When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
12 games · 2025 · Tulsa · pick one to list those games
42% went over. Of the 5 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 0% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 17% of games.
All 12 games
2025 · Tulsa · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 · Week 14 |
TLSA -9.5 | 56.5 | 10273455 | U | UAB Q1 | 31–24 |
2025 · Week 13 |
ARMY -9.5 | 43.5 | 14363951 | Q4 | TLSA Q4 Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
26–25 |
2025 · Week 12 |
TLSA -1.5 | 50.5 | 14172445 | U | TLSA Q1 | 14–31 |
2025 · Week 11 |
FAU -4.5 | 60.5 | 10375261 | Q4 | FAU Q1 | 21–40 |
2025 · Week 9 |
TEM -3.5 | 52.5 | 1031526275 | Q4 | TLSA Q4 Late cover flip |
38–37 |
2025 · Week 8 |
ECU -16.5 | 54.5 | 17384868 | Q4 | TLSA Q1 Late cover flip |
27–41 |
2025 · Week 6 |
MEM -21.5 | 52.5 | 7354552 | U | MEM Q3 | 7–45 |
2025 · Week 5 |
TULN -14.5 | 52.5 | 14384545 | U | TULN Q3 | 31–14 |
2025 · Week 4 |
OKST -10.5 | 54.5 | 13192231 | U | TLSA Q1 | 19–12 |
2025 · Week 3 |
NAVY -13.5 | 53.5 | 21385265 | Q4 | NAVY Q3 | 42–23 |
2025 · Week 2 |
TLSA -3.5 | 53.5 | 331735 | U | NMSU Q1 Lead lost |
14–21 |
 ACU @  TLSA2025 · Week 1 |
TLSA -5.5 | 59.5 | 7102142 | U | TLSA Q1 | 7–35 |
UAB
ARMY
ORST
FAU
TEM
ECU
MEM
TULN
OKST
NAVY
NMSUWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 58% 7
Q2 0% 0
Q3 25% 3
Q4 17% 2
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 75% and covered 75% of 12 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 91% and covered 73% of 11 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| 1–3 | 2 | 100% 2 |
| 4–7 | 2 | 100% 2 |
| 8–10 | 3 | 33% 1 |
| 22+ | 5 | 0% 0 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.