Madison Square Garden · at Knicks
LineNo line yet
Total—
 DAL | This season | NY |
|---|---|---|
| 4-2 | Record | 2-4 |
| 4-2 | ATS | 1-5 |
| 2-4 | O/U | 1-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model: projects NY 115–108 · win probability NY 67%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 223.1
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 212-225 in 2025-26. Model record
What could decide it: DAL has more of the edges
DAL 4, NY 3 · 2026-27 so far
NYBigRebounding
Offensive rebound rate: DAL 27.8%, NY 30.3%. Defensive: DAL 69.4%, NY 78.7%
DALBigShooting
Effective FG%: DAL 56.9 and allows 51.3; NY 49.5 and allows 53.1
NYBigDAL offense vs NY defense
Offense 16th of 30 against a defense 3rd, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
DAL has played the 2nd-hardest schedule, NY the 13th. A record against a soft schedule means less
DALBigRecent form
Last 5: DAL 4-1 ATS, margin +6.6; NY 1-4 ATS, margin +0.4
DALSmallThree-pointers
DAL hits 35.1% and allows 29.7%; NY hits 35.2% and allows 35.5%. Threes are 42.1% and 43.2% of their shots
DALSmallNY offense vs DAL defense
Offense 23rd of 30 against a defense 16th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Tempo
About 102 possessions: DAL plays 102.8 a game (18th fastest), NY 101.0 (28th). Faster games mean more points
NYSmallHome court
NY at home. This season: NY 1-2 at home, DAL 2-1 away
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: DAL 21.4, NY 24.5. Allowed: DAL 27.2, NY 25.9
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: DAL 16.8%, NY 15.2%. Forced: DAL 14.5%, NY 13.2%
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: DAL 100%, NY 100%. Transfers in: DAL 0, NY 0. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edge
Spread
Market—
ModelNY -6.3
Model edge—
Total
Market—
Model223.1
Model edge—
Projected score
DAL 108.4 · NY 114.7
Win probability
NY 67%
1st half
Spread
NY -3.4
Total
111.9
Projected score
DAL 54.3 · NY 57.7
Market
Open → current
Spread
Open—
no open
Now—
Opening line not available
Total
Open—
no open
Now—
Moneyline
—
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2026-27, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DALlast 6 | 4-2 67% | 4-2 67% | 2-4 33% |
| NYlast 6 | 2-4 33% | 1-5 17% | 1-5 17% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
DAL 6–4 NYDAL leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · DAL 6-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2025-26 | DAL 114 @ NY 97 | NY -12.5 | DAL W |
| Nov 19, 2025-26 | NY 113 @ DAL 111 | DAL +8.5 | DAL W |
| Mar 25, 2024-25 | DAL 113 @ NY 128 | NY -11.5 | NY W |
| Nov 27, 2024-25 | NY 114 @ DAL 129 | DAL +4.5 | DAL W |
| Feb 8, 2023-24 | DAL 122 @ NY 108 | NY +5.5 | DAL W |
ATS History · 2026-27
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Mavericks
6 games played
Straight up
4-2
67% wins
Against the spread
4-2
67% covers · avg +10.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-4
33% overs · avg −6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
21
@
HOU
HOUL 110-128
−8.5
23
@
IND
INDW 121-105
+23.5
24
vs
SA
SAL 106-122
−1.5
26
@
MIA
MIAW 113-109
+11.5
28
vs
OKC
OKCW 120-96
+28.5
30
vsHOU
HOUW 116-111
+10.5
covered 4didn’t cover 2avg +10.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
21
@HOU
HOUL 110-128
+7.5
23
@IND
INDW 121-105
−15.5
24
vsSA
SAL 106-122
−1.5
26
@MIA
MIAW 113-109
−18.5
28
vsOKC
OKCW 120-96
−11.5
30
vsHOU
HOUW 116-111
+3.5
over 2under 4avg −6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Knicks
6 games played
Straight up
2-4
33% wins
Against the spread
1-5
17% covers · avg −3.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-5
17% overs · avg −11.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
20
vs
PHI
PHIL 100-106
−10.5
23
@
BOS
BOSL 103-107
−1.5
25
vs
ORL
ORLL 102-111
−15.5
27
vs
DET
DETW 111-97
+9.5
28
@
CHI
CHIW 133-127
−1.5
30
@PHI
PHIL 93-98
−2.5
covered 1didn’t cover 5avg −3.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
20
vsPHI
PHIL 100-106
−25.5
23
@BOS
BOSL 103-107
−10.5
25
vsORL
ORLL 102-111
−11.5
27
vsDET
DETW 111-97
−12.5
28
@CHI
CHIW 133-127
+26.5
30
@PHI
PHIL 93-98
−33.5
over 1under 5avg −11.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Knicks has the better starters
Position by position: Mavericks 0, Knicks 3, even 2
MavericksBetterKnicks
G M. Christie8.3 pts · 3.8 reb · 2 ast
Score 9
→NYBig
G J. Brunson25.5 pts · 2.8 reb · 5.2 ast
Score 86
F P. Washington13.8 pts · 8.2 reb · 1.2 ast
Score 78
=Even
G J. Hart8.7 pts · 7.5 reb · 3.3 ast
Score 91
F C. Flagg26.8 pts · 6 reb · 6.6 ast
Score 49
→NYSmall
G M. Bridges6.2 pts · 2.8 reb · 2 ast
Score 75
F Z. Risacher9.5 pts · 6 reb · 1.7 ast
Score 65
=Even
F O. Anunoby16.2 pts · 5.8 reb · 2.7 ast
Score 73
F D. Gafford8.5 pts · 7 reb · 2.5 ast
Score 46
→NYSmall
C K. Towns21.8 pts · 13.5 reb · 3.2 ast
Score 80
MavericksBetterKnicks
DAL offense16th of 30 · +0.6
→NYBig
NY defense3rd of 30 · +5.2
DAL defense16th of 30 · -0.1
←DALSmall
NY offense23rd of 30 · -1.8
Backcourt-6.6 · 1 player
→NYBig
Backcourt+35.0 · 3 players
Frontcourt+16.0 · 4 players
→NYSmall
Frontcourt+17.7 · 2 players
Bench+2.7 · 5 players
→NYSmall
Bench+5.0 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestDAL betterNY betterNEW no NBA numbers yet
Depth chart
Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
MavericksGuards
M. Christie27 minM. Sasser19 minJ. Howard12 min
Forwards
P. Washington34 minC. Flagg32 minZ. Risacher30 minD. Gafford24 minN. Marshall28 minC. Martin20 min
Centers
M. Cisse14 min
Out
S. de LarreaOutK. IrvingDay-To-Day
KnicksGuards
J. Brunson35 minJ. Hart33 minM. Bridges28 minL. Shamet24 minM. McBride19 minT. Kolek14 min
Forwards
O. Anunoby34 minD. Knecht10 minM. Diawara9 minP. Dadiet5 minT. NickelNew
Centers
K. Towns32 minJ. Wiseman15 minA. Drummond13 min
Out
J. AlvaradoOut
Matchup stats
2026-27 · rank among 30 teams
Scoring
Points per game
DAL114.3 #14NY107.0 #27Points per possession
DAL1.12 #11NY1.05 #24Pace (possessions)
DAL102.8 #18NY101.0 #28Shooting
Effective FG%
DAL56.9 #2NY49.5 #273-point %
DAL35.1 #14NY35.2 #133-point attempt rate
DAL42.1 #18NY43.2 #14Free throw rate
DAL21.4 #29NY24.5 #23Possessions
Turnover rate
DAL16.8 #23NY15.2 #14Offensive rebound rate
DAL27.8 #13NY30.3 #6Assists per game
DAL27.0 #12NY26.2 #18Defense
Points allowed
DAL111.8 #14NY107.7 #6Points allowed per possession
DAL1.08 #13NY1.07 #12Opponent effective FG%
DAL51.3 #9NY53.1 #14Opponent 3-point %
DAL29.7 #2NY35.5 #18Turnovers forced
DAL14.5 #24NY13.2 #29Defensive rebound rate
DAL69.4 #25NY78.7 #1Steals per game
DAL8.8 #16NY7.3 #23Blocks per game
DAL6.8 #2NY4.0 #28| DAL | NY | |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring | ||
| 114.3 #14 | Points per game | 107.0 #27 |
| 1.12 #11 | Points per possession | 1.05 #24 |
| 102.8 #18 | Pace (possessions) | 101.0 #28 |
| Shooting | ||
| 56.9 #2 | Effective FG% | 49.5 #27 |
| 35.1 #14 | 3-point % | 35.2 #13 |
| 42.1 #18 | 3-point attempt rate | 43.2 #14 |
| 21.4 #29 | Free throw rate | 24.5 #23 |
| Possessions | ||
| 16.8 #23 | Turnover rate | 15.2 #14 |
| 27.8 #13 | Offensive rebound rate | 30.3 #6 |
| 27.0 #12 | Assists per game | 26.2 #18 |
| Defense | ||
| 111.8 #14 | Points allowed | 107.7 #6 |
| 1.08 #13 | Points allowed per possession | 1.07 #12 |
| 51.3 #9 | Opponent effective FG% | 53.1 #14 |
| 29.7 #2 | Opponent 3-point % | 35.5 #18 |
| 14.5 #24 | Turnovers forced | 13.2 #29 |
| 69.4 #25 | Defensive rebound rate | 78.7 #1 |
| 8.8 #16 | Steals per game | 7.3 #23 |
| 6.8 #2 | Blocks per game | 4.0 #28 |
Mavericks
4-2 overall · 2-2 in conference · Western Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- Wvs Rockets116–111
- Wvs Thunder120–96
- W@ Heat113–109
- Lvs Spurs106–122
- W@ Pacers121–105
A week or more of rest.
Knicks
2-4 overall · 2-4 in conference · Eastern Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- L@ 76ers93–98
- W@ Bulls133–127
- Wvs Pistons111–97
- Lvs Magic102–111
- L@ Celtics103–107
A week or more of rest.