When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
12 games · 2023 · Ohio State · pick one to list those games
25% went over. Of the 3 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 0% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 10% of games.
All 12 games
2023 · Ohio State · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2023 · Postseason |
OSU -4 | 50.5 | 33317 | U | MIZ Q1 | 14–3 |
2023 · Week 13 |
MICH -3 | 46 | 10244154 | Q4 | MICH Q1 Late cover flip |
24–30 |
2023 · Week 12 |
OSU -27.5 | 51.5 | 7133040 | U | OSU Q3 | 3–37 |
2023 · Week 11 |
OSU -32.5 | 48.5 | 14384141 | U | OSU Q3 | 3–38 |
2023 · Week 10 |
OSU -19 | 44 | 7163051 | Q4 | Push Late cover flip Late over |
35–16 |
2023 · Week 9 |
OSU -14.5 | 47 | 3132734 | U | WIS Q1 | 24–10 |
2023 · Week 8 |
OSU -4 | 46.5 | 6161632 | U | OSU Q4 | 12–20 |
2023 · Week 7 |
OSU -17.5 | 52.5 | 13203448 | U | OSU Q2 | 41–7 |
2023 · Week 4 |
OSU -3 | 55.5 | 031731 | U | Push Late cover flip Lead lost |
17–14 |
2023 · Week 3 |
OSU -29.5 | 65 | 10525973 | Q4 | OSU Q2 | 10–63 |
 YSU @  OSU2023 · Week 2 |
OSU -45.5 | 56 | 21354242 | U | YSU Q1 | 7–35 |
2023 · Week 1 |
OSU -27.5 | 60 | 7132326 | U | IU Q1 | 23–3 |
MIZ
MICH
MINN
MSU
RUTG
WIS
PSU
PUR
ND
WKU
IUWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 42% 5
Q2 17% 2
Q3 17% 2
Q4 8% 1
OT 0% 0
Push 17% 2
The team leading at halftime won 83% and covered 50% of 12 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 92% and covered 50% of 12 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| 4–7 | 2 | 100% 2 |
| 8–10 | 1 | 0% 0 |
| 15–17 | 2 | 50% 1 |
| 18–21 | 2 | 0% 0 |
| 22+ | 5 | 0% 0 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.