Pensacola Bay Center · Neutral site · Conference game · Conference tournament
Closing line
MRSH -2.5✓ GASO covered by 6.5
Closing total166.5Under by 6.5
| This season | MRSH | |
|---|---|---|
| 18-15 | Record | 18-12 |
| 16-16 | ATS | 10-20 |
| 19-13 | O/U | 19-11 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: GASO 83–84 MRSH · ✗ MRSH (56%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| GASO | 42 | 40 | 82 |
| MRSH | 35 | 43 | 78 |
1st half: GASO 42, MRSH 35 (GASO by 7). The model had MRSH by 0.9 and a total of 78.0 (actual 77).
Team stats
| GASO | MRSH | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-65 40% | Field goals | 27-60 45% |
| 7-26 27% | 3-pointers | 10-26 38% |
| 23-29 79% | Free throws | 14-19 74% |
| 43 18 off | Rebounds | 35 11 off |
| 10 | Assists | 11 |
| 5 | Steals | 6 |
| 5 | Blocks | 4 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 15 | Fouls | 23 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 22 |
Players
| GASO | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spudd Webb G | 37 | 31 | 5 | 1 | 8-14 | 2-6 |
| Tyren Moore G | 36 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 3-13 | 1-6 |
| Alden Applewhite F | 32 | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2-8 | 1-4 |
| Andres Burney F | 25 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 6-8 | 0-0 |
| Jefferson Koulibaly G | 14 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Nakavieon White F | 28 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 4-13 | 1-4 |
| Khayri Dunn G | 13 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Tsvet Sotirov F | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Dwayne Williams Jr. G | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Shainen Carter F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Pavle Ridesic, Sean Van Dorn Jr., Cullen Schreiner, Amare Neal, Cade Lomas, Dallas Gardner, Jayden Williams
| MRSH | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wyatt Fricks F | 38 | 18 | 6 | 0 | 7-16 | 1-6 |
| Jalen Speer G | 37 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 3-15 | 2-6 |
| Landen Joseph G | 32 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 4-9 | 2-5 |
| Caleb Hollenbeck G | 21 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 4-6 | 3-5 |
| Erich Harding F | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Shamarrie Hugie G | 34 | 19 | 8 | 1 | 7-11 | 1-2 |
| Wilson Dubinsky G | 21 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Kai Spears G | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bryce Slay G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Drew Fuquay F | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Matt Van Komen, Noah Otshudi, Grant Moore, Will Moore, Kaiden White
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketMRSH -2.5
ModelMRSH -1.7
Model edgeGASO +0.8
W GASO covered
Total
Market166.5
Model167.1
Model edgeOver 0.6
L Under
Projected score
GASO 82.7 · MRSH 84.4
GASO 82 · MRSH 78
Win probability
MRSH 56%
1st half
Spread
MRSH -0.9
GASO -7.0
Total
78.0
77 points
Projected score
GASO 38.6 · MRSH 39.5
GASO 42 · MRSH 35
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMRSH -4.5
2 → GASO
CloseMRSH -2.5
2 pts toward GASO
Total
Open170.5
▼ 4
Close166.5
Down 4 since the open
Moneyline
GASO +136 · MRSH -162
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MRSH -4.5 · closed MRSH -2.5 · moved 2 toward GASOmodel MRSH -1.5
model MRSH -1.5
Opened 170.5 · closed 166.5 · moved 4 downmodel 167
model 167
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% | 7-3 70% | |
| 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% | 9-1 90% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
GASO 4–4 MRSHSeries tied · 8 games since 2021-22 · GASO has won the last 2 meetings · GASO 6-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2025-26 | GASO 99 @ MRSH 82 | MRSH -7.5 | GASO W |
| Feb 14, 2025-26 | MRSH 87 @ GASO 101 | GASO +2.5 | GASO W |
| Jan 25, 2024-25 | MRSH 71 @ GASO 67 | GASO +1.5 | MRSH W |
| Jan 11, 2024-25 | GASO 69 @ MRSH 81 | MRSH -8.5 | MRSH W |
| Feb 28, 2023-24 | MRSH 73 @ GASO 87 | GASO -1.5 | GASO W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
GA Southern
33 games played
Straight up
18-15
55% wins
Against the spread
16-16
50% covers · avg +0.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
19-13
59% overs · avg +3.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ | L 89-92 | +5.5 | W +2.5 | 151.5 | O 181 |
| Nov 8 | vs | W 93-90 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 162.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 11 | @ | W 95-94 | +3.5 | W +4.5 | 163.5 | O 189 |
| Nov 18 | @ | L 66-68 | +10.5 | W +8.5 | 164.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 21 | @ | L 72-98 | +18.5 | L −7.5 | 175.5 | U 170 |
| Nov 24 | vs | L 61-67 | +1.5 | L −4.5 | 163.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 25 | vs | L 64-77 | -3.5 | L −16.5 | 160.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 29 | vs | W 80-62 | -7.5 | W +10.5 | 148.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 3 | vs | W 77-69 | -1.5 | W +6.5 | 145.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 6 | @ | W 88-84 | -10.5 | L −6.5 | 162.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 13 | @ | W 91-85 | -3.5 | W +2.5 | 154.5 | O 176 |
| Dec 18 | vs | W 90-67 | -9.5 | W +13.5 | 159.5 | U 157 |
| Dec 20 | vs | W 96-92 | -2.5 | W +1.5 | 153.5 | O 188 |
| Jan 1 | @ | W 82-81 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 157.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 3 | @ | W 93-86 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 161.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 10 | @ | L 71-87 | +2.5 | L −13.5 | 148.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 15 | vs | W 87-84 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 162.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 17 | vs | L 75-79 | -6.5 | L −10.5 | 157.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 22 | vs | L 68-85 | +1.5 | L −15.5 | 172.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 24 | vs | L 78-83 | +4.5 | L −0.5 | 159.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 30 | vs | W 79-76 | — | — | — | — |
| Jan 31 | @ | L 60-69 | -2.5 | L −11.5 | 144.5 | U 129 |
| Feb 4 | vs | L 71-77 | -4.5 | L −10.5 | 151.5 | U 148 |
| Feb 11 | vs | L 65-81 | +1.5 | L −14.5 | 143.5 | O 146 |
| Feb 14 | vs | W 101-87 | +2.5 | W +16.5 | 162.5 | O 188 |
| Feb 19 | @ | L 64-66 | -1.5 | L −3.5 | 154.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 21 | @ | L 74-89 | +7.5 | L −7.5 | 147.5 | O 163 |
| Feb 25 | @ | L 66-82 | +5.5 | L −10.5 | 153.5 | U 148 |
| Feb 27 | @ | W 99-82 | +7.5 | W +24.5 | 168.5 | O 181 |
| Mar 4 | vs | W 88-84 | -2.5 | W +1.5 | 157.5 | O 172 |
| Mar 5 | vs | W 80-77 | +7.5 | W +10.5 | 165.5 | U 157 |
| Mar 6 | vs | W 94-85 | +4.5 | W +13.5 | 149.5 | O 179 |
| Mar 7 | vs | W 96-72 | +1.5 | W +25.5 | 151.5 | O 168 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@
ECU
L 89-92
+2.5
8
vs
UNCA
W 93-90
−2.5
11
@
FGCU
W 95-94
+4.5
18
@
GT
L 66-68
+8.5
21
@
FSU
L 72-98
−7.5
24
vs
YSU
L 61-67
−4.5
25
vs
UTSA
L 64-77
−16.5
29
vs
HCU
W 80-62
+10.5
3
vs
LT
W 77-69
+6.5
6
@
GWEB
W 88-84
−6.5
13
@
WGA
W 91-85
+2.5
18
vs
GAST
W 90-67
+13.5
20
vs
JMU
W 96-92
+1.5
1
@
CCU
W 82-81
+2.5
3
@
ODU
W 93-86
+5.5
10
@
USA
L 71-87
−13.5
15
vs
ODU
W 87-84
−2.5
17
vs
CCU
L 75-79
−10.5
22
vs
ARST
L 68-85
−15.5
24
vs
TROY
L 78-83
−0.5
31
@
UL
L 60-69
−11.5
4
vs
TXST
L 71-77
−10.5
11
vs
APP
L 65-81
−14.5
14
vs
MRSH
W 101-87
+16.5
19
@
GAST
L 64-66
−3.5
21
@
APP
L 74-89
−7.5
25
@
JMU
L 66-82
−10.5
27
@
MRSH
W 99-82
+24.5
4
vs
ODU
W 88-84
+1.5
5
vs
ARST
W 80-77
+10.5
6
vs
USA
W 94-85
+13.5
7
vs
CCU
W 96-72
+25.5
covered 16didn’t cover 16avg +0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@
ECU
L 89-92
+29.5
8
vs
UNCA
W 93-90
+20.5
11
@
FGCU
W 95-94
+25.5
18
@
GT
L 66-68
−30.5
21
@
FSU
L 72-98
−5.5
24
vs
YSU
L 61-67
−35.5
25
vs
UTSA
L 64-77
−19.5
29
vs
HCU
W 80-62
−6.5
3
vs
LT
W 77-69
+0.5
6
@
GWEB
W 88-84
+9.5
13
@
WGA
W 91-85
+21.5
18
vs
GAST
W 90-67
−2.5
20
vs
JMU
W 96-92
+34.5
1
@
CCU
W 82-81
+5.5
3
@
ODU
W 93-86
+17.5
10
@
USA
L 71-87
+9.5
15
vs
ODU
W 87-84
+8.5
17
vs
CCU
L 75-79
−3.5
22
vs
ARST
L 68-85
−19.5
24
vs
TROY
L 78-83
+1.5
31
@
UL
L 60-69
−15.5
4
vs
TXST
L 71-77
−3.5
11
vs
APP
L 65-81
+2.5
14
vs
MRSH
W 101-87
+25.5
19
@
GAST
L 64-66
−24.5
21
@
APP
L 74-89
+15.5
25
@
JMU
L 66-82
−5.5
27
@
MRSH
W 99-82
+12.5
4
vs
ODU
W 88-84
+14.5
5
vs
ARST
W 80-77
−8.5
6
vs
USA
W 94-85
+29.5
7
vs
CCU
W 96-72
+16.5
over 19under 13avg +3.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Marshall
30 games played
Straight up
18-12
60% wins
Against the spread
10-20
33% covers · avg −1.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
19-11
63% overs · avg +4.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ | W 78-72 | +4.5 | W +10.5 | 152.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 8 | @ | W 85-73 | +2.5 | W +14.5 | 160.5 | U 158 |
| Nov 12 | vs | W 96-89 | -8.5 | L −1.5 | 155.5 | O 185 |
| Nov 15 | @ | L 78-104 | +20.5 | L −5.5 | 155.5 | O 182 |
| Nov 20 | vs | W 98-70 | -20.5 | W +7.5 | 164.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 23 | vs | W 69-60 | -11.5 | L −2.5 | 147.5 | U 129 |
| Nov 26 | vs | L 67-90 | -7.5 | L −30.5 | 157.5 | U 157 |
| Dec 3 | @ | L 69-70 | +8.5 | W +7.5 | 150.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 6 | @ | L 81-88 | +3.5 | L −3.5 | 157.5 | O 169 |
| Dec 10 | vs | W 77-61 | -1.5 | W +14.5 | 159.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 13 | vs | W 76-74 | -3.5 | L −1.5 | 149.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 20 | @ | L 63-70 | +4.5 | L −2.5 | 155.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 31 | vs | W 84-80 | -13.5 | L −9.5 | 151.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 3 | vs | W 88-81 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 141.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 7 | @ | W 66-64 | +1.5 | W +3.5 | 152.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 10 | @ | L 73-81 | -4.5 | L −12.5 | 153.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 14 | vs | L 83-85 | -9.5 | L −11.5 | 151.5 | O 168 |
| Jan 17 | vs | W 77-72 | -6.5 | L −1.5 | 149.5 | U 149 |
| Jan 22 | vs | W 115-60 | -18.5 | W +36.5 | 160.5 | O 175 |
| Jan 28 | @ | L 68-72 | -3.5 | L −7.5 | 147.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 31 | @ | W 70-61 | +3.5 | W +12.5 | 165.5 | U 131 |
| Feb 4 | vs | W 81-77 | -10.5 | L −6.5 | 148.5 | O 158 |
| Feb 7 | vs | L 74-90 | +1.5 | L −14.5 | 162.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 11 | @ | W 81-79 | -3.5 | L −1.5 | 155.5 | O 160 |
| Feb 14 | @ | L 87-101 | -2.5 | L −16.5 | 162.5 | O 188 |
| Feb 16 | vs | W 84-80 | -6.5 | L −2.5 | 150.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 19 | @ | W 94-93 | +3.5 | W +4.5 | 143.5 | O 187 |
| Feb 21 | @ | L 75-79 | -2.5 | L −6.5 | 153.5 | O 154 |
| Feb 24 | vs | W 97-88 | -7.5 | W +1.5 | 159.5 | O 185 |
| Feb 27 | vs | L 82-99 | -7.5 | L −24.5 | 168.5 | O 181 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
MASS
W 78-72
+10.5
8
@
TOL
W 85-73
+14.5
12
vs
ELON
W 96-89
−1.5
15
@
UVA
L 78-104
−5.5
20
vs
UAPB
W 98-70
+7.5
23
vs
MERC
W 69-60
−2.5
26
vs
LIP
L 67-90
−30.5
3
@
UNCW
L 69-70
+7.5
6
@
OHIO
L 81-88
−3.5
10
vs
WKU
W 77-61
+14.5
13
vs
WRST
W 76-74
−1.5
20
@
TROY
L 63-70
−2.5
31
vs
GAST
W 84-80
−9.5
3
vs
APP
W 88-81
−0.5
7
@
JMU
W 66-64
+3.5
10
@
GAST
L 73-81
−12.5
14
vs
CCU
L 83-85
−11.5
17
vs
JMU
W 77-72
−1.5
22
vs
ULM
W 115-60
+36.5
28
@
TXST
L 68-72
−7.5
31
@
ARST
W 70-61
+12.5
4
vs
USM
W 81-77
−6.5
7
vs
M-OH
L 74-90
−14.5
11
@
ODU
W 81-79
−1.5
14
@
GASO
L 87-101
−16.5
16
vs
USA
W 84-80
−2.5
19
@
APP
W 94-93
+4.5
21
@
CCU
L 75-79
−6.5
24
vs
ODU
W 97-88
+1.5
27
vs
GASO
L 82-99
−24.5
covered 10didn’t cover 20avg −1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@
MASS
W 78-72
−2.5
8
@
TOL
W 85-73
−2.5
12
vs
ELON
W 96-89
+29.5
15
@
UVA
L 78-104
+26.5
20
vs
UAPB
W 98-70
+3.5
23
vs
MERC
W 69-60
−18.5
26
vs
LIP
L 67-90
−0.5
3
@
UNCW
L 69-70
−11.5
6
@
OHIO
L 81-88
+11.5
10
vs
WKU
W 77-61
−21.5
13
vs
WRST
W 76-74
+0.5
20
@
TROY
L 63-70
−22.5
31
vs
GAST
W 84-80
+12.5
3
vs
APP
W 88-81
+27.5
7
@
JMU
W 66-64
−22.5
10
@
GAST
L 73-81
+0.5
14
vs
CCU
L 83-85
+16.5
17
vs
JMU
W 77-72
−0.5
22
vs
ULM
W 115-60
+14.5
28
@
TXST
L 68-72
−7.5
31
@
ARST
W 70-61
−34.5
4
vs
USM
W 81-77
+9.5
7
vs
M-OH
L 74-90
+1.5
11
@
ODU
W 81-79
+4.5
14
@
GASO
L 87-101
+25.5
16
vs
USA
W 84-80
+13.5
19
@
APP
W 94-93
+43.5
21
@
CCU
L 75-79
+0.5
24
vs
ODU
W 97-88
+25.5
27
vs
GASO
L 82-99
+12.5
over 19under 11avg +4.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
GA Southern
18-15 overall · 12-10 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Coastal96–72
- Wvs South Alabama94–85
- Wvs Arkansas St80–77
- Wvs Old Dominion88–84
- W@ Marshall99–82
1 day since their last game.
Marshall
18-12 overall · 11-7 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs GA Southern82–99
- Wvs Old Dominion97–88
- L@ Coastal75–79
- W@ App State94–93
- Wvs South Alabama84–80
A week or more of rest.