When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
11 games · 2024 · Oregon State · pick one to list those games
45% went over. Of the 5 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 0% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 27% of games.
All 11 games
2024 · Oregon State · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 · Week 14 |
BOIS -17.5 | 58.5 | 14283752 | U | ORST Q1 | 18–34 |
2024 · Week 13 |
WSU -10.5 | 55.5 | 14385579 | Q4 | ORST Q1 Lead lost |
38–41 |
2024 · Week 12 |
ORST -2.5 | 44.5 | 7141428 | U | AFA Q1 | 0–28 |
2024 · Week 11 |
ORST -2.5 | 56.5 | 0202337 | U | SJSU Q4 | 24–13 |
2024 · Week 9 |
CAL -11.5 | 49.5 | 14314151 | Q4 | CAL Q1 Late over |
7–44 |
2024 · Week 8 |
UNLV -6.5 | 61.5 | 6334058 | U | UNLV Q4 | 33–25 |
2024 · Week 7 |
ORST -2.5 | 45.5 | 14314579 | Q4 | NEV Q4 | 37–42 |
2024 · Week 6 |
ORST -10.5 | 47.5 | 724244870 | Q4 | CSU Q1 Late over |
31–39 |
2024 · Week 4 |
ORST -1.5 | 49.5 | 7243159 | Q4 | ORST Q1 | 21–38 |
2024 · Week 2 |
ORST -5.5 | 54.5 | 77721 | U | ORST Q1 | 21–0 |
 IDST @  ORST2024 · Week 1 |
ORST -29.5 | 57.5 | 16264653 | U | IDST Q1 | 15–38 |
BOIS
WSU
AFA
SJSU
CAL
UNLV
NEV
CSU
PUR
SDSUWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 73% 8
Q2 0% 0
Q3 0% 0
Q4 27% 3
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 80% and covered 50% of 10 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 82% and covered 55% of 11 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| 1–3 | 2 | 100% 2 |
| 8–10 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 11–14 | 1 | 0% 0 |
| 18–21 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 22+ | 6 | 17% 1 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.