Xfinity Mobile Arena · at 76ers
LineNo line yet
Total—
 NO | This season | PHI |
|---|---|---|
| 2-4 | Record | 6-1 |
| 4-2 | ATS | 4-3 |
| 4-2 | O/U | 2-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model: projects PHI 117–112 · win probability PHI 63%
Pick this game
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Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 228.5
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 212-225 in 2025-26. Model record
What could decide it: NO has more of the edges
NO 3, PHI 2 · 2026-27 so far
PHIBigTurnovers
Turnover rate: NO 17.4%, PHI 12.3%. Forced: NO 16.3%, PHI 17.0%
NOBigRebounding
Offensive rebound rate: NO 24.3%, PHI 19.9%. Defensive: NO 76.4%, PHI 70.8%
Context
Tempo
About 105 possessions: NO plays 108.0 a game (2nd fastest), PHI 102.4 (19th). Faster games mean more points
Context
Schedule so far
NO has played the 28th-hardest schedule, PHI the 20th. A record against a soft schedule means less
NOSmallRecent form
Last 5: NO 4-1 ATS, margin +2.8; PHI 2-3 ATS, margin +2.6
PHISmallHome court
PHI at home. This season: PHI 3-1 at home, NO 0-2 away
NOSmallFree throws
Free throw rate: NO 35.3, PHI 28.7. Allowed: NO 30.6, PHI 28.5
Even
NO offense vs PHI defense
Offense 13th of 30 against a defense 10th, on the model’s ratings
Even
PHI offense vs NO defense
Offense 22nd of 30 against a defense 24th, on the model’s ratings
Even
Three-pointers
NO hits 31.2% and allows 30.5%; PHI hits 34.0% and allows 32.1%. Threes are 32.8% and 39.5% of their shots
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: NO 55.1 and allows 54.2; PHI 50.8 and allows 49.8
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: NO 100%, PHI 100%. Transfers in: NO 0, PHI 0. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edge
Spread
Market—
ModelPHI -4.8
Model edge—
Total
Market—
Model228.5
Model edge—
Projected score
NO 111.9 · PHI 116.7
Win probability
PHI 63%
1st half
Spread
PHI -2.5
Total
114.5
Projected score
NO 56 · PHI 58.5
Market
Open → current
Spread
Open—
no open
Now—
Opening line not available
Total
Open—
no open
Now—
Moneyline
—
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2026-27, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NOlast 6 | 2-4 33% | 4-2 67% | 4-2 67% |
| PHIlast 7 | 6-1 86% | 4-3 57% | 2-5 29% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
NO 6–4 PHINO leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · NO 6-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2025-26 | PHI 111 @ NO 126 | NO +3.5 | NO W |
| Jan 31, 2025-26 | NO 114 @ PHI 124 | PHI -6.5 | PHI W |
| Mar 24, 2024-25 | PHI 99 @ NO 112 | NO -3.5 | NO W |
| Jan 10, 2024-25 | NO 123 @ PHI 115 | PHI -6.5 | NO W |
| Mar 8, 2023-24 | NO 103 @ PHI 95 | PHI +8.5 | PHI W |
ATS History · 2026-27
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Pelicans
6 games played
Straight up
2-4
33% wins
Against the spread
4-2
67% covers · avg +5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-2
67% overs · avg −1.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
21
vs
IND
INDL 120-123
−0.5
23
@
UTAH
UTAHL 119-120
+0.5
24
@
DEN
DENL 135-141
+5.5
28
vsDEN
DENL 91-104
−8.5
29
vs
SAC
SACW 132-120
+5.5
31
vs
ATL
ATLW 121-99
+27.5
covered 4didn’t cover 2avg +5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
21
vsIND
INDL 120-123
+4.5
23
@UTAH
UTAHL 119-120
+0.5
24
@DEN
DENL 135-141
+36.5
28
vsDEN
DENL 91-104
−46.5
29
vsSAC
SACW 132-120
+17.5
31
vsATL
ATLW 121-99
−19.5
over 4under 2avg −1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
76ers
7 games played
Straight up
6-1
86% wins
Against the spread
4-3
57% covers · avg +0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-5
29% overs · avg −15.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20 | @ NY | W 106-100 | +4.5 | W +10.5 | 231.5 | U 206 |
| Oct 22 | vs CLE | W 114-106 | -2.5 | W +5.5 | 237.5 | U 220 |
| Oct 24 | vs MIL | W 127-116 | -12.5 | L −1.5 | 234.5 | O 243 |
| Oct 25 | vs DET | L 93-106 | +1.5 | L −11.5 | 228.5 | U 199 |
| Oct 28 | @IND | W 114-109 | -7.5 | L −2.5 | 234.5 | U 223 |
| Oct 30 | vsNY | W 98-93 | -2.5 | W +2.5 | 224.5 | U 191 |
| Oct 31 | @ CHA | W 109-104 | -1.5 | W +3.5 | 211.5 | O 213 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
20
@NY
NYW 106-100
+10.5
22
vsCLE
CLEW 114-106
+5.5
24
vsMIL
MILW 127-116
−1.5
25
vsDET
DETL 93-106
−11.5
28
@IND
INDW 114-109
−2.5
30
vsNY
NYW 98-93
+2.5
31
@CHA
CHAW 109-104
+3.5
covered 4didn’t cover 3avg +0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
20
@NY
NYW 106-100
−25.5
22
vsCLE
CLEW 114-106
−17.5
24
vsMIL
MILW 127-116
+8.5
25
vsDET
DETL 93-106
−29.5
28
@IND
INDW 114-109
−11.5
30
vsNY
NYW 98-93
−33.5
31
@CHA
CHAW 109-104
+1.5
over 2under 5avg −15.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
76ers has the better starters
Position by position: Pelicans 1, 76ers 4, even 0
PelicansBetter76ers
G D. Murray17.8 pts · 5.8 reb · 6 ast
Score 45
→PHISmall
G T. Maxey29.6 pts · 4.1 reb · 4.4 ast
Score 67
G J. Fears13 pts · 4.3 reb · 4.5 ast
Score 19
→PHISmall
G J. Brown19.8 pts · 6.2 reb · 4.2 ast
Score 35
F Z. Williamson20.7 pts · 4.3 reb · 2.5 ast
Score 81
→PHISmall
G V. Edgecombe11.3 pts · 7.8 reb · 2.7 ast
Score 96
F H. Jones6.8 pts · 2.5 reb · 0.7 ast
Score 75
←NOSmall
F L. James16.4 pts · 7 reb · 7 ast
Score 54
C D. Jordan6 pts · 6.5 reb · 1 ast
Score 52
→PHIBig
F D. Wade3.6 pts · 3 reb · 2.6 ast
Score 90
PelicansBetter76ers
NO offense13th of 30 · +1.1
=Even
PHI defense10th of 30 · +3.0
NO defense24th of 30 · -3.7
=Even
PHI offense22nd of 30 · -1.7
Backcourt-1.6 · 2 players
→PHIBig
Backcourt+25.4 · 3 players
Frontcourt+15.7 · 3 players
←NOSmall
Frontcourt+14.0 · 2 players
Bench-16.0 · 5 players
←NOBig
Bench-19.8 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestNO betterPHI betterNEW no NBA numbers yet
Depth chart
Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
PelicansGuards
D. Murray32 minJ. Fears25 minS. Bey25 minB. McGowens21 minB. Mathurin18 minA. Johnson10 min
Forwards
Z. Williamson32 minH. Jones21 minJ. Reese31 minT. Watford18 minK. Matkovic16 min
Centers
D. Jordan17 minD. Queen24 min
Out
J. PooleOutT. MurphyDay-To-DayY. MissiOut
76ersGuards
T. Maxey38 minJ. Brown37 minV. Edgecombe33 minA. Simons25 minK. Caldwell-Pope24 minC. Love21 min
Forwards
L. James33 minD. Wade28 minJ. Edwards15 minJ. Walker10 min
Centers
A. Bona14 minT. FallNew
Out
J. EmbiidDay-To-Day
Matchup stats
2026-27 · rank among 30 teams
Scoring
Points per game
NO119.7 #7PHI108.7 #23Points per possession
NO1.10 #15PHI1.06 #22Pace (possessions)
NO108.0 #2PHI102.4 #19Shooting
Effective FG%
NO55.1 #9PHI50.8 #253-point %
NO31.2 #25PHI34.0 #203-point attempt rate
NO32.8 #30PHI39.5 #23Free throw rate
NO35.3 #4PHI28.7 #16Possessions
Turnover rate
NO17.4 #26PHI12.3 #1Offensive rebound rate
NO24.3 #25PHI19.9 #30Assists per game
NO25.5 #21PHI25.1 #22Defense
Points allowed
NO117.8 #24PHI104.9 #2Points allowed per possession
NO1.09 #16PHI1.03 #3Opponent effective FG%
NO54.2 #21PHI49.8 #4Opponent 3-point %
NO30.5 #5PHI32.1 #9Turnovers forced
NO16.3 #10PHI17.0 #9Defensive rebound rate
NO76.4 #6PHI70.8 #21Steals per game
NO13.7 #1PHI9.6 #7Blocks per game
NO4.8 #16PHI5.0 #14| NO | PHI | |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring | ||
| 119.7 #7 | Points per game | 108.7 #23 |
| 1.10 #15 | Points per possession | 1.06 #22 |
| 108.0 #2 | Pace (possessions) | 102.4 #19 |
| Shooting | ||
| 55.1 #9 | Effective FG% | 50.8 #25 |
| 31.2 #25 | 3-point % | 34.0 #20 |
| 32.8 #30 | 3-point attempt rate | 39.5 #23 |
| 35.3 #4 | Free throw rate | 28.7 #16 |
| Possessions | ||
| 17.4 #26 | Turnover rate | 12.3 #1 |
| 24.3 #25 | Offensive rebound rate | 19.9 #30 |
| 25.5 #21 | Assists per game | 25.1 #22 |
| Defense | ||
| 117.8 #24 | Points allowed | 104.9 #2 |
| 1.09 #16 | Points allowed per possession | 1.03 #3 |
| 54.2 #21 | Opponent effective FG% | 49.8 #4 |
| 30.5 #5 | Opponent 3-point % | 32.1 #9 |
| 16.3 #10 | Turnovers forced | 17.0 #9 |
| 76.4 #6 | Defensive rebound rate | 70.8 #21 |
| 13.7 #1 | Steals per game | 9.6 #7 |
| 4.8 #16 | Blocks per game | 5.0 #14 |
Pelicans
2-4 overall · 1-3 in conference · Western Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- Wvs Hawks121–99
- Wvs Kings132–120
- Lvs Nuggets91–104
- L@ Nuggets135–141
- L@ Jazz119–120
A week or more of rest.
76ers
6-1 overall · 6-1 in conference · Eastern Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- W@ Hornets109–104
- Wvs Knicks98–93
- W@ Pacers114–109
- Lvs Pistons93–106
- Wvs Bucks127–116
A week or more of rest.