Insight Credit Union Arena at Edmunds Center · at Stetson · Conference game
Closing line
CARK -9.5✓ CARK covered by 2.5
CARK -9.5✓ CARK covered by 2.5Closing total149.5Over by 14.5
| CARK | This season | STET |
|---|---|---|
| 15-10 | Record | 7-18 |
| 15-10 | ATS | 13-12 |
| 12-13 | O/U | 11-14 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: CARK 79–72 STET · ✓ CARK (75%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CARK | 52 | 36 | 88 |
| STET | 26 | 50 | 76 |
1st half: CARK 52, STET 26 (CARK by 26). The model had CARK by 4.7 and a total of 70.5 (actual 78).
Team stats
| CARK | STET | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-61 49% | Field goals | 27-51 53% |
| 13-33 39% | 3-pointers | 15-29 52% |
| 15-20 75% | Free throws | 7-8 88% |
| 33 14 off | Rebounds | 26 5 off |
| 22 | Assists | 20 |
| 12 | Steals | 5 |
| 1 | Blocks | 2 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 16 |
| 13 | Fouls | 16 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 18 |
| 15 | Fast-break points | 20 |
Players
| CARK | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Moore G | 35 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 4-11 | 2-5 |
| Camren Hunter G | 32 | 30 | 5 | 6 | 9-16 | 6-12 |
| Ty Robinson G | 29 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4-9 | 3-6 |
| Javion Guy-King G | 26 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 4-6 | 0-2 |
| Malchiah Marable F | 21 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Cole McCormick G | 20 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 4-11 | 0-5 |
| Truman Byrne F | 17 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Harry Beauchamp G | 13 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Parker Applegate G | 6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3-3 | 2-2 |
| Tyler Lee G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: R.J. Newton, Rashad Bolden, Rylie Marshall, Chris Mason, J.C. Shulman, Ethan Thomas, Owen Dehrmann
| STET | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Copeland G | 38 | 27 | 6 | 3 | 9-18 | 7-11 |
| Finley Sheridan F | 34 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 5-6 | 3-4 |
| Matar Diop F | 27 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Alex Doyle F | 19 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-6 | 1-6 |
| Daniel Macgregor G | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Calvin Sirmans III G | 30 | 11 | 1 | 11 | 4-8 | 2-3 |
| Jake Johnson G | 25 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 3-6 | 2-5 |
| Janusz Ratowski F | 11 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| J.R. Leonard G | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Sean Morgan, Miller McGowan, Collin Kuhl, Ben Gladieux, Isaac Jones, Jamie Phillips Jr.
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketCARK -9.5
ModelCARK -7.7
Model edgeSTET +1.8
L CARK covered
Total
Market149.5
Model150.7
Model edgeOver 1.2
W Over
Projected score
CARK 79.2 · STET 71.5
CARK 88 · STET 76
Win probability
CARK 75%
1st half
Spread
CARK -4.7
CARK -26.0
Total
70.5
78 points
Projected score
CARK 37.6 · STET 32.9
CARK 52 · STET 26
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenCARK -8.5
1 → CARK
CloseCARK -9.5
1 pt toward CARK
Total
Open148.5
▲ 1
Close149.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
CARK -485 · STET +370
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened CARK -8.5 · closed CARK -9.5 · moved 1 toward CARKmodel CARK -7.5
model CARK -7.5
Opened 148.5 · closed 149.5 · moved 1 upmodel 150.5
model 150.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CARK | 10-0 100% | 8-2 80% | 5-5 50% |
| STET | 3-7 30% | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
CARK 4–3 STETCARK leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · CARK has won the last 2 meetings · CARK 4-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2025-26 | STET 73 @ CARK 93 | CARK -11.5 | CARK W |
| Mar 2, 2024-25 | CARK 77 vs STET 72 | STET -1.5 | CARK W |
| Jan 9, 2024-25 | CARK 65 @ STET 75 | STET -1.5 | STET W |
| Feb 3, 2023-24 | STET 73 @ CARK 62 | CARK +4.5 | STET W |
| Feb 4, 2022-23 | CARK 80 @ STET 99 | STET -9.5 | STET W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
C Arkansas
25 games played
Straight up
15-10
60% wins
Against the spread
15-10
60% covers · avg +6.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-13
48% overs · avg +2.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ UNC | L 54-94 | +31.5 | L −8.5 | 157.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 11 | @ ARK | L 56-93 | +35.5 | L −1.5 | 158.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 16 | vs SAM | L 77-84 | +6.5 | L −0.5 | 151.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 20 | @ UNT | L 56-74 | +16.5 | L −1.5 | 134.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 23 | vs EWU | W 92-65 | +4.5 | W +31.5 | 154.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 25 | vs EIU | W 81-60 | -5.5 | W +15.5 | 139.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 29 | @ ETSU | L 57-80 | +12.5 | L −10.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 3 | vs LR | W 85-47 | -3.5 | W +34.5 | 138.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 7 | @ ETAM | L 68-75 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 145.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 13 | @ VAN | L 72-83 | +36.5 | W +25.5 | 158.5 | U 155 |
| Dec 21 | @ SMU | L 82-99 | +24.5 | W +7.5 | 156.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 1 | vs FGCU | W 85-83 | +2.5 | W +4.5 | 156.5 | O 168 |
| Jan 3 | vsSTET | W 93-73 | -11.5 | W +8.5 | 147.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 8 | @ BELL | L 78-84 | -2.5 | L −8.5 | 154.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 10 | @ EKU | L 75-79 | -1.5 | L −5.5 | 156.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 15 | vs JAX | W 62-60 | -7.5 | L −5.5 | 136.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 17 | vs UNF | W 98-69 | -12.5 | W +16.5 | 164.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 22 | @ WGA | W 86-65 | -3.5 | W +17.5 | 154.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 28 | @ QUC | W 100-90 | +5.5 | W +15.5 | 158.5 | O 190 |
| Jan 31 | vsEKU | W 90-81 | -4.5 | W +4.5 | 151.5 | O 171 |
| Feb 4 | vs UNA | W 81-60 | -10.5 | W +10.5 | 147.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 7 | @ LIP | W 86-78 | +3.5 | W +11.5 | 155.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 9 | @UNA | W 72-65 | -6.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 11 | vsBELL | W 84-76 | -8.5 | L −0.5 | 150.5 | O 160 |
| Feb 14 | vsWGA | W 79-62 | -10.5 | W +6.5 | 150.5 | U 141 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@UNC
UNCL 54-94
−8.5
11
@ARK
ARKL 56-93
−1.5
16
vsSAM
SAML 77-84
−0.5
20
@UNT
UNTL 56-74
−1.5
23
vsEWU
EWUW 92-65
+31.5
25
vsEIU
EIUW 81-60
+15.5
29
@ETSU
ETSUL 57-80
−10.5
3
vsLR
LRW 85-47
+34.5
7
@ETAM
ETAML 68-75
−4.5
13
@VAN
VANL 72-83
+25.5
21
@SMU
SMUL 82-99
+7.5
1
vsFGCU
FGCUW 85-83
+4.5
3
vsSTET
STETW 93-73
+8.5
8
@BELL
BELLL 78-84
−8.5
10
@EKU
EKUL 75-79
−5.5
15
vsJAX
JAXW 62-60
−5.5
17
vsUNF
UNFW 98-69
+16.5
22
@WGA
WGAW 86-65
+17.5
28
@QUC
QUCW 100-90
+15.5
31
vsEKU
EKUW 90-81
+4.5
4
vsUNA
UNAW 81-60
+10.5
7
@LIP
LIPW 86-78
+11.5
9
@UNA
UNAW 72-65
+0.5
11
vsBELL
BELLW 84-76
−0.5
14
vsWGA
WGAW 79-62
+6.5
covered 15didn’t cover 10avg +6.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@UNC
UNCL 54-94
−9.5
11
@ARK
ARKL 56-93
−9.5
16
vsSAM
SAML 77-84
+9.5
20
@UNT
UNTL 56-74
−4.5
23
vsEWU
EWUW 92-65
+2.5
25
vsEIU
EIUW 81-60
+1.5
29
@ETSU
ETSUL 57-80
−7.5
3
vsLR
LRW 85-47
−6.5
7
@ETAM
ETAML 68-75
−2.5
13
@VAN
VANL 72-83
−3.5
21
@SMU
SMUL 82-99
+24.5
1
vsFGCU
FGCUW 85-83
+11.5
3
vsSTET
STETW 93-73
+18.5
8
@BELL
BELLL 78-84
+7.5
10
@EKU
EKUL 75-79
−2.5
15
vsJAX
JAXW 62-60
−14.5
17
vsUNF
UNFW 98-69
+2.5
22
@WGA
WGAW 86-65
−3.5
28
@QUC
QUCW 100-90
+31.5
31
vsEKU
EKUW 90-81
+19.5
4
vsUNA
UNAW 81-60
−6.5
7
@LIP
LIPW 86-78
+8.5
9
@UNA
UNAW 72-65
−8.5
11
vsBELL
BELLW 84-76
+9.5
14
vsWGA
WGAW 79-62
−9.5
over 12under 13avg +2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Stetson
25 games played
Straight up
7-18
28% wins
Against the spread
13-12
52% covers · avg +0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-14
44% overs · avg +1.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ URI | L 62-93 | +18.5 | L −12.5 | 152.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 10 | @ MIA | L 61-102 | +34.5 | L −6.5 | 161.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 16 | @ WCU | L 65-76 | +12.5 | W +1.5 | 155.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 19 | vs HOW | W 64-60 | +1.5 | W +5.5 | 149.5 | U 124 |
| Nov 22 | vs VMI | W 99-80 | +2.5 | W +21.5 | 148.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 25 | vs WRST | L 62-79 | +9.5 | L −7.5 | 147.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 29 | vs SUU | L 68-70 | +1.5 | L −0.5 | 148.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 30 | @ RMU | L 62-80 | +11.5 | L −6.5 | 142.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 2 | @ GCU | L 45-67 | +24.5 | W +2.5 | 141.5 | U 112 |
| Dec 6 | @ SC | L 51-82 | +22.5 | L −8.5 | 142.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 22 | @ OU | L 54-107 | +31.5 | L −21.5 | 148.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 1 | @UNA | W 70-67 | +9.5 | W +12.5 | 142.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 3 | @CARK | L 73-93 | +11.5 | L −8.5 | 147.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 8 | vsLIP | W 91-83 | +11.5 | W +19.5 | 150.5 | O 174 |
| Jan 10 | vs APSU | L 69-81 | +9.5 | L −2.5 | 150.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 15 | vsWGA | W 95-86 | +1.5 | W +10.5 | 151.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 17 | vsQUC | L 81-87 | +10.5 | W +4.5 | 162.5 | O 168 |
| Jan 22 | @LIP | L 74-79 | +15.5 | W +10.5 | 157.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 23 | @APSU | L 65-73 | +16.5 | W +8.5 | 148.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 29 | @UNF | W 84-77 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 165.5 | U 161 |
| Jan 31 | vsUNA | L 66-68 | -1.5 | L −3.5 | 144.5 | U 134 |
| Feb 5 | @BELL | L 71-92 | +4.5 | L −16.5 | 148.5 | O 163 |
| Feb 7 | @EKU | L 88-100 | +9.5 | L −2.5 | 151.5 | O 188 |
| Feb 11 | vsJAX | W 67-62 | +2.5 | W +7.5 | 138.5 | U 129 |
| Feb 14 | @FGCU | L 76-78 | +11.5 | W +9.5 | 148.5 | O 154 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@URI
URIL 62-93
−12.5
10
@MIA
MIAL 61-102
−6.5
16
@WCU
WCUL 65-76
+1.5
19
vsHOW
HOWW 64-60
+5.5
22
vsVMI
VMIW 99-80
+21.5
25
vsWRST
WRSTL 62-79
−7.5
29
vsSUU
SUUL 68-70
−0.5
30
@RMU
RMUL 62-80
−6.5
2
@GCU
GCUL 45-67
+2.5
6
@SC
SCL 51-82
−8.5
22
@OU
OUL 54-107
−21.5
1
@UNA
UNAW 70-67
+12.5
3
@CARK
CARKL 73-93
−8.5
8
vsLIP
LIPW 91-83
+19.5
10
vsAPSU
APSUL 69-81
−2.5
15
vsWGA
WGAW 95-86
+10.5
17
vsQUC
QUCL 81-87
+4.5
22
@LIP
LIPL 74-79
+10.5
23
@APSU
APSUL 65-73
+8.5
29
@UNF
UNFW 84-77
+5.5
31
vsUNA
UNAL 66-68
−3.5
5
@BELL
BELLL 71-92
−16.5
7
@EKU
EKUL 88-100
−2.5
11
vsJAX
JAXW 67-62
+7.5
14
@FGCU
FGCUL 76-78
+9.5
covered 13didn’t cover 12avg +0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@URI
URIL 62-93
+2.5
10
@MIA
MIAL 61-102
+1.5
16
@WCU
WCUL 65-76
−14.5
19
vsHOW
HOWW 64-60
−25.5
22
vsVMI
VMIW 99-80
+30.5
25
vsWRST
WRSTL 62-79
−6.5
29
vsSUU
SUUL 68-70
−10.5
30
@RMU
RMUL 62-80
−0.5
2
@GCU
GCUL 45-67
−29.5
6
@SC
SCL 51-82
−9.5
22
@OU
OUL 54-107
+12.5
1
@UNA
UNAW 70-67
−5.5
3
@CARK
CARKL 73-93
+18.5
8
vsLIP
LIPW 91-83
+23.5
10
vsAPSU
APSUL 69-81
−0.5
15
vsWGA
WGAW 95-86
+29.5
17
vsQUC
QUCL 81-87
+5.5
22
@LIP
LIPL 74-79
−4.5
23
@APSU
APSUL 65-73
−10.5
29
@UNF
UNFW 84-77
−4.5
31
vsUNA
UNAL 66-68
−10.5
5
@BELL
BELLL 71-92
+14.5
7
@EKU
EKUL 88-100
+36.5
11
vsJAX
JAXW 67-62
−9.5
14
@FGCU
FGCUL 76-78
+5.5
over 11under 14avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
C Arkansas
15-10 overall · 12-2 in conference · United Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs West Georgia79–62
- Wvs Bellarmine84–76
- W@ North Alabama72–65
- W@ Lipscomb86–78
- Wvs North Alabama81–60
5 days since their last game.
Stetson
7-18 overall · 5-9 in conference · Atlantic Sun Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ FGCU76–78
- Wvs Jacksonville67–62
- L@ E Kentucky88–100
- L@ Bellarmine71–92
- Lvs North Alabama66–68
5 days since their last game.