Little Caesars Arena · at Pistons
LineNo line yet
Total—
 LAC | This season | DET |
|---|---|---|
| 1-5 | Record | 5-1 |
| 3-3 | ATS | 5-1 |
| 3-3 | O/U | 2-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model: projects DET 114–105 · win probability DET 74%
Pick this game
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Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 219.1
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 212-225 in 2025-26. Model record
What could decide it: DET has more of the edges
LAC 1, DET 7 · 2026-27 so far
DETBigLAC offense vs DET defense
Offense 28th of 30 against a defense 1st, on the model’s ratings
DETBigShooting
Effective FG%: LAC 52.9 and allows 56.9; DET 53.1 and allows 48.8
DETSmallTurnovers
Turnover rate: LAC 20.4%, DET 15.6%. Forced: LAC 17.0%, DET 17.1%
Context
Schedule so far
LAC has played the 10th-hardest schedule, DET the 17th. A record against a soft schedule means less
DETSmallThree-pointers
LAC hits 38.6% and allows 38.2%; DET hits 36.3% and allows 32.5%. Threes are 42.3% and 43.3% of their shots
DETSmallRecent form
Last 5: LAC 2-3 ATS, margin -13.8; DET 4-1 ATS, margin +8.0
LACSmallDET offense vs LAC defense
Offense 17th of 30 against a defense 12th, on the model’s ratings
DETSmallRebounding
Offensive rebound rate: LAC 26.5%, DET 27.2%. Defensive: LAC 70.9%, DET 72.8%
DETSmallHome court
DET at home. This season: DET 2-0 at home, LAC 0-4 away
Context
Tempo
About 101 possessions: LAC plays 101.7 a game (23rd fastest), DET 100.9 (29th). Faster games mean more points
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: LAC 28.0, DET 28.9. Allowed: LAC 24.7, DET 28.1
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: LAC 100%, DET 100%. Transfers in: LAC 0, DET 0. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edge
Spread
Market—
ModelDET -8.9
Model edge—
Total
Market—
Model219.1
Model edge—
Projected score
LAC 105.1 · DET 114
Win probability
DET 74%
1st half
Spread
DET -4.9
Total
110.1
Projected score
LAC 52.6 · DET 57.5
Market
Open → current
Spread
Open—
no open
Now—
Opening line not available
Total
Open—
no open
Now—
Moneyline
—
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2026-27, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LAClast 6 | 1-5 17% | 3-3 50% | 3-3 50% |
| DETlast 6 | 5-1 83% | 5-1 83% | 2-4 33% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
LAC 9–1 DETLAC leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · LAC has won the last 3 meetings · LAC 4-5-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2025-26 | LAC 98 @ DET 92 | DET -1.5 | LAC W |
| Dec 28, 2025-26 | DET 99 @ LAC 112 | LAC +3.5 | LAC W |
| Mar 5, 2024-25 | DET 115 @ LAC 123 | LAC +3.5 | LAC W |
| Feb 24, 2024-25 | LAC 97 @ DET 106 | DET -2.5 | DET W |
| Feb 10, 2023-24 | DET 106 @ LAC 112 | LAC -16.5 | DET W |
ATS History · 2026-27
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Clippers
6 games played
Straight up
1-5
17% wins
Against the spread
3-3
50% covers · avg −3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-3
50% overs · avg −3.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
21
vs
SAC
SACW 121-96
+19.5
23
@
LAL
LALL 117-125
+0.5
25
@
OKC
OKCL 101-108
+9.5
28
vsLAL
LALL 87-103
−17.5
30
@
MIN
MINL 101-127
−19.5
1
@
GS
GSL 112-124
−10.5
covered 3didn’t cover 3avg −3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
21
vsSAC
SACW 121-96
−9.5
23
@LAL
LALL 117-125
+16.5
25
@OKC
OKCL 101-108
−14.5
28
vsLAL
LALL 87-103
−34.5
30
@MIN
MINL 101-127
+5.5
1
@GS
GSL 112-124
+15.5
over 3under 3avg −3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Pistons
6 games played
Straight up
5-1
83% wins
Against the spread
5-1
83% covers · avg +5.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-4
33% overs · avg −11.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
20
vs
BOS
BOSW 121-113
+9.5
23
@
MIA
MIAW 128-111
+14.5
25
@
PHI
PHIW 106-93
+11.5
27
@
NY
NYL 97-111
−9.5
28
vs
CHA
CHAW 97-89
+0.5
30
@
BKN
BKNW 110-94
+7.5
covered 5didn’t cover 1avg +5.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
20
vsBOS
BOSW 121-113
+13.5
23
@MIA
MIAW 128-111
+3.5
25
@PHI
PHIW 106-93
−29.5
27
@NY
NYL 97-111
−12.5
28
vsCHA
CHAW 97-89
−26.5
30
@BKN
BKNW 110-94
−18.5
over 2under 4avg −11.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Pistons has the better starters
Position by position: Clippers 0, Pistons 4, even 1
ClippersBetterPistons
G D. Garland20.8 pts · 1.3 reb · 6.3 ast
Score 27
→DETSmall
G C. Cunningham22.2 pts · 5.5 reb · 7.2 ast
Score 47
G K. Dunn8.5 pts · 3.8 reb · 5.3 ast
Score 25
→DETBig
G A. Thompson8.8 pts · 7.4 reb · 5 ast
Score 79
G K. Sanders8.5 pts · 3 reb · 2 ast
Score 31
→DETBig
F D. Robinson16.8 pts · 2 reb · 2.2 ast
Score 77
F R. Hachimura13.4 pts · 6 reb · 0.6 ast
Score 83
=Even
F P. Reed13.8 pts · 7 reb · 2 ast
Score 97
F I. Jackson8 pts · 6.2 reb · 2.3 ast
Score 8
→DETSmall
F J. Collins9.2 pts · 7.2 reb · 0.5 ast
Score 30
ClippersBetterPistons
LAC offense28th of 30 · -3.5
→DETBig
DET defense1st of 30 · +7.1
LAC defense12th of 30 · +1.7
←LACSmall
DET offense17th of 30 · -0.6
Backcourt-5.9 · 3 players
→DETBig
Backcourt+10.1 · 2 players
Frontcourt+3.6 · 2 players
→DETBig
Frontcourt+19.7 · 3 players
Bench+3.5 · 5 players
→DETBig
Bench+22.1 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestLAC betterDET betterNEW no NBA numbers yet
Depth chart
Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
ClippersGuards
D. Garland33 minK. Dunn30 minK. Sanders23 minK. Wagler25 minJ. Pickett16 minG. Dick14 min
Forwards
R. Hachimura30 minI. Jackson22 minB. Miller8 minN. Martinelli5 min
Centers
B. Lopez22 min
Out
D. JonesDay-To-Day
PistonsGuards
C. Cunningham34 minA. Thompson26 minD. Jenkins25 minE. Harkless21 minK. Huerter21 minJ. Green19 min
Forwards
D. Robinson30 minP. Reed27 minJ. Collins27 minT. Prince24 minR. Holland16 minT. Smith8 min
Centers
I. Jones5 min
Out
I. JoeOutJ. DurenOut
Matchup stats
2026-27 · rank among 30 teams
Scoring
Points per game
LAC106.5 #28DET109.8 #21Points per possession
LAC1.04 #27DET1.09 #18Pace (possessions)
LAC101.7 #23DET100.9 #29Shooting
Effective FG%
LAC52.9 #18DET53.1 #173-point %
LAC38.6 #5DET36.3 #93-point attempt rate
LAC42.3 #17DET43.3 #13Free throw rate
LAC28.0 #17DET28.9 #14Possessions
Turnover rate
LAC20.4 #30DET15.6 #17Offensive rebound rate
LAC26.5 #21DET27.2 #17Assists per game
LAC24.3 #26DET26.7 #15Defense
Points allowed
LAC113.8 #15DET101.8 #1Points allowed per possession
LAC1.13 #22DET1.01 #1Opponent effective FG%
LAC56.9 #28DET48.8 #2Opponent 3-point %
LAC38.2 #26DET32.5 #10Turnovers forced
LAC17.0 #8DET17.1 #6Defensive rebound rate
LAC70.9 #20DET72.8 #15Steals per game
LAC11.3 #3DET9.0 #12Blocks per game
LAC4.2 #22DET6.7 #4| LAC | DET | |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring | ||
| 106.5 #28 | Points per game | 109.8 #21 |
| 1.04 #27 | Points per possession | 1.09 #18 |
| 101.7 #23 | Pace (possessions) | 100.9 #29 |
| Shooting | ||
| 52.9 #18 | Effective FG% | 53.1 #17 |
| 38.6 #5 | 3-point % | 36.3 #9 |
| 42.3 #17 | 3-point attempt rate | 43.3 #13 |
| 28.0 #17 | Free throw rate | 28.9 #14 |
| Possessions | ||
| 20.4 #30 | Turnover rate | 15.6 #17 |
| 26.5 #21 | Offensive rebound rate | 27.2 #17 |
| 24.3 #26 | Assists per game | 26.7 #15 |
| Defense | ||
| 113.8 #15 | Points allowed | 101.8 #1 |
| 1.13 #22 | Points allowed per possession | 1.01 #1 |
| 56.9 #28 | Opponent effective FG% | 48.8 #2 |
| 38.2 #26 | Opponent 3-point % | 32.5 #10 |
| 17.0 #8 | Turnovers forced | 17.1 #6 |
| 70.9 #20 | Defensive rebound rate | 72.8 #15 |
| 11.3 #3 | Steals per game | 9.0 #12 |
| 4.2 #22 | Blocks per game | 6.7 #4 |
Clippers
1-5 overall · 1-5 in conference · Western Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- L@ Warriors112–124
- L@ Timberwolves101–127
- Lvs Lakers87–103
- L@ Thunder101–108
- L@ Lakers117–125
A week or more of rest.
Pistons
5-1 overall · 5-1 in conference · Eastern Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- W@ Nets110–94
- Wvs Hornets97–89
- L@ Knicks97–111
- W@ 76ers106–93
- W@ Heat128–111
A week or more of rest.