When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
11 games · 2023 · Wyoming · pick one to list those games
36% went over. Of the 4 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 50% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 10% of games.
All 11 games
2023 · Wyoming · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2023 · Postseason |
WYO -5.5 | 44 | 3162131 | U | TOL Q1 Lead lost |
15–16 |
2023 · Week 13 |
WYO -11.5 | 41.5 | 14274148 | Q4 | WYO Q1 | 42–6 |
2023 · Week 12 |
WYO -13.5 | 45 | 14354451 | Q4 | WYO Q1 Late over |
9–42 |
2023 · Week 11 |
UNLV -3 | 48.5 | 21354248 | U | UNLV Q1 | 14–34 |
2023 · Week 10 |
WYO -6 | 44 | 3173139 | U | WYO Q3 | 15–24 |
2023 · Week 9 |
BOIS -4.5 | 48.5 | 15223639 | U | BOIS Q2 | 7–32 |
2023 · Week 7 |
AFA -12.5 | 41.5 | 21384561 | Q3 | WYO Q1 | 27–34 |
2023 · Week 5 |
WYO -14.5 | 40.5 | 15214161 | Q3 | UNM Q4 | 26–35 |
2023 · Week 4 |
WYO -3 | 45 | 6191941 | U | Push Late cover flip Lead lost |
19–22 |
2023 · Week 3 |
TEX -30 | 48.5 | 10172041 | U | WYO Q1 | 10–31 |
 PRST @  WYO2023 · Week 2 |
WYO -28 | 51 | 14314148 | U | PRST Q1 | 17–31 |
TOL
NEV
HAW
UNLV
CSU
BOIS
AFA
UNM
APP
TEXWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 64% 7
Q2 9% 1
Q3 9% 1
Q4 9% 1
OT 0% 0
Push 9% 1
The team leading at halftime won 73% and covered 64% of 11 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 80% and covered 60% of 10 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 2 | 100% 2 |
| 1–3 | 2 | 100% 2 |
| 4–7 | 1 | 0% 0 |
| 11–14 | 3 | 0% 0 |
| 22+ | 3 | 0% 0 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.