Mid-American ConferencePower #23715-15 SU17-13 ATS16-14 O/U
Buffalo went 15-15 straight up, 17-13 against the spread (57% covers, average cover margin +1.8 points), 16-14 on over/unders in 2025-26, including 8-6 ATS as a favorite and 9-7 ATS as an underdog.
Last 5 (result · ATS · O/U):LWO·LLU·WLU·LLO·LWU
Cover margin by gameTotal margin by game
Points by which BUF beat (up) or missed (down) its closing linePoints the final score landed over (up) or under (down) the closing total
+2.5
USM+3.5
GB+31.5
@DEP+5.5
UVM+2.5
VMI−2.5
BUCK+8.5
@CAN−2.5
SBU+0.5
@UMBC−1.5
@ECU+14.5
@WMU+7.5
@NIU+6.5
BALL−6.5
@OHIO−3.5
KENT+7.5
@M-OH−10.5
AKR−2.5
MASS+18.5
@BGSU−14.5OHIO+2.5M-OH−8.5
@USA+11.5@BALL−11.5NIU+11.5@MASS+1.5@AKR−10.5
CMU−0.5
EMU−15.5
@TOL+9.5AKR
USM+3.5GB+31.5@DEP+5.5UVM+2.5VMI−2.5BUCK+8.5@CAN−2.5SBU+0.5@UMBC−1.5@ECU+14.5@WMU+7.5@NIU+6.5BALL−6.5@OHIO−3.5KENT+7.5@M-OH−10.5AKR−2.5MASS+18.5@BGSU−14.5OHIO+2.5M-OH−8.5@USA+11.5@BALL−11.5NIU+11.5@MASS+1.5@AKR−10.5CMU−0.5EMU−15.5@TOL+9.5AKRcovered 17didn’t cover 13avg +1.8 ptstaller = bigger margin
+10.5USM+11.5GB−34.5@DEP+42.5UVM−2.5VMI−2.5BUCK−15.5@CAN+1.5SBU+16.5@UMBC−3.5@ECU+8.5@WMU−4.5@NIU+11.5BALL+14.5@OHIO+2.5KENT+44.5@M-OH−21.5AKR−24.5MASS+16.5@BGSU+21.5OHIO−21.5M-OH+4.5@USA−25.5@BALL−3.5NIU+16.5@MASS+23.5@AKR−6.5CMU−4.5EMU+21.5@TOL−15.5AKR
USM+11.5GB−34.5@DEP+42.5UVM−2.5VMI−2.5BUCK−15.5@CAN+1.5SBU+16.5@UMBC−3.5@ECU+8.5@WMU−4.5@NIU+11.5BALL+14.5@OHIO+2.5KENT+44.5@M-OH−21.5AKR−24.5MASS+16.5@BGSU+21.5OHIO−21.5M-OH+4.5@USA−25.5@BALL−3.5NIU+16.5@MASS+23.5@AKR−6.5CMU−4.5EMU+21.5@TOL−15.5AKRover 16under 14avg +2.7 ptstaller = bigger margin
Straight up
15-15
50% wins
Against the spread
17-13
57% covers
Avg cover margin
+1.8
points vs the line
Over / Under
16-14
53% overs
Points for / against
77.5 / 77.0
per game
Buffalo 2025-26 team stats
30 games · rank among 365 teams · a longer bar is a better rank
Scoring
Points per game77.5 #106
Points per possession1.14 #73
Pace (possessions)68.2 #219
Shooting
Effective FG%55.4 #30
3-point %37.9 #20
3-point attempt rate45.5 #57
Free throw rate39.6 #65
Possessions
Turnover rate16.2 #152
Offensive rebound rate27.1 #291
Assists per game14.1 #138
Defense
Points allowed77.0 #244
Points allowed per possession1.13 #279
Opponent effective FG%55.1 #333
Opponent 3-point %35.1 #252
Turnovers forced17.8 #105
Defensive rebound rate68.9 #209
Steals per game7.6 #72
Blocks per game2.8 #262
Buffalo 2025-26 schedule, lines & results
30 played · 0 to go
| Date | Opponent | Line | Total | Result | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | Southern Miss non-conf | -3.5 | 153.5 | W 85-79 | W +2.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 7 | Green Bay non-conf | -3.5 | 147.5 | W 83-76 | W +3.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 11 | @ DePaul non-conf | +18.5 | 153.5 | W 66-53 | W +31.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 18 | Vermont non-conf | +1.5 | 141.5 | W 94-90 | W +5.5 | O 184 |
| Nov 24 | VMI non-conf (N) | -5.5 | 150.5 | W 78-70 | W +2.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 26 | Bucknell non-conf (N) | -4.5 | 146.5 | W 73-71 | L -2.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 29 | @ Canisius non-conf | -9.5 | 139.5 | W 71-53 | W +8.5 | U 124 |
| Dec 6 | St Bonaventure non-conf | +5.5 | 144.5 | L 69-77 | L -2.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 9 | @ UMBC non-conf | -3.5 | 145.5 | W 83-79 | W +0.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 14 | @ East Carolina non-conf | +1.5 | 146.5 | L 70-73 | L -1.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 20 | @ W Michigan | -2.5 | 150.5 | W 88-71 | W +14.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 31 | @ N Illinois | -6.5 | 152.5 | W 81-67 | W +7.5 | U 148 |
| Jan 3 | Ball State | -6.5 | 145.5 | W 85-72 | W +6.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 10 | @ Ohio | +4.5 | 156.5 | L 80-91 | L -6.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 13 | Kent State | +2.5 | 165.5 | L 81-87 | L -3.5 | O 168 |
| Jan 17 | @ Miami OH | +10.5 | 162.5 | L 102-105 | W +7.5 | O 207 |
| Jan 20 | Akron | +8.5 | 166.5 | L 63-82 | L -10.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 23 | UMass | -1.5 | 159.5 | L 67-68 | L -2.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 27 | @ Bowling Green | +7.5 | 150.5 | W 89-78 | W +18.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 31 | Ohio | -2.5 | 156.5 | L 83-95 | L -14.5 | O 178 |
| Feb 3 | #23Miami OH | +4.5 | 165.5 | L 71-73 | W +2.5 | U 144 |
| Feb 7 | @ South Alabama non-conf | +3.5 | 145.5 | L 69-81 | L -8.5 | O 150 |
| Feb 11 | @ Ball State | +1.5 | 141.5 | W 63-53 | W +11.5 | U 116 |
| Feb 17 | N Illinois | -9.5 | 145.5 | L 70-72 | L -11.5 | U 142 |
| Feb 21 | @ UMass | +7.5 | 151.5 | W 86-82 | W +11.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 24 | @ Akron | +15.5 | 160.5 | L 85-99 | W +1.5 | O 184 |
| Feb 28 | C Michigan | -5.5 | 151.5 | L 70-75 | L -10.5 | U 145 |
| Mar 3 | E Michigan | -5.5 | 143.5 | W 72-67 | L -0.5 | U 139 |
| Mar 6 | @ Toledo | +5.5 | 155.5 | L 78-99 | L -15.5 | O 177 |
| Mar 12 | Akron (N) | +12.5 | 158.5 | L 70-73 | W +9.5 | U 143 |
Buffalo 2025-26 ATS and over/under splits
Home, away, favorite, underdog and conference
| Situation | SU | ATS | Cover % | Avg margin | O/U | PF | PA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 15-15 | 17-13 | 57% | +1.8 | 16-14 | 77.5 | 77.0 |
| Home | 5-8 | 5-8 | 38% | -2.7 | 7-6 | 76.4 | 77.9 |
| Away | 8-6 | 10-4 | 71% | +5.8 | 9-5 | 79.4 | 77.4 |
| Neutral site | 2-1 | 2-1 | 67% | +3.2 | 0-3 | 73.7 | 71.3 |
| As favorite | 10-4 | 8-6 | 57% | +0.3 | 6-8 | 77.8 | 72.5 |
| As underdog | 5-11 | 9-7 | 56% | +3.2 | 10-6 | 77.3 | 81.0 |
| In conference | 7-12 | 10-9 | 53% | +0.8 | 10-9 | 78.1 | 79.4 |
| Non-conference | 8-3 | 7-4 | 64% | +3.6 | 6-5 | 76.5 | 72.9 |
How Buffalo’s games played out
By the score at halftime
Led at halftime14 games · won 10 · covered 9
Trailed at halftime16 games · won 5 · covered 8