Gentry Center · at Tennessee St · Conference game
Closing line
TNST -15.5✓ TNST covered by 11.5
TNST -15.5✓ TNST covered by 11.5Closing total151.5Under by 12.5
 WIU | This season | TNST |
|---|---|---|
| 1-20 | Record | 12-8 |
| 10-11 | ATS | 11-9 |
| 10-11 | O/U | 10-10 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: WIU 69–83 TNST · ✓ TNST (90%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIU | 27 | 29 | 56 |
| TNST | 43 | 40 | 83 |
1st half: WIU 27, TNST 43 (TNST by 16). The model had TNST by 8.6 and a total of 71.1 (actual 70).
Team stats
| WIU | TNST | |
|---|---|---|
| 18-54 33% | Field goals | 34-66 52% |
| 4-20 20% | 3-pointers | 4-19 21% |
| 16-22 73% | Free throws | 11-12 92% |
| 32 10 off | Rebounds | 39 11 off |
| 7 | Assists | 15 |
| 4 | Steals | 4 |
| 1 | Blocks | 2 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 14 | Fouls | 18 |
| 20 | Points in paint | 58 |
| 19 | Fast-break points | 15 |
Players
| WIU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Lorenzen G | 33 | 24 | 6 | 1 | 8-18 | 3-10 |
| Goanar Biliew F | 29 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 2-8 | 0-0 |
| Makai Kvamme G | 28 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 5-6 | 1-2 |
| Isaiah Griffin F | 22 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Antwaun Massey F | 20 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Francis Okwuosah F | 22 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-3 |
| Tyran Cook G | 19 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-1 |
| Marcus Pigram G | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Danny Stephens F | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Nick Hittle F | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Steven Tipton G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Jake Edwards G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Ifiok Peter, Jack Riley, Karyiek Dixon
| TNST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Pitre F | 25 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Aaron Nkrumah G | 25 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 6-10 | 2-3 |
| Travis Harper II G | 23 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 5-12 | 1-4 |
| Dante Harris G | 23 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Antoine Lorick III F | 20 | 18 | 4 | 2 | 7-9 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Damon Howard Jr. G | 18 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2-6 | 0-1 |
| JC Brooks F | 15 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-2 |
| Carlous Williams F | 14 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Khalil London G | 14 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0-5 | 0-2 |
| Jabrion Spikes G | 14 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 7-8 | 1-2 |
| Kavien Jones F | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jayden Jones G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Alex Garcia F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Ogien Ayo, Jean Lafleur, Maddux Bodenhamer
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketTNST -15.5
ModelTNST -14.7
Model edgeWIU +0.8
L TNST covered
Total
Market151.5
Model151.9
Model edgeOver 0.4
L Under
Projected score
WIU 68.6 · TNST 83.3
WIU 56 · TNST 83
Win probability
TNST 90%
1st half
Spread
TNST -8.6
TNST -16.0
Total
71.1
70 points
Projected score
WIU 31.2 · TNST 39.9
WIU 27 · TNST 43
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenTNST -14.5
1 → TNST
CloseTNST -15.5
1 pt toward TNST
Total
Open150.5
▲ 1
Close151.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
WIU +900 · TNST -1600
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened TNST -14.5 · closed TNST -15.5 · moved 1 toward TNSTmodel TNST -14.5
model TNST -14.5
Opened 150.5 · closed 151.5 · moved 1 upmodel 152
model 152
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIU | 0-10 0% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
| TNST | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 6 since 2021-22
WIU 2–4 TNSTTNST leads · 6 games since 2021-22 · TNST has won the last 3 meetings · WIU 1-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2025-26 | TNST 90 @ WIU 68 | WIU +6.5 | TNST W |
| Feb 6, 2024-25 | WIU 69 @ TNST 87 | TNST -8.5 | TNST W |
| Jan 11, 2024-25 | TNST 72 @ WIU 52 | WIU -2.5 | TNST W |
| Mar 7, 2023-24 | TNST 59 vs WIU 61 | WIU -2.5 | TNST W |
| Feb 17, 2023-24 | WIU 68 @ TNST 61 | TNST -2.5 | WIU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
W Illinois
21 games played
Straight up
1-20
5% wins
Against the spread
10-11
48% covers · avg −4.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-11
48% overs · avg +0.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ RAD | L 75-80 | +16.5 | W +11.5 | 151.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 7 | @ IOWA | L 58-77 | +30.5 | W +11.5 | 145.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 11 | @ CSUB | L 58-74 | +7.5 | L −8.5 | 141.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 14 | @ CBU | L 59-69 | +15.5 | W +5.5 | 140.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 21 | vs CCU | L 64-84 | +3.5 | L −16.5 | 138.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 23 | vs UND | L 69-78 | +2.5 | L −6.5 | 146.5 | O 147 |
| Dec 2 | @ DRKE | L 57-108 | +17.5 | L −33.5 | 138.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 13 | @UND | W 69-66 | +7.5 | W +10.5 | 145.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 18 | @ LIN | L 76-92 | +12.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 22 | vs SIUE | L 61-66 | +6.5 | W +1.5 | 138.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 1 | @ UTM | L 60-67 | +13.5 | W +6.5 | 140.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 3 | @ SEMO | L 50-73 | +13.5 | L −9.5 | 147.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 8 | vsTNST | L 68-90 | +6.5 | L −15.5 | 145.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 10 | vs TNTC | L 54-59 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 143.5 | U 113 |
| Jan 13 | @ EIU | L 55-57 | +6.5 | W +4.5 | 132.5 | U 112 |
| Jan 17 | @ LR | L 79-86 | +10.5 | W +3.5 | 135.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 22 | @ MORE | L 66-71 | +8.5 | W +3.5 | 138.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 23 | @ USI | L 64-96 | +6.5 | L −25.5 | 136.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 29 | vsSEMO | L 74-78 | +10.5 | W +6.5 | 142.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 31 | vsUTM | L 44-84 | +10.5 | L −29.5 | 137.5 | U 128 |
| Feb 5 | @TNTC | L 72-97 | +9.5 | L −15.5 | 143.5 | O 169 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@RAD
RADL 75-80
+11.5
7
@IOWA
IOWAL 58-77
+11.5
11
@CSUB
CSUBL 58-74
−8.5
14
@CBU
CBUL 59-69
+5.5
21
vsCCU
CCUL 64-84
−16.5
23
vsUND
UNDL 69-78
−6.5
2
@DRKE
DRKEL 57-108
−33.5
13
@UND
UNDW 69-66
+10.5
18
@LIN
LINL 76-92
−3.5
22
vsSIUE
SIUEL 61-66
+1.5
1
@UTM
UTML 60-67
+6.5
3
@SEMO
SEMOL 50-73
−9.5
8
vsTNST
TNSTL 68-90
−15.5
10
vsTNTC
TNTCL 54-59
−1.5
13
@EIU
EIUL 55-57
+4.5
17
@LR
LRL 79-86
+3.5
22
@MORE
MOREL 66-71
+3.5
23
@USI
USIL 64-96
−25.5
29
vsSEMO
SEMOL 74-78
+6.5
31
vsUTM
UTML 44-84
−29.5
5
@TNTC
TNTCL 72-97
−15.5
covered 10didn’t cover 11avg −4.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@RAD
RADL 75-80
+3.5
7
@IOWA
IOWAL 58-77
−10.5
11
@CSUB
CSUBL 58-74
−9.5
14
@CBU
CBUL 59-69
−12.5
21
vsCCU
CCUL 64-84
+9.5
23
vsUND
UNDL 69-78
+0.5
2
@DRKE
DRKEL 57-108
+26.5
13
@UND
UNDW 69-66
−10.5
18
@LIN
LINL 76-92
+21.5
22
vsSIUE
SIUEL 61-66
−11.5
1
@UTM
UTML 60-67
−13.5
3
@SEMO
SEMOL 50-73
−24.5
8
vsTNST
TNSTL 68-90
+12.5
10
vsTNTC
TNTCL 54-59
−30.5
13
@EIU
EIUL 55-57
−20.5
17
@LR
LRL 79-86
+29.5
22
@MORE
MOREL 66-71
−1.5
23
@USI
USIL 64-96
+23.5
29
vsSEMO
SEMOL 74-78
+9.5
31
vsUTM
UTML 44-84
−9.5
5
@TNTC
TNTCL 72-97
+25.5
over 10under 11avg +0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Tennessee St
20 games played
Straight up
12-8
60% wins
Against the spread
11-9
55% covers · avg +1.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-10
50% overs · avg +2.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ BEL | L 79-87 | +13.5 | W +5.5 | 158.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 16 | @ WKU | L 82-95 | +12.5 | L −0.5 | 167.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 20 | @ TENN | L 60-89 | +31.5 | W +2.5 | 157.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 25 | @ UNCA | W 75-73 | +5.5 | W +7.5 | 164.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 30 | @ UTC | W 70-64 | +8.5 | W +14.5 | 155.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 3 | @ AAMU | L 53-80 | -4.5 | L −31.5 | 147.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 13 | @ UNLV | W 63-60 | +12.5 | W +15.5 | 161.5 | U 123 |
| Dec 18 | vsUTM | W 78-71 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 141.5 | O 149 |
| Dec 20 | vsSEMO | L 82-91 | +1.5 | L −7.5 | 151.5 | O 173 |
| Dec 30 | @TNTC | W 88-76 | -1.5 | W +10.5 | 155.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 3 | @LR | W 84-79 | -1.5 | W +3.5 | 144.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 8 | @WIU | W 90-68 | -6.5 | W +15.5 | 145.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 10 | @EIU | L 70-74 | -3.5 | L −7.5 | 144.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 15 | vsMORE | W 105-100 | -7.5 | L −2.5 | 148.5 | O 205 |
| Jan 17 | vsUSI | W 73-67 | -8.5 | L −2.5 | 150.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 22 | @SIUE | L 66-74 | +1.5 | L −6.5 | 142.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 24 | @LIN | W 96-86 | +4.5 | W +14.5 | 160.5 | O 182 |
| Jan 29 | vsLR | W 70-63 | -4.5 | W +2.5 | 150.5 | U 133 |
| Feb 2 | vsTNTC | L 85-90 | -7.5 | L −12.5 | 153.5 | O 175 |
| Feb 5 | vsEIU | W 77-68 | -9.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | U 145 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@BEL
BELL 79-87
+5.5
16
@WKU
WKUL 82-95
−0.5
20
@TENN
TENNL 60-89
+2.5
25
@UNCA
UNCAW 75-73
+7.5
30
@UTC
UTCW 70-64
+14.5
3
@AAMU
AAMUL 53-80
−31.5
13
@UNLV
UNLVW 63-60
+15.5
18
vsUTM
UTMW 78-71
+4.5
20
vsSEMO
SEMOL 82-91
−7.5
30
@TNTC
TNTCW 88-76
+10.5
3
@LR
LRW 84-79
+3.5
8
@WIU
WIUW 90-68
+15.5
10
@EIU
EIUL 70-74
−7.5
15
vsMORE
MOREW 105-100
−2.5
17
vsUSI
USIW 73-67
−2.5
22
@SIUE
SIUEL 66-74
−6.5
24
@LIN
LINW 96-86
+14.5
29
vsLR
LRW 70-63
+2.5
2
vsTNTC
TNTCL 85-90
−12.5
5
vsEIU
EIUW 77-68
−0.5
covered 11didn’t cover 9avg +1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@BEL
BELL 79-87
+7.5
16
@WKU
WKUL 82-95
+9.5
20
@TENN
TENNL 60-89
−8.5
25
@UNCA
UNCAW 75-73
−16.5
30
@UTC
UTCW 70-64
−21.5
3
@AAMU
AAMUL 53-80
−14.5
13
@UNLV
UNLVW 63-60
−38.5
18
vsUTM
UTMW 78-71
+7.5
20
vsSEMO
SEMOL 82-91
+21.5
30
@TNTC
TNTCW 88-76
+8.5
3
@LR
LRW 84-79
+18.5
8
@WIU
WIUW 90-68
+12.5
10
@EIU
EIUL 70-74
−0.5
15
vsMORE
MOREW 105-100
+56.5
17
vsUSI
USIW 73-67
−10.5
22
@SIUE
SIUEL 66-74
−2.5
24
@LIN
LINW 96-86
+21.5
29
vsLR
LRW 70-63
−17.5
2
vsTNTC
TNTCL 85-90
+21.5
5
vsEIU
EIUW 77-68
−0.5
over 10under 10avg +2.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
W Illinois
1-20 overall · 0-13 in conference · Ohio Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Tennessee Tech72–97
- Lvs UT Martin44–84
- Lvs SE Missouri74–78
- L@ Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles64–96
- L@ Morehead St66–71
2 days since their last game.
Tennessee St
12-8 overall · 9-4 in conference · Ohio Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs E Illinois77–68
- Lvs Tennessee Tech85–90
- Wvs Little Rock70–63
- W@ Lindenwood Lions96–86
- L@ SIUE66–74
2 days since their last game.