Paycom Center · Neutral site · NCAA Tournament
Closing line
SMC -2.5✓ TA&M covered by 15.5
SMC -2.5✓ TA&M covered by 15.5Closing total149.5Under by 36.5
 TA&M | This season | SMC |
|---|---|---|
| 21-11 | Record | 26-5 |
| 18-14 | ATS | 19-12 |
| 18-14 | O/U | 14-17 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: TA&M 78–76 SMC · ✓ TA&M (54%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TA&M | 37 | 26 | 63 |
| SMC | 26 | 24 | 50 |
1st half: TA&M 37, SMC 26 (TA&M by 11). The model had TA&M by 0.9 and a total of 71.9 (actual 63).
Team stats
| TA&M | SMC | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-52 44% | Field goals | 18-47 38% |
| 8-23 35% | 3-pointers | 10-23 43% |
| 9-13 69% | Free throws | 4-11 36% |
| 31 9 off | Rebounds | 32 11 off |
| 15 | Assists | 8 |
| 12 | Steals | 5 |
| 1 | Blocks | 3 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 18 |
| 16 | Fouls | 10 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 12 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 2 |
Players
| TA&M | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rashaun Agee F | 31 | 22 | 9 | 3 | 7-11 | 3-5 |
| Ruben Dominguez G | 25 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 4-8 | 3-7 |
| Rylan Griffen G | 24 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2-7 | 0-3 |
| Pop Isaacs G | 23 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1-4 | 1-2 |
| Marcus Hill G | 19 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ali Dibba G | 24 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 4-9 | 0-2 |
| Zach Clemence F | 21 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Jacari Lane G | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Josh Holloway G | 12 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Jamie Vinson F | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Chris McDermott, Federiko Federiko, Jeremiah Green, Noah Shelby, Mackenzie Mgbako
| SMC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Dent G | 36 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 7-14 | 4-9 |
| Dillan Shaw G | 35 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 3-7 | 2-5 |
| Mikey Lewis G | 22 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2-8 | 1-5 |
| Harry Wessels C | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Mantas Juzenas G | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Andrew McKeever C | 29 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| Liam Campbell G | 28 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 5-7 | 3-3 |
| Paulius Murauskas F | 23 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1-6 | 0-1 |
| Rory Hawke G | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Tony Duckett G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Oliver Faubert F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Kevin Gad, Cade Bennett, Jazz Gardner, Trent MacLean
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSMC -2.5
ModelTA&M -1.3
Model edgeTA&M +3.8
W TA&M covered
Total
Market149.5
Model153.8
Model edgeOver 4.3
L Under
Projected score
TA&M 77.5 · SMC 76.3
TA&M 63 · SMC 50
Win probability
TA&M 54%
1st half
Spread
TA&M -0.9
TA&M -11.0
Total
71.9
63 points
Projected score
TA&M 36.4 · SMC 35.5
TA&M 37 · SMC 26
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSMC -3.5
1 → TA&M
CloseSMC -2.5
1 pt toward TA&M
Total
Open148.5
▲ 1
Close149.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
TA&M +124 · SMC -148
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SMC -3.5 · closed SMC -2.5 · moved 1 toward TA&Mmodel TA&M -1.5
model TA&M -1.5
Opened 148.5 · closed 149.5 · moved 1 upmodel 154
model 154
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TA&M | 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% |
| SMC | 8-2 80% | 8-2 80% | 3-7 30% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Texas A&M
32 games played
Straight up
21-11
66% wins
Against the spread
18-14
56% covers · avg +0.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
18-14
56% overs · avg +2.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs NWST | W 98-68 | -21.5 | W +8.5 | 153.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 6 | vs TXSO | W 104-70 | -29.5 | W +4.5 | 161.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 9 | @ OKST | L 63-87 | -2.5 | L −26.5 | 174.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 14 | vs UCF | L 74-86 | -10.5 | L −22.5 | 172.5 | U 160 |
| Nov 18 | vs MONT | W 86-81 | -17.5 | L −12.5 | 164.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 21 | vs MAN | W 109-68 | -23.5 | W +17.5 | 162.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 25 | vs MVSU | W 120-84 | -42.5 | L −6.5 | 154.5 | O 204 |
| Nov 28 | vs FSU | W 95-59 | +1.5 | W +37.5 | 174.5 | U 154 |
| Dec 2 | @ PITT | W 81-73 | -3.5 | W +4.5 | 152.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 7 | vs SMU | L 80-93 | -1.5 | L −14.5 | 164.5 | O 173 |
| Dec 14 | vs JAX | W 112-75 | -26.5 | W +10.5 | 147.5 | O 187 |
| Dec 21 | vs ETAM | W 118-77 | -28.5 | W +12.5 | 166.5 | O 195 |
| Dec 29 | vs PV | W 111-82 | -29.5 | L −0.5 | 177.5 | O 193 |
| Jan 3 | vs LSU | W 75-72 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 168.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 6 | @ AUB | W 90-88 | +6.5 | W +8.5 | 168.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 10 | vs OU | W 83-76 | -4.5 | W +2.5 | 165.5 | U 159 |
| Jan 13 | @ TENN | L 82-87 | +11.5 | W +6.5 | 159.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 17 | @ TEX | W 74-70 | +4.5 | W +8.5 | 166.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 21 | vs MSST | W 88-68 | -8.5 | W +11.5 | 163.5 | U 156 |
| Jan 24 | vs SC | W 92-69 | -10.5 | W +12.5 | 155.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 31 | @ UGA | W 92-77 | +4.5 | W +19.5 | 173.5 | U 169 |
| Feb 4 | @ ALA | L 97-100 | +8.5 | W +5.5 | 180.5 | O 197 |
| Feb 7 | vs FLA | L 67-86 | +5.5 | L −13.5 | 167.5 | U 153 |
| Feb 11 | vs MIZ | L 85-86 | -7.5 | L −8.5 | 160.5 | O 171 |
| Feb 14 | @ VAN | L 69-82 | +7.5 | L −5.5 | 165.5 | U 151 |
| Feb 18 | vs MISS | W 80-77 | -9.5 | L −6.5 | 157.5 | U 157 |
| Feb 21 | @OU | W 75-71 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 165.5 | U 146 |
| Feb 25 | @ ARK | L 84-99 | +7.5 | L −7.5 | 170.5 | O 183 |
| Feb 28 | vsTEX | L 70-76 | -2.5 | L −8.5 | 159.5 | U 146 |
| Mar 3 | vs UK | W 96-85 | -1.5 | W +9.5 | 162.5 | O 181 |
| Mar 7 | @LSU | W 94-91 | -2.5 | W +0.5 | 161.5 | O 185 |
| Mar 12 | vsOU | L 63-83 | -2.5 | L −22.5 | 162.5 | U 146 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsNWST
NWSTW 98-68
+8.5
6
vsTXSO
TXSOW 104-70
+4.5
9
@OKST
OKSTL 63-87
−26.5
14
vsUCF
UCFL 74-86
−22.5
18
vsMONT
MONTW 86-81
−12.5
21
vsMAN
MANW 109-68
+17.5
25
vsMVSU
MVSUW 120-84
−6.5
28
vsFSU
FSUW 95-59
+37.5
2
@PITT
PITTW 81-73
+4.5
7
vsSMU
SMUL 80-93
−14.5
14
vsJAX
JAXW 112-75
+10.5
21
vsETAM
ETAMW 118-77
+12.5
29
vsPV
PVW 111-82
−0.5
3
vsLSU
LSUW 75-72
−2.5
6
@AUB
AUBW 90-88
+8.5
10
vsOU
OUW 83-76
+2.5
13
@TENN
TENNL 82-87
+6.5
17
@TEX
TEXW 74-70
+8.5
21
vsMSST
MSSTW 88-68
+11.5
24
vsSC
SCW 92-69
+12.5
31
@UGA
UGAW 92-77
+19.5
4
@ALA
ALAL 97-100
+5.5
7
vsFLA
FLAL 67-86
−13.5
11
vsMIZ
MIZL 85-86
−8.5
14
@VAN
VANL 69-82
−5.5
18
vsMISS
MISSW 80-77
−6.5
21
@OU
OUW 75-71
+2.5
25
@ARK
ARKL 84-99
−7.5
28
vsTEX
TEXL 70-76
−8.5
3
vsUK
UKW 96-85
+9.5
7
@LSU
LSUW 94-91
+0.5
12
vsOU
OUL 63-83
−22.5
covered 18didn’t cover 14avg +0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsNWST
NWSTW 98-68
+12.5
6
vsTXSO
TXSOW 104-70
+12.5
9
@OKST
OKSTL 63-87
−24.5
14
vsUCF
UCFL 74-86
−12.5
18
vsMONT
MONTW 86-81
+2.5
21
vsMAN
MANW 109-68
+14.5
25
vsMVSU
MVSUW 120-84
+49.5
28
vsFSU
FSUW 95-59
−20.5
2
@PITT
PITTW 81-73
+1.5
7
vsSMU
SMUL 80-93
+8.5
14
vsJAX
JAXW 112-75
+39.5
21
vsETAM
ETAMW 118-77
+28.5
29
vsPV
PVW 111-82
+15.5
3
vsLSU
LSUW 75-72
−21.5
6
@AUB
AUBW 90-88
+9.5
10
vsOU
OUW 83-76
−6.5
13
@TENN
TENNL 82-87
+9.5
17
@TEX
TEXW 74-70
−22.5
21
vsMSST
MSSTW 88-68
−7.5
24
vsSC
SCW 92-69
+5.5
31
@UGA
UGAW 92-77
−4.5
4
@ALA
ALAL 97-100
+16.5
7
vsFLA
FLAL 67-86
−14.5
11
vsMIZ
MIZL 85-86
+10.5
14
@VAN
VANL 69-82
−14.5
18
vsMISS
MISSW 80-77
−0.5
21
@OU
OUW 75-71
−19.5
25
@ARK
ARKL 84-99
+12.5
28
vsTEX
TEXL 70-76
−13.5
3
vsUK
UKW 96-85
+18.5
7
@LSU
LSUW 94-91
+23.5
12
vsOU
OUL 63-83
−16.5
over 18under 14avg +2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Saint Mary's
31 games played
Straight up
26-5
84% wins
Against the spread
19-12
61% covers · avg +2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-17
45% overs · avg −0.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs STMN | W 84-58 | -13.5 | W +12.5 | 141.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 7 | vs UTC | W 87-66 | -15.5 | W +5.5 | 145.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 11 | vs OHIO | W 90-60 | -17.5 | W +12.5 | 144.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 14 | vs UNT | W 80-49 | -14.5 | W +16.5 | 128.5 | O 129 |
| Nov 19 | vs ARST | W 85-72 | -20.5 | L −7.5 | 149.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 26 | vs WICH | W 70-65 | -9.5 | L −4.5 | 139.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 27 | vs VT | W 77-66 | -5.5 | W +5.5 | 144.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 28 | vsVAN | L 71-96 | +4.5 | L −20.5 | 149.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 7 | @ DAV | W 70-61 | -8.5 | W +0.5 | 137.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 14 | vs BOIS | L 67-68 | -2.5 | L −3.5 | 139.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 19 | vs FAU | W 88-75 | -13.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 22 | vs UNI | W 63-58 | -11.5 | L −6.5 | 132.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 28 | @ LMU | W 78-73 | -9.5 | L −4.5 | 143.5 | O 151 |
| Dec 30 | @ PEPP | W 72-45 | -19.5 | W +7.5 | 141.5 | U 117 |
| Jan 2 | vs PORT | W 78-57 | -18.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 4 | vs SEA | W 93-76 | -11.5 | W +5.5 | 139.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 10 | vs WSU | W 88-82 | -15.5 | L −9.5 | 143.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 13 | @ SF | W 82-68 | -5.5 | W +8.5 | 141.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 17 | @ SCU | L 54-62 | +1.5 | L −6.5 | 152.5 | U 116 |
| Jan 21 | vs ORST | W 81-51 | -19.5 | W +10.5 | 142.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 24 | @PORT | W 75-69 | -14.5 | L −8.5 | 144.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 31 | @ GONZ | L 65-73 | +8.5 | W +0.5 | 144.5 | U 138 |
| Feb 4 | vs USD | W 87-60 | -20.5 | W +6.5 | 148.5 | U 147 |
| Feb 7 | vsSF | W 79-54 | -11.5 | W +13.5 | 142.5 | U 133 |
| Feb 11 | vsPEPP | W 88-60 | -24.5 | W +3.5 | 144.5 | O 148 |
| Feb 14 | @ PAC | W 72-61 | -7.5 | W +3.5 | 135.5 | U 133 |
| Feb 18 | @SEA | W 72-70 | -9.5 | L −7.5 | 133.5 | O 142 |
| Feb 21 | @WSU | W 83-67 | -8.5 | W +7.5 | 149.5 | O 150 |
| Feb 25 | vsSCU | W 86-67 | -5.5 | W +13.5 | 153.5 | U 153 |
| Feb 28 | vsGONZ | W 70-59 | +2.5 | W +13.5 | 143.5 | U 129 |
| Mar 9 | vsSCU | L 71-76 | -4.5 | L −9.5 | 150.5 | U 147 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsSTMN
STMNW 84-58
+12.5
7
vsUTC
UTCW 87-66
+5.5
11
vsOHIO
OHIOW 90-60
+12.5
14
vsUNT
UNTW 80-49
+16.5
19
vsARST
ARSTW 85-72
−7.5
26
vsWICH
WICHW 70-65
−4.5
27
vsVT
VTW 77-66
+5.5
28
vsVAN
VANL 71-96
−20.5
7
@DAV
DAVW 70-61
+0.5
14
vsBOIS
BOISL 67-68
−3.5
19
vsFAU
FAUW 88-75
−0.5
22
vsUNI
UNIW 63-58
−6.5
28
@LMU
LMUW 78-73
−4.5
30
@PEPP
PEPPW 72-45
+7.5
2
vsPORT
PORTW 78-57
+2.5
4
vsSEA
SEAW 93-76
+5.5
10
vsWSU
WSUW 88-82
−9.5
13
@SF
SFW 82-68
+8.5
17
@SCU
SCUL 54-62
−6.5
21
vsORST
ORSTW 81-51
+10.5
24
@PORT
PORTW 75-69
−8.5
31
@GONZ
GONZL 65-73
+0.5
4
vsUSD
USDW 87-60
+6.5
7
vsSF
SFW 79-54
+13.5
11
vsPEPP
PEPPW 88-60
+3.5
14
@PAC
PACW 72-61
+3.5
18
@SEA
SEAW 72-70
−7.5
21
@WSU
WSUW 83-67
+7.5
25
vsSCU
SCUW 86-67
+13.5
28
vsGONZ
GONZW 70-59
+13.5
9
vsSCU
SCUL 71-76
−9.5
covered 19didn’t cover 12avg +2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSTMN
STMNW 84-58
+0.5
7
vsUTC
UTCW 87-66
+7.5
11
vsOHIO
OHIOW 90-60
+5.5
14
vsUNT
UNTW 80-49
+0.5
19
vsARST
ARSTW 85-72
+7.5
26
vsWICH
WICHW 70-65
−4.5
27
vsVT
VTW 77-66
−1.5
28
vsVAN
VANL 71-96
+17.5
7
@DAV
DAVW 70-61
−6.5
14
vsBOIS
BOISL 67-68
−4.5
19
vsFAU
FAUW 88-75
+17.5
22
vsUNI
UNIW 63-58
−11.5
28
@LMU
LMUW 78-73
+7.5
30
@PEPP
PEPPW 72-45
−24.5
2
vsPORT
PORTW 78-57
−11.5
4
vsSEA
SEAW 93-76
+29.5
10
vsWSU
WSUW 88-82
+26.5
13
@SF
SFW 82-68
+8.5
17
@SCU
SCUL 54-62
−36.5
21
vsORST
ORSTW 81-51
−10.5
24
@PORT
PORTW 75-69
−0.5
31
@GONZ
GONZL 65-73
−6.5
4
vsUSD
USDW 87-60
−1.5
7
vsSF
SFW 79-54
−9.5
11
vsPEPP
PEPPW 88-60
+3.5
14
@PAC
PACW 72-61
−2.5
18
@SEA
SEAW 72-70
+8.5
21
@WSU
WSUW 83-67
+0.5
25
vsSCU
SCUW 86-67
−0.5
28
vsGONZ
GONZW 70-59
−14.5
9
vsSCU
SCUL 71-76
−3.5
over 14under 17avg −0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Texas A&M
21-11 overall · 11-8 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Oklahoma63–83
- W@ LSU94–91
- Wvs Kentucky96–85
- Lvs Texas70–76
- L@ Arkansas84–99
A week or more of rest.
Saint Mary's
26-5 overall · 16-3 in conference · West Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Santa Clara71–76
- Wvs Gonzaga70–59
- Wvs Santa Clara86–67
- W@ Washington St83–67
- W@ Seattle U72–70
A week or more of rest.