.5
24
@CCU
CCUL 67-85
−15.5
covered 7didn’t cover 13avg −0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@BUF
BUFL 79-85
+10.5
9
@SC
SCL 79-83
+14.5
13
@GRAM
GRAML 70-75
−3.5
22
vsUNF
UNFW 92-83
+20.5
23
vsUTM
UTMW 70-60
−16.5
3
@RAD
RADW 82-75
+4.5
6
@MIA
MIAL 64-88
+6.5
8
vsGRAM
GRAMW 68-60
−14.5
13
vsMISS
MISSL 67-71
−0.5
18
vsUL
ULW 62-54
−16.5
20
vsARST
ARSTL 86-93
+23.5
29
@LSU
LSUL 62-90
−2.5
1
@ULM
ULMW 87-73
+7.5
3
@UL
ULW 74-67
+11.5
8
vsTXST
TXSTW 80-70
+5.5
10
vsULM
ULMW 70-60
−25.5
14
@TROY
TROYL 65-91
+10.5
17
@TXST
TXSTL 67-74
+0.5
22
@GAST
GASTL 62-69
−13.5
24
@CCU
CCUL 67-85
+10.5
over 12under 8avg +1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
App State
11-9 overall · 6-4 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs UL Monroe59–43
- Wvs Louisiana72–58
- Lvs Old Dominion73–75
- Wvs James Madison80–65
- L@ Coastal62–67
6 days since their last game.
Southern Miss
9-11 overall · 5-5 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Coastal67–85
- L@ Georgia St62–69
- L@ Texas St67–74
- L@ Troy65–91
- Wvs UL Monroe70–60
5 days since their last game.