Swisher Gymnasium · at Jacksonville · Conference game
Closing line
JAX -7.5✓ STET covered by 3.5
JAX -7.5✓ STET covered by 3.5Closing total138.5Over by 35.5
 STET | This season | JAX |
|---|---|---|
| 8-19 | Record | 8-19 |
| 14-13 | ATS | 11-16 |
| 12-15 | O/U | 10-17 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: STET 67–74 JAX · ✓ JAX (73%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| STET | 34 | 51 | 85 |
| JAX | 42 | 47 | 89 |
1st half: STET 34, JAX 42 (JAX by 8). The model had JAX by 4.1 and a total of 65.9 (actual 76).
Team stats
| STET | JAX | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-53 57% | Field goals | 27-61 44% |
| 7-18 39% | 3-pointers | 5-12 42% |
| 18-27 67% | Free throws | 30-31 97% |
| 24 7 off | Rebounds | 37 14 off |
| 16 | Assists | 12 |
| 2 | Steals | 7 |
| 3 | Blocks | 1 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 6 |
| 21 | Fouls | 22 |
| 44 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 12 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| STET | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Johnson G | 39 | 17 | 1 | 3 | 5-10 | 3-7 |
| Ethan Copeland G | 36 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4-10 | 3-7 |
| Collin Kuhl F | 34 | 31 | 5 | 1 | 12-16 | 0-0 |
| Finley Sheridan F | 32 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 5-6 | 1-2 |
| Calvin Sirmans III G | 30 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 3-6 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Daniel Macgregor G | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Alex Doyle F | 9 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Matar Diop F | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Janusz Ratowski F | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Sean Morgan, J.R. Leonard, Miller McGowan, Isaac Jones, Jamie Phillips Jr., Ben Gladieux
| JAX | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Thirdkill Jr. F | 37 | 12 | 11 | 0 | 3-10 | 0-2 |
| Hayden Wood G | 35 | 25 | 3 | 2 | 6-15 | 1-3 |
| Chris Lockett Jr. G | 29 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 3-10 | 1-2 |
| Jaylen Jones G | 27 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 4-6 | 1-1 |
| Donovan Rivers F | 14 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 4-7 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Evan Sterck G | 18 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Jaylen Jordon F | 14 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Charles Caporaso C | 12 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Chris Arias G | 11 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Enrico Borio F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Roman Loux, Allen Udemadu, Tito Deng, Michael Harper Jr., Simon Wheeler, Lamont Jackson, Anakin Brown
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketJAX -7.5
ModelJAX -7.1
Model edgeSTET +0.4
W STET covered
Total
Market138.5
Model140.6
Model edgeOver 2.1
W Over
Projected score
STET 66.8 · JAX 73.9
STET 85 · JAX 89
Win probability
JAX 73%
1st half
Spread
JAX -4.1
JAX -8.0
Total
65.9
76 points
Projected score
STET 30.9 · JAX 35
STET 34 · JAX 42
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenJAX -6.5
1 → JAX
CloseJAX -7.5
1 pt toward JAX
Total
Open139.5
▼ 1
Close138.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
STET +245 · JAX -305
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened JAX -6.5 · closed JAX -7.5 · moved 1 toward JAXmodel JAX -7
model JAX -7
Opened 139.5 · closed 138.5 · moved 1 downmodel 140.5
model 140.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| STET | 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% |
| JAX | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
STET 6–4 JAXSTET leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · STET 6-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2025-26 | JAX 62 @ STET 67 | STET +2.5 | STET W |
| Feb 26, 2024-25 | STET 72 @ JAX 79 | JAX -13.5 | STET W |
| Feb 6, 2024-25 | JAX 74 @ STET 65 | STET +8.5 | JAX W |
| Mar 7, 2023-24 | JAX 87 @ STET 88 | STET -5.5 | JAX W |
| Feb 28, 2023-24 | STET 86 @ JAX 73 | JAX -0.5 | STET W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Stetson
27 games played
Straight up
8-19
30% wins
Against the spread
14-13
52% covers · avg +0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-15
44% overs · avg +1.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ URI | L 62-93 | +18.5 | L −12.5 | 152.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 10 | @ MIA | L 61-102 | +34.5 | L −6.5 | 161.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 16 | @ WCU | L 65-76 | +12.5 | W +1.5 | 155.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 19 | vs HOW | W 64-60 | +1.5 | W +5.5 | 149.5 | U 124 |
| Nov 22 | vs VMI | W 99-80 | +2.5 | W +21.5 | 148.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 25 | vs WRST | L 62-79 | +9.5 | L −7.5 | 147.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 29 | vs SUU | L 68-70 | +1.5 | L −0.5 | 148.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 30 | @ RMU | L 62-80 | +11.5 | L −6.5 | 142.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 2 | @ GCU | L 45-67 | +24.5 | W +2.5 | 141.5 | U 112 |
| Dec 6 | @ SC | L 51-82 | +22.5 | L −8.5 | 142.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 22 | @ OU | L 54-107 | +31.5 | L −21.5 | 148.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 1 | @ UNA | W 70-67 | +9.5 | W +12.5 | 142.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 3 | @ CARK | L 73-93 | +11.5 | L −8.5 | 147.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 8 | vs LIP | W 91-83 | +11.5 | W +19.5 | 150.5 | O 174 |
| Jan 10 | vs APSU | L 69-81 | +9.5 | L −2.5 | 150.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 15 | vs WGA | W 95-86 | +1.5 | W +10.5 | 151.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 17 | vs QUC | L 81-87 | +10.5 | W +4.5 | 162.5 | O 168 |
| Jan 22 | @LIP | L 74-79 | +15.5 | W +10.5 | 157.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 23 | @APSU | L 65-73 | +16.5 | W +8.5 | 148.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 29 | @ UNF | W 84-77 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 165.5 | U 161 |
| Jan 31 | vsUNA | L 66-68 | -1.5 | L −3.5 | 144.5 | U 134 |
| Feb 5 | @ BELL | L 71-92 | +4.5 | L −16.5 | 148.5 | O 163 |
| Feb 7 | @ EKU | L 88-100 | +9.5 | L −2.5 | 151.5 | O 188 |
| Feb 11 | vsJAX | W 67-62 | +2.5 | W +7.5 | 138.5 | U 129 |
| Feb 14 | @ FGCU | L 76-78 | +11.5 | W +9.5 | 148.5 | O 154 |
| Feb 19 | vsCARK | L 76-88 | +9.5 | L −2.5 | 149.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 21 | vsUNF | W 76-71 | -1.5 | W +3.5 | 161.5 | U 147 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@URI
URIL 62-93
−12.5
10
@MIA
MIAL 61-102
−6.5
16
@WCU
WCUL 65-76
+1.5
19
vsHOW
HOWW 64-60
+5.5
22
vsVMI
VMIW 99-80
+21.5
25
vsWRST
WRSTL 62-79
−7.5
29
vsSUU
SUUL 68-70
−0.5
30
@RMU
RMUL 62-80
−6.5
2
@GCU
GCUL 45-67
+2.5
6
@SC
SCL 51-82
−8.5
22
@OU
OUL 54-107
−21.5
1
@UNA
UNAW 70-67
+12.5
3
@CARK
CARKL 73-93
−8.5
8
vsLIP
LIPW 91-83
+19.5
10
vsAPSU
APSUL 69-81
−2.5
15
vsWGA
WGAW 95-86
+10.5
17
vsQUC
QUCL 81-87
+4.5
22
@LIP
LIPL 74-79
+10.5
23
@APSU
APSUL 65-73
+8.5
29
@UNF
UNFW 84-77
+5.5
31
vsUNA
UNAL 66-68
−3.5
5
@BELL
BELLL 71-92
−16.5
7
@EKU
EKUL 88-100
−2.5
11
vsJAX
JAXW 67-62
+7.5
14
@FGCU
FGCUL 76-78
+9.5
19
vsCARK
CARKL 76-88
−2.5
21
vsUNF
UNFW 76-71
+3.5
covered 14didn’t cover 13avg +0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@URI
URIL 62-93
+2.5
10
@MIA
MIAL 61-102
+1.5
16
@WCU
WCUL 65-76
−14.5
19
vsHOW
HOWW 64-60
−25.5
22
vsVMI
VMIW 99-80
+30.5
25
vsWRST
WRSTL 62-79
−6.5
29
vsSUU
SUUL 68-70
−10.5
30
@RMU
RMUL 62-80
−0.5
2
@GCU
GCUL 45-67
−29.5
6
@SC
SCL 51-82
−9.5
22
@OU
OUL 54-107
+12.5
1
@UNA
UNAW 70-67
−5.5
3
@CARK
CARKL 73-93
+18.5
8
vsLIP
LIPW 91-83
+23.5
10
vsAPSU
APSUL 69-81
−0.5
15
vsWGA
WGAW 95-86
+29.5
17
vsQUC
QUCL 81-87
+5.5
22
@LIP
LIPL 74-79
−4.5
23
@APSU
APSUL 65-73
−10.5
29
@UNF
UNFW 84-77
−4.5
31
vsUNA
UNAL 66-68
−10.5
5
@BELL
BELLL 71-92
+14.5
7
@EKU
EKUL 88-100
+36.5
11
vsJAX
JAXW 67-62
−9.5
14
@FGCU
FGCUL 76-78
+5.5
19
vsCARK
CARKL 76-88
+14.5
21
vsUNF
UNFW 76-71
−14.5
over 12under 15avg +1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Jacksonville
27 games played
Straight up
8-19
30% wins
Against the spread
11-16
41% covers · avg −2.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-17
37% overs · avg −0.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @MIA | L 69-86 | +18.5 | W +1.5 | 142.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 11 | @ HPU | L 64-85 | +17.5 | L −3.5 | 156.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 15 | @VMI | W 69-67 | -1.5 | W +0.5 | 151.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 18 | @ GMU | L 57-79 | +16.5 | L −5.5 | 136.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 24 | vs BCU | W 69-64 | +3.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 25 | vs PAC | L 53-68 | +2.5 | L −12.5 | 135.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 2 | vs FAMU | W 85-82 | -10.5 | L −7.5 | 138.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 6 | @ FIU | L 65-88 | +5.5 | L −17.5 | 145.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 14 | @ TA&M | L 75-112 | +26.5 | L −10.5 | 147.5 | O 187 |
| Dec 17 | @FAMU | L 65-72 | -3.5 | L −10.5 | 139.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 22 | @ FSU | L 63-87 | +23.5 | L −0.5 | 159.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 1 | @LIP | L 57-76 | +12.5 | L −6.5 | 147.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 3 | @APSU | L 68-71 | +10.5 | W +7.5 | 140.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 8 | vsQUC | L 51-77 | +4.5 | L −21.5 | 154.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 10 | vsWGA | W 75-43 | -1.5 | W +30.5 | 141.5 | U 118 |
| Jan 15 | @CARK | L 60-62 | +7.5 | W +5.5 | 136.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 17 | @UNA | W 90-68 | +1.5 | W +23.5 | 133.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 22 | vsBELL | L 70-77 | -4.5 | L −11.5 | 138.5 | O 147 |
| Jan 24 | vsEKU | W 81-76 | -1.5 | W +3.5 | 142.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 29 | vsLIP | W 70-65 | +3.5 | W +8.5 | 142.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 31 | vsFGCU | L 49-68 | -1.5 | L −20.5 | 136.5 | U 117 |
| Feb 5 | @QUC | L 84-93 | +8.5 | L −0.5 | 146.5 | O 177 |
| Feb 7 | @WGA | L 73-87 | -1.5 | L −15.5 | 138.5 | O 160 |
| Feb 11 | @STET | L 62-67 | -2.5 | L −7.5 | 138.5 | U 129 |
| Feb 14 | vsUNF | W 63-56 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 153.5 | U 119 |
| Feb 18 | @FGCU | L 84-86 | +6.5 | W +4.5 | 136.5 | O 170 |
| Feb 21 | vsAPSU | L 61-65 | +6.5 | W +2.5 | 142.5 | U 126 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@MIA
MIAL 69-86
+1.5
11
@HPU
HPUL 64-85
−3.5
15
@VMI
VMIW 69-67
+0.5
18
@GMU
GMUL 57-79
−5.5
24
vsBCU
BCUW 69-64
+8.5
25
vsPAC
PACL 53-68
−12.5
2
vsFAMU
FAMUW 85-82
−7.5
6
@FIU
FIUL 65-88
−17.5
14
@TA&M
TA&ML 75-112
−10.5
17
@FAMU
FAMUL 65-72
−10.5
22
@FSU
FSUL 63-87
−0.5
1
@LIP
LIPL 57-76
−6.5
3
@APSU
APSUL 68-71
+7.5
8
vsQUC
QUCL 51-77
−21.5
10
vsWGA
WGAW 75-43
+30.5
15
@CARK
CARKL 60-62
+5.5
17
@UNA
UNAW 90-68
+23.5
22
vsBELL
BELLL 70-77
−11.5
24
vsEKU
EKUW 81-76
+3.5
29
vsLIP
LIPW 70-65
+8.5
31
vsFGCU
FGCUL 49-68
−20.5
5
@QUC
QUCL 84-93
−0.5
7
@WGA
WGAL 73-87
−15.5
11
@STET
STETL 62-67
−7.5
14
vsUNF
UNFW 63-56
−0.5
18
@FGCU
FGCUL 84-86
+4.5
21
vsAPSU
APSUL 61-65
+2.5
covered 11didn’t cover 16avg −2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@MIA
MIAL 69-86
+12.5
11
@HPU
HPUL 64-85
−7.5
15
@VMI
VMIW 69-67
−15.5
18
@GMU
GMUL 57-79
−0.5
24
vsBCU
BCUW 69-64
−10.5
25
vsPAC
PACL 53-68
−14.5
2
vsFAMU
FAMUW 85-82
+28.5
6
@FIU
FIUL 65-88
+7.5
14
@TA&M
TA&ML 75-112
+39.5
17
@FAMU
FAMUL 65-72
−2.5
22
@FSU
FSUL 63-87
−9.5
1
@LIP
LIPL 57-76
−14.5
3
@APSU
APSUL 68-71
−1.5
8
vsQUC
QUCL 51-77
−26.5
10
vsWGA
WGAW 75-43
−23.5
15
@CARK
CARKL 60-62
−14.5
17
@UNA
UNAW 90-68
+24.5
22
vsBELL
BELLL 70-77
+8.5
24
vsEKU
EKUW 81-76
+14.5
29
vsLIP
LIPW 70-65
−7.5
31
vsFGCU
FGCUL 49-68
−19.5
5
@QUC
QUCL 84-93
+30.5
7
@WGA
WGAL 73-87
+21.5
11
@STET
STETL 62-67
−9.5
14
vsUNF
UNFW 63-56
−34.5
18
@FGCU
FGCUL 84-86
+33.5
21
vsAPSU
APSUL 61-65
−16.5
over 10under 17avg −0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Stetson
8-19 overall · 6-10 in conference · Atlantic Sun Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs North Florida76–71
- Lvs C Arkansas76–88
- L@ FGCU76–78
- Wvs Jacksonville67–62
- L@ E Kentucky88–100
5 days since their last game.
Jacksonville
8-19 overall · 5-11 in conference · Atlantic Sun Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Austin Peay61–65
- L@ FGCU84–86
- Wvs North Florida63–56
- L@ Stetson62–67
- L@ West Georgia73–87
5 days since their last game.