When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?

Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.

When did they go over?

11 games · 2023 · Washington State · pick one to list those games
64% went over. Of the 7 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 43% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 0% of games.

All 11 games

2023 · Washington State · newest first
GameLineTotalPoints by quarterOverCover settledFinal
2023 · Week 13
WASH -15.5 65 14283545 U WSU Q1 21–24
2023 · Week 12
WSU -3.5 59.5 28496370 Q3 WSU Q1 14–56
2023 · Week 11
CAL -2 60 21495281 Q4 CAL Q1 39–42
2023 · Week 10
WSU -14 58 071417 U STAN Q1 10–7
2023 · Week 9
WSU -4.5 49 14455565 Q3 ASU Q1 27–38
2023 · Week 8
ORE -19.5 60.5 6304762 Q4 WSU Q1
Late cover flip Late over
24–38
2023 · Week 7
WSU -7.5 56.5 16263650 U ARIZ Q1 44–6
2023 · Week 4
ORST -3 57.5 21424973 Q4 WSU Q1 35–38
UNCO @ WSU
2023 · Week 3
WSU -48 55 22507185 Q3 UNCO Q1 21–64
2023 · Week 2
WIS -5 58 10334653 U WSU Q1 22–31
2023 · Week 1
WSU -9.5 54 10203274 Q4 WSU Q2 50–24

When was the cover settled?

From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 91% 10
Q2 9% 1
Q3 0% 0
Q4 0% 0
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 90% and covered 70% of 10 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 100% and covered 70% of 10 games

Going into the 4th quarter

Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
Points neededGamesWent over
Already over3100% 3
8–102100% 2
11–14250% 1
18–2110% 0
22+333% 1
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.