Pete Mathews Coliseum · at Jax State · Conference game
Closing line
JXST -1.5✓ SHSU covered by 16.5
JXST -1.5✓ SHSU covered by 16.5Closing total150.5Under by 11.5
 SHSU | This season | JXST |
|---|---|---|
| 6-7 | Record | 5-8 |
| 10-3 | ATS | 4-9 |
| 9-4 | O/U | 9-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SHSU 74–74 JXST · ✓ SHSU (51%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SHSU | 34 | 43 | 77 |
| JXST | 22 | 40 | 62 |
1st half: SHSU 34, JXST 22 (SHSU by 12). The model had SHSU by 0.3 and a total of 69.6 (actual 56).
Team stats
| SHSU | JXST | |
|---|---|---|
| 31-54 57% | Field goals | 22-55 40% |
| 10-22 45% | 3-pointers | 6-20 30% |
| 5-7 71% | Free throws | 12-19 63% |
| 34 7 off | Rebounds | 27 11 off |
| 17 | Assists | 7 |
| 7 | Steals | 9 |
| 0 | Blocks | 2 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 15 | Fouls | 11 |
| 40 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 15 |
Players
| SHSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kashie Natt G | 32 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 3-5 | 2-2 |
| Damon Nicholas Jr. G | 30 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 4-6 | 3-4 |
| Justin Begg G | 29 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 4-7 | 2-4 |
| Po'Boigh King G | 27 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 4-12 | 0-5 |
| Veljko Ilic F | 23 | 18 | 7 | 2 | 9-10 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jacob Walker G | 21 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 4-7 | 2-4 |
| Jaxson Ford F | 16 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Jacobe Coleman G | 15 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| CJ Beaumont G | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Noah Benny, Nathan Nguyen, Matt Dann, Cheikh Sadibou Ndiaye, Jackson Rogers, Isaiah Manning
| JXST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacoby Hill G | 37 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3-7 | 0-1 |
| Mostapha El Moutaouakkil G | 37 | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5-10 | 1-3 |
| AC Bryant G | 32 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 5-11 | 4-10 |
| Marcus Fitzgerald Jr. G | 20 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Iaroslav Niagu F | 15 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jaye Nash G | 31 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Emondrek Erkins-Ford F | 22 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 4-11 | 0-2 |
| Thomas Tut F | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
Did not play: Ben Vungo, Connor Loy, Jordan Vick, Aidan Driggers, Toby Nnadozie, Jamar Franklin, Aitor Anabitarte
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketJXST -1.5
ModelSHSU -0.3
Model edgeSHSU +1.8
W SHSU covered
Total
Market150.5
Model148.6
Model edgeUnder 1.9
W Under
Projected score
SHSU 74.4 · JXST 74.2
SHSU 77 · JXST 62
Win probability
SHSU 51%
1st half
Spread
SHSU -0.3
SHSU -12.0
Total
69.6
56 points
Projected score
SHSU 34.9 · JXST 34.7
SHSU 34 · JXST 22
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSHSU -1.5
3 → JXST
CloseJXST -1.5
3 pts toward JXST
Total
Open150.5
no move
Close150.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
SHSU -105 · JXST -115
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SHSU -1.5 · closed JXST -1.5 · moved 3 toward JXSTmodel SHSU -0.5
model SHSU -0.5
Opened 150.5 · unchangedmodel 148.5
model 148.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SHSU | 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% | 7-3 70% |
| JXST | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
SHSU 2–2 JXSTSeries tied · 4 games since 2021-22 · SHSU 2-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2024-25 | JXST 61 @ SHSU 66 | SHSU -2.5 | SHSU W |
| Jan 18, 2024-25 | SHSU 62 @ JXST 70 | JXST -1.5 | JXST W |
| Mar 9, 2023-24 | JXST 73 @ SHSU 81 | SHSU -7.5 | SHSU W |
| Feb 8, 2023-24 | SHSU 68 @ JXST 79 | JXST -2.5 | JXST W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Sam Houston
13 games played
Straight up
6-7
46% wins
Against the spread
10-3
77% covers · avg +4.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-4
69% overs · avg +4.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | @ TTU | L 77-98 | +31.5 | W +10.5 | 156.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 15 | @ UTAH | L 79-85 | +12.5 | W +6.5 | 159.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 19 | vs WYO | W 78-70 | -1.5 | W +6.5 | 156.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 26 | vs IDST | W 84-81 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 142.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 28 | vs IDHO | W 94-68 | +1.5 | W +27.5 | 154.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 2 | @ OKST | L 83-93 | +13.5 | W +3.5 | 169.5 | O 176 |
| Dec 6 | @ TXSO | W 82-70 | -7.5 | W +4.5 | 158.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 17 | @ ORST | W 85-75 | +3.5 | W +13.5 | 153.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 21 | @ NMSU | L 78-87 | +5.5 | L −3.5 | 153.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 2 | @ WKU | L 91-102 | +5.5 | L −5.5 | 168.5 | O 193 |
| Jan 4 | @ MTSU | L 67-68 | +4.5 | W +3.5 | 156.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 8 | vs DEL | W 72-60 | -11.5 | W +0.5 | 144.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 10 | vs LIB | L 74-82 | +1.5 | L −6.5 | 154.5 | O 156 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@TTU
TTUL 77-98
+10.5
15
@UTAH
UTAHL 79-85
+6.5
19
vsWYO
WYOW 78-70
+6.5
26
vsIDST
IDSTW 84-81
+1.5
28
vsIDHO
IDHOW 94-68
+27.5
2
@OKST
OKSTL 83-93
+3.5
6
@TXSO
TXSOW 82-70
+4.5
17
@ORST
ORSTW 85-75
+13.5
21
@NMSU
NMSUL 78-87
−3.5
2
@WKU
WKUL 91-102
−5.5
4
@MTSU
MTSUL 67-68
+3.5
8
vsDEL
DELW 72-60
+0.5
10
vsLIB
LIBL 74-82
−6.5
covered 10didn’t cover 3avg +4.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@TTU
TTUL 77-98
+18.5
15
@UTAH
UTAHL 79-85
+4.5
19
vsWYO
WYOW 78-70
−8.5
26
vsIDST
IDSTW 84-81
+22.5
28
vsIDHO
IDHOW 94-68
+7.5
2
@OKST
OKSTL 83-93
+6.5
6
@TXSO
TXSOW 82-70
−6.5
17
@ORST
ORSTW 85-75
+6.5
21
@NMSU
NMSUL 78-87
+11.5
2
@WKU
WKUL 91-102
+24.5
4
@MTSU
MTSUL 67-68
−21.5
8
vsDEL
DELW 72-60
−12.5
10
vsLIB
LIBL 74-82
+1.5
over 9under 4avg +4.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Jax State
13 games played
Straight up
5-8
38% wins
Against the spread
4-9
31% covers · avg −1.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-4
69% overs · avg −1.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14 | vs CCU | W 74-67 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 139.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 19 | vs USA | L 65-71 | -2.5 | L −8.5 | 135.5 | O 136 |
| Nov 24 | @ ARST | L 63-74 | +4.5 | L −6.5 | 155.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 26 | vs NDSU | L 43-56 | +3.5 | L −9.5 | 142.5 | U 99 |
| Dec 1 | vs UNA | L 66-73 | -6.5 | L −13.5 | 134.5 | O 139 |
| Dec 13 | @ GAST | L 73-77 | -3.5 | L −7.5 | 139.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 17 | vs EKU | L 59-62 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 142.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 20 | @ ETSU | W 81-75 | +9.5 | W +15.5 | 134.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 29 | vsWKU | W 78-67 | +2.5 | W +13.5 | 142.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 2 | @DEL | W 67-64 | -4.5 | L −1.5 | 126.5 | O 131 |
| Jan 4 | @LIB | L 69-78 | +9.5 | W +0.5 | 134.5 | O 147 |
| Jan 7 | vs FIU | W 71-64 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 10 | @ KENN | L 82-88 | +5.5 | L −0.5 | 149.5 | O 170 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
14
vsCCU
CCUW 74-67
−0.5
19
vsUSA
USAL 65-71
−8.5
24
@ARST
ARSTL 63-74
−6.5
26
vsNDSU
NDSUL 43-56
−9.5
1
vsUNA
UNAL 66-73
−13.5
13
@GAST
GASTL 73-77
−7.5
17
vsEKU
EKUL 59-62
−5.5
20
@ETSU
ETSUW 81-75
+15.5
29
vsWKU
WKUW 78-67
+13.5
2
@DEL
DELW 67-64
−1.5
4
@LIB
LIBL 69-78
+0.5
7
vsFIU
FIUW 71-64
+5.5
10
@KENN
KENNL 82-88
−0.5
covered 4didn’t cover 9avg −1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
14
vsCCU
CCUW 74-67
+1.5
19
vsUSA
USAL 65-71
+0.5
24
@ARST
ARSTL 63-74
−18.5
26
vsNDSU
NDSUL 43-56
−43.5
1
vsUNA
UNAL 66-73
+4.5
13
@GAST
GASTL 73-77
+10.5
17
vsEKU
EKUL 59-62
−21.5
20
@ETSU
ETSUW 81-75
+21.5
29
vsWKU
WKUW 78-67
+2.5
2
@DEL
DELW 67-64
+4.5
4
@LIB
LIBL 69-78
+12.5
7
vsFIU
FIUW 71-64
−15.5
10
@KENN
KENNL 82-88
+20.5
over 9under 4avg −1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Sam Houston
6-7 overall · 1-4 in conference · Conference USA
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Liberty74–82
- Wvs Delaware72–60
- L@ MTSU67–68
- L@ Western KY91–102
- L@ New Mexico St78–87
4 days since their last game.
Jax State
5-8 overall · 3-2 in conference · Conference USA
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Kennesaw St82–88
- Wvs FIU71–64
- L@ Liberty69–78
- W@ Delaware67–64
- Wvs Western KY78–67
4 days since their last game.