Holmes Convocation Center · at App State · Conference game
Closing line
APP -9.5✓ APP covered by 4.5
APP -9.5✓ APP covered by 4.5Closing total124.5Over by 5.5
 UL | This season | APP |
|---|---|---|
| 5-15 | Record | 9-9 |
| 9-11 | ATS | 11-7 |
| 7-13 | O/U | 7-11 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UL 57–66 APP · ✓ APP (79%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UL | 30 | 28 | 58 |
| APP | 31 | 41 | 72 |
1st half: UL 30, APP 31 (APP by 1). The model had APP by 5.3 and a total of 57.8 (actual 61).
Team stats
| UL | APP | |
|---|---|---|
| 22-58 38% | Field goals | 25-48 52% |
| 6-25 24% | 3-pointers | 13-29 45% |
| 8-9 89% | Free throws | 9-15 60% |
| 24 8 off | Rebounds | 39 10 off |
| 14 | Assists | 16 |
| 6 | Steals | 3 |
| 4 | Blocks | 2 |
| 6 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 19 | Fouls | 15 |
| 20 | Points in paint | 20 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 2 |
Players
| UL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De'vion Lavergne G | 36 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 5-15 | 1-6 |
| Dorian Finister G | 34 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 4-10 | 2-4 |
| Jaxon Olvera G | 27 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 3-14 | 1-9 |
| Milan Mejia G | 25 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Todd Jones Jr. F | 18 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Dariyus Woodson F | 19 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Jeremiah Evans F | 18 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Karris Bilal G | 12 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Mike Collins G | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Kyran Ratliff F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Jamyron Keller, Joshua Lewis, Logan Myers, Christian Landry, Rahman Olajuwon, Sean Elkinton, Michael Mouton, Zeke Cook
| APP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Tot G | 36 | 21 | 5 | 3 | 7-16 | 6-14 |
| Alonzo Dodd G | 36 | 8 | 1 | 10 | 2-6 | 1-3 |
| Luke Wilson C | 35 | 11 | 9 | 0 | 5-6 | 0-0 |
| Kasen Jennings G | 31 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 6-10 | 3-6 |
| Michael Marcus Jr. F | 26 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 4-5 | 3-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Eren Banks G | 20 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-3 |
| Chad Moodie F | 15 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jacari Brim G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Grant Clayton, Tre McKinnon, Ted Neal, KJ Vasser, Andrin Njock, Cameron O'Kelley, Jason Clarke Jr., Luke Ledford
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketAPP -9.5
ModelAPP -9.2
Model edgeUL +0.3
L APP covered
Total
Market124.5
Model123.2
Model edgeUnder 1.3
L Over
Projected score
UL 57 · APP 66.2
UL 58 · APP 72
Win probability
APP 79%
1st half
Spread
APP -5.3
APP -1.0
Total
57.8
61 points
Projected score
UL 26.2 · APP 31.6
UL 30 · APP 31
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenAPP -9.5
no move
CloseAPP -9.5
No change since the open
Total
Open122.5
▲ 2
Close124.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
UL +390 · APP -520
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened APP -9.5 · unchangedmodel APP -9
model APP -9
Opened 122.5 · closed 124.5 · moved 2 upmodel 123
model 123
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UL | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
| APP | 6-4 60% | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
UL 2–1 APPUL leads · 3 games since 2021-22 · UL 2-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2024-25 | APP 62 @ UL 68 | UL +2.5 | UL W |
| Feb 17, 2023-24 | UL 73 @ APP 85 | APP -7.5 | APP W |
| Dec 30, 2021-22 | UL 71 @ APP 55 | APP -4 | UL W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Louisiana
20 games played
Straight up
5-15
25% wins
Against the spread
9-11
45% covers · avg −2.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-13
35% overs · avg −4.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ BALL | L 64-75 | +4.5 | L −6.5 | 141.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 7 | vs SELA | W 58-52 | -3.5 | W +2.5 | 135.5 | U 110 |
| Nov 11 | vs TULN | L 62-66 | +5.5 | W +1.5 | 135.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 14 | @ MCN | L 62-88 | +15.5 | L −10.5 | 134.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 18 | @ STAN | L 66-93 | +20.5 | L −6.5 | 139.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 21 | @ SCU | L 43-80 | +19.5 | L −17.5 | 140.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 24 | @ UCD | L 56-77 | +9.5 | L −11.5 | 136.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 28 | vs JKST | L 45-51 | -5.5 | L −11.5 | 136.5 | U 96 |
| Dec 3 | @ LAM | L 55-65 | +10.5 | W +0.5 | 129.5 | U 120 |
| Dec 6 | vs UNCW | L 63-70 | +12.5 | W +5.5 | 130.5 | O 133 |
| Dec 13 | @ LT | L 44-65 | +9.5 | L −11.5 | 126.5 | U 109 |
| Dec 18 | @ USM | L 54-62 | +11.5 | W +3.5 | 132.5 | U 116 |
| Dec 20 | @ ULM | W 76-62 | -1.5 | W +12.5 | 136.5 | O 138 |
| Dec 28 | vs NORF | W 63-54 | -3.5 | W +5.5 | 126.5 | U 117 |
| Dec 31 | vs USA | L 58-63 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 127.5 | U 121 |
| Jan 3 | vsUSM | L 67-74 | +3.5 | L −3.5 | 129.5 | O 141 |
| Jan 8 | vsULM | W 85-79 | -7.5 | L −1.5 | 139.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 10 | vs TROY | L 70-90 | +9.5 | L −10.5 | 136.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 14 | @ TXST | L 54-59 | +8.5 | W +3.5 | 133.5 | U 113 |
| Jan 17 | @USA | W 59-56 | +9.5 | W +12.5 | 129.5 | U 115 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@BALL
BALLL 64-75
−6.5
7
vsSELA
SELAW 58-52
+2.5
11
vsTULN
TULNL 62-66
+1.5
14
@MCN
MCNL 62-88
−10.5
18
@STAN
STANL 66-93
−6.5
21
@SCU
SCUL 43-80
−17.5
24
@UCD
UCDL 56-77
−11.5
28
vsJKST
JKSTL 45-51
−11.5
3
@LAM
LAML 55-65
+0.5
6
vsUNCW
UNCWL 63-70
+5.5
13
@LT
LTL 44-65
−11.5
18
@USM
USML 54-62
+3.5
20
@ULM
ULMW 76-62
+12.5
28
vsNORF
NORFW 63-54
+5.5
31
vsUSA
USAL 58-63
−1.5
3
vsUSM
USML 67-74
−3.5
8
vsULM
ULMW 85-79
−1.5
10
vsTROY
TROYL 70-90
−10.5
14
@TXST
TXSTL 54-59
+3.5
17
@USA
USAW 59-56
+12.5
covered 9didn’t cover 11avg −2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@BALL
BALLL 64-75
−2.5
7
vsSELA
SELAW 58-52
−25.5
11
vsTULN
TULNL 62-66
−7.5
14
@MCN
MCNL 62-88
+15.5
18
@STAN
STANL 66-93
+19.5
21
@SCU
SCUL 43-80
−17.5
24
@UCD
UCDL 56-77
−3.5
28
vsJKST
JKSTL 45-51
−40.5
3
@LAM
LAML 55-65
−9.5
6
vsUNCW
UNCWL 63-70
+2.5
13
@LT
LTL 44-65
−17.5
18
@USM
USML 54-62
−16.5
20
@ULM
ULMW 76-62
+1.5
28
vsNORF
NORFW 63-54
−9.5
31
vsUSA
USAL 58-63
−6.5
3
vsUSM
USML 67-74
+11.5
8
vsULM
ULMW 85-79
+24.5
10
vsTROY
TROYL 70-90
+23.5
14
@TXST
TXSTL 54-59
−20.5
17
@USA
USAW 59-56
−14.5
over 7under 13avg −4.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
App State
18 games played
Straight up
9-9
50% wins
Against the spread
11-7
61% covers · avg −0.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-11
39% overs · avg −0.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ CMU | L 66-82 | +1.5 | L −14.5 | 142.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 9 | vs NCCU | W 76-54 | -10.5 | W +11.5 | 136.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 11 | @ OSU | L 53-75 | +23.5 | W +1.5 | 147.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 16 | @ DART | W 85-77 | -1.5 | W +6.5 | 140.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 21 | vs CLT | W 65-63 | -1.5 | W +0.5 | 132.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 24 | vs ELON | L 53-88 | -5.5 | L −40.5 | 143.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 26 | @ MER | L 67-75 | +6.5 | L −1.5 | 142.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 30 | vs UNCA | L 55-67 | +1.5 | L −10.5 | 137.5 | U 122 |
| Dec 11 | @ ECU | W 67-54 | +4.5 | W +17.5 | 130.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 14 | vs HPU | W 86-78 | +12.5 | W +20.5 | 144.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 18 | vs CCU | W 67-49 | -4.5 | W +13.5 | 137.5 | U 116 |
| Dec 20 | vs GAST | L 63-70 | -7.5 | L −14.5 | 137.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 31 | @ ODU | W 81-73 | +1.5 | W +9.5 | 136.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 3 | @ MRSH | L 81-88 | +7.5 | W +0.5 | 141.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 8 | @GAST | W 52-50 | -1.5 | W +0.5 | 140.5 | U 102 |
| Jan 10 | @CCU | L 62-67 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 133.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 15 | vs JMU | W 80-65 | -2.5 | W +12.5 | 133.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 17 | vsODU | L 73-75 | -7.5 | L −9.5 | 140.5 | O 148 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@CMU
CMUL 66-82
−14.5
9
vsNCCU
NCCUW 76-54
+11.5
11
@OSU
OSUL 53-75
+1.5
16
@DART
DARTW 85-77
+6.5
21
vsCLT
CLTW 65-63
+0.5
24
vsELON
ELONL 53-88
−40.5
26
@MER
MERL 67-75
−1.5
30
vsUNCA
UNCAL 55-67
−10.5
11
@ECU
ECUW 67-54
+17.5
14
vsHPU
HPUW 86-78
+20.5
18
vsCCU
CCUW 67-49
+13.5
20
vsGAST
GASTL 63-70
−14.5
31
@ODU
ODUW 81-73
+9.5
3
@MRSH
MRSHL 81-88
+0.5
8
@GAST
GASTW 52-50
+0.5
10
@CCU
CCUL 62-67
−6.5
15
vsJMU
JMUW 80-65
+12.5
17
vsODU
ODUL 73-75
−9.5
covered 11didn’t cover 7avg −0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@CMU
CMUL 66-82
+5.5
9
vsNCCU
NCCUW 76-54
−6.5
11
@OSU
OSUL 53-75
−19.5
16
@DART
DARTW 85-77
+21.5
21
vsCLT
CLTW 65-63
−4.5
24
vsELON
ELONL 53-88
−2.5
26
@MER
MERL 67-75
−0.5
30
vsUNCA
UNCAL 55-67
−15.5
11
@ECU
ECUW 67-54
−9.5
14
vsHPU
HPUW 86-78
+19.5
18
vsCCU
CCUW 67-49
−21.5
20
vsGAST
GASTL 63-70
−4.5
31
@ODU
ODUW 81-73
+17.5
3
@MRSH
MRSHL 81-88
+27.5
8
@GAST
GASTW 52-50
−38.5
10
@CCU
CCUL 62-67
−4.5
15
vsJMU
JMUW 80-65
+11.5
17
vsODU
ODUL 73-75
+7.5
over 7under 11avg −0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Louisiana
5-15 overall · 3-5 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ South Alabama59–56
- L@ Texas St54–59
- Lvs Troy70–90
- Wvs UL Monroe85–79
- Lvs Southern Miss67–74
5 days since their last game.
App State
9-9 overall · 4-4 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Old Dominion73–75
- Wvs James Madison80–65
- L@ Coastal62–67
- W@ Georgia St52–50
- L@ Marshall81–88
5 days since their last game.