When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
11 games · 2023 · Texas Tech · pick one to list those games
36% went over. Of the 4 overs, 25% had cashed by halftime and 50% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 27% of games.
All 11 games
2023 · Texas Tech · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2023 · Postseason |
TTU -3.5 | 54.5 | 21384548 | U | TTU Q2 | 14–34 |
2023 · Week 13 |
TEX -15.5 | 53.5 | 17335764 | Q3 | TEX Q2 | 7–57 |
2023 · Week 12 |
TTU -2 | 58.5 | 14283547 | U | UCF Q4 | 23–24 |
2023 · Week 11 |
KU -4 | 62.5 | 10101329 | U | TTU Q1 | 16–13 |
2023 · Week 10 |
TTU -2.5 | 58.5 | 14274963 | Q4 | TTU Q2 Late over |
28–35 |
2023 · Week 8 |
TTU -3 | 49 | 14313441 | U | BYU Q1 | 14–27 |
2023 · Week 7 |
TTU -0.5 | 56.5 | 10315259 | Q4 | KSU Q1 Late over |
38–21 |
2023 · Week 5 |
TTU -9 | 52 | 28637077 | Q2 | TTU Q3 | 28–49 |
2023 · Week 4 |
TTU -6 | 53 | 10161633 | U | WVU Q1 | 13–20 |
 TAR @  TTU2023 · Week 3 |
TTU -36.5 | 75.5 | 21243444 | U | TTU Q4 | 3–41 |
2023 · Week 2 |
ORE -4.5 | 70 | 22314568 | U | ORE Q4 Late cover flip Lead lost |
38–30 |
CAL
TEX
UCF
KU
TCU
BYU
KSU
HOU
WVU
OREWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 36% 4
Q2 27% 3
Q3 9% 1
Q4 27% 3
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 100% and covered 100% of 10 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 91% and covered 82% of 11 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 2 | 100% 2 |
| 4–7 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 8–10 | 2 | 50% 1 |
| 15–17 | 1 | 0% 0 |
| 22+ | 5 | 0% 0 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.