Burns Arena · at Utah Tech · Conference game
Closing line
UTU -3.5✓ UTU covered by 0.5
UTU -3.5✓ UTU covered by 0.5Closing total150.5Under by 4.5
 TAR | This season | UTU |
|---|---|---|
| 7-7 | Record | 6-10 |
| 10-4 | ATS | 8-8 |
| 10-4 | O/U | 8-8 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: TAR 78–77 UTU · ✗ TAR (53%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TAR | 31 | 40 | 71 |
| UTU | 34 | 41 | 75 |
1st half: TAR 31, UTU 34 (UTU by 3). The model had TAR by 0.7 and a total of 72.9 (actual 65).
Team stats
| TAR | UTU | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-70 40% | Field goals | 25-48 52% |
| 2-18 11% | 3-pointers | 8-23 35% |
| 13-22 59% | Free throws | 17-23 74% |
| 38 18 off | Rebounds | 34 6 off |
| 13 | Assists | 19 |
| 10 | Steals | 3 |
| 2 | Blocks | 7 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 16 |
| 19 | Fouls | 16 |
| 40 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 11 | Fast-break points | 5 |
Players
| TAR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam McDowell G | 36 | 25 | 3 | 5 | 10-24 | 1-6 |
| Kaia Isaac G | 29 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Chris Mpaka F | 27 | 11 | 7 | 0 | 5-11 | 0-0 |
| Leroy Kelly IV G | 21 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1-6 | 0-4 |
| Jordan Mizell G | 20 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Dior Johnson G | 19 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 5-11 | 1-4 |
| Daniel Dormu G | 18 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1-6 | 0-2 |
| Ocypher Owens F | 12 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Kade Douglas G | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Matyas Vrabel F | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jaden Jinks, AJ Dent, Cameron Thomas, Damion Porter Jr., Andy Sigiscar, Roy Marom, Malek Archie, Joseph Martinez, Freddy Hicks
| UTU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jusaun Holt G | 34 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 3-7 | 1-5 |
| Tanner Davis G | 34 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 2-6 | 0-3 |
| Noah Bolanga G | 33 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 5-7 | 3-4 |
| Ethan Potter F | 33 | 23 | 7 | 1 | 9-11 | 0-0 |
| Chance Trujillo G | 31 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 4-11 | 3-8 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Britton Berrett G | 21 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Samuel Ariyibi F | 10 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Dario Domingos F | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Boston Harker, Preston Vandermyde, Madiba Owona, Hunter Schenck, Dallin Grant, Marvel Allen
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUTU -1.5
2 → UTU
CloseUTU -3.5
2 pts toward UTU
Total
Open154.5
▼ 4
Close150.5
Down 4 since the open
Moneyline
TAR +136 · UTU -162
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UTU -1.5 · closed UTU -3.5 · moved 2 toward UTUmodel TAR -1
model TAR -1
Opened 154.5 · closed 150.5 · moved 4 downmodel 155.5
model 155.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | UTU -3.5 | TAR -0.9 | TAR +4.4 | L UTU covered |
| Total | 150.5 | 155.7 | Over 5.2 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | TAR 78.3 · UTU 77.4 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | TAR -0.7 | UTU -3.0 |
| 1H total | 72.9 | 65 |
| 1H projected score | TAR 36.8 · UTU 36.1 | TAR 31 · UTU 34 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TAR | 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% | 7-3 70% |
| UTU | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
TAR 6–1 UTUTAR leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · TAR 5-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2024-25 | UTU 54 @ TAR 61 | TAR -5.5 | TAR W |
| Jan 11, 2024-25 | TAR 54 @ UTU 58 | UTU -1.5 | UTU W |
| Feb 29, 2023-24 | TAR 85 @ UTU 74 | UTU +4.5 | TAR W |
| Jan 27, 2023-24 | UTU 68 @ TAR 86 | TAR -8.5 | TAR W |
| Feb 11, 2022-23 | TAR 75 @ UTU 71 | UTU -3.5 | TAR W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Tarleton St
14 games played
Straight up
7-7
50% wins
Against the spread
10-4
71% covers · avg +3.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-4
71% overs · avg +14.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ SMU | L 76-96 | +21.5 | W +1.5 | 144.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 5 | @ LSU | L 60-96 | +15.5 | L −20.5 | 148.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 8 | vs AMCC | W 85-77 | -3.5 | W +4.5 | 142.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 11 | vs MRMK | W 76-62 | -4.5 | W +9.5 | 142.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 14 | @ BAY | L 81-94 | +23.5 | W +10.5 | 149.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 20 | @ RICE | W 90-74 | +4.5 | W +20.5 | 146.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 1 | @ CIN | L 58-76 | +24.5 | W +6.5 | 142.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 16 | @ MVSU | W 88-64 | -17.5 | W +6.5 | 142.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 19 | vs FAMU | W 78-54 | -14.5 | W +9.5 | 145.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 29 | @ UTA | W 69-63 | +2.5 | W +8.5 | 136.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 1 | vs UVU | L 85-91 | +5.5 | L −0.5 | 144.5 | O 176 |
| Jan 3 | vs CBU | W 81-76 | -1.5 | W +3.5 | 147.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 8 | vs ACU | L 80-84 | -4.5 | L −8.5 | 140.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 15 | @ SUU | L 105-106 | -3.5 | L −4.5 | 150.5 | O 211 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@SMU
SMUL 76-96
+1.5
5
@LSU
LSUL 60-96
−20.5
8
vsAMCC
AMCCW 85-77
+4.5
11
vsMRMK
MRMKW 76-62
+9.5
14
@BAY
BAYL 81-94
+10.5
20
@RICE
RICEW 90-74
+20.5
1
@CIN
CINL 58-76
+6.5
16
@MVSU
MVSUW 88-64
+6.5
19
vsFAMU
FAMUW 78-54
+9.5
29
@UTA
UTAW 69-63
+8.5
1
vsUVU
UVUL 85-91
−0.5
3
vsCBU
CBUW 81-76
+3.5
8
vsACU
ACUL 80-84
−8.5
15
@SUU
SUUL 105-106
−4.5
covered 10didn’t cover 4avg +3.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@SMU
SMUL 76-96
+27.5
5
@LSU
LSUL 60-96
+7.5
8
vsAMCC
AMCCW 85-77
+19.5
11
vsMRMK
MRMKW 76-62
−4.5
14
@BAY
BAYL 81-94
+25.5
20
@RICE
RICEW 90-74
+17.5
1
@CIN
CINL 58-76
−8.5
16
@MVSU
MVSUW 88-64
+9.5
19
vsFAMU
FAMUW 78-54
−13.5
29
@UTA
UTAW 69-63
−4.5
1
vsUVU
UVUL 85-91
+31.5
3
vsCBU
CBUW 81-76
+9.5
8
vsACU
ACUL 80-84
+23.5
15
@SUU
SUUL 105-106
+60.5
over 10under 4avg +14.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Utah Tech
16 games played
Straight up
6-10
38% wins
Against the spread
8-8
50% covers · avg +1.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-8
50% overs · avg +0.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ SDAK | W 81-79 | +1.5 | W +3.5 | 164.5 | U 160 |
| Nov 7 | @ ARIZ | L 67-93 | +33.5 | W +7.5 | 162.5 | U 160 |
| Nov 9 | @ ASU | L 66-81 | +12.5 | L −2.5 | 152.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 12 | vs MAN | L 75-79 | -2.5 | L −6.5 | 158.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 14 | vsMVSU | W 81-75 | -26.5 | L −20.5 | 145.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 15 | @ HAW | L 62-68 | +16.5 | W +10.5 | 149.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 25 | vs PRST | L 63-68 | +1.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 29 | vs UCR | W 77-69 | -5.5 | W +2.5 | 145.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 3 | @ SCU | L 80-90 | +20.5 | W +10.5 | 144.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 20 | @ WEB | W 82-80 | +5.5 | W +7.5 | 152.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 22 | @ CREI | L 69-92 | +19.5 | L −3.5 | 147.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 29 | vsSUU | W 80-66 | -7.5 | W +6.5 | 148.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 1 | @ACU | W 79-64 | +5.5 | W +20.5 | 139.5 | O 143 |
| Jan 8 | @CBU | L 72-84 | +7.5 | L −4.5 | 144.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 10 | @UVU | L 76-92 | +13.5 | L −2.5 | 149.5 | O 168 |
| Jan 15 | vsUTA | L 52-56 | -1.5 | L −5.5 | 141.5 | U 108 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@SDAK
SDAKW 81-79
+3.5
7
@ARIZ
ARIZL 67-93
+7.5
9
@ASU
ASUL 66-81
−2.5
12
vsMAN
MANL 75-79
−6.5
14
vsMVSU
MVSUW 81-75
−20.5
15
@HAW
HAWL 62-68
+10.5
25
vsPRST
PRSTL 63-68
−3.5
29
vsUCR
UCRW 77-69
+2.5
3
@SCU
SCUL 80-90
+10.5
20
@WEB
WEBW 82-80
+7.5
22
@CREI
CREIL 69-92
−3.5
29
vsSUU
SUUW 80-66
+6.5
1
@ACU
ACUW 79-64
+20.5
8
@CBU
CBUL 72-84
−4.5
10
@UVU
UVUL 76-92
−2.5
15
vsUTA
UTAL 52-56
−5.5
covered 8didn’t cover 8avg +1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@SDAK
SDAKW 81-79
−4.5
7
@ARIZ
ARIZL 67-93
−2.5
9
@ASU
ASUL 66-81
−5.5
12
vsMAN
MANL 75-79
−4.5
14
vsMVSU
MVSUW 81-75
+10.5
15
@HAW
HAWL 62-68
−19.5
25
vsPRST
PRSTL 63-68
−15.5
29
vsUCR
UCRW 77-69
+0.5
3
@SCU
SCUL 80-90
+25.5
20
@WEB
WEBW 82-80
+9.5
22
@CREI
CREIL 69-92
+13.5
29
vsSUU
SUUW 80-66
−2.5
1
@ACU
ACUW 79-64
+3.5
8
@CBU
CBUL 72-84
+11.5
10
@UVU
UVUL 76-92
+18.5
15
vsUTA
UTAL 52-56
−33.5
over 8under 8avg +0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Tarleton St
7-7 overall · 2-3 in conference · United Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Southern Utah105–106
- Lvs Abilene Chrstn80–84
- Wvs CA Baptist81–76
- Lvs Utah Valley85–91
- W@ UT Arlington69–63
2 days since their last game.
Utah Tech
6-10 overall · 2-3 in conference · Big Sky Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs UT Arlington52–56
- L@ Utah Valley76–92
- L@ CA Baptist72–84
- W@ Abilene Chrstn79–64
- Wvs Southern Utah80–66
2 days since their last game.