Moby Arena · at Colorado St · Conference game
Closing line
UNM -1.5✓ UNM covered by 8.5
UNM -1.5✓ UNM covered by 8.5Closing total143.5Over by 6.5
| UNM | This season | CSU |
|---|---|---|
| 10-3 | Record | 9-4 |
| 7-6 | ATS | 9-4 |
| 8-5 | O/U | 7-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UNM 73–73 CSU · ✓ UNM (52%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNM | 39 | 41 | 80 |
| CSU | 30 | 40 | 70 |
1st half: UNM 39, CSU 30 (UNM by 9). The model had UNM by 0.4 and a total of 68.4 (actual 69).
Team stats
| UNM | CSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-53 53% | Field goals | 27-59 46% |
| 11-25 44% | 3-pointers | 7-25 28% |
| 13-21 62% | Free throws | 9-11 82% |
| 31 9 off | Rebounds | 31 11 off |
| 14 | Assists | 15 |
| 6 | Steals | 3 |
| 1 | Blocks | 0 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 14 | Fouls | 16 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 6 |
Players
| UNM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonio Chol F | 32 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4-9 | 3-8 |
| Jake Hall G | 29 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 6-10 | 3-5 |
| Luke Haupt G | 29 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Deyton Albury G | 22 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 4-6 | 0-1 |
| Tomislav Buljan F | 20 | 8 | 11 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Uriah Tenette G | 29 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3-6 | 2-3 |
| JT Rock C | 20 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3-6 | 0-1 |
| Tajavis Miller G | 19 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 4-8 | 3-6 |
Did not play: Timeo Pons, Chris Howell, Sir Marius Jones, Milos Vicentic, Kallai Patton, Kevin Patton Jr.
| CSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jevin Muniz G | 34 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 2-8 | 0-2 |
| Brandon Rechsteiner G | 29 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 5-12 | 1-2 |
| Josh Pascarelli G | 27 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 4-8 | 0-4 |
| Augustinas Kiudulas F | 26 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 7-10 | 3-5 |
| Carey Booth F | 19 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jase Butler G | 30 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 5-10 | 2-6 |
| Nikola Djapa C | 13 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Jon Mekonnen F | 11 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-2 |
| Jojo McIver G | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Kyle Jorgensen, Docker Tedeschi, Rashaan Mbemba, Charlie Dortch, Darnez Slater
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUNM -1.5
ModelUNM -0.5
Model edgeCSU +1.0
L UNM covered
Total
Market143.5
Model146.0
Model edgeOver 2.5
W Over
Projected score
UNM 73.3 · CSU 72.7
UNM 80 · CSU 70
Win probability
UNM 52%
1st half
Spread
UNM -0.4
UNM -9.0
Total
68.4
69 points
Projected score
UNM 34.4 · CSU 34
UNM 39 · CSU 30
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUNM -1.5
no move
CloseUNM -1.5
No change since the open
Total
Open144.5
▼ 1
Close143.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
UNM -122 · CSU +102
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UNM -1.5 · unchangedmodel UNM -0.5
model UNM -0.5
Opened 144.5 · closed 143.5 · moved 1 downmodel 146
model 146
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNM | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% | 7-3 70% |
| CSU | 6-4 60% | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
UNM 5–4 CSUUNM leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · UNM has won the last 4 meetings · UNM 5-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2024-25 | CSU 65 @ UNM 87 | UNM -8.5 | UNM W |
| Dec 28, 2024-25 | UNM 76 @ CSU 68 | CSU -1.5 | UNM W |
| Mar 15, 2023-24 | CSU 61 vs UNM 74 | UNM -2.5 | UNM W |
| Feb 21, 2023-24 | CSU 66 @ UNM 68 | UNM -7.5 | CSU W |
| Jan 2, 2023-24 | UNM 68 @ CSU 76 | CSU -3.5 | CSU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
New Mexico
13 games played
Straight up
10-3
77% wins
Against the spread
7-6
54% covers · avg +2.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-5
62% overs · avg −2.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | vs ETAM | W 76-54 | -22.5 | L −0.5 | 143.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 8 | vs UTA | W 74-56 | -13.5 | W +4.5 | 145.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 11 | vs UCR | W 82-68 | -19.5 | L −5.5 | 141.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 15 | @ NMSU | L 68-76 | -3.5 | L −11.5 | 139.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 20 | vs NEB | L 72-84 | +8.5 | L −3.5 | 151.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 21 | vs MSST | W 80-78 | +6.5 | W +8.5 | 151.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 26 | vs ALST | W 93-87 | -19.5 | L −13.5 | 148.5 | O 180 |
| Dec 6 | vs SCU | W 98-71 | -1.5 | W +25.5 | 153.5 | O 169 |
| Dec 10 | @ VCU | W 81-78 | +8.5 | W +11.5 | 157.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 14 | vs FGCU | W 75-59 | -15.5 | W +0.5 | 159.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 20 | vs SJSU | W 88-65 | -16.5 | W +6.5 | 152.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 30 | @ BOIS | L 53-62 | +5.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | U 115 |
| Jan 3 | vs WYO | W 78-58 | -7.5 | W +12.5 | 151.5 | U 136 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
vsETAM
ETAMW 76-54
−0.5
8
vsUTA
UTAW 74-56
+4.5
11
vsUCR
UCRW 82-68
−5.5
15
@NMSU
NMSUL 68-76
−11.5
20
vsNEB
NEBL 72-84
−3.5
21
vsMSST
MSSTW 80-78
+8.5
26
vsALST
ALSTW 93-87
−13.5
6
vsSCU
SCUW 98-71
+25.5
10
@VCU
VCUW 81-78
+11.5
14
vsFGCU
FGCUW 75-59
+0.5
20
vsSJSU
SJSUW 88-65
+6.5
30
@BOIS
BOISL 53-62
−3.5
3
vsWYO
WYOW 78-58
+12.5
covered 7didn’t cover 6avg +2.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
vsETAM
ETAMW 76-54
−13.5
8
vsUTA
UTAW 74-56
−15.5
11
vsUCR
UCRW 82-68
+8.5
15
@NMSU
NMSUL 68-76
+4.5
20
vsNEB
NEBL 72-84
+4.5
21
vsMSST
MSSTW 80-78
+6.5
26
vsALST
ALSTW 93-87
+31.5
6
vsSCU
SCUW 98-71
+15.5
10
@VCU
VCUW 81-78
+1.5
14
vsFGCU
FGCUW 75-59
−25.5
20
vsSJSU
SJSUW 88-65
+0.5
30
@BOIS
BOISL 53-62
−31.5
3
vsWYO
WYOW 78-58
−15.5
over 8under 5avg −2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Colorado St
13 games played
Straight up
9-4
69% wins
Against the spread
9-4
69% covers · avg +1.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-6
54% overs · avg +1.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs UIW | W 98-64 | -10.5 | W +23.5 | 147.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 9 | vs OMA | W 97-74 | -14.5 | W +8.5 | 153.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 12 | vs CP | W 93-79 | -18.5 | L −4.5 | 165.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 16 | @ LUC | W 80-67 | -3.5 | W +9.5 | 151.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 21 | vs DEN | L 81-83 | -18.5 | L −20.5 | 149.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 26 | vs VT | L 64-66 | +4.5 | W +2.5 | 153.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 27 | vs WICH | W 76-70 | -1.5 | W +4.5 | 142.5 | O 146 |
| Nov 28 | vs USF | W 83-68 | +2.5 | W +17.5 | 155.5 | U 151 |
| Dec 6 | vs COLO | W 91-86 | -1.5 | W +3.5 | 149.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 9 | vs DART | W 76-55 | -20.5 | W +0.5 | 153.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 20 | @ USU | L 58-100 | +10.5 | L −31.5 | 147.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 30 | vs NEV | L 62-75 | -1.5 | L −14.5 | 139.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 3 | @ GCU | W 70-60 | +6.5 | W +16.5 | 143.5 | U 130 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsUIW
UIWW 98-64
+23.5
9
vsOMA
OMAW 97-74
+8.5
12
vsCP
CPW 93-79
−4.5
16
@LUC
LUCW 80-67
+9.5
21
vsDEN
DENL 81-83
−20.5
26
vsVT
VTL 64-66
+2.5
27
vsWICH
WICHW 76-70
+4.5
28
vsUSF
USFW 83-68
+17.5
6
vsCOLO
COLOW 91-86
+3.5
9
vsDART
DARTW 76-55
+0.5
20
@USU
USUL 58-100
−31.5
30
vsNEV
NEVL 62-75
−14.5
3
@GCU
GCUW 70-60
+16.5
covered 9didn’t cover 4avg +1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsUIW
UIWW 98-64
+14.5
9
vsOMA
OMAW 97-74
+17.5
12
vsCP
CPW 93-79
+6.5
16
@LUC
LUCW 80-67
−4.5
21
vsDEN
DENL 81-83
+14.5
26
vsVT
VTL 64-66
−23.5
27
vsWICH
WICHW 76-70
+3.5
28
vsUSF
USFW 83-68
−4.5
6
vsCOLO
COLOW 91-86
+27.5
9
vsDART
DARTW 76-55
−22.5
20
@USU
USUL 58-100
+10.5
30
vsNEV
NEVL 62-75
−2.5
3
@GCU
GCUW 70-60
−13.5
over 7under 6avg +1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
New Mexico
10-3 overall · 2-1 in conference · Mountain West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Wyoming78–58
- L@ Boise St53–62
- Wvs San José St88–65
- Wvs FGCU75–59
- W@ VCU81–78
3 days since their last game.
Colorado St
9-4 overall · 1-2 in conference · Pac-12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Grand Canyon70–60
- Lvs Nevada62–75
- L@ Utah State58–100
- Wvs Dartmouth76–55
- Wvs Colorado91–86
3 days since their last game.