When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
13 games · 2025 · California · pick one to list those games
54% went over. Of the 7 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 0% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 23% of games.
All 13 games
2025 · California · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 · Postseason |
HAW -1.5 | 50.5 | 7313466 | Q4 | HAW Q4 | 31–35 |
2025 · Week 14 |
SMU -13.5 | 52.5 | 10243873 | Q4 | CAL Q1 | 35–38 |
2025 · Week 13 |
CAL -4.5 | 47.5 | 3242741 | U | STAN Q1 | 10–31 |
2025 · Week 11 |
LOU -18.5 | 49.5 | 1430434655 | OT | CAL Q1 Late over |
29–26 |
2025 · Week 10 |
UVA -5.5 | 52.5 | 10243852 | U | UVA Q1 Late cover flip |
31–21 |
2025 · Week 9 |
VT -6.5 | 50.5 | 1330405476 | Q4 | VT OT Late over |
34–42 |
2025 · Week 8 |
CAL -8.5 | 47.5 | 21243139 | U | UNC Q4 | 18–21 |
2025 · Week 6 |
DUKE -3.5 | 55.5 | 21525266 | Q4 | DUKE Q2 | 45–21 |
2025 · Week 5 |
BC -6.5 | 54.5 | 21313152 | U | CAL Q2 Lead lost |
28–24 |
2025 · Week 4 |
CAL -13.5 | 45.5 | 0132734 | U | SDSU Q1 | 0–34 |
2025 · Week 3 |
MINN -3.5 | 39.5 | 7173141 | Q4 | CAL Q1 Late over |
14–27 |
 TXSO @  CAL2025 · Week 2 |
CAL -44.5 | 54.5 | 3112538 | U | TXSO Q1 | 3–35 |
2025 · Week 1 |
CAL -2.5 | 48.5 | 14203349 | Q4 | CAL Q1 Late over |
34–15 |
HAW
SMU
STAN
LOU
UVA
VT
UNC
DUKE
BC
SDSU
MINN
ORSTWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 62% 8
Q2 15% 2
Q3 0% 0
Q4 15% 2
OT 8% 1
The team leading at halftime won 77% and covered 62% of 13 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 83% and covered 67% of 12 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| 4–7 | 2 | 100% 2 |
| 8–10 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 11–14 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 15–17 | 5 | 60% 3 |
| 18–21 | 2 | 0% 0 |
| 22+ | 2 | 0% 0 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.