Reed Arena · at Texas A&M · Conference game
Closing line
TA&M -2.5✓ TEX covered by 8.5
TA&M -2.5✓ TEX covered by 8.5Closing total159.5Under by 13.5
 TEX | This season | TA&M |
|---|---|---|
| 16-11 | Record | 19-9 |
| 15-12 | ATS | 16-12 |
| 17-10 | O/U | 16-12 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: TEX 82–84 TA&M · ✗ TA&M (56%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TEX | 29 | 47 | 76 |
| TA&M | 30 | 40 | 70 |
1st half: TEX 29, TA&M 30 (TA&M by 1). The model had TA&M by 0.9 and a total of 77.8 (actual 59).
Team stats
| TEX | TA&M | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-62 44% | Field goals | 23-60 38% |
| 7-21 33% | 3-pointers | 5-19 26% |
| 15-16 94% | Free throws | 19-23 83% |
| 41 12 off | Rebounds | 32 9 off |
| 8 | Assists | 10 |
| 4 | Steals | 7 |
| 9 | Blocks | 5 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 18 | Fouls | 17 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 5 |
Players
| TEX | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Pope G | 39 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 6-11 | 2-5 |
| Tramon Mark G | 33 | 23 | 4 | 2 | 7-13 | 2-6 |
| Dailyn Swain G | 29 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 4-12 | 1-2 |
| Matas Vokietaitis C | 24 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 6-7 | 0-0 |
| Camden Heide F | 21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-6 | 1-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Chendall Weaver G | 24 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 2-6 | 0-2 |
| Nic Codie F | 18 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0-4 | 0-1 |
| Simeon Wilcher G | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-1 |
Did not play: Cole Bott, John Clark, Brandon Taylor, Anthon McDermott, Declan Duru Jr., Lewis Obiorah, Lassina Traore
| TA&M | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rylan Griffen G | 31 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Marcus Hill G | 31 | 17 | 8 | 1 | 7-11 | 0-0 |
| Rashaun Agee F | 27 | 22 | 8 | 1 | 8-17 | 2-6 |
| Ruben Dominguez G | 20 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Jacari Lane G | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Pop Isaacs G | 26 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 4-7 | 2-3 |
| Zach Clemence F | 23 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Ali Dibba G | 15 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| Josh Holloway G | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Jamie Vinson F | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-2 |
| Federiko Federiko F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jeremiah Green, Noah Shelby, Chris McDermott, Mackenzie Mgbako
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketTA&M -2.5
ModelTA&M -1.8
Model edgeTEX +0.7
W TEX covered
Total
Market159.5
Model166.5
Model edgeOver 7.0
L Under
Projected score
TEX 82.4 · TA&M 84.1
TEX 76 · TA&M 70
Win probability
TA&M 56%
1st half
Spread
TA&M -0.9
TA&M -1.0
Total
77.8
59 points
Projected score
TEX 38.4 · TA&M 39.4
TEX 29 · TA&M 30
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenTA&M -3.5
1 → TEX
CloseTA&M -2.5
1 pt toward TEX
Total
Open162.5
▼ 3
Close159.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
TEX +114 · TA&M -135
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened TA&M -3.5 · closed TA&M -2.5 · moved 1 toward TEXmodel TA&M -2
model TA&M -2
Opened 162.5 · closed 159.5 · moved 3 downmodel 166.5
model 166.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TEX | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% | 7-3 70% |
| TA&M | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
TEX 2–2 TA&MSeries tied · 4 games since 2021-22 · TEX 2-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2025-26 | TA&M 74 @ TEX 70 | TEX -4.5 | TA&M W |
| Mar 13, 2024-25 | TEX 94 vs TA&M 89 | TA&M -5.5 | TEX W |
| Jan 25, 2024-25 | TA&M 69 @ TEX 70 | TEX -0.5 | TEX W |
| Jan 4, 2024-25 | TEX 60 @ TA&M 80 | TA&M -6.5 | TA&M W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Texas
27 games played
Straight up
16-11
59% wins
Against the spread
15-12
56% covers · avg +0.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
17-10
63% overs · avg +3.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs DUKE | L 60-75 | +10.5 | L −4.5 | 153.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 8 | vs LAF | W 97-60 | -25.5 | W +11.5 | 153.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 12 | vs FDU | W 93-58 | -31.5 | W +3.5 | 158.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 15 | vs KC | W 71-55 | -31.5 | L −15.5 | 159.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 18 | vs RID | W 99-65 | -30.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 24 | vs ASU | L 86-87 | -6.5 | L −7.5 | 153.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 26 | vs NCSU | W 102-97 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 161.5 | O 199 |
| Dec 3 | vs UVA | L 69-88 | -3.5 | L −22.5 | 154.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 8 | vs SOU | W 95-69 | -22.5 | W +3.5 | 158.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 12 | @ CONN | L 63-71 | +11.5 | W +3.5 | 145.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 16 | vs LEM | W 95-53 | -29.5 | W +12.5 | 152.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 22 | vs UMES | W 94-71 | -33.5 | L −10.5 | 138.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 3 | vs MSST | L 98-101 | -9.5 | L −12.5 | 157.5 | O 199 |
| Jan 6 | @ TENN | L 71-85 | +12.5 | L −1.5 | 153.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 10 | @ ALA | W 92-88 | +11.5 | W +15.5 | 177.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 14 | vs VAN | W 80-64 | +3.5 | W +19.5 | 163.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 17 | vsTA&M | L 70-74 | -4.5 | L −8.5 | 166.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 21 | @ UK | L 80-85 | +7.5 | W +2.5 | 152.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 24 | vs UGA | W 87-67 | -3.5 | W +16.5 | 168.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 28 | @ AUB | L 82-88 | +6.5 | W +0.5 | 154.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 31 | @ OU | W 79-69 | -1.5 | W +8.5 | 155.5 | U 148 |
| Feb 3 | vs SC | W 84-75 | -13.5 | L −4.5 | 149.5 | O 159 |
| Feb 7 | vs MISS | W 79-68 | -9.5 | W +1.5 | 145.5 | O 147 |
| Feb 14 | @ MIZ | W 85-68 | +2.5 | W +19.5 | 150.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 17 | vs LSU | W 88-85 | -10.5 | L −7.5 | 150.5 | O 173 |
| Feb 21 | @UGA | L 80-91 | +2.5 | L −8.5 | 162.5 | O 171 |
| Feb 25 | vs FLA | L 71-84 | +6.5 | L −6.5 | 157.5 | U 155 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsDUKE
DUKEL 60-75
−4.5
8
vsLAF
LAFW 97-60
+11.5
12
vsFDU
FDUW 93-58
+3.5
15
vsKC
KCW 71-55
−15.5
18
vsRID
RIDW 99-65
+3.5
24
vsASU
ASUL 86-87
−7.5
26
vsNCSU
NCSUW 102-97
+6.5
3
vsUVA
UVAL 69-88
−22.5
8
vsSOU
SOUW 95-69
+3.5
12
@CONN
CONNL 63-71
+3.5
16
vsLEM
LEMW 95-53
+12.5
22
vsUMES
UMESW 94-71
−10.5
3
vsMSST
MSSTL 98-101
−12.5
6
@TENN
TENNL 71-85
−1.5
10
@ALA
ALAW 92-88
+15.5
14
vsVAN
VANW 80-64
+19.5
17
vsTA&M
TA&ML 70-74
−8.5
21
@UK
UKL 80-85
+2.5
24
vsUGA
UGAW 87-67
+16.5
28
@AUB
AUBL 82-88
+0.5
31
@OU
OUW 79-69
+8.5
3
vsSC
SCW 84-75
−4.5
7
vsMISS
MISSW 79-68
+1.5
14
@MIZ
MIZW 85-68
+19.5
17
vsLSU
LSUW 88-85
−7.5
21
@UGA
UGAL 80-91
−8.5
25
vsFLA
FLAL 71-84
−6.5
covered 15didn’t cover 12avg +0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsDUKE
DUKEL 60-75
−18.5
8
vsLAF
LAFW 97-60
+3.5
12
vsFDU
FDUW 93-58
−7.5
15
vsKC
KCW 71-55
−33.5
18
vsRID
RIDW 99-65
+20.5
24
vsASU
ASUL 86-87
+19.5
26
vsNCSU
NCSUW 102-97
+37.5
3
vsUVA
UVAL 69-88
+2.5
8
vsSOU
SOUW 95-69
+5.5
12
@CONN
CONNL 63-71
−11.5
16
vsLEM
LEMW 95-53
−4.5
22
vsUMES
UMESW 94-71
+26.5
3
vsMSST
MSSTL 98-101
+41.5
6
@TENN
TENNL 71-85
+2.5
10
@ALA
ALAW 92-88
+2.5
14
vsVAN
VANW 80-64
−19.5
17
vsTA&M
TA&ML 70-74
−22.5
21
@UK
UKL 80-85
+12.5
24
vsUGA
UGAW 87-67
−14.5
28
@AUB
AUBL 82-88
+15.5
31
@OU
OUW 79-69
−7.5
3
vsSC
SCW 84-75
+9.5
7
vsMISS
MISSW 79-68
+1.5
14
@MIZ
MIZW 85-68
+2.5
17
vsLSU
LSUW 88-85
+22.5
21
@UGA
UGAL 80-91
+8.5
25
vsFLA
FLAL 71-84
−2.5
over 17under 10avg +3.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Texas A&M
28 games played
Straight up
19-9
68% wins
Against the spread
16-12
57% covers · avg +1.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
16-12
57% overs · avg +2.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs NWST | W 98-68 | -21.5 | W +8.5 | 153.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 6 | vs TXSO | W 104-70 | -29.5 | W +4.5 | 161.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 9 | @ OKST | L 63-87 | -2.5 | L −26.5 | 174.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 14 | vs UCF | L 74-86 | -10.5 | L −22.5 | 172.5 | U 160 |
| Nov 18 | vs MONT | W 86-81 | -17.5 | L −12.5 | 164.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 21 | vs MAN | W 109-68 | -23.5 | W +17.5 | 162.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 25 | vs MVSU | W 120-84 | -42.5 | L −6.5 | 154.5 | O 204 |
| Nov 28 | vs FSU | W 95-59 | +1.5 | W +37.5 | 174.5 | U 154 |
| Dec 2 | @ PITT | W 81-73 | -3.5 | W +4.5 | 152.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 7 | vs SMU | L 80-93 | -1.5 | L −14.5 | 164.5 | O 173 |
| Dec 14 | vs JAX | W 112-75 | -26.5 | W +10.5 | 147.5 | O 187 |
| Dec 21 | vs ETAM | W 118-77 | -28.5 | W +12.5 | 166.5 | O 195 |
| Dec 29 | vs PV | W 111-82 | -29.5 | L −0.5 | 177.5 | O 193 |
| Jan 3 | vsLSU | W 75-72 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 168.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 6 | @AUB | W 90-88 | +6.5 | W +8.5 | 168.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 10 | vsOU | W 83-76 | -4.5 | W +2.5 | 165.5 | U 159 |
| Jan 13 | @TENN | L 82-87 | +11.5 | W +6.5 | 159.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 17 | @TEX | W 74-70 | +4.5 | W +8.5 | 166.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 21 | vsMSST | W 88-68 | -8.5 | W +11.5 | 163.5 | U 156 |
| Jan 24 | vsSC | W 92-69 | -10.5 | W +12.5 | 155.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 31 | @UGA | W 92-77 | +4.5 | W +19.5 | 173.5 | U 169 |
| Feb 4 | @ALA | L 97-100 | +8.5 | W +5.5 | 180.5 | O 197 |
| Feb 7 | vsFLA | L 67-86 | +5.5 | L −13.5 | 167.5 | U 153 |
| Feb 11 | vsMIZ | L 85-86 | -7.5 | L −8.5 | 160.5 | O 171 |
| Feb 14 | @VAN | L 69-82 | +7.5 | L −5.5 | 165.5 | U 151 |
| Feb 18 | vsMISS | W 80-77 | -9.5 | L −6.5 | 157.5 | U 157 |
| Feb 21 | @OU | W 75-71 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 165.5 | U 146 |
| Feb 25 | @ ARK | L 84-99 | +7.5 | L −7.5 | 170.5 | O 183 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsNWST
NWSTW 98-68
+8.5
6
vsTXSO
TXSOW 104-70
+4.5
9
@OKST
OKSTL 63-87
−26.5
14
vsUCF
UCFL 74-86
−22.5
18
vsMONT
MONTW 86-81
−12.5
21
vsMAN
MANW 109-68
+17.5
25
vsMVSU
MVSUW 120-84
−6.5
28
vsFSU
FSUW 95-59
+37.5
2
@PITT
PITTW 81-73
+4.5
7
vsSMU
SMUL 80-93
−14.5
14
vsJAX
JAXW 112-75
+10.5
21
vsETAM
ETAMW 118-77
+12.5
29
vsPV
PVW 111-82
−0.5
3
vsLSU
LSUW 75-72
−2.5
6
@AUB
AUBW 90-88
+8.5
10
vsOU
OUW 83-76
+2.5
13
@TENN
TENNL 82-87
+6.5
17
@TEX
TEXW 74-70
+8.5
21
vsMSST
MSSTW 88-68
+11.5
24
vsSC
SCW 92-69
+12.5
31
@UGA
UGAW 92-77
+19.5
4
@ALA
ALAL 97-100
+5.5
7
vsFLA
FLAL 67-86
−13.5
11
vsMIZ
MIZL 85-86
−8.5
14
@VAN
VANL 69-82
−5.5
18
vsMISS
MISSW 80-77
−6.5
21
@OU
OUW 75-71
+2.5
25
@ARK
ARKL 84-99
−7.5
covered 16didn’t cover 12avg +1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsNWST
NWSTW 98-68
+12.5
6
vsTXSO
TXSOW 104-70
+12.5
9
@OKST
OKSTL 63-87
−24.5
14
vsUCF
UCFL 74-86
−12.5
18
vsMONT
MONTW 86-81
+2.5
21
vsMAN
MANW 109-68
+14.5
25
vsMVSU
MVSUW 120-84
+49.5
28
vsFSU
FSUW 95-59
−20.5
2
@PITT
PITTW 81-73
+1.5
7
vsSMU
SMUL 80-93
+8.5
14
vsJAX
JAXW 112-75
+39.5
21
vsETAM
ETAMW 118-77
+28.5
29
vsPV
PVW 111-82
+15.5
3
vsLSU
LSUW 75-72
−21.5
6
@AUB
AUBW 90-88
+9.5
10
vsOU
OUW 83-76
−6.5
13
@TENN
TENNL 82-87
+9.5
17
@TEX
TEXW 74-70
−22.5
21
vsMSST
MSSTW 88-68
−7.5
24
vsSC
SCW 92-69
+5.5
31
@UGA
UGAW 92-77
−4.5
4
@ALA
ALAL 97-100
+16.5
7
vsFLA
FLAL 67-86
−14.5
11
vsMIZ
MIZL 85-86
+10.5
14
@VAN
VANL 69-82
−14.5
18
vsMISS
MISSW 80-77
−0.5
21
@OU
OUW 75-71
−19.5
25
@ARK
ARKL 84-99
+12.5
over 16under 12avg +2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Texas
16-11 overall · 8-7 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Florida71–84
- L@ Georgia80–91
- Wvs LSU88–85
- W@ Missouri85–68
- Wvs Ole Miss79–68
3 days since their last game.
Texas A&M
19-9 overall · 9-6 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Arkansas84–99
- W@ Oklahoma75–71
- Wvs Ole Miss80–77
- L@ Vanderbilt69–82
- Lvs Missouri85–86
3 days since their last game.