When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
11 games · 2023 · Bowling Green · pick one to list those games
64% went over. Of the 7 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 29% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 0% of games.
All 11 games
2023 · Bowling Green · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2023 · Postseason |
MINN -2.5 | 44.5 | 13193354 | Q4 | MINN Q3 | 24–30 |
2023 · Week 13 |
BGSU -2.5 | 51.5 | 10343744 | U | BGSU Q1 | 34–10 |
2023 · Week 12 |
TOL -9.5 | 50 | 21384563 | Q4 | BGSU Q1 Lead lost |
32–31 |
2023 · Week 11 |
BGSU -11.5 | 41.5 | 17344168 | Q4 | BGSU Q2 | 49–19 |
2023 · Week 10 |
BGSU -5 | 40 | 7212845 | Q4 | BALL Q3 | 21–24 |
2023 · Week 8 |
BGSU -7 | 37 | 10204155 | Q3 | BGSU Q3 | 14–41 |
2023 · Week 7 |
BUFF -2.5 | 44.5 | 17313838 | U | BGSU Q1 | 24–14 |
2023 · Week 5 |
GT -21 | 49 | 21315865 | Q3 | BGSU Q1 | 38–27 |
2023 · Week 4 |
OHIO -13 | 45.5 | 21313845 | U | OHIO Q1 | 38–7 |
2023 · Week 3 |
MICH -40.5 | 53.5 | 7203737 | U | BGSU Q1 | 6–31 |
 EIU @  BGSU2023 · Week 2 |
BGSU -17.5 | 48 | 13334353 | Q4 | BGSU Q3 | 15–38 |
MINN
WMU
TOL
KENT
BALL
AKR
BUFF
GT
OHIO
MICHWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 55% 6
Q2 9% 1
Q3 36% 4
Q4 0% 0
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 82% and covered 73% of 11 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 90% and covered 90% of 10 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 2 | 100% 2 |
| 1–3 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 4–7 | 3 | 67% 2 |
| 8–10 | 1 | 0% 0 |
| 11–14 | 2 | 100% 2 |
| 15–17 | 2 | 0% 0 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.