When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
11 games · 2023 · Florida Atlantic · pick one to list those games
45% went over. Of the 5 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 40% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 10% of games.
All 11 games
2023 · Florida Atlantic · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2023 · Week 13 |
RICE -3 | 47.5 | 14173845 | U | Push | 21–24 |
2023 · Week 12 |
TULN -9 | 47.5 | 7142432 | U | TULN Q2 | 24–8 |
2023 · Week 11 |
FAU -7.5 | 44.5 | 7202029 | U | ECU Q1 | 22–7 |
2023 · Week 10 |
FAU PK | 59 | 7426387 | Q3 | UAB Q1 Late cover flip Lead lost |
42–45 |
2023 · Week 9 |
FAU -3.5 | 45.5 | 10274754 | Q3 | FAU Q1 | 38–16 |
2023 · Week 8 |
UTSA -2.5 | 58.5 | 17303946 | U | UTSA Q2 | 36–10 |
2023 · Week 7 |
USF -2.5 | 60.5 | 7355670 | Q4 | FAU Q1 | 56–14 |
2023 · Week 4 |
ILL -16 | 45.5 | 10243340 | U | FAU Q1 | 17–23 |
2023 · Week 3 |
CLEM -24.5 | 51.5 | 20344162 | Q4 | CLEM Q2 | 14–48 |
2023 · Week 2 |
FAU -3.5 | 61 | 0172427 | U | OHIO Q1 | 17–10 |
 MONM @  FAU2023 · Week 1 |
FAU -26.5 | 56 | 21425662 | Q4 | MONM Q4 | 20–42 |
RICE
TULN
ECU
UAB
CLT
UTSA
USF
ILL
CLEM
OHIOWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 55% 6
Q2 27% 3
Q3 0% 0
Q4 9% 1
OT 0% 0
Push 9% 1
The team leading at halftime won 91% and covered 64% of 11 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 100% and covered 73% of 11 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 2 | 100% 2 |
| 1–3 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 4–7 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 8–10 | 1 | 0% 0 |
| 11–14 | 2 | 50% 1 |
| 18–21 | 1 | 0% 0 |
| 22+ | 3 | 0% 0 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.