When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
11 games · 2024 · Washington State · pick one to list those games
55% went over. Of the 6 overs, 17% had cashed by halftime and 33% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 18% of games.
All 11 games
2024 · Washington State · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 · Postseason |
SYR -18.5 | 57.5 | 35567087 | Q3 | WSU Q1 | 52–35 |
2024 · Week 14 |
WSU -18.5 | 55.5 | 10202329 | U | WYO Q1 Lead lost |
15–14 |
2024 · Week 13 |
WSU -10.5 | 55.5 | 14385579 | Q4 | ORST Q1 Lead lost |
38–41 |
2024 · Week 12 |
WSU -11.5 | 71.5 | 21425673 | Q4 | UNM Q3 Late over |
35–38 |
2024 · Week 11 |
WSU -20.5 | 67.5 | 14284977 | Q4 | WSU Q3 Late over |
28–49 |
2024 · Week 9 |
WSU -17.5 | 56.5 | 13263355 | U | SDSU Q1 | 29–26 |
2024 · Week 8 |
WSU -18.5 | 54.5 | 10243852 | U | WSU Q4 | 10–42 |
2024 · Week 7 |
WSU -3.5 | 60.5 | 20203042 | U | WSU Q4 | 25–17 |
2024 · Week 5 |
BOIS -6.5 | 65.5 | 14273469 | Q4 | BOIS Q2 Late over |
24–45 |
2024 · Week 2 |
TTU -2.5 | 64.5 | 10374453 | U | WSU Q1 | 16–37 |
 PRST @  WSU2024 · Week 1 |
WSU -26.5 | 57.5 | 296686100 | Q2 | WSU Q2 | 30–70 |
SYR
WYO
ORST
UNM
USU
SDSU
HAW
FRES
BOIS
TTUWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 45% 5
Q2 18% 2
Q3 18% 2
Q4 18% 2
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 82% and covered 64% of 11 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 80% and covered 80% of 10 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 2 | 100% 2 |
| 1–3 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 15–17 | 2 | 50% 1 |
| 18–21 | 2 | 50% 1 |
| 22+ | 4 | 25% 1 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.