VyStar Arena · at Kennesaw St · Conference game
Closing line
KENN -6.5✓ KENN covered by 3.5
KENN -6.5✓ KENN covered by 3.5Closing total152.5Over by 17.5
 MOST | This season | KENN |
|---|---|---|
| 6-5 | Record | 5-6 |
| 6-5 | ATS | 6-5 |
| 4-7 | O/U | 6-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MOST 73–80 KENN · ✓ KENN (71%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MOST | 37 | 43 | 80 |
| KENN | 42 | 48 | 90 |
1st half: MOST 37, KENN 42 (KENN by 5). The model had KENN by 3.6 and a total of 71.5 (actual 79).
Team stats
| MOST | KENN | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-65 42% | Field goals | 27-52 52% |
| 8-23 35% | 3-pointers | 11-27 41% |
| 18-31 58% | Free throws | 25-32 78% |
| 37 19 off | Rebounds | 36 10 off |
| 15 | Assists | 19 |
| 13 | Steals | 8 |
| 3 | Blocks | 10 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 18 |
| 24 | Fouls | 27 |
| 38 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 18 | Fast-break points | 12 |
Players
| MOST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kobi Williams G | 37 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 5-13 | 3-8 |
| Keith Palek III F | 33 | 17 | 10 | 5 | 5-14 | 1-5 |
| Michael Osei-Bonsu F | 30 | 20 | 11 | 3 | 7-13 | 0-0 |
| Zaxton King G | 18 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Trey Williams Jr. G | 18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0-5 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Antwan Burnett G | 32 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 4-5 | 4-5 |
| Darrion Sutton F | 11 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-0 |
| Cameron Boone F | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Tyrique Brooks G | 10 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Collin Clark, Melakih Cunningham, Ryder Cheesman, Logan Epes, Amar Kuljuhovic
| KENN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Simeon Cottle G | 40 | 25 | 6 | 11 | 5-13 | 0-6 |
| Ramone Seals F | 34 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 4-9 | 3-7 |
| Frankquon Sherman F | 29 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 4-7 | 2-3 |
| Amir Taylor F | 23 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 3-4 | 1-1 |
| Braedan Lue F | 14 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 4-7 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Trey Simpson F | 27 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 5-8 | 5-8 |
| Kaden Rickard G | 17 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Perry Smith Jr. C | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| RJ Johnson G | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Brendan Tousignaut, Nigel Thomas, Darius Washington III, Dozie Onyirimba, Jamil Miller, Jaden Harris, Davin Cosby Jr., Eric Holland, Charles Stone, Chase Clemmons
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketKENN -6.5
ModelKENN -6.2
Model edgeMOST +0.3
L KENN covered
Total
Market152.5
Model152.7
Model edgeOver 0.2
W Over
Projected score
MOST 73.3 · KENN 79.5
MOST 80 · KENN 90
Win probability
KENN 71%
1st half
Spread
KENN -3.6
KENN -5.0
Total
71.5
79 points
Projected score
MOST 34 · KENN 37.6
MOST 37 · KENN 42
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenKENN -4.5
2 → KENN
CloseKENN -6.5
2 pts toward KENN
Total
Open148.5
▲ 4
Close152.5
Up 4 since the open
Moneyline
MOST +235 · KENN -290
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened KENN -4.5 · closed KENN -6.5 · moved 2 toward KENNmodel KENN -6
model KENN -6
Opened 148.5 · closed 152.5 · moved 4 upmodel 152.5 matches the line
model 152.5 = line ✓
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MOST | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% |
| KENN | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Missouri St
11 games played
Straight up
6-5
55% wins
Against the spread
6-5
55% covers · avg −0.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-7
36% overs · avg −3.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11 | vs ARST | L 85-86 | -1.5 | L −2.5 | 152.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 15 | @ UTA | L 49-67 | +3.5 | L −14.5 | 143.5 | U 116 |
| Nov 22 | vs RGV | W 74-67 | -3.5 | W +3.5 | 149.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 24 | vs LIU | L 61-75 | -4.5 | L −18.5 | 145.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 6 | @ TLSA | L 74-98 | +7.5 | L −16.5 | 142.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 12 | @ XAV | L 57-75 | +18.5 | W +0.5 | 151.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 16 | vs ORU | W 63-62 | -4.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | U 125 |
| Dec 23 | vs LIN | W 70-65 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 145.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 29 | @ DEL | W 61-43 | -1.5 | W +16.5 | 131.5 | U 104 |
| Jan 2 | vs UTEP | W 79-55 | -3.5 | W +20.5 | 131.5 | O 134 |
| Jan 4 | vs NMSU | W 89-82 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 134.5 | O 171 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
11
vsARST
ARSTL 85-86
−2.5
15
@UTA
UTAL 49-67
−14.5
22
vsRGV
RGVW 74-67
+3.5
24
vsLIU
LIUL 61-75
−18.5
6
@TLSA
TLSAL 74-98
−16.5
12
@XAV
XAVL 57-75
+0.5
16
vsORU
ORUW 63-62
−3.5
23
vsLIN
LINW 70-65
+1.5
29
@DEL
DELW 61-43
+16.5
2
vsUTEP
UTEPW 79-55
+20.5
4
vsNMSU
NMSUW 89-82
+5.5
covered 6didn’t cover 5avg −0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
11
vsARST
ARSTL 85-86
+18.5
15
@UTA
UTAL 49-67
−27.5
22
vsRGV
RGVW 74-67
−8.5
24
vsLIU
LIUL 61-75
−9.5
6
@TLSA
TLSAL 74-98
+29.5
12
@XAV
XAVL 57-75
−19.5
16
vsORU
ORUW 63-62
−21.5
23
vsLIN
LINW 70-65
−10.5
29
@DEL
DELW 61-43
−27.5
2
vsUTEP
UTEPW 79-55
+2.5
4
vsNMSU
NMSUW 89-82
+36.5
over 4under 7avg −3.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Kennesaw St
11 games played
Straight up
5-6
45% wins
Against the spread
6-5
55% covers · avg −1.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-5
55% overs · avg +1.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ FAMU | W 92-72 | -11.5 | W +8.5 | 166.5 | U 164 |
| Nov 16 | vs USF | L 89-108 | +7.5 | L −11.5 | 177.5 | O 197 |
| Nov 24 | vs RICE | W 89-84 | -4.5 | W +0.5 | 159.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 25 | vsORU | L 83-91 | -8.5 | L −16.5 | 166.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 26 | @ FGCU | W 102-100 | +1.5 | W +3.5 | 160.5 | O 202 |
| Dec 2 | vs JKST | W 88-73 | -15.5 | L −0.5 | 157.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 6 | vs GAST | W 92-69 | -14.5 | W +8.5 | 158.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 17 | @ MTSU | L 67-68 | +3.5 | W +2.5 | 160.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 21 | vs ALA | L 81-92 | +20.5 | W +9.5 | 182.5 | U 173 |
| Jan 2 | @ LIB | L 73-81 | +7.5 | L −0.5 | 158.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 4 | @DEL | L 52-67 | -8.5 | L −23.5 | 148.5 | U 119 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@FAMU
FAMUW 92-72
+8.5
16
vsUSF
USFL 89-108
−11.5
24
vsRICE
RICEW 89-84
+0.5
25
vsORU
ORUL 83-91
−16.5
26
@FGCU
FGCUW 102-100
+3.5
2
vsJKST
JKSTW 88-73
−0.5
6
vsGAST
GASTW 92-69
+8.5
17
@MTSU
MTSUL 67-68
+2.5
21
vsALA
ALAL 81-92
+9.5
2
@LIB
LIBL 73-81
−0.5
4
@DEL
DELL 52-67
−23.5
covered 6didn’t cover 5avg −1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@FAMU
FAMUW 92-72
−2.5
16
vsUSF
USFL 89-108
+19.5
24
vsRICE
RICEW 89-84
+13.5
25
vsORU
ORUL 83-91
+7.5
26
@FGCU
FGCUW 102-100
+41.5
2
vsJKST
JKSTW 88-73
+3.5
6
vsGAST
GASTW 92-69
+2.5
17
@MTSU
MTSUL 67-68
−25.5
21
vsALA
ALAL 81-92
−9.5
2
@LIB
LIBL 73-81
−4.5
4
@DEL
DELL 52-67
−29.5
over 6under 5avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Missouri St
6-5 overall · 3-0 in conference · Conference USA
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs New Mexico St89–82
- Wvs UTEP79–55
- W@ Delaware61–43
- Wvs Lindenwood Lions70–65
- Wvs Oral Roberts63–62
3 days since their last game.
Kennesaw St
5-6 overall · 0-3 in conference · Conference USA
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Delaware52–67
- L@ Liberty73–81
- Lvs Alabama81–92
- L@ MTSU67–68
- Wvs Georgia St92–69
3 days since their last game.