Freedom Hall (TN) · Neutral site · Conference game · Conference tournament
Closing line
HPU -6.5✓ HPU covered by 8.5
HPU -6.5✓ HPU covered by 8.5Closing total157.5Over by 9.5
 WIN | This season | HPU |
|---|---|---|
| 20-10 | Record | 26-4 |
| 12-18 | ATS | 13-17 |
| 14-16 | O/U | 19-11 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: WIN 80–86 HPU · ✓ HPU (71%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | 33 | 43 | 76 |
| HPU | 39 | 52 | 91 |
1st half: WIN 33, HPU 39 (HPU by 6). The model had HPU by 3.6 and a total of 77.4 (actual 72).
Team stats
| WIN | HPU | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-70 36% | Field goals | 27-59 46% |
| 8-33 24% | 3-pointers | 10-22 45% |
| 18-31 58% | Free throws | 27-32 84% |
| 46 17 off | Rebounds | 40 7 off |
| 11 | Assists | 14 |
| 3 | Steals | 8 |
| 1 | Blocks | 4 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 27 | Fouls | 25 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 18 | Fast-break points | 13 |
Players
| WIN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daylen Berry G | 36 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 7-17 | 2-8 |
| Kody Clouet G | 36 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 3-14 | 3-13 |
| Kareem Rozier G | 34 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 7-17 | 3-8 |
| Isaiah Wilson G | 22 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Ed Nnamoko F | 11 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Logan Duncomb C | 24 | 17 | 10 | 0 | 6-10 | 0-0 |
| Tommy Kamarad F | 14 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Seifeldin Hendawy G | 11 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Josh Meo G | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Tai Hamilton F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Henry Harrison, Cam Christy, Braylhan Thomas, Pharrell Boyogueno, Kaleb Evans
| HPU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terry Anderson F | 33 | 18 | 3 | 2 | 6-10 | 1-2 |
| Rob Martin G | 32 | 24 | 2 | 7 | 6-19 | 1-7 |
| Owen Aquino F | 31 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 3-8 | 1-2 |
| Scotty Washington G | 21 | 8 | 9 | 0 | 3-7 | 2-4 |
| Braden Hausen F | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Cam'Ron Fletcher F | 29 | 17 | 19 | 0 | 5-6 | 2-3 |
| Chase Johnston G | 23 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 3-4 | 3-3 |
| Conrad Martinez G | 11 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1-5 | 0-1 |
| Youssouf Singar C | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: David Fonville, Liam Carney, Josh Ibukunoluwa, Birgir Irving, Mavrick Miller, Vincent Brady II, Babacar Diallo, Caden Miller, Dorian Grosber, Kasen Krueger
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketHPU -6.5
ModelHPU -6.3
Model edgeWIN +0.2
L HPU covered
Total
Market157.5
Model165.6
Model edgeOver 8.1
W Over
Projected score
WIN 79.6 · HPU 86
WIN 76 · HPU 91
Win probability
HPU 71%
1st half
Spread
HPU -3.6
HPU -6.0
Total
77.4
72 points
Projected score
WIN 36.9 · HPU 40.5
WIN 33 · HPU 39
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenHPU -6.5
no move
CloseHPU -6.5
No change since the open
Total
Open165.5
▼ 8
Close157.5
Down 8 since the open
Moneyline
WIN +235 · HPU -290
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened HPU -6.5 · unchangedmodel HPU -6.5 matches the line
model HPU -6.5 = line ✓
Opened 165.5 · closed 157.5 · moved 8 downmodel 165.5
model 165.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | 8-2 80% | 2-8 20% | 5-5 50% |
| HPU | 10-0 100% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 11 since 2021-22
WIN 3–8 HPUHPU leads · 11 games since 2021-22 · WIN 4-7 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2025-26 | WIN 87 @ HPU 89 | HPU -9.5 | WIN W |
| Jan 14, 2025-26 | HPU 75 @ WIN 92 | WIN +2.5 | WIN W |
| Mar 9, 2024-25 | WIN 69 vs HPU 81 | HPU -7.5 | HPU W |
| Feb 15, 2024-25 | HPU 88 @ WIN 66 | WIN +3.5 | HPU W |
| Jan 25, 2024-25 | WIN 62 @ HPU 84 | HPU -9.5 | HPU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Winthrop
30 games played
Straight up
20-10
67% wins
Against the spread
12-18
40% covers · avg −0.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-16
47% overs · avg −0.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs QUC | W 81-74 | -3.5 | W +3.5 | 163.5 | U 155 |
| Nov 7 | @ GMU | L 90-96 | +9.5 | W +3.5 | 146.5 | O 186 |
| Nov 11 | @ CCU | L 66-72 | -2.5 | L −8.5 | 165.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 15 | vs MER | W 105-69 | -2.5 | W +33.5 | 162.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 18 | @ ARK | L 83-84 | +23.5 | W +22.5 | 168.5 | U 167 |
| Nov 23 | @ JKST | W 80-62 | -10.5 | W +7.5 | 163.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 25 | @ NEB | L 73-80 | +14.5 | W +7.5 | 166.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 29 | vs SCST | W 101-79 | -20.5 | W +1.5 | 157.5 | O 180 |
| Dec 2 | @ LIU | W 94-92 | -5.5 | L −3.5 | 153.5 | O 186 |
| Dec 6 | vsCCU | L 84-88 | -16.5 | L −20.5 | 153.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 18 | @ UND | L 88-90 | -12.5 | L −14.5 | 157.5 | O 178 |
| Dec 28 | @ TTU | L 57-87 | +17.5 | L −12.5 | 163.5 | U 144 |
| Dec 31 | @ LONG | L 70-82 | -7.5 | L −19.5 | 161.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 3 | vs GWEB | W 88-77 | -23.5 | L −12.5 | 164.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 7 | vs CHSO | W 81-77 | -8.5 | L −4.5 | 166.5 | U 158 |
| Jan 10 | @ UPST | W 71-50 | -5.5 | W +15.5 | 157.5 | U 121 |
| Jan 14 | vsHPU | W 92-75 | +2.5 | W +19.5 | 162.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 17 | @ UNCA | W 69-67 | -5.5 | L −3.5 | 152.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 21 | vs RAD | W 76-75 | -9.5 | L −8.5 | 165.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 24 | @ PRES | W 82-72 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 146.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 31 | vsUNCA | W 84-71 | -9.5 | W +3.5 | 147.5 | O 155 |
| Feb 4 | @RAD | W 80-78 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 161.5 | U 158 |
| Feb 7 | vsLONG | W 79-74 | -10.5 | L −5.5 | 153.5 | U 153 |
| Feb 12 | @GWEB | W 103-85 | -20.5 | L −2.5 | 156.5 | O 188 |
| Feb 19 | vsUPST | W 68-64 | -13.5 | L −9.5 | 158.5 | U 132 |
| Feb 21 | @HPU | L 87-89 | +9.5 | W +7.5 | 166.5 | O 176 |
| Feb 26 | @CHSO | L 84-86 | -8.5 | L −10.5 | 164.5 | O 170 |
| Feb 28 | vsPRES | W 74-70 | -7.5 | L −3.5 | 150.5 | U 144 |
| Mar 6 | vsCHSO | W 86-81 | -6.5 | L −1.5 | 164.5 | O 167 |
| Mar 7 | vsPRES | W 73-71 | -7.5 | L −5.5 | 145.5 | U 144 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsQUC
QUCW 81-74
+3.5
7
@GMU
GMUL 90-96
+3.5
11
@CCU
CCUL 66-72
−8.5
15
vsMER
MERW 105-69
+33.5
18
@ARK
ARKL 83-84
+22.5
23
@JKST
JKSTW 80-62
+7.5
25
@NEB
NEBL 73-80
+7.5
29
vsSCST
SCSTW 101-79
+1.5
2
@LIU
LIUW 94-92
−3.5
6
vsCCU
CCUL 84-88
−20.5
18
@UND
UNDL 88-90
−14.5
28
@TTU
TTUL 57-87
−12.5
31
@LONG
LONGL 70-82
−19.5
3
vsGWEB
GWEBW 88-77
−12.5
7
vsCHSO
CHSOW 81-77
−4.5
10
@UPST
UPSTW 71-50
+15.5
14
vsHPU
HPUW 92-75
+19.5
17
@UNCA
UNCAW 69-67
−3.5
21
vsRAD
RADW 76-75
−8.5
24
@PRES
PRESW 82-72
+4.5
31
vsUNCA
UNCAW 84-71
+3.5
4
@RAD
RADW 80-78
−2.5
7
vsLONG
LONGW 79-74
−5.5
12
@GWEB
GWEBW 103-85
−2.5
19
vsUPST
UPSTW 68-64
−9.5
21
@HPU
HPUL 87-89
+7.5
26
@CHSO
CHSOL 84-86
−10.5
28
vsPRES
PRESW 74-70
−3.5
6
vsCHSO
CHSOW 86-81
−1.5
7
vsPRES
PRESW 73-71
−5.5
covered 12didn’t cover 18avg −0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsQUC
QUCW 81-74
−8.5
7
@GMU
GMUL 90-96
+39.5
11
@CCU
CCUL 66-72
−27.5
15
vsMER
MERW 105-69
+11.5
18
@ARK
ARKL 83-84
−1.5
23
@JKST
JKSTW 80-62
−21.5
25
@NEB
NEBL 73-80
−13.5
29
vsSCST
SCSTW 101-79
+22.5
2
@LIU
LIUW 94-92
+32.5
6
vsCCU
CCUL 84-88
+18.5
18
@UND
UNDL 88-90
+20.5
28
@TTU
TTUL 57-87
−19.5
31
@LONG
LONGL 70-82
−9.5
3
vsGWEB
GWEBW 88-77
+0.5
7
vsCHSO
CHSOW 81-77
−8.5
10
@UPST
UPSTW 71-50
−36.5
14
vsHPU
HPUW 92-75
+4.5
17
@UNCA
UNCAW 69-67
−16.5
21
vsRAD
RADW 76-75
−14.5
24
@PRES
PRESW 82-72
+7.5
31
vsUNCA
UNCAW 84-71
+7.5
4
@RAD
RADW 80-78
−3.5
7
vsLONG
LONGW 79-74
−0.5
12
@GWEB
GWEBW 103-85
+31.5
19
vsUPST
UPSTW 68-64
−26.5
21
@HPU
HPUL 87-89
+9.5
26
@CHSO
CHSOL 84-86
+5.5
28
vsPRES
PRESW 74-70
−6.5
6
vsCHSO
CHSOW 86-81
+2.5
7
vsPRES
PRESW 73-71
−1.5
over 14under 16avg −0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
High Point
30 games played
Straight up
26-4
87% wins
Against the spread
13-17
43% covers · avg +0.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
19-11
63% overs · avg +0.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs FUR | W 97-71 | -3.5 | W +22.5 | 153.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 11 | vs JAX | W 85-64 | -17.5 | W +3.5 | 156.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 14 | @ UAB | L 74-91 | -1.5 | L −18.5 | 168.5 | U 165 |
| Nov 17 | vs CAN | W 93-50 | -23.5 | W +19.5 | 152.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 20 | vs UIC | W 90-80 | -10.5 | L −0.5 | 158.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 22 | vs UIW | W 91-80 | -12.5 | L −1.5 | 160.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 29 | vs WCU | W 93-73 | -16.5 | W +3.5 | 159.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 3 | vs SIU | L 84-86 | -9.5 | L −11.5 | 162.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 5 | vs NJIT | W 89-72 | -28.5 | L −11.5 | 155.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 14 | vs APP | L 78-86 | -12.5 | L −20.5 | 144.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 19 | vs LAS | W 84-72 | -13.5 | L −1.5 | 149.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 22 | vs BRY | W 93-47 | -19.5 | W +26.5 | 153.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 31 | @UNCA | W 87-69 | -10.5 | W +7.5 | 151.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 3 | vsLONG | W 80-67 | -16.5 | L −3.5 | 160.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 7 | vsGWEB | W 104-49 | -26.5 | W +28.5 | 162.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 10 | @CHSO | W 84-82 | -8.5 | L −6.5 | 163.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 14 | @WIN | L 75-92 | -2.5 | L −19.5 | 162.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 17 | vsUPST | W 89-69 | -16.5 | W +3.5 | 152.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 23 | @RAD | W 93-83 | -7.5 | W +2.5 | 165.5 | O 176 |
| Jan 29 | vsPRES | W 84-81 | -14.5 | L −11.5 | 149.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 31 | @LONG | W 71-59 | -9.5 | W +2.5 | 156.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 4 | vsCHSO | W 80-55 | -14.5 | W +10.5 | 162.5 | U 135 |
| Feb 7 | vsRAD | W 86-77 | -14.5 | L −5.5 | 162.5 | O 163 |
| Feb 12 | @UPST | W 95-70 | -14.5 | W +10.5 | 154.5 | O 165 |
| Feb 14 | @GWEB | W 112-87 | -25.5 | L −0.5 | 161.5 | O 199 |
| Feb 19 | vsUNCA | W 74-48 | -14.5 | W +11.5 | 152.5 | U 122 |
| Feb 21 | vsWIN | W 89-87 | -9.5 | L −7.5 | 166.5 | O 176 |
| Feb 26 | @PRES | W 79-73 | -12.5 | L −6.5 | 151.5 | O 152 |
| Mar 6 | vsGWEB | W 81-59 | -27.5 | L −5.5 | 155.5 | U 140 |
| Mar 7 | vsUNCA | W 75-71 | -14.5 | L −10.5 | 147.5 | U 146 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsFUR
FURW 97-71
+22.5
11
vsJAX
JAXW 85-64
+3.5
14
@UAB
UABL 74-91
−18.5
17
vsCAN
CANW 93-50
+19.5
20
vsUIC
UICW 90-80
−0.5
22
vsUIW
UIWW 91-80
−1.5
29
vsWCU
WCUW 93-73
+3.5
3
vsSIU
SIUL 84-86
−11.5
5
vsNJIT
NJITW 89-72
−11.5
14
vsAPP
APPL 78-86
−20.5
19
vsLAS
LASW 84-72
−1.5
22
vsBRY
BRYW 93-47
+26.5
31
@UNCA
UNCAW 87-69
+7.5
3
vsLONG
LONGW 80-67
−3.5
7
vsGWEB
GWEBW 104-49
+28.5
10
@CHSO
CHSOW 84-82
−6.5
14
@WIN
WINL 75-92
−19.5
17
vsUPST
UPSTW 89-69
+3.5
23
@RAD
RADW 93-83
+2.5
29
vsPRES
PRESW 84-81
−11.5
31
@LONG
LONGW 71-59
+2.5
4
vsCHSO
CHSOW 80-55
+10.5
7
vsRAD
RADW 86-77
−5.5
12
@UPST
UPSTW 95-70
+10.5
14
@GWEB
GWEBW 112-87
−0.5
19
vsUNCA
UNCAW 74-48
+11.5
21
vsWIN
WINW 89-87
−7.5
26
@PRES
PRESW 79-73
−6.5
6
vsGWEB
GWEBW 81-59
−5.5
7
vsUNCA
UNCAW 75-71
−10.5
covered 13didn’t cover 17avg +0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsFUR
FURW 97-71
+14.5
11
vsJAX
JAXW 85-64
−7.5
14
@UAB
UABL 74-91
−3.5
17
vsCAN
CANW 93-50
−9.5
20
vsUIC
UICW 90-80
+11.5
22
vsUIW
UIWW 91-80
+10.5
29
vsWCU
WCUW 93-73
+6.5
3
vsSIU
SIUL 84-86
+7.5
5
vsNJIT
NJITW 89-72
+5.5
14
vsAPP
APPL 78-86
+19.5
19
vsLAS
LASW 84-72
+6.5
22
vsBRY
BRYW 93-47
−13.5
31
@UNCA
UNCAW 87-69
+4.5
3
vsLONG
LONGW 80-67
−13.5
7
vsGWEB
GWEBW 104-49
−9.5
10
@CHSO
CHSOW 84-82
+2.5
14
@WIN
WINL 75-92
+4.5
17
vsUPST
UPSTW 89-69
+5.5
23
@RAD
RADW 93-83
+10.5
29
vsPRES
PRESW 84-81
+15.5
31
@LONG
LONGW 71-59
−26.5
4
vsCHSO
CHSOW 80-55
−27.5
7
vsRAD
RADW 86-77
+0.5
12
@UPST
UPSTW 95-70
+10.5
14
@GWEB
GWEBW 112-87
+37.5
19
vsUNCA
UNCAW 74-48
−30.5
21
vsWIN
WINW 89-87
+9.5
26
@PRES
PRESW 79-73
+0.5
6
vsGWEB
GWEBW 81-59
−15.5
7
vsUNCA
UNCAW 75-71
−1.5
over 19under 11avg +0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Winthrop
20-10 overall · 15-3 in conference · Big South Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Presbyterian73–71
- Wvs Charleston So86–81
- Wvs Presbyterian74–70
- L@ Charleston So84–86
- L@ High Point87–89
1 day since their last game.
High Point
26-4 overall · 17-1 in conference · Big South Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs UNC Asheville75–71
- Wvs Gardner-Webb81–59
- W@ Presbyterian79–73
- Wvs Winthrop89–87
- Wvs UNC Asheville74–48
1 day since their last game.