Paycom Center · Neutral site · NCAA Tournament
Closing line
HOU -24.5✓ HOU covered by 6.5
HOU -24.5✓ HOU covered by 6.5Closing total137.5Under by 12.5
 IDHO | This season | HOU |
|---|---|---|
| 18-14 | Record | 28-6 |
| 16-16 | ATS | 17-17 |
| 14-18 | O/U | 14-20 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: IDHO 56–81 HOU · ✓ HOU (99%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| IDHO | 24 | 23 | 47 |
| HOU | 48 | 30 | 78 |
1st half: IDHO 24, HOU 48 (HOU by 24). The model had HOU by 15.2 and a total of 64.1 (actual 72).
Team stats
| IDHO | HOU | |
|---|---|---|
| 16-56 29% | Field goals | 31-62 50% |
| 6-30 20% | 3-pointers | 8-15 53% |
| 9-15 60% | Free throws | 8-11 73% |
| 32 7 off | Rebounds | 47 8 off |
| 8 | Assists | 10 |
| 5 | Steals | 8 |
| 5 | Blocks | 1 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 13 | Fouls | 15 |
| 16 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 13 |
Players
| IDHO | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Rasmussen F | 32 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2-8 | 0-3 |
| Kolton Mitchell G | 30 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 4-7 | 3-6 |
| Biko Johnson G | 29 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 3-11 | 2-8 |
| Brody Rowbury F | 29 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Isaiah Brickner G | 28 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1-9 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tre Blassingame G | 21 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3-6 | 0-1 |
| Seth Joba F | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-4 | 0-3 |
| Jack Payne G | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Miles Klapper G | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Aidan Sevilla G | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Ewan Steele F | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Titus Yearout, Kristian Gonzalez, Tyler Linhardt, Talon Jenkins, Will Jenson
| HOU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milos Uzan G | 33 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 5-13 | 2-6 |
| Kingston Flemings G | 27 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8-12 | 0-0 |
| Joseph Tugler F | 25 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 5-13 | 0-0 |
| Chris Cenac Jr. F | 25 | 7 | 18 | 0 | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Emanuel Sharp G | 22 | 16 | 4 | 2 | 6-7 | 3-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Mercy Miller G | 24 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 4-9 | 2-3 |
| Chase McCarty F | 15 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Kalifa Sakho F | 12 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Ramon Walker Jr. G | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Cedric Lath C | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Isiah Harwell G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jacob McFarland, Bryce Jackson, Kordel Jefferson
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketHOU -24.5
ModelHOU -25.7
Model edgeHOU +1.2
W HOU covered
Total
Market137.5
Model136.9
Model edgeUnder 0.6
W Under
Projected score
IDHO 55.6 · HOU 81.3
IDHO 47 · HOU 78
Win probability
HOU 99%
1st half
Spread
HOU -15.2
HOU -24.0
Total
64.1
72 points
Projected score
IDHO 24.5 · HOU 39.6
IDHO 24 · HOU 48
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenHOU -19.5
5 → HOU
CloseHOU -24.5
5 pts toward HOU
Total
Open133.5
▲ 4
Close137.5
Up 4 since the open
Moneyline
IDHO +2200 · HOU -8000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened HOU -19.5 · closed HOU -24.5 · moved 5 toward HOUmodel HOU -25.5
model HOU -25.5
Opened 133.5 · closed 137.5 · moved 4 upmodel 137
model 137
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| IDHO | 8-2 80% | 8-2 80% | 5-5 50% |
| HOU | 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Idaho
32 games played
Straight up
18-14
56% wins
Against the spread
16-16
50% covers · avg +1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-18
44% overs · avg −1.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ WSU | W 83-81 | +7.5 | W +9.5 | 154.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 12 | @ USD | L 74-78 | -1.5 | L −5.5 | 155.5 | U 152 |
| Nov 15 | @ UCSD | L 67-75 | +5.5 | L −2.5 | 148.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 26 | vs CSUN | W 78-64 | -1.5 | W +12.5 | 159.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 28 | vs SHSU | L 68-94 | -1.5 | L −27.5 | 154.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 3 | vs UND | W 90-58 | -11.5 | W +20.5 | 151.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 6 | @ SDST | W 84-81 | +5.5 | W +8.5 | 147.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 10 | @ ND | L 65-80 | +11.5 | L −3.5 | 144.5 | O 145 |
| Dec 21 | @ CP | W 83-80 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 167.5 | U 163 |
| Dec 23 | @ CSUB | L 63-64 | -7.5 | L −8.5 | 150.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 3 | vs EWU | W 84-81 | -6.5 | L −3.5 | 158.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 8 | vs MONT | L 73-79 | -4.5 | L −10.5 | 154.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 10 | vs MTST | W 92-89 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 144.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 15 | @ IDST | L 68-76 | +2.5 | L −5.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 17 | @ WEB | W 75-67 | -1.5 | W +6.5 | 158.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 22 | vs SAC | W 86-76 | -10.5 | L −0.5 | 161.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 24 | vs PRST | L 66-69 | -1.5 | L −4.5 | 145.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 29 | @ UNCO | L 83-91 | +2.5 | L −5.5 | 155.5 | O 174 |
| Jan 31 | @ NAU | W 79-62 | -5.5 | W +11.5 | 146.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 5 | @MTST | L 66-73 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 147.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 7 | @MONT | L 68-73 | +1.5 | L −3.5 | 152.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 12 | vsWEB | L 72-83 | -5.5 | L −16.5 | 153.5 | O 155 |
| Feb 14 | vsIDST | W 99-69 | -6.5 | W +23.5 | 146.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 19 | @PRST | L 67-77 | +3.5 | L −6.5 | 145.5 | U 144 |
| Feb 21 | @SAC | W 86-80 | -4.5 | W +1.5 | 163.5 | O 166 |
| Feb 26 | vsNAU | W 78-58 | -10.5 | W +9.5 | 145.5 | U 136 |
| Feb 28 | vsUNCO | L 67-76 | -2.5 | L −11.5 | 156.5 | U 143 |
| Mar 2 | @EWU | W 85-81 | +3.5 | W +7.5 | 151.5 | O 166 |
| Mar 7 | vsSAC | W 68-45 | -6.5 | W +16.5 | 158.5 | U 113 |
| Mar 8 | vsMTST | W 78-74 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 143.5 | O 152 |
| Mar 10 | vsEWU | W 81-68 | -1.5 | W +11.5 | 148.5 | O 149 |
| Mar 11 | vsMONT | W 77-66 | -3.5 | W +7.5 | 147.5 | U 143 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@WSU
WSUW 83-81
+9.5
12
@USD
USDL 74-78
−5.5
15
@UCSD
UCSDL 67-75
−2.5
26
vsCSUN
CSUNW 78-64
+12.5
28
vsSHSU
SHSUL 68-94
−27.5
3
vsUND
UNDW 90-58
+20.5
6
@SDST
SDSTW 84-81
+8.5
10
@ND
NDL 65-80
−3.5
21
@CP
CPW 83-80
+1.5
23
@CSUB
CSUBL 63-64
−8.5
3
vsEWU
EWUW 84-81
−3.5
8
vsMONT
MONTL 73-79
−10.5
10
vsMTST
MTSTW 92-89
+1.5
15
@IDST
IDSTL 68-76
−5.5
17
@WEB
WEBW 75-67
+6.5
22
vsSAC
SACW 86-76
−0.5
24
vsPRST
PRSTL 66-69
−4.5
29
@UNCO
UNCOL 83-91
−5.5
31
@NAU
NAUW 79-62
+11.5
5
@MTST
MTSTL 66-73
−4.5
7
@MONT
MONTL 68-73
−3.5
12
vsWEB
WEBL 72-83
−16.5
14
vsIDST
IDSTW 99-69
+23.5
19
@PRST
PRSTL 67-77
−6.5
21
@SAC
SACW 86-80
+1.5
26
vsNAU
NAUW 78-58
+9.5
28
vsUNCO
UNCOL 67-76
−11.5
2
@EWU
EWUW 85-81
+7.5
7
vsSAC
SACW 68-45
+16.5
8
vsMTST
MTSTW 78-74
+2.5
10
vsEWU
EWUW 81-68
+11.5
11
vsMONT
MONTW 77-66
+7.5
covered 16didn’t cover 16avg +1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@WSU
WSUW 83-81
+9.5
12
@USD
USDL 74-78
−3.5
15
@UCSD
UCSDL 67-75
−6.5
26
vsCSUN
CSUNW 78-64
−17.5
28
vsSHSU
SHSUL 68-94
+7.5
3
vsUND
UNDW 90-58
−3.5
6
@SDST
SDSTW 84-81
+17.5
10
@ND
NDL 65-80
+0.5
21
@CP
CPW 83-80
−4.5
23
@CSUB
CSUBL 63-64
−23.5
3
vsEWU
EWUW 84-81
+6.5
8
vsMONT
MONTL 73-79
−2.5
10
vsMTST
MTSTW 92-89
+36.5
15
@IDST
IDSTL 68-76
−5.5
17
@WEB
WEBW 75-67
−16.5
22
vsSAC
SACW 86-76
+0.5
24
vsPRST
PRSTL 66-69
−10.5
29
@UNCO
UNCOL 83-91
+18.5
31
@NAU
NAUW 79-62
−5.5
5
@MTST
MTSTL 66-73
−8.5
7
@MONT
MONTL 68-73
−11.5
12
vsWEB
WEBL 72-83
+1.5
14
vsIDST
IDSTW 99-69
+21.5
19
@PRST
PRSTL 67-77
−1.5
21
@SAC
SACW 86-80
+2.5
26
vsNAU
NAUW 78-58
−9.5
28
vsUNCO
UNCOL 67-76
−13.5
2
@EWU
EWUW 85-81
+14.5
7
vsSAC
SACW 68-45
−45.5
8
vsMTST
MTSTW 78-74
+8.5
10
vsEWU
EWUW 81-68
+0.5
11
vsMONT
MONTW 77-66
−4.5
over 14under 18avg −1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Houston
34 games played
Straight up
28-6
82% wins
Against the spread
17-17
50% covers · avg +0.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-20
41% overs · avg −0.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs LEH | W 75-57 | -36.5 | L −18.5 | 136.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 8 | vs TOW | W 65-48 | -26.5 | L −9.5 | 130.5 | U 113 |
| Nov 12 | vs OAK | W 78-45 | -30.5 | W +2.5 | 138.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 16 | vs AUB | W 73-72 | -7.5 | L −6.5 | 140.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 20 | vs RID | W 91-45 | -40.5 | W +5.5 | 134.5 | O 136 |
| Nov 24 | vs SYR | W 78-74 | -14.5 | L −10.5 | 140.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 25 | vs TENN | L 73-76 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 136.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 26 | vsND | W 66-56 | -11.5 | L −1.5 | 132.5 | U 122 |
| Dec 6 | vs FSU | W 82-67 | -12.5 | W +2.5 | 148.5 | O 149 |
| Dec 10 | vs JKST | W 80-38 | -40.5 | W +1.5 | 137.5 | U 118 |
| Dec 13 | vs NOLA | W 99-57 | -32.5 | W +9.5 | 138.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 20 | vs ARK | W 94-85 | -5.5 | W +3.5 | 146.5 | O 179 |
| Dec 29 | vs MTSU | W 69-60 | -25.5 | L −16.5 | 138.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 3 | @ CIN | W 67-60 | -4.5 | W +2.5 | 135.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 6 | vs TTU | W 69-65 | -7.5 | L −3.5 | 142.5 | U 134 |
| Jan 10 | @ BAY | W 77-55 | -2.5 | W +19.5 | 142.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 13 | vs WVU | W 77-48 | -13.5 | W +15.5 | 127.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 18 | vs ASU | W 103-73 | -18.5 | W +11.5 | 142.5 | O 176 |
| Jan 24 | @TTU | L 86-90 | -1.5 | L −5.5 | 141.5 | O 176 |
| Jan 28 | @ TCU | W 79-70 | -8.5 | W +0.5 | 139.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 31 | vsCIN | W 76-54 | -13.5 | W +8.5 | 135.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 4 | vs UCF | W 79-55 | -15.5 | W +8.5 | 146.5 | U 134 |
| Feb 7 | @ BYU | W 77-66 | -1.5 | W +9.5 | 151.5 | U 143 |
| Feb 10 | @ UTAH | W 66-52 | -16.5 | L −2.5 | 142.5 | U 118 |
| Feb 14 | vs KSU | W 78-64 | -22.5 | L −8.5 | 144.5 | U 142 |
| Feb 16 | @ ISU | L 67-70 | +2.5 | L −0.5 | 134.5 | O 137 |
| Feb 21 | vs ARIZ | L 66-73 | -6.5 | L −13.5 | 142.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 23 | @ KU | L 56-69 | -2.5 | L −15.5 | 138.5 | U 125 |
| Feb 28 | vs COLO | W 102-62 | -20.5 | W +19.5 | 139.5 | O 164 |
| Mar 4 | vsBAY | W 77-64 | -12.5 | W +0.5 | 143.5 | U 141 |
| Mar 7 | @ OKST | W 82-75 | -13.5 | L −6.5 | 151.5 | O 157 |
| Mar 12 | vsBYU | W 73-66 | -9.5 | L −2.5 | 146.5 | U 139 |
| Mar 13 | vsKU | W 69-47 | -5.5 | W +16.5 | 139.5 | U 116 |
| Mar 14 | vsARIZ | L 74-79 | +1.5 | L −3.5 | 138.5 | O 153 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsLEH
LEHW 75-57
−18.5
8
vsTOW
TOWW 65-48
−9.5
12
vsOAK
OAKW 78-45
+2.5
16
vsAUB
AUBW 73-72
−6.5
20
vsRID
RIDW 91-45
+5.5
24
vsSYR
SYRW 78-74
−10.5
25
vsTENN
TENNL 73-76
−5.5
26
vsND
NDW 66-56
−1.5
6
vsFSU
FSUW 82-67
+2.5
10
vsJKST
JKSTW 80-38
+1.5
13
vsNOLA
NOLAW 99-57
+9.5
20
vsARK
ARKW 94-85
+3.5
29
vsMTSU
MTSUW 69-60
−16.5
3
@CIN
CINW 67-60
+2.5
6
vsTTU
TTUW 69-65
−3.5
10
@BAY
BAYW 77-55
+19.5
13
vsWVU
WVUW 77-48
+15.5
18
vsASU
ASUW 103-73
+11.5
24
@TTU
TTUL 86-90
−5.5
28
@TCU
TCUW 79-70
+0.5
31
vsCIN
CINW 76-54
+8.5
4
vsUCF
UCFW 79-55
+8.5
7
@BYU
BYUW 77-66
+9.5
10
@UTAH
UTAHW 66-52
−2.5
14
vsKSU
KSUW 78-64
−8.5
16
@ISU
ISUL 67-70
−0.5
21
vsARIZ
ARIZL 66-73
−13.5
23
@KU
KUL 56-69
−15.5
28
vsCOLO
COLOW 102-62
+19.5
4
vsBAY
BAYW 77-64
+0.5
7
@OKST
OKSTW 82-75
−6.5
12
vsBYU
BYUW 73-66
−2.5
13
vsKU
KUW 69-47
+16.5
14
vsARIZ
ARIZL 74-79
−3.5
covered 17didn’t cover 17avg +0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsLEH
LEHW 75-57
−4.5
8
vsTOW
TOWW 65-48
−17.5
12
vsOAK
OAKW 78-45
−15.5
16
vsAUB
AUBW 73-72
+4.5
20
vsRID
RIDW 91-45
+1.5
24
vsSYR
SYRW 78-74
+11.5
25
vsTENN
TENNL 73-76
+12.5
26
vsND
NDW 66-56
−10.5
6
vsFSU
FSUW 82-67
+0.5
10
vsJKST
JKSTW 80-38
−19.5
13
vsNOLA
NOLAW 99-57
+17.5
20
vsARK
ARKW 94-85
+32.5
29
vsMTSU
MTSUW 69-60
−9.5
3
@CIN
CINW 67-60
−8.5
6
vsTTU
TTUW 69-65
−8.5
10
@BAY
BAYW 77-55
−10.5
13
vsWVU
WVUW 77-48
−2.5
18
vsASU
ASUW 103-73
+33.5
24
@TTU
TTUL 86-90
+34.5
28
@TCU
TCUW 79-70
+9.5
31
vsCIN
CINW 76-54
−5.5
4
vsUCF
UCFW 79-55
−12.5
7
@BYU
BYUW 77-66
−8.5
10
@UTAH
UTAHW 66-52
−24.5
14
vsKSU
KSUW 78-64
−2.5
16
@ISU
ISUL 67-70
+2.5
21
vsARIZ
ARIZL 66-73
−3.5
23
@KU
KUL 56-69
−13.5
28
vsCOLO
COLOW 102-62
+24.5
4
vsBAY
BAYW 77-64
−2.5
7
@OKST
OKSTW 82-75
+5.5
12
vsBYU
BYUW 73-66
−7.5
13
vsKU
KUW 69-47
−23.5
14
vsARIZ
ARIZL 74-79
+14.5
over 14under 20avg −0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Idaho
18-14 overall · 13-9 in conference · Big Sky Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Montana77–66
- Wvs E Washington81–68
- Wvs Montana St78–74
- Wvs Sacramento St68–45
- W@ E Washington85–81
A week or more of rest.
Houston
28-6 overall · 16-5 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Arizona74–79
- Wvs Kansas69–47
- Wvs BYU73–66
- W@ Oklahoma St82–75
- Wvs Baylor77–64
5 days since their last game.