Curry Arena · at Queens University Royals · Conference game
Closing line
QUC -8.5✓ QUC covered by 0.5
Closing total146.5Over by 30.5
| This season | QUC | |
|---|---|---|
| 7-14 | Record | 11-11 |
| 9-12 | ATS | 9-13 |
| 7-14 | O/U | 13-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: JAX 72–79 QUC · ✓ QUC (73%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| JAX | 31 | 53 | 84 |
| QUC | 44 | 49 | 93 |
1st half: JAX 31, QUC 44 (QUC by 13). The model had QUC by 4.2 and a total of 70.8 (actual 75).
Team stats
| JAX | QUC | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-51 51% | Field goals | 33-61 54% |
| 7-16 44% | 3-pointers | 8-17 47% |
| 25-29 86% | Free throws | 19-26 73% |
| 30 6 off | Rebounds | 27 8 off |
| 8 | Assists | 11 |
| 5 | Steals | 8 |
| 1 | Blocks | 2 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 5 |
| 23 | Fouls | 24 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 46 |
| 15 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| JAX | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Jones G | 31 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 5-8 | 1-1 |
| Jason Thirdkill Jr. F | 31 | 10 | 8 | 0 | 3-4 | 2-3 |
| Donovan Rivers F | 27 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Hayden Wood G | 25 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 3-9 | 2-5 |
| Evan Sterck G | 19 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Chris Lockett Jr. G | 25 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 2-8 | 0-2 |
| Chris Arias G | 22 | 18 | 7 | 0 | 7-10 | 1-3 |
| Allen Udemadu F | 15 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Jaylen Jordon F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Charles Caporaso C | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Michael Harper Jr., Roman Loux, Enrico Borio, Simon Wheeler, Lamont Jackson, Anakin Brown, Tito Deng
| QUC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nasir Mann G | 34 | 15 | 3 | 4 | 5-11 | 1-2 |
| Chris Ashby G | 27 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2-6 | 2-5 |
| Yoav Berman F | 27 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 6-8 | 1-2 |
| Avantae Parker F | 25 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6-10 | 0-0 |
| Carson Schwieger F | 24 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3-6 | 2-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Maban Jabriel G | 24 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 5-9 | 2-3 |
| Jordan Watford G | 18 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Isaiah Henry G | 12 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Gus Larson F | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Matthew Walter, Seamus Wilson, Saif-Allah Zatari, Tyler Crider, Jimma James, Kam Clark, Reid Celestin, Danzelle Bullock Coles, Colby Christiansen, Jacob Brandly
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenQUC -8.5
no move
CloseQUC -8.5
No change since the open
Total
Open146.5
no move
Close146.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
—
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened QUC -8.5 · unchangedmodel QUC -7
model QUC -7
Opened 146.5 · unchangedmodel 151.5
model 151.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | QUC -8.5 | QUC -7.2 | JAX +1.3 | L QUC covered |
| Total | 146.5 | 151.4 | Over 4.9 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | JAX 72.1 · QUC 79.3 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | QUC -4.2 | QUC -13.0 |
| 1H total | 70.8 | 75 |
| 1H projected score | JAX 33.3 · QUC 37.5 | JAX 31 · QUC 44 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% | |
| 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
JAX 3–2 QUCJAX leads · 5 games since 2021-22 · JAX 2-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2025-26 | QUC 77 @ JAX 51 | JAX +4.5 | QUC W |
| Jan 25, 2024-25 | JAX 87 @ QUC 77 | QUC -0.5 | JAX W |
| Feb 16, 2023-24 | JAX 65 @ QUC 74 | QUC -2.5 | QUC W |
| Jan 18, 2023-24 | QUC 77 @ JAX 79 | JAX -2.5 | QUC W |
| Jan 21, 2022-23 | QUC 70 @ JAX 77 | JAX -3.5 | JAX W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Jacksonville
21 games played
Straight up
7-14
33% wins
Against the spread
9-12
43% covers · avg −1.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-14
33% overs · avg −1.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ | L 69-86 | +18.5 | W +1.5 | 142.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 11 | @ | L 64-85 | +17.5 | L −3.5 | 156.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 15 | @ | W 69-67 | -1.5 | W +0.5 | 151.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 18 | @ | L 57-79 | +16.5 | L −5.5 | 136.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 24 | vs | W 69-64 | +3.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 25 | vs | L 53-68 | +2.5 | L −12.5 | 135.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 2 | vs | W 85-82 | -10.5 | L −7.5 | 138.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 6 | @ | L 65-88 | +5.5 | L −17.5 | 145.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 14 | @ | L 75-112 | +26.5 | L −10.5 | 147.5 | O 187 |
| Dec 17 | @ | L 65-72 | -3.5 | L −10.5 | 139.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 22 | @ | L 63-87 | +23.5 | L −0.5 | 159.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 1 | @ | L 57-76 | +12.5 | L −6.5 | 147.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 3 | @ | L 68-71 | +10.5 | W +7.5 | 140.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 8 | vs | L 51-77 | +4.5 | L −21.5 | 154.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 10 | vs | W 75-43 | -1.5 | W +30.5 | 141.5 | U 118 |
| Jan 15 | @ | L 60-62 | +7.5 | W +5.5 | 136.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 17 | @ | W 90-68 | +1.5 | W +23.5 | 133.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 22 | vs | L 70-77 | -4.5 | L −11.5 | 138.5 | O 147 |
| Jan 24 | vs | W 81-76 | -1.5 | W +3.5 | 142.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 29 | vs | W 70-65 | +3.5 | W +8.5 | 142.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 31 | vs | L 49-68 | -1.5 | L −20.5 | 136.5 | U 117 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
MIA
L 69-86
+1.5
11
@
HPU
L 64-85
−3.5
15
@
VMI
W 69-67
+0.5
18
@
GMU
L 57-79
−5.5
24
vs
BCU
W 69-64
+8.5
25
vs
PAC
L 53-68
−12.5
2
vs
FAMU
W 85-82
−7.5
6
@
FIU
L 65-88
−17.5
14
@
TA&M
L 75-112
−10.5
17
@
FAMU
L 65-72
−10.5
22
@
FSU
L 63-87
−0.5
1
@
LIP
L 57-76
−6.5
3
@
APSU
L 68-71
+7.5
8
vs
QUC
L 51-77
−21.5
10
vs
WGA
W 75-43
+30.5
15
@
CARK
L 60-62
+5.5
17
@
UNA
W 90-68
+23.5
22
vs
BELL
L 70-77
−11.5
24
vs
EKU
W 81-76
+3.5
29
vs
LIP
W 70-65
+8.5
31
vs
FGCU
L 49-68
−20.5
covered 9didn’t cover 12avg −1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@
MIA
L 69-86
+12.5
11
@
HPU
L 64-85
−7.5
15
@
VMI
W 69-67
−15.5
18
@
GMU
L 57-79
−0.5
24
vs
BCU
W 69-64
−10.5
25
vs
PAC
L 53-68
−14.5
2
vs
FAMU
W 85-82
+28.5
6
@
FIU
L 65-88
+7.5
14
@
TA&M
L 75-112
+39.5
17
@
FAMU
L 65-72
−2.5
22
@
FSU
L 63-87
−9.5
1
@
LIP
L 57-76
−14.5
3
@
APSU
L 68-71
−1.5
8
vs
QUC
L 51-77
−26.5
10
vs
WGA
W 75-43
−23.5
15
@
CARK
L 60-62
−14.5
17
@
UNA
W 90-68
+24.5
22
vs
BELL
L 70-77
+8.5
24
vs
EKU
W 81-76
+14.5
29
vs
LIP
W 70-65
−7.5
31
vs
FGCU
L 49-68
−19.5
over 7under 14avg −1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Queens University Royals
22 games played
Straight up
11-11
50% wins
Against the spread
9-13
41% covers · avg +0.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-9
59% overs · avg +5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs | L 74-81 | +3.5 | L −3.5 | 163.5 | U 155 |
| Nov 8 | @ | L 74-94 | +17.5 | L −2.5 | 150.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 11 | @ | L 81-87 | +12.5 | W +6.5 | 162.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 15 | vs | W 81-64 | -5.5 | W +11.5 | 165.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 20 | vs | W 101-94 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 150.5 | O 195 |
| Nov 23 | @ | L 79-90 | +8.5 | L −2.5 | 153.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 28 | @ | L 69-94 | +25.5 | W +0.5 | 160.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 3 | vs | W 107-74 | -14.5 | W +18.5 | 161.5 | O 181 |
| Dec 12 | vs | W 102-78 | -18.5 | W +5.5 | 157.5 | O 180 |
| Dec 14 | @ | L 73-111 | +18.5 | L −19.5 | 165.5 | O 184 |
| Dec 16 | @ | L 80-108 | +23.5 | L −4.5 | 169.5 | O 188 |
| Dec 29 | @ | L 65-106 | +25.5 | L −15.5 | 171.5 | U 171 |
| Jan 1 | vs | W 91-89 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 164.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 3 | vs | W 98-76 | -7.5 | W +14.5 | 169.5 | O 174 |
| Jan 8 | @ | W 77-51 | -4.5 | W +21.5 | 154.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 10 | @ | W 89-82 | -11.5 | L −4.5 | 173.5 | U 171 |
| Jan 15 | @ | W 85-74 | +1.5 | W +12.5 | 166.5 | U 159 |
| Jan 17 | @ | W 87-81 | -10.5 | L −4.5 | 162.5 | O 168 |
| Jan 21 | vs | W 87-62 | -12.5 | W +12.5 | 162.5 | U 149 |
| Jan 24 | @ | L 66-74 | -7.5 | L −15.5 | 162.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 28 | vs | L 90-100 | -5.5 | L −15.5 | 158.5 | O 190 |
| Jan 31 | @ | L 75-78 | -5.5 | L −8.5 | 163.5 | U 153 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
WIN
L 74-81
−3.5
8
@
VILL
L 74-94
−2.5
11
@
DUQ
L 81-87
+6.5
15
vs
SHU
W 81-64
+11.5
20
vs
UNCG
W 101-94
−0.5
23
@
FUR
L 79-90
−2.5
28
@
UVA
L 69-94
+0.5
3
vs
GWEB
W 107-74
+18.5
12
vs
SCST
W 102-78
+5.5
14
@
WAKE
L 73-111
−19.5
16
@
ARK
L 80-108
−4.5
29
@
AUB
L 65-106
−15.5
1
vs
EKU
W 91-89
−2.5
3
vs
BELL
W 98-76
+14.5
8
@
JAX
W 77-51
+21.5
10
@
UNF
W 89-82
−4.5
15
@
FGCU
W 85-74
+12.5
17
@
STET
W 87-81
−4.5
21
vs
UNA
W 87-62
+12.5
24
@
WGA
L 66-74
−15.5
28
vs
CARK
L 90-100
−15.5
31
@
BELL
L 75-78
−8.5
covered 9didn’t cover 13avg +0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
WIN
L 74-81
−8.5
8
@
VILL
L 74-94
+17.5
11
@
DUQ
L 81-87
+5.5
15
vs
SHU
W 81-64
−20.5
20
vs
UNCG
W 101-94
+44.5
23
@
FUR
L 79-90
+15.5
28
@
UVA
L 69-94
+2.5
3
vs
GWEB
W 107-74
+19.5
12
vs
SCST
W 102-78
+22.5
14
@
WAKE
L 73-111
+18.5
16
@
ARK
L 80-108
+18.5
29
@
AUB
L 65-106
−0.5
1
vs
EKU
W 91-89
+15.5
3
vs
BELL
W 98-76
+4.5
8
@
JAX
W 77-51
−26.5
10
@
UNF
W 89-82
−2.5
15
@
FGCU
W 85-74
−7.5
17
@
STET
W 87-81
+5.5
21
vs
UNA
W 87-62
−13.5
24
@
WGA
L 66-74
−22.5
28
vs
CARK
L 90-100
+31.5
31
@
BELL
L 75-78
−10.5
over 13under 9avg +5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Jacksonville
7-14 overall · 4-6 in conference · Atlantic Sun Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs FGCU49–68
- Wvs Lipscomb70–65
- Wvs E Kentucky81–76
- Lvs Bellarmine70–77
- W@ North Alabama90–68
5 days since their last game.
Queens University Royals
11-11 overall · 7-3 in conference · Atlantic Sun Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Bellarmine75–78
- Lvs C Arkansas90–100
- L@ West Georgia66–74
- Wvs North Alabama87–62
- W@ Stetson87–81
5 days since their last game.