Curb Event Center Arena · at Belmont · Conference game
Closing line
BEL -5.5✓ BEL covered by 5.5
Closing total150.5Under by 1.5
| This season | BEL | |
|---|---|---|
| 13-6 | Record | 16-3 |
| 11-8 | ATS | 10-9 |
| 8-11 | O/U | 10-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: ILST 74–76 BEL · ✓ BEL (57%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ILST | 36 | 33 | 69 |
| BEL | 44 | 36 | 80 |
1st half: ILST 36, BEL 44 (BEL by 8). The model had BEL by 1.1 and a total of 69.9 (actual 80).
Team stats
| ILST | BEL | |
|---|---|---|
| 22-58 38% | Field goals | 29-50 58% |
| 8-28 29% | 3-pointers | 9-16 56% |
| 17-20 85% | Free throws | 13-21 62% |
| 36 13 off | Rebounds | 27 3 off |
| 13 | Assists | 19 |
| 9 | Steals | 7 |
| 3 | Blocks | 2 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 18 | Fouls | 16 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 5 | Fast-break points | 6 |
Players
| ILST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boden Skunberg G | 35 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 3-10 | 2-6 |
| Johnny Kinziger G | 33 | 13 | 2 | 5 | 4-14 | 3-8 |
| Chase Walker F | 30 | 12 | 8 | 1 | 5-8 | 0-1 |
| Ty Pence G | 28 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 4-6 | 0-1 |
| Ty'Reek Coleman G | 26 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2-8 | 1-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Landon Wolf G | 17 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2-6 | 2-5 |
| Landon Moore G | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Mason Klabo G | 10 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Brandon Lieb F | 9 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Ty Blake, Jack Daugherty, Cameron Barnes, Isaac Ericksen, Nick Allen
| BEL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Lundblade G | 36 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 2-7 | 1-4 |
| Sam Orme F | 27 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 4-7 | 1-2 |
| Jabez Jenkins G | 26 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 6-8 | 0-0 |
| Isaiah West G | 23 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 3-4 | 2-3 |
| Drew Scharnowski F | 18 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 3-7 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jack Smiley G | 22 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 3-6 | 1-2 |
| Eoin Dillon F | 21 | 16 | 0 | 3 | 6-8 | 4-5 |
| Brigham Rogers F | 17 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Aidan Noyes F | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Win Miller G | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Cooper Haynes, Graydon Lemke, Nic McClain, Keith Robbins, Jake Dykstra
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenBEL -5.5
no move
CloseBEL -5.5
No change since the open
Total
Open149.5
▲ 1
Close150.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
ILST +200 · BEL -245
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened BEL -5.5 · unchangedmodel BEL -2
model BEL -2
Opened 149.5 · closed 150.5 · moved 1 upmodel 149
model 149
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | BEL -5.5 | BEL -2.0 | ILST +3.5 | L BEL covered |
| Total | 150.5 | 149.2 | Under 1.3 | W Under |
| Projected score | — | ILST 73.6 · BEL 75.6 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | BEL -1.1 | BEL -8.0 |
| 1H total | 69.9 | 80 |
| 1H projected score | ILST 34.4 · BEL 35.5 | ILST 36 · BEL 44 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% | |
| 8-2 80% | 4-6 40% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
ILST 3–4 BELBEL leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · ILST 4-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2024-25 | ILST 63 vs BEL 76 | BEL -0.5 | BEL W |
| Jan 29, 2024-25 | BEL 78 @ ILST 81 | ILST -1.5 | ILST W |
| Dec 4, 2024-25 | ILST 97 @ BEL 99 | BEL -5.5 | ILST W |
| Jan 23, 2023-24 | BEL 67 @ ILST 77 | ILST -1.5 | ILST W |
| Jan 10, 2023-24 | ILST 60 @ BEL 67 | BEL -6.5 | BEL W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Illinois St
19 games played
Straight up
13-6
68% wins
Against the spread
11-8
58% covers · avg +4.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-11
42% overs · avg −2.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6 | @ | L 68-72 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 161.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 9 | vs | W 76-65 | -6.5 | W +4.5 | 164.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 14 | vs | L 67-87 | +15.5 | L −4.5 | 155.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 16 | @ | W 82-80 | -8.5 | L −6.5 | 141.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 23 | vs | W 94-42 | -12.5 | W +39.5 | 146.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 27 | vs | W 79-69 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 139.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 28 | vs | W 72-65 | -3.5 | W +3.5 | 145.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 3 | vs | W 89-78 | -12.5 | L −1.5 | 154.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 6 | vs | W 95-53 | -20.5 | W +21.5 | 144.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 13 | vs | L 78-83 | +8.5 | W +3.5 | 148.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 18 | @ | W 75-68 | +1.5 | W +8.5 | 153.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 21 | vs | W 85-65 | -13.5 | W +6.5 | 152.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 29 | @ | W 73-56 | -4.5 | W +12.5 | 145.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 1 | vs | W 73-47 | -12.5 | W +13.5 | 144.5 | U 120 |
| Jan 7 | @ | L 71-77 | -6.5 | L −12.5 | 138.5 | O 148 |
| Jan 10 | vs | L 59-63 | -10.5 | L −14.5 | 141.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 14 | @ | L 89-94 | -6.5 | L −11.5 | 148.5 | O 183 |
| Jan 17 | vs | W 88-62 | -5.5 | W +20.5 | 147.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 21 | vs | W 59-54 | -6.5 | L −1.5 | 132.5 | U 113 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
@
OHIO
L 68-72
−2.5
9
vs
COR
W 76-65
+4.5
14
vs
USC
L 67-87
−4.5
16
@
LBSU
W 82-80
−6.5
23
vs
CCU
W 94-42
+39.5
27
vs
CLT
W 79-69
+4.5
28
vs
FUR
W 72-65
+3.5
3
vs
EKU
W 89-78
−1.5
6
vs
CHST
W 95-53
+21.5
13
vs
USU
L 78-83
+3.5
18
@
SIU
W 75-68
+8.5
21
vs
INST
W 85-65
+6.5
29
@
DRKE
W 73-56
+12.5
1
vs
EVAN
W 73-47
+13.5
7
@
VAL
L 71-77
−12.5
10
vs
UIC
L 59-63
−14.5
14
@
INST
L 89-94
−11.5
17
vs
BRAD
W 88-62
+20.5
21
vs
UNI
W 59-54
−1.5
covered 11didn’t cover 8avg +4.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
@
OHIO
L 68-72
−21.5
9
vs
COR
W 76-65
−23.5
14
vs
USC
L 67-87
−1.5
16
@
LBSU
W 82-80
+20.5
23
vs
CCU
W 94-42
−10.5
27
vs
CLT
W 79-69
+8.5
28
vs
FUR
W 72-65
−8.5
3
vs
EKU
W 89-78
+12.5
6
vs
CHST
W 95-53
+3.5
13
vs
USU
L 78-83
+12.5
18
@
SIU
W 75-68
−10.5
21
vs
INST
W 85-65
−2.5
29
@
DRKE
W 73-56
−16.5
1
vs
EVAN
W 73-47
−24.5
7
@
VAL
L 71-77
+9.5
10
vs
UIC
L 59-63
−19.5
14
@
INST
L 89-94
+34.5
17
vs
BRAD
W 88-62
+2.5
21
vs
UNI
W 59-54
−19.5
over 8under 11avg −2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Belmont
19 games played
Straight up
16-3
84% wins
Against the spread
10-9
53% covers · avg +3.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-9
53% overs · avg −1.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs | W 79-63 | -15.5 | W +0.5 | 144.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 8 | vs | W 87-79 | -13.5 | L −5.5 | 158.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 15 | @ | W 83-60 | -7.5 | W +15.5 | 171.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 19 | vs | W 75-68 | -12.5 | L −5.5 | 158.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 24 | vs | W 94-57 | -21.5 | W +15.5 | 157.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 26 | vs | W 87-72 | -4.5 | W +10.5 | 163.5 | U 159 |
| Nov 30 | @ | W 96-73 | -2.5 | W +20.5 | 152.5 | O 169 |
| Dec 3 | vs | L 76-84 | -6.5 | L −14.5 | 156.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 7 | @ | W 83-62 | -3.5 | W +17.5 | 153.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 13 | vs | W 87-84 | -12.5 | L −9.5 | 154.5 | O 171 |
| Dec 16 | @ | W 83-78 | -8.5 | L −3.5 | 147.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 19 | @ | W 84-58 | +1.5 | W +27.5 | 150.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 29 | @ | L 80-81 | -7.5 | L −8.5 | 159.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 1 | vs | W 88-78 | -3.5 | W +6.5 | 153.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 4 | vs | L 67-68 | -6.5 | L −7.5 | 158.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 7 | @ | W 78-65 | +2.5 | W +15.5 | 137.5 | O 143 |
| Jan 10 | @ | W 78-76 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 148.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 13 | vs | W 78-74 | -11.5 | L −7.5 | 146.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 17 | @ | W 73-68 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 151.5 | U 141 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
AF
W 79-63
+0.5
8
vs
TNST
W 87-79
−5.5
15
@
ORU
W 83-60
+15.5
19
vs
LIP
W 75-68
−5.5
24
vs
SFPA
W 94-57
+15.5
26
vs
TOL
W 87-72
+10.5
30
@
COFC
W 96-73
+20.5
3
vs
RICH
L 76-84
−14.5
7
@
MTSU
W 83-62
+17.5
13
vs
UIC
W 87-84
−9.5
16
@
EVAN
W 83-78
−3.5
19
@
UCI
W 84-58
+27.5
29
@
INST
L 80-81
−8.5
1
vs
BRAD
W 88-78
+6.5
4
vs
SIU
L 67-68
−7.5
7
@
UNI
W 78-65
+15.5
10
@
DRKE
W 78-76
−2.5
13
vs
VAL
W 78-74
−7.5
17
@
SIU
W 73-68
+1.5
covered 10didn’t cover 9avg +3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
AF
W 79-63
−2.5
8
vs
TNST
W 87-79
+7.5
15
@
ORU
W 83-60
−28.5
19
vs
LIP
W 75-68
−15.5
24
vs
SFPA
W 94-57
−6.5
26
vs
TOL
W 87-72
−4.5
30
@
COFC
W 96-73
+16.5
3
vs
RICH
L 76-84
+3.5
7
@
MTSU
W 83-62
−8.5
13
vs
UIC
W 87-84
+16.5
16
@
EVAN
W 83-78
+13.5
19
@
UCI
W 84-58
−8.5
29
@
INST
L 80-81
+1.5
1
vs
BRAD
W 88-78
+12.5
4
vs
SIU
L 67-68
−23.5
7
@
UNI
W 78-65
+5.5
10
@
DRKE
W 78-76
+5.5
13
vs
VAL
W 78-74
+5.5
17
@
SIU
W 73-68
−10.5
over 10under 9avg −1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Illinois St
13-6 overall · 6-3 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Northern Iowa59–54
- Wvs Bradley88–62
- L@ Indiana St89–94
- Lvs UIC59–63
- L@ Valparaiso71–77
3 days since their last game.
Belmont
16-3 overall · 7-2 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ S Illinois73–68
- Wvs Valparaiso78–74
- W@ Drake78–76
- W@ Northern Iowa78–65
- Lvs S Illinois67–68
A week or more of rest.