Alico Arena · at FGCU · Conference game
Closing line
FGCU -9.5✓ FGCU covered by 8.5
Closing total152.5Over by 9.5
| This season | FGCU | |
|---|---|---|
| 7-8 | Record | 5-11 |
| 10-5 | ATS | 4-12 |
| 8-7 | O/U | 10-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: WGA 75–84 FGCU · ✓ FGCU (78%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WGA | 38 | 34 | 72 |
| FGCU | 37 | 53 | 90 |
1st half: WGA 38, FGCU 37 (WGA by 1). The model had FGCU by 5.2 and a total of 74.5 (actual 75).
Team stats
| WGA | FGCU | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-64 41% | Field goals | 28-49 57% |
| 9-29 31% | 3-pointers | 7-13 54% |
| 11-19 58% | Free throws | 27-36 75% |
| 28 11 off | Rebounds | 40 8 off |
| 18 | Assists | 14 |
| 7 | Steals | 8 |
| 4 | Blocks | 3 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 25 | Fouls | 22 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 24 |
Players
| WGA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shelton Williams-Dryden F | 36 | 28 | 6 | 1 | 10-19 | 3-8 |
| Malcolm Noel G | 31 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 2-12 | 1-8 |
| Kolten Griffin F | 31 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 3-4 | 1-2 |
| Brady Hardewig G | 17 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Kenneth Chime PF | 16 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Josh Smith G | 28 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 3-14 | 2-7 |
| JaVar Daniel F | 23 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 4-9 | 0-1 |
| Matija Zuzic G | 12 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Xavier Shegog F | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Eric Baldassarre, Maddox Fowles, Chas Lewless, Cameron Merritt, Max Young, Micah Smith, Nate Jones
| FGCU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rahmir Barno G | 33 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 7-12 | 0-0 |
| Jordan Ellerbee G | 28 | 16 | 4 | 5 | 4-9 | 2-2 |
| Isaiah Malone F | 27 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 3-5 | 0-1 |
| Darren Williams G | 26 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 2-6 | 1-3 |
| Michael Duax F | 22 | 12 | 7 | 0 | 5-6 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jack Reddick G | 24 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 5-6 | 3-3 |
| Rory Stewart F | 23 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Tristen Guillouette C | 12 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Matt McCarthy G | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Gabe Tanner, Chase Konieczny, Evan Barlow, J.R. Konieczny, BB Washington, Brandon Dwyer, George Washington III
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketFGCU -9.5
ModelFGCU -8.9
Model edgeWGA +0.6
L FGCU covered
Total
Market152.5
Model159.0
Model edgeOver 6.5
W Over
Projected score
WGA 75 · FGCU 84
WGA 72 · FGCU 90
Win probability
FGCU 78%
1st half
Spread
FGCU -5.2
WGA -1.0
Total
74.5
75 points
Projected score
WGA 34.6 · FGCU 39.8
WGA 38 · FGCU 37
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenFGCU -9.5
no move
CloseFGCU -9.5
No change since the open
Total
Open158.5
▼ 6
Close152.5
Down 6 since the open
Moneyline
WGA +360 · FGCU -470
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened FGCU -9.5 · unchangedmodel FGCU -9
model FGCU -9
Opened 158.5 · closed 152.5 · moved 6 downmodel 159
model 159
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% | 7-3 70% | |
| 1-9 10% | 1-9 10% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
WGA 0–2 FGCUFGCU leads · 2 games since 2021-22 · FGCU has won the last 2 meetings · WGA 0-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2024-25 | WGA 60 @ FGCU 82 | FGCU -12.5 | FGCU W |
| Jan 2, 2024-25 | FGCU 79 @ WGA 68 | WGA +8.5 | FGCU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
West Georgia
15 games played
Straight up
7-8
47% wins
Against the spread
10-5
67% covers · avg −0 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-7
53% overs · avg +3.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ | L 53-86 | +24.5 | L −8.5 | 153.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 10 | @ | L 62-83 | +30.5 | W +9.5 | 146.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 14 | vs | W 100-92 | -6.5 | W +1.5 | 150.5 | O 192 |
| Nov 17 | @ | W 61-59 | +4.5 | W +6.5 | 152.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 21 | vs | W 72-64 | -2.5 | W +5.5 | 153.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 23 | @ | L 66-82 | +18.5 | W +2.5 | 144.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 1 | @ | W 93-89 | +17.5 | W +21.5 | 150.5 | O 182 |
| Dec 6 | vs | L 59-87 | -1.5 | L −29.5 | 150.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 13 | vs | L 85-91 | +3.5 | L −2.5 | 154.5 | O 176 |
| Dec 22 | @ | L 74-103 | +36.5 | W +7.5 | 173.5 | O 177 |
| Jan 1 | vs | W 87-85 | +1.5 | W +3.5 | 151.5 | O 172 |
| Jan 3 | vs | W 88-76 | +1.5 | W +13.5 | 156.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 8 | @ | W 85-73 | -2.5 | W +9.5 | 164.5 | U 158 |
| Jan 10 | @ | L 43-75 | +1.5 | L −30.5 | 141.5 | U 118 |
| Jan 15 | @ | L 86-95 | -1.5 | L −10.5 | 151.5 | O 181 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
NEB
L 53-86
−8.5
10
@
UCLA
L 62-83
+9.5
14
vs
CIT
W 100-92
+1.5
17
@
TNTC
W 61-59
+6.5
21
vs
UPST
W 72-64
+5.5
23
@
GT
L 66-82
+2.5
1
@
TROY
W 93-89
+21.5
6
vs
TNTC
L 59-87
−29.5
13
vs
GASO
L 85-91
−2.5
22
@
UGA
L 74-103
+7.5
1
vs
BELL
W 87-85
+3.5
3
vs
EKU
W 88-76
+13.5
8
@
UNF
W 85-73
+9.5
10
@
JAX
L 43-75
−30.5
15
@
STET
L 86-95
−10.5
covered 10didn’t cover 5avg −0 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@
NEB
L 53-86
−14.5
10
@
UCLA
L 62-83
−1.5
14
vs
CIT
W 100-92
+41.5
17
@
TNTC
W 61-59
−32.5
21
vs
UPST
W 72-64
−17.5
23
@
GT
L 66-82
+3.5
1
@
TROY
W 93-89
+31.5
6
vs
TNTC
L 59-87
−4.5
13
vs
GASO
L 85-91
+21.5
22
@
UGA
L 74-103
+3.5
1
vs
BELL
W 87-85
+20.5
3
vs
EKU
W 88-76
+7.5
8
@
UNF
W 85-73
−6.5
10
@
JAX
L 43-75
−23.5
15
@
STET
L 86-95
+29.5
over 8under 7avg +3.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
FGCU
16 games played
Straight up
5-11
31% wins
Against the spread
4-12
25% covers · avg −1.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-6
63% overs · avg +6.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | @ | L 70-113 | +29.5 | L −13.5 | 160.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 11 | vs | L 94-95 | -3.5 | L −4.5 | 163.5 | O 189 |
| Nov 15 | vs | W 91-73 | +1.5 | W +19.5 | 152.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 19 | @ | W 77-62 | +5.5 | W +20.5 | 154.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 24 | vs | W 93-88 | -11.5 | L −6.5 | 153.5 | O 181 |
| Nov 25 | vs | W 78-63 | -5.5 | W +9.5 | 149.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 26 | vs | L 100-102 | -1.5 | L −3.5 | 160.5 | O 202 |
| Dec 3 | @ | L 83-89 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 154.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 7 | vs | L 76-81 | +2.5 | L −2.5 | 150.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 14 | @ | L 59-75 | +15.5 | L −0.5 | 159.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 20 | @ | L 80-102 | +17.5 | L −4.5 | 161.5 | O 182 |
| Jan 1 | @ | L 83-85 | -2.5 | L −4.5 | 156.5 | O 168 |
| Jan 3 | @ | W 72-55 | -2.5 | W +14.5 | 147.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 8 | vs | L 71-82 | -3.5 | L −14.5 | 153.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 10 | vs | L 77-84 | -2.5 | L −9.5 | 157.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 15 | vs | L 74-85 | -1.5 | L −12.5 | 166.5 | U 159 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@
ILL
L 70-113
−13.5
11
vs
GASO
L 94-95
−4.5
15
vs
UTC
W 91-73
+19.5
19
@
SAM
W 77-62
+20.5
24
vs
ORU
W 93-88
−6.5
25
vs
RICE
W 78-63
+9.5
26
vs
KENN
L 100-102
−3.5
3
@
FIU
L 83-89
−7.5
7
vs
FAU
L 76-81
−2.5
14
@
UNM
L 59-75
−0.5
20
@
UCF
L 80-102
−4.5
1
@
CARK
L 83-85
−4.5
3
@
UNA
W 72-55
+14.5
8
vs
APSU
L 71-82
−14.5
10
vs
LIP
L 77-84
−9.5
15
vs
QUC
L 74-85
−12.5
covered 4didn’t cover 12avg −1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@
ILL
L 70-113
+22.5
11
vs
GASO
L 94-95
+25.5
15
vs
UTC
W 91-73
+11.5
19
@
SAM
W 77-62
−15.5
24
vs
ORU
W 93-88
+27.5
25
vs
RICE
W 78-63
−8.5
26
vs
KENN
L 100-102
+41.5
3
@
FIU
L 83-89
+17.5
7
vs
FAU
L 76-81
+6.5
14
@
UNM
L 59-75
−25.5
20
@
UCF
L 80-102
+20.5
1
@
CARK
L 83-85
+11.5
3
@
UNA
W 72-55
−20.5
8
vs
APSU
L 71-82
−0.5
10
vs
LIP
L 77-84
+3.5
15
vs
QUC
L 74-85
−7.5
over 10under 6avg +6.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
West Georgia
7-8 overall · 3-2 in conference · United Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Stetson86–95
- L@ Jacksonville43–75
- W@ North Florida85–73
- Wvs E Kentucky88–76
- Wvs Bellarmine87–85
2 days since their last game.
FGCU
5-11 overall · 1-4 in conference · Atlantic Sun Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Queens University Royals74–85
- Lvs Lipscomb77–84
- Lvs Austin Peay71–82
- W@ North Alabama72–55
- L@ C Arkansas83–85
2 days since their last game.