Don Haskins Center · at UTEP
Closing line
NDSU -2.5✓ UTEP covered by 12.5
NDSU -2.5✓ UTEP covered by 12.5Closing total139.5Over by 2.5
| NDSU | This season | UTEP |
|---|---|---|
| 7-4 | Record | 0-7 |
| 7-4 | ATS | 2-5 |
| 6-5 | O/U | 2-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: NDSU 73–71 UTEP · ✗ NDSU (55%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NDSU | 36 | 30 | 66 |
| UTEP | 32 | 44 | 76 |
1st half: NDSU 36, UTEP 32 (NDSU by 4). The model had NDSU by 0.9 and a total of 67.4 (actual 68).
Team stats
| NDSU | UTEP | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-48 50% | Field goals | 26-55 47% |
| 3-16 19% | 3-pointers | 8-20 40% |
| 15-21 71% | Free throws | 16-21 76% |
| 27 6 off | Rebounds | 31 10 off |
| 13 | Assists | 12 |
| 4 | Steals | 12 |
| 3 | Blocks | 3 |
| 16 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 18 | Fouls | 20 |
| 38 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 10 | Fast-break points | 6 |
Players
| NDSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Stefonowicz G | 38 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 2-7 | 1-5 |
| Trevian Carson G | 37 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 9-15 | 1-3 |
| Markhi Strickland G | 31 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 5-8 | 0-0 |
| Riley Massey G | 30 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-5 | 1-4 |
| Noah Feddersen C | 23 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Treyson Anderson F | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 4-8 | 0-3 |
| Emil Skytt G | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Tay Smith G | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Max Majerle G | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Carson Smith, Damari Wheeler-Thomas, Riley Saunders, Dom Clay, Caleb Schoenrock
| UTEP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elijah Jones F | 30 | 24 | 4 | 2 | 10-15 | 2-5 |
| Kaseem Watson F | 28 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 3-8 | 1-3 |
| Jamal West Jr. F | 27 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 5-10 | 0-0 |
| Caleb Blackwell G | 26 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 5-8 | 4-5 |
| KJ Thomas G | 26 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Cassius Brooks G | 20 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Trey Horton III G | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Mouhamed Mbaye C | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| C.J. Smith F | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jordan Hernandez G | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| David Tubek F | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Bobby Montgomery Jr. G | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| LA Hayes G | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Tyreese Watson
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketNDSU -2.5
ModelNDSU -1.3
Model edgeUTEP +1.2
W UTEP covered
Total
Market139.5
Model143.9
Model edgeOver 4.4
W Over
Projected score
NDSU 72.6 · UTEP 71.3
NDSU 66 · UTEP 76
Win probability
NDSU 55%
1st half
Spread
NDSU -0.9
NDSU -4.0
Total
67.4
68 points
Projected score
NDSU 34.2 · UTEP 33.2
NDSU 36 · UTEP 32
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenNDSU -4.5
2 → UTEP
CloseNDSU -2.5
2 pts toward UTEP
Total
Open144.5
▼ 5
Close139.5
Down 5 since the open
Moneyline
NDSU -135 · UTEP +114
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened NDSU -4.5 · closed NDSU -2.5 · moved 2 toward UTEPmodel NDSU -1.5
model NDSU -1.5
Opened 144.5 · closed 139.5 · moved 5 downmodel 144
model 144
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NDSU | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% |
| UTEPlast 7 | 0-7 0% | 2-5 29% | 2-5 29% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
N Dakota St
11 games played
Straight up
7-4
64% wins
Against the spread
7-4
64% covers · avg +3.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-5
55% overs · avg +1.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ ORST | L 65-67 | +9.5 | W +7.5 | 144.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 5 | @ UCD | L 68-80 | +1.5 | L −10.5 | 142.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 11 | vs CSUN | W 90-68 | -4.5 | W +17.5 | 156.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 17 | vs SIU | W 92-85 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 153.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 26 | vs JXST | W 56-43 | -3.5 | W +9.5 | 142.5 | U 99 |
| Nov 28 | @ ARST | L 80-85 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 160.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 3 | @ MONT | W 81-72 | +3.5 | W +12.5 | 153.5 | U 153 |
| Dec 6 | vs NAU | W 69-68 | -12.5 | L −11.5 | 147.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 11 | @ CSUB | W 80-69 | -7.5 | W +3.5 | 149.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 13 | @ DRKE | W 99-94 | +5.5 | W +10.5 | 145.5 | O 193 |
| Dec 21 | vs UCI | L 73-74 | -1.5 | L −2.5 | 146.5 | O 147 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@ORST
ORSTL 65-67
+7.5
5
@UCD
UCDL 68-80
−10.5
11
vsCSUN
CSUNW 90-68
+17.5
17
vsSIU
SIUW 92-85
+5.5
26
vsJXST
JXSTW 56-43
+9.5
28
@ARST
ARSTL 80-85
−1.5
3
@MONT
MONTW 81-72
+12.5
6
vsNAU
NAUW 69-68
−11.5
11
@CSUB
CSUBW 80-69
+3.5
13
@DRKE
DRKEW 99-94
+10.5
21
vsUCI
UCIL 73-74
−2.5
covered 7didn’t cover 4avg +3.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@ORST
ORSTL 65-67
−12.5
5
@UCD
UCDL 68-80
+5.5
11
vsCSUN
CSUNW 90-68
+1.5
17
vsSIU
SIUW 92-85
+23.5
26
vsJXST
JXSTW 56-43
−43.5
28
@ARST
ARSTL 80-85
+4.5
3
@MONT
MONTW 81-72
−0.5
6
vsNAU
NAUW 69-68
−10.5
11
@CSUB
CSUBW 80-69
−0.5
13
@DRKE
DRKEW 99-94
+47.5
21
vsUCI
UCIL 73-74
+0.5
over 6under 5avg +1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
UTEP
7 games played
Straight up
0-7
0% wins
Against the spread
2-5
29% covers · avg −5.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-5
29% overs · avg −10.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
11
vs
LMU
LMUL 58-71
−14.5
15
@
USU
USUL 51-75
−7.5
24
vs
W&M
W&ML 63-74
−8.5
25
vs
UAB
UABL 59-75
−7.5
7
@
SEA
SEAL 68-75
+5.5
13
@
HAW
HAWL 61-66
+7.5
21
vs
NORF
NORFL 71-72
−11.5
covered 2didn’t cover 5avg −5.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
11
vsLMU
LMUL 58-71
−15.5
15
@USU
USUL 51-75
−23.5
24
vsW&M
W&ML 63-74
−22.5
25
vsUAB
UABL 59-75
−12.5
7
@SEA
SEAL 68-75
+6.5
13
@HAW
HAWL 61-66
−11.5
21
vsNORF
NORFL 71-72
+6.5
over 2under 5avg −10.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
N Dakota St
7-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · Summit League
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs UC Irvine73–74
- W@ Drake99–94
- W@ Bakersfield80–69
- Wvs N Arizona69–68
- W@ Montana81–72
1 day since their last game.
UTEP
0-7 overall · 0-0 in conference · Mountain West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Norfolk St71–72
- L@ Hawai'i61–66
- L@ Seattle U68–75
- Lvs UAB59–75
- Lvs William & Mary63–74
1 day since their last game.