Curb Event Center Arena · at Belmont · Conference game
Closing line
BEL -9.5✓ BEL covered by 3.5
BEL -9.5✓ BEL covered by 3.5Closing total154.5Over by 38.5
 DRKE | This season | BEL |
|---|---|---|
| 10-11 | Record | 19-3 |
| 9-12 | ATS | 12-10 |
| 12-9 | O/U | 12-10 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: DRKE 72–80 BEL · ✓ BEL (76%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DRKE | 43 | 47 | 90 |
| BEL | 51 | 52 | 103 |
1st half: DRKE 43, BEL 51 (BEL by 8). The model had BEL by 4.8 and a total of 71.4 (actual 94).
Team stats
| DRKE | BEL | |
|---|---|---|
| 32-60 53% | Field goals | 39-66 59% |
| 14-28 50% | 3-pointers | 17-35 49% |
| 12-16 75% | Free throws | 8-15 53% |
| 35 10 off | Rebounds | 26 8 off |
| 19 | Assists | 25 |
| 1 | Steals | 3 |
| 1 | Blocks | 1 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 5 |
| 18 | Fouls | 18 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 42 |
| 0 | Fast-break points | 2 |
Players
| DRKE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Larson G | 34 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5-8 | 3-5 |
| Andrew Alia G | 34 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 4-7 | 2-3 |
| Jalen Quinn G | 33 | 22 | 3 | 3 | 8-18 | 5-10 |
| Okku Federiko F | 22 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Eli Shetlar G | 14 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3-4 | 3-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jaehshon Thomas G | 26 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 5-9 | 1-4 |
| Isaiah Carr F | 18 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Braden Appelhans G | 12 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-3 |
| Griffen Goodbary F | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Wilguens Jr. Exacte, LJ Rush, Bryson Bahl, Heri Bukinga
| BEL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Lundblade G | 32 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 3-6 | 3-6 |
| Sam Orme F | 25 | 22 | 4 | 4 | 8-12 | 4-6 |
| Drew Scharnowski F | 24 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 8-10 | 0-1 |
| Isaiah West G | 24 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Jabez Jenkins G | 13 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 4-8 | 2-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Eoin Dillon F | 18 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 3-4 | 1-1 |
| Jack Smiley G | 17 | 18 | 0 | 6 | 7-9 | 4-6 |
| Aidan Noyes F | 13 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Brigham Rogers F | 12 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Win Miller G | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Cooper Haynes G | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Jake Dykstra G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Graydon Lemke F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Keith Robbins G | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
Did not play: Nic McClain
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenBEL -11.5
2 → DRKE
CloseBEL -9.5
2 pts toward DRKE
Total
Open154.5
no move
Close154.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
DRKE +380 · BEL -500
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened BEL -11.5 · closed BEL -9.5 · moved 2 toward DRKEmodel BEL -8
model BEL -8
Opened 154.5 · unchangedmodel 152.5
model 152.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | BEL -9.5 | BEL -8.2 | DRKE +1.3 | L BEL covered |
| Total | 154.5 | 152.5 | Under 2.0 | L Over |
| Projected score | — | DRKE 72.1 · BEL 80.3 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | BEL -4.8 | BEL -8.0 |
| 1H total | 71.4 | 94 |
| 1H projected score | DRKE 33.3 · BEL 38.1 | DRKE 43 · BEL 51 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DRKE | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% | 7-3 70% |
| BEL | 8-2 80% | 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
DRKE 5–3 BELDRKE leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · DRKE 5-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2025-26 | BEL 78 @ DRKE 76 | DRKE +4.5 | DRKE W |
| Mar 8, 2024-25 | BEL 50 vs DRKE 57 | DRKE -7.5 | BEL W |
| Dec 29, 2024-25 | BEL 46 @ DRKE 65 | DRKE -8.5 | DRKE W |
| Feb 21, 2023-24 | BEL 69 @ DRKE 84 | DRKE -10.5 | DRKE W |
| Jan 7, 2023-24 | DRKE 65 @ BEL 87 | BEL +4.5 | BEL W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Drake
21 games played
Straight up
10-11
48% wins
Against the spread
9-12
43% covers · avg +0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-9
57% overs · avg +3.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs NAU | W 77-71 | -8.5 | L −2.5 | 144.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 6 | vs RMU | L 79-81 | -7.5 | L −9.5 | 151.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 14 | vs SIUE | L 59-61 | -7.5 | L −9.5 | 142.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 17 | @ COFC | W 71-62 | +7.5 | W +16.5 | 153.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 28 | vs LSU | L 62-71 | +11.5 | W +2.5 | 151.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 29 | vs GT | W 84-74 | +4.5 | W +14.5 | 137.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 2 | vs WIU | W 108-57 | -17.5 | W +33.5 | 138.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 5 | vs UAB | L 69-74 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 148.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 13 | vs NDSU | L 94-99 | -5.5 | L −10.5 | 145.5 | O 193 |
| Dec 18 | @ MUR | L 72-81 | +7.5 | L −1.5 | 156.5 | U 153 |
| Dec 21 | @ EVAN | W 66-65 | +2.5 | W +3.5 | 141.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 29 | vs ILST | L 56-73 | +4.5 | L −12.5 | 145.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 4 | vs INST | W 74-72 | -6.5 | L −4.5 | 149.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 7 | @ BRAD | L 66-93 | +6.5 | L −20.5 | 144.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 10 | vsBEL | L 76-78 | +4.5 | W +2.5 | 148.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 14 | @ SIU | W 76-73 | +5.5 | W +8.5 | 144.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 17 | @ UIC | L 67-74 | +5.5 | L −1.5 | 139.5 | O 141 |
| Jan 21 | vsMUR | W 101-90 | +4.5 | W +15.5 | 156.5 | O 191 |
| Jan 24 | @INST | W 76-62 | +3.5 | W +17.5 | 151.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 28 | vsEVAN | W 82-78 | -8.5 | L −4.5 | 143.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 31 | vsBRAD | L 73-87 | +2.5 | L −11.5 | 150.5 | O 160 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsNAU
NAUW 77-71
−2.5
6
vsRMU
RMUL 79-81
−9.5
14
vsSIUE
SIUEL 59-61
−9.5
17
@COFC
COFCW 71-62
+16.5
28
vsLSU
LSUL 62-71
+2.5
29
vsGT
GTW 84-74
+14.5
2
vsWIU
WIUW 108-57
+33.5
5
vsUAB
UABL 69-74
−6.5
13
vsNDSU
NDSUL 94-99
−10.5
18
@MUR
MURL 72-81
−1.5
21
@EVAN
EVANW 66-65
+3.5
29
vsILST
ILSTL 56-73
−12.5
4
vsINST
INSTW 74-72
−4.5
7
@BRAD
BRADL 66-93
−20.5
10
vsBEL
BELL 76-78
+2.5
14
@SIU
SIUW 76-73
+8.5
17
@UIC
UICL 67-74
−1.5
21
vsMUR
MURW 101-90
+15.5
24
@INST
INSTW 76-62
+17.5
28
vsEVAN
EVANW 82-78
−4.5
31
vsBRAD
BRADL 73-87
−11.5
covered 9didn’t cover 12avg +0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsNAU
NAUW 77-71
+3.5
6
vsRMU
RMUL 79-81
+8.5
14
vsSIUE
SIUEL 59-61
−22.5
17
@COFC
COFCW 71-62
−20.5
28
vsLSU
LSUL 62-71
−18.5
29
vsGT
GTW 84-74
+20.5
2
vsWIU
WIUW 108-57
+26.5
5
vsUAB
UABL 69-74
−5.5
13
vsNDSU
NDSUL 94-99
+47.5
18
@MUR
MURL 72-81
−3.5
21
@EVAN
EVANW 66-65
−10.5
29
vsILST
ILSTL 56-73
−16.5
4
vsINST
INSTW 74-72
−3.5
7
@BRAD
BRADL 66-93
+14.5
10
vsBEL
BELL 76-78
+5.5
14
@SIU
SIUW 76-73
+4.5
17
@UIC
UICL 67-74
+1.5
21
vsMUR
MURW 101-90
+34.5
24
@INST
INSTW 76-62
−13.5
28
vsEVAN
EVANW 82-78
+16.5
31
vsBRAD
BRADL 73-87
+9.5
over 12under 9avg +3.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Belmont
22 games played
Straight up
19-3
86% wins
Against the spread
12-10
55% covers · avg +3.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-10
55% overs · avg +0.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs AF | W 79-63 | -15.5 | W +0.5 | 144.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 8 | vs TNST | W 87-79 | -13.5 | L −5.5 | 158.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 15 | @ ORU | W 83-60 | -7.5 | W +15.5 | 171.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 19 | vs LIP | W 75-68 | -12.5 | L −5.5 | 158.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 24 | vs SFPA | W 94-57 | -21.5 | W +15.5 | 157.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 26 | vs TOL | W 87-72 | -4.5 | W +10.5 | 163.5 | U 159 |
| Nov 30 | @COFC | W 96-73 | -2.5 | W +20.5 | 152.5 | O 169 |
| Dec 3 | vs RICH | L 76-84 | -6.5 | L −14.5 | 156.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 7 | @ MTSU | W 83-62 | -3.5 | W +17.5 | 153.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 13 | vsUIC | W 87-84 | -12.5 | L −9.5 | 154.5 | O 171 |
| Dec 16 | @EVAN | W 83-78 | -8.5 | L −3.5 | 147.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 19 | @ UCI | W 84-58 | +1.5 | W +27.5 | 150.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 29 | @INST | L 80-81 | -7.5 | L −8.5 | 159.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 1 | vsBRAD | W 88-78 | -3.5 | W +6.5 | 153.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 4 | vsSIU | L 67-68 | -6.5 | L −7.5 | 158.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 7 | @ UNI | W 78-65 | +2.5 | W +15.5 | 137.5 | O 143 |
| Jan 10 | @DRKE | W 78-76 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 148.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 13 | vs VAL | W 78-74 | -11.5 | L −7.5 | 146.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 17 | @SIU | W 73-68 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 151.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 24 | vsILST | W 80-69 | -5.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | U 149 |
| Jan 28 | @VAL | W 78-77 | -5.5 | L −4.5 | 145.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 31 | vsMUR | W 103-86 | -3.5 | W +13.5 | 163.5 | O 189 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsAF
AFW 79-63
+0.5
8
vsTNST
TNSTW 87-79
−5.5
15
@ORU
ORUW 83-60
+15.5
19
vsLIP
LIPW 75-68
−5.5
24
vsSFPA
SFPAW 94-57
+15.5
26
vsTOL
TOLW 87-72
+10.5
30
@COFC
COFCW 96-73
+20.5
3
vsRICH
RICHL 76-84
−14.5
7
@MTSU
MTSUW 83-62
+17.5
13
vsUIC
UICW 87-84
−9.5
16
@EVAN
EVANW 83-78
−3.5
19
@UCI
UCIW 84-58
+27.5
29
@INST
INSTL 80-81
−8.5
1
vsBRAD
BRADW 88-78
+6.5
4
vsSIU
SIUL 67-68
−7.5
7
@UNI
UNIW 78-65
+15.5
10
@DRKE
DRKEW 78-76
−2.5
13
vsVAL
VALW 78-74
−7.5
17
@SIU
SIUW 73-68
+1.5
24
vsILST
ILSTW 80-69
+5.5
28
@VAL
VALW 78-77
−4.5
31
vsMUR
MURW 103-86
+13.5
covered 12didn’t cover 10avg +3.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsAF
AFW 79-63
−2.5
8
vsTNST
TNSTW 87-79
+7.5
15
@ORU
ORUW 83-60
−28.5
19
vsLIP
LIPW 75-68
−15.5
24
vsSFPA
SFPAW 94-57
−6.5
26
vsTOL
TOLW 87-72
−4.5
30
@COFC
COFCW 96-73
+16.5
3
vsRICH
RICHL 76-84
+3.5
7
@MTSU
MTSUW 83-62
−8.5
13
vsUIC
UICW 87-84
+16.5
16
@EVAN
EVANW 83-78
+13.5
19
@UCI
UCIW 84-58
−8.5
29
@INST
INSTL 80-81
+1.5
1
vsBRAD
BRADW 88-78
+12.5
4
vsSIU
SIUL 67-68
−23.5
7
@UNI
UNIW 78-65
+5.5
10
@DRKE
DRKEW 78-76
+5.5
13
vsVAL
VALW 78-74
+5.5
17
@SIU
SIUW 73-68
−10.5
24
vsILST
ILSTW 80-69
−1.5
28
@VAL
VALW 78-77
+9.5
31
vsMUR
MURW 103-86
+25.5
over 12under 10avg +0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Drake
10-11 overall · 6-6 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Bradley73–87
- Wvs Evansville82–78
- W@ Indiana St76–62
- Wvs Murray St101–90
- L@ UIC67–74
3 days since their last game.
Belmont
19-3 overall · 10-2 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Murray St103–86
- W@ Valparaiso78–77
- Wvs Illinois St80–69
- W@ S Illinois73–68
- Wvs Valparaiso78–74
3 days since their last game.