Pensacola Bay Center · Neutral site · Conference game · Conference tournament
#296GASOGA Southern82▲ winner
Final
#231MRSHMarshall78final
Closing lineMRSH -2.5✓ GASO covered by 6.5
Closing total166.5Under by 6.5
Season records: GA Southern and Marshall
GASOThis seasonMRSH
18-15Record18-12
16-16ATS10-20
19-13O/U19-11

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model before tip-off: GASO 83–84 MRSH · ✗ MRSH (56%) lost
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Box score

Score by half
1H2HT
GASO424082
MRSH354378

1st half: GASO 42, MRSH 35 (GASO by 7). The model had MRSH by 0.9 and a total of 78.0 (actual 77).

Team stats

GASOMRSH
26-65 40%Field goals27-60 45%
7-26 27%3-pointers10-26 38%
23-29 79%Free throws14-19 74%
43 18 offRebounds35 11 off
10Assists11
5Steals6
5Blocks4
12Turnovers14
15Fouls23
36Points in paint32
8Fast-break points22

Players

GASOMINPTSREBASTFG3P
Spudd Webb G3731518-142-6
Tyren Moore G3611313-131-6
Alden Applewhite F3211812-81-4
Andres Burney F25121116-80-0
Jefferson Koulibaly G140210-30-2
Bench
Nakavieon White F289534-131-4
Khayri Dunn G133011-31-2
Tsvet Sotirov F92111-20-1
Dwayne Williams Jr. G53101-11-1
Shainen Carter F10000-00-0

Did not play: Pavle Ridesic, Sean Van Dorn Jr., Cullen Schreiner, Amare Neal, Cade Lomas, Dallas Gardner, Jayden Williams

MRSHMINPTSREBASTFG3P
Wyatt Fricks F3818607-161-6
Jalen Speer G3715853-152-6
Landen Joseph G3210444-92-5
Caleb Hollenbeck G2111204-63-5
Erich Harding F50100-00-0
Bench
Shamarrie Hugie G3419817-111-2
Wilson Dubinsky G215212-31-2
Kai Spears G60200-00-0
Bryce Slay G40000-00-0
Drew Fuquay F20100-00-0

Did not play: Matt Van Komen, Noah Otshudi, Grant Moore, Will Moore, Kaiden White

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Market vs model

The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketMRSH -2.5
ModelMRSH -1.7
Model edgeGASO +0.8
W GASO covered
Total
Market166.5
Model167.1
Model edgeOver 0.6
L Under
Projected score
GASO 82.7 · MRSH 84.4
GASO 82 · MRSH 78
Win probability
MRSH 56%
1st half
Spread
MRSH -0.9
GASO -7.0
Total
78.0
77 points
Projected score
GASO 38.6 · MRSH 39.5
GASO 42 · MRSH 35

Market

Open → close
Spread
2 pts toward GASO
Total
Down 4 since the open
Moneyline
GASO +136 · MRSH -162
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MRSH -4.5 · closed MRSH -2.5 · moved 2 toward GASOmodel MRSH -1.5
Opened 170.5 · closed 166.5 · moved 4 downmodel 167
Openline modelTip-off

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

GA Southern

18-15 overall · 12-10 in conference · Sun Belt Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Wvs Coastal96–72
  • Wvs South Alabama94–85
  • Wvs Arkansas St80–77
  • Wvs Old Dominion88–84
  • W@ Marshall99–82

1 day since their last game.

Marshall

18-12 overall · 11-7 in conference · Sun Belt Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs GA Southern82–99
  • Wvs Old Dominion97–88
  • L@ Coastal75–79
  • W@ App State94–93
  • Wvs South Alabama84–80

A week or more of rest.