Worthington Arena · at Montana St · Conference game
Closing line
MTST -5.5✓ MTST covered by 6.5
MTST -5.5✓ MTST covered by 6.5Closing total144.5Under by 8.5
 IDST | This season | MTST |
|---|---|---|
| 7-9 | Record | 8-8 |
| 10-6 | ATS | 11-5 |
| 9-7 | O/U | 9-7 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: IDST 70–76 MTST · ✓ MTST (69%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| IDST | 34 | 28 | 62 |
| MTST | 38 | 36 | 74 |
1st half: IDST 34, MTST 38 (MTST by 4). The model had MTST by 3.3 and a total of 68.1 (actual 72).
Team stats
| IDST | MTST | |
|---|---|---|
| 22-54 41% | Field goals | 28-64 44% |
| 7-25 28% | 3-pointers | 11-27 41% |
| 11-18 61% | Free throws | 7-10 70% |
| 32 9 off | Rebounds | 32 12 off |
| 9 | Assists | 11 |
| 3 | Steals | 5 |
| 4 | Blocks | 1 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 6 |
| 18 | Fouls | 17 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 13 |
Players
| IDST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martin Kheil G | 32 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 3-6 | 3-6 |
| Lachlan Brewer G | 31 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Connor Hollenbeck F | 28 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1-6 | 0-4 |
| Jamison Guerra PG | 19 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 3-8 | 2-3 |
| Evan Otten F | 17 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Cheikh Sow G | 22 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Gus Etchison G | 21 | 20 | 0 | 5 | 9-16 | 1-4 |
| Caleb Van De Griend F | 20 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 3-9 | 1-4 |
| Quin Patterson F | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Blake Daberkow F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Kasen Carpenter, Louis Bond, Trey Arland, Landen Birley, Jaedyn Brown
| MTST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jed Miller G | 37 | 20 | 6 | 4 | 6-11 | 4-6 |
| Patrick McMahon G | 30 | 19 | 9 | 1 | 9-17 | 0-4 |
| Davian Brown G | 27 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 5-12 | 3-5 |
| Chris Hodges F | 21 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Jeremiah Davis G | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Seth Amunrud G | 25 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2-5 | 1-3 |
| Christian King F | 19 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2-9 | 1-5 |
| Howie Keene G | 19 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Jaden Steppe F | 19 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 2-4 | 1-1 |
Did not play: Cavin Holden, CJ Purdie, James Steward, Grayson Gaddis, Calum Rutherfurd, Waka Mbatch
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketMTST -5.5
ModelMTST -5.8
Model edgeMTST +0.3
W MTST covered
Total
Market144.5
Model145.4
Model edgeOver 0.9
L Under
Projected score
IDST 69.8 · MTST 75.6
IDST 62 · MTST 74
Win probability
MTST 69%
1st half
Spread
MTST -3.3
MTST -4.0
Total
68.1
72 points
Projected score
IDST 32.4 · MTST 35.7
IDST 34 · MTST 38
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMTST -5.5
no move
CloseMTST -5.5
No change since the open
Total
Open144.5
no move
Close144.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
IDST +195 · MTST -238
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MTST -5.5 · unchangedmodel MTST -6
model MTST -6
Opened 144.5 · unchangedmodel 145.5
model 145.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| IDST | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% |
| MTST | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
IDST 1–8 MTSTMTST leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · MTST has won the last 2 meetings · IDST 2-7 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2024-25 | MTST 80 vs IDST 60 | IDST +1.5 | MTST W |
| Feb 15, 2024-25 | IDST 69 @ MTST 74 | MTST -3.5 | MTST W |
| Jan 16, 2024-25 | MTST 67 @ IDST 70 | IDST -0.5 | IDST W |
| Jan 22, 2023-24 | IDST 70 @ MTST 77 | MTST -5.5 | MTST W |
| Dec 28, 2023-24 | MTST 74 @ IDST 66 | IDST -1.5 | MTST W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Idaho St
16 games played
Straight up
7-9
44% wins
Against the spread
10-6
63% covers · avg +0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-7
56% overs · avg +7.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | @ USD | W 71-68 | +4.5 | W +7.5 | 152.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 9 | @ SDSU | L 57-73 | +21.5 | W +5.5 | 135.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 15 | @ SEA | L 74-83 | +11.5 | W +2.5 | 138.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 18 | @ SCU | L 55-64 | +14.5 | W +5.5 | 141.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 26 | vs SHSU | L 81-84 | +1.5 | L −1.5 | 142.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 28 | vs CSUN | W 82-50 | -1.5 | W +30.5 | 148.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 3 | @ KC | W 68-59 | -5.5 | W +3.5 | 137.5 | U 127 |
| Dec 6 | vs DEN | W 93-79 | -8.5 | W +5.5 | 142.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 10 | @ UVU | L 69-73 | +9.5 | W +5.5 | 141.5 | O 142 |
| Dec 21 | vs UCD | L 83-93 | -5.5 | L −15.5 | 143.5 | O 176 |
| Jan 1 | vs SAC | W 97-84 | -8.5 | W +4.5 | 153.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 3 | vs PRST | L 87-93 | -3.5 | L −9.5 | 142.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 8 | @ UNCO | L 72-85 | +4.5 | L −8.5 | 155.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 10 | @ NAU | W 81-79 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 139.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 15 | vs IDHO | W 76-68 | -2.5 | W +5.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 17 | vs EWU | L 66-84 | -6.5 | L −24.5 | 152.5 | U 150 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@USD
USDW 71-68
+7.5
9
@SDSU
SDSUL 57-73
+5.5
15
@SEA
SEAL 74-83
+2.5
18
@SCU
SCUL 55-64
+5.5
26
vsSHSU
SHSUL 81-84
−1.5
28
vsCSUN
CSUNW 82-50
+30.5
3
@KC
KCW 68-59
+3.5
6
vsDEN
DENW 93-79
+5.5
10
@UVU
UVUL 69-73
+5.5
21
vsUCD
UCDL 83-93
−15.5
1
vsSAC
SACW 97-84
+4.5
3
vsPRST
PRSTL 87-93
−9.5
8
@UNCO
UNCOL 72-85
−8.5
10
@NAU
NAUW 81-79
−2.5
15
vsIDHO
IDHOW 76-68
+5.5
17
vsEWU
EWUL 66-84
−24.5
covered 10didn’t cover 6avg +0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@USD
USDW 71-68
−13.5
9
@SDSU
SDSUL 57-73
−5.5
15
@SEA
SEAL 74-83
+18.5
18
@SCU
SCUL 55-64
−22.5
26
vsSHSU
SHSUL 81-84
+22.5
28
vsCSUN
CSUNW 82-50
−16.5
3
@KC
KCW 68-59
−10.5
6
vsDEN
DENW 93-79
+29.5
10
@UVU
UVUL 69-73
+0.5
21
vsUCD
UCDL 83-93
+32.5
1
vsSAC
SACW 97-84
+27.5
3
vsPRST
PRSTL 87-93
+37.5
8
@UNCO
UNCOL 72-85
+1.5
10
@NAU
NAUW 81-79
+20.5
15
vsIDHO
IDHOW 76-68
−5.5
17
vsEWU
EWUL 66-84
−2.5
over 9under 7avg +7.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Montana St
16 games played
Straight up
8-8
50% wins
Against the spread
11-5
69% covers · avg +2.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-7
56% overs · avg −0.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ COLO | L 78-84 | +11.5 | W +5.5 | 148.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 9 | vsDEN | L 73-75 | -7.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 12 | @ STAN | L 68-77 | +14.5 | W +5.5 | 148.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 15 | @ BOIS | L 58-62 | +16.5 | W +12.5 | 147.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 21 | @ LBSU | W 78-72 | -3.5 | W +2.5 | 140.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 29 | @ USU | L 81-84 | +17.5 | W +14.5 | 148.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 3 | vs STMN | W 82-74 | -2.5 | W +5.5 | 147.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 6 | @ ORU | L 68-72 | -6.5 | L −10.5 | 150.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 13 | @ ORST | L 57-67 | +1.5 | L −8.5 | 140.5 | U 124 |
| Dec 16 | @ CP | W 83-80 | -2.5 | W +0.5 | 159.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 1 | vsUNCO | W 89-75 | -2.5 | W +11.5 | 154.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 3 | vsNAU | W 77-68 | -10.5 | L −1.5 | 143.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 8 | @EWU | W 68-64 | -2.5 | W +1.5 | 156.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 10 | @IDHO | L 89-92 | +1.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 17 | vs MONT | W 76-67 | -5.5 | W +3.5 | 150.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 19 | @UNCO | W 73-68 | +2.5 | W +7.5 | 153.5 | U 141 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@COLO
COLOL 78-84
+5.5
9
vsDEN
DENL 73-75
−9.5
12
@STAN
STANL 68-77
+5.5
15
@BOIS
BOISL 58-62
+12.5
21
@LBSU
LBSUW 78-72
+2.5
29
@USU
USUL 81-84
+14.5
3
vsSTMN
STMNW 82-74
+5.5
6
@ORU
ORUL 68-72
−10.5
13
@ORST
ORSTL 57-67
−8.5
16
@CP
CPW 83-80
+0.5
1
vsUNCO
UNCOW 89-75
+11.5
3
vsNAU
NAUW 77-68
−1.5
8
@EWU
EWUW 68-64
+1.5
10
@IDHO
IDHOL 89-92
−1.5
17
vsMONT
MONTW 76-67
+3.5
19
@UNCO
UNCOW 73-68
+7.5
covered 11didn’t cover 5avg +2.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@COLO
COLOL 78-84
+13.5
9
vsDEN
DENL 73-75
+1.5
12
@STAN
STANL 68-77
−3.5
15
@BOIS
BOISL 58-62
−27.5
21
@LBSU
LBSUW 78-72
+9.5
29
@USU
USUL 81-84
+16.5
3
vsSTMN
STMNW 82-74
+8.5
6
@ORU
ORUL 68-72
−10.5
13
@ORST
ORSTL 57-67
−16.5
16
@CP
CPW 83-80
+3.5
1
vsUNCO
UNCOW 89-75
+9.5
3
vsNAU
NAUW 77-68
+1.5
8
@EWU
EWUW 68-64
−24.5
10
@IDHO
IDHOL 89-92
+36.5
17
vsMONT
MONTW 76-67
−7.5
19
@UNCO
UNCOW 73-68
−12.5
over 9under 7avg −0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Idaho St
7-9 overall · 3-3 in conference · Big Sky Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs E Washington66–84
- Wvs Idaho76–68
- W@ N Arizona81–79
- L@ N Colorado72–85
- Lvs Portland St87–93
5 days since their last game.
Montana St
8-8 overall · 5-1 in conference · Big Sky Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ N Colorado73–68
- Wvs Montana76–67
- L@ Idaho89–92
- W@ E Washington68–64
- Wvs N Arizona77–68
3 days since their last game.