Ocean Bank Convocation Center · at FIU · Conference game
Closing line
FIU -2.5✓ SHSU covered by 15.5
FIU -2.5✓ SHSU covered by 15.5Closing total168.5Under by 29.5
 SHSU | This season | FIU |
|---|---|---|
| 7-7 | Record | 6-8 |
| 11-3 | ATS | 10-4 |
| 9-5 | O/U | 8-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SHSU 82–83 FIU · ✗ FIU (53%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SHSU | 34 | 42 | 76 |
| FIU | 35 | 28 | 63 |
1st half: SHSU 34, FIU 35 (FIU by 1). The model had FIU by 0.5 and a total of 77.3 (actual 69).
Team stats
| SHSU | FIU | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-59 44% | Field goals | 15-51 29% |
| 10-29 34% | 3-pointers | 9-21 43% |
| 14-26 54% | Free throws | 24-39 62% |
| 41 13 off | Rebounds | 40 13 off |
| 19 | Assists | 11 |
| 10 | Steals | 10 |
| 2 | Blocks | 3 |
| 17 | Turnovers | 18 |
| 23 | Fouls | 23 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 12 |
| 4 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| SHSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Begg G | 27 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 3-9 | 2-5 |
| Damon Nicholas Jr. G | 26 | 5 | 10 | 2 | 2-7 | 1-2 |
| Po'Boigh King G | 26 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 5-11 | 2-7 |
| Veljko Ilic F | 24 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 5-9 | 0-0 |
| Kashie Natt G | 19 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jacobe Coleman G | 28 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 6-12 | 2-7 |
| Jacob Walker G | 25 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 2-4 | 0-2 |
| CJ Beaumont G | 9 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Matt Dann F | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jaxson Ford F | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Nathan Nguyen, Noah Benny, Cheikh Sadibou Ndiaye, Jackson Rogers, Isaiah Manning
| FIU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey Stephenson G | 34 | 14 | 8 | 0 | 3-12 | 2-5 |
| Ashton Williamson G | 30 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 2-6 | 2-2 |
| Zawdie Jackson G | 29 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Hamed Olayinka F | 27 | 5 | 10 | 0 | 1-6 | 0-1 |
| Ibrahim Olajuwon C | 13 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Julian Mackey G | 26 | 23 | 5 | 3 | 5-13 | 4-7 |
| Thiago Sucatzky G | 18 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Brit Harris G | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Kennedy Brown F | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jorge Santos, Eric Dibami, Gvidas Gicevicius, Mikey Kelvin II, Aydan Clinton, Renato Ruiz, Amarion Nimmers
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketFIU -2.5
ModelFIU -1.0
Model edgeSHSU +1.5
W SHSU covered
Total
Market168.5
Model165.0
Model edgeUnder 3.5
W Under
Projected score
SHSU 82 · FIU 83
SHSU 76 · FIU 63
Win probability
FIU 53%
1st half
Spread
FIU -0.5
FIU -1.0
Total
77.3
69 points
Projected score
SHSU 38.4 · FIU 38.9
SHSU 34 · FIU 35
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSHSU -1.5
4 → FIU
CloseFIU -2.5
4 pts toward FIU
Total
Open168.5
no move
Close168.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
SHSU +120 · FIU -142
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SHSU -1.5 · closed FIU -2.5 · moved 4 toward FIUmodel FIU -1
model FIU -1
Opened 168.5 · unchangedmodel 165
model 165
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SHSU | 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% |
| FIU | 5-5 50% | 8-2 80% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
SHSU 3–2 FIUSHSU leads · 5 games since 2021-22 · SHSU 2-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2024-25 | SHSU 82 @ FIU 85 | FIU +0.5 | FIU W |
| Jan 11, 2024-25 | FIU 74 @ SHSU 81 | SHSU -8.5 | FIU W |
| Mar 13, 2023-24 | FIU 59 vs SHSU 78 | SHSU -7.5 | SHSU W |
| Feb 15, 2023-24 | FIU 56 @ SHSU 70 | SHSU -6.5 | SHSU W |
| Feb 3, 2023-24 | SHSU 61 @ FIU 68 | FIU +2.5 | FIU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Sam Houston
14 games played
Straight up
7-7
50% wins
Against the spread
11-3
79% covers · avg +5.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-5
64% overs · avg +3.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | @ TTU | L 77-98 | +31.5 | W +10.5 | 156.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 15 | @ UTAH | L 79-85 | +12.5 | W +6.5 | 159.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 19 | vs WYO | W 78-70 | -1.5 | W +6.5 | 156.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 26 | vs IDST | W 84-81 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 142.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 28 | vs IDHO | W 94-68 | +1.5 | W +27.5 | 154.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 2 | @ OKST | L 83-93 | +13.5 | W +3.5 | 169.5 | O 176 |
| Dec 6 | @ TXSO | W 82-70 | -7.5 | W +4.5 | 158.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 17 | @ ORST | W 85-75 | +3.5 | W +13.5 | 153.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 21 | @ NMSU | L 78-87 | +5.5 | L −3.5 | 153.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 2 | @ WKU | L 91-102 | +5.5 | L −5.5 | 168.5 | O 193 |
| Jan 4 | @ MTSU | L 67-68 | +4.5 | W +3.5 | 156.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 8 | vs DEL | W 72-60 | -11.5 | W +0.5 | 144.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 10 | vs LIB | L 74-82 | +1.5 | L −6.5 | 154.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 14 | @ JXST | W 77-62 | +1.5 | W +16.5 | 150.5 | U 139 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@TTU
TTUL 77-98
+10.5
15
@UTAH
UTAHL 79-85
+6.5
19
vsWYO
WYOW 78-70
+6.5
26
vsIDST
IDSTW 84-81
+1.5
28
vsIDHO
IDHOW 94-68
+27.5
2
@OKST
OKSTL 83-93
+3.5
6
@TXSO
TXSOW 82-70
+4.5
17
@ORST
ORSTW 85-75
+13.5
21
@NMSU
NMSUL 78-87
−3.5
2
@WKU
WKUL 91-102
−5.5
4
@MTSU
MTSUL 67-68
+3.5
8
vsDEL
DELW 72-60
+0.5
10
vsLIB
LIBL 74-82
−6.5
14
@JXST
JXSTW 77-62
+16.5
covered 11didn’t cover 3avg +5.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@TTU
TTUL 77-98
+18.5
15
@UTAH
UTAHL 79-85
+4.5
19
vsWYO
WYOW 78-70
−8.5
26
vsIDST
IDSTW 84-81
+22.5
28
vsIDHO
IDHOW 94-68
+7.5
2
@OKST
OKSTL 83-93
+6.5
6
@TXSO
TXSOW 82-70
−6.5
17
@ORST
ORSTW 85-75
+6.5
21
@NMSU
NMSUL 78-87
+11.5
2
@WKU
WKUL 91-102
+24.5
4
@MTSU
MTSUL 67-68
−21.5
8
vsDEL
DELW 72-60
−12.5
10
vsLIB
LIBL 74-82
+1.5
14
@JXST
JXSTW 77-62
−11.5
over 9under 5avg +3.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
FIU
14 games played
Straight up
6-8
43% wins
Against the spread
10-4
71% covers · avg +2.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-6
57% overs · avg +4.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ NEB | L 66-96 | +21.5 | L −8.5 | 156.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 13 | @ LSU | L 81-98 | +21.5 | W +4.5 | 158.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 24 | vs JMU | L 72-80 | -2.5 | L −10.5 | 155.5 | U 152 |
| Nov 26 | vs OMA | W 74-61 | -4.5 | W +8.5 | 157.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 3 | vs FGCU | W 89-83 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 154.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 6 | vs JAX | W 88-65 | -5.5 | W +17.5 | 145.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 16 | @ MIA | L 81-98 | +22.5 | W +5.5 | 161.5 | O 179 |
| Dec 20 | vs LIU | W 86-79 | -6.5 | W +0.5 | 161.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 28 | vsLIB | L 94-97 | +4.5 | W +1.5 | 152.5 | O 191 |
| Jan 2 | vsNMSU | W 89-74 | +1.5 | W +16.5 | 157.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 4 | vs UTEP | W 76-64 | -6.5 | W +5.5 | 152.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 7 | @JXST | L 64-71 | +1.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 10 | @ MOST | L 71-79 | +2.5 | L −5.5 | 153.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 14 | @ KENN | L 86-89 | +5.5 | W +2.5 | 175.5 | U 175 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@NEB
NEBL 66-96
−8.5
13
@LSU
LSUL 81-98
+4.5
24
vsJMU
JMUL 72-80
−10.5
26
vsOMA
OMAW 74-61
+8.5
3
vsFGCU
FGCUW 89-83
+7.5
6
vsJAX
JAXW 88-65
+17.5
16
@MIA
MIAL 81-98
+5.5
20
vsLIU
LIUW 86-79
+0.5
28
vsLIB
LIBL 94-97
+1.5
2
vsNMSU
NMSUW 89-74
+16.5
4
vsUTEP
UTEPW 76-64
+5.5
7
@JXST
JXSTL 64-71
−5.5
10
@MOST
MOSTL 71-79
−5.5
14
@KENN
KENNL 86-89
+2.5
covered 10didn’t cover 4avg +2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@NEB
NEBL 66-96
+5.5
13
@LSU
LSUL 81-98
+20.5
24
vsJMU
JMUL 72-80
−3.5
26
vsOMA
OMAW 74-61
−22.5
3
vsFGCU
FGCUW 89-83
+17.5
6
vsJAX
JAXW 88-65
+7.5
16
@MIA
MIAL 81-98
+17.5
20
vsLIU
LIUW 86-79
+3.5
28
vsLIB
LIBL 94-97
+38.5
2
vsNMSU
NMSUW 89-74
+5.5
4
vsUTEP
UTEPW 76-64
−12.5
7
@JXST
JXSTL 64-71
−15.5
10
@MOST
MOSTL 71-79
−3.5
14
@KENN
KENNL 86-89
−0.5
over 8under 6avg +4.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Sam Houston
7-7 overall · 2-4 in conference · Conference USA
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Jax State77–62
- Lvs Liberty74–82
- Wvs Delaware72–60
- L@ MTSU67–68
- L@ Western KY91–102
3 days since their last game.
FIU
6-8 overall · 2-4 in conference · Conference USA
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Kennesaw St86–89
- L@ Missouri St71–79
- L@ Jax State64–71
- Wvs UTEP76–64
- Wvs New Mexico St89–74
3 days since their last game.