Stephen C. O'Connell Center · at Florida
Closing line
FLA -35.5✓ DART covered by 13.5
FLA -35.5✓ DART covered by 13.5Closing total160.5Over by 5.5
 DART | This season | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| 4-6 | Record | 8-4 |
| 4-6 | ATS | 4-8 |
| 5-5 | O/U | 4-8 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: DART 62–95 FLA · ✓ FLA (100%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DART | 27 | 45 | 72 |
| FLA | 53 | 41 | 94 |
1st half: DART 27, FLA 53 (FLA by 26). The model had FLA by 19.7 and a total of 73.4 (actual 80).
Team stats
| DART | FLA | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-62 40% | Field goals | 33-68 49% |
| 12-27 44% | 3-pointers | 5-18 28% |
| 10-14 71% | Free throws | 23-38 61% |
| 24 3 off | Rebounds | 60 25 off |
| 14 | Assists | 13 |
| 8 | Steals | 6 |
| 0 | Blocks | 7 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 25 | Fouls | 14 |
| 20 | Points in paint | 56 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| DART | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Amundsen G | 28 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 1-10 | 0-2 |
| Brandon Mitchell-Day F | 27 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 3-6 | 1-2 |
| Kareem Thomas G | 24 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 4-12 | 1-3 |
| Jackson Munro F | 22 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 6-9 | 3-5 |
| Jayden Williams F | 21 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2-7 | 1-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Cameron McNamee G | 27 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 6-9 | 4-5 |
| Cam Hiatt G | 25 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2-5 | 2-5 |
| Nikola Abusara G | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Patrick Tivnan Jr. F | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Tyler Garrett F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Shanon Simango F | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Anton Strelnikov, Khai Lockwood, Ben Brown
| FLA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boogie Fland G | 31 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 5-10 | 0-2 |
| Thomas Haugh F | 27 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 3-10 | 1-4 |
| Alex Condon F | 27 | 17 | 9 | 2 | 4-9 | 0-1 |
| Rueben Chinyelu C | 22 | 13 | 12 | 0 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Xaivian Lee G | 21 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 5-9 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Micah Handlogten C | 18 | 8 | 12 | 1 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Urban Klavzar G | 18 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 4-7 | 2-4 |
| Alex Lloyd G | 10 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Alex Kovatchev G | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Isaiah Brown G | 8 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| CJ Ingram G | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Viktor Mikic C | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Olivier Rioux, Cooper Josefsberg, AJ Brown
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketFLA -35.5
ModelFLA -33.0
Model edgeDART +2.5
W DART covered
Total
Market160.5
Model156.7
Model edgeUnder 3.8
L Over
Projected score
DART 61.8 · FLA 94.9
DART 72 · FLA 94
Win probability
FLA 100%
1st half
Spread
FLA -19.7
FLA -26.0
Total
73.4
80 points
Projected score
DART 26.8 · FLA 46.5
DART 27 · FLA 53
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenFLA -35.5
no move
CloseFLA -35.5
No change since the open
Total
Open157.5
▲ 3
Close160.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
DART +2500 · FLA -9000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened FLA -35.5 · unchangedmodel FLA -33
model FLA -33
Opened 157.5 · closed 160.5 · moved 3 upmodel 156.5
model 156.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DART | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
| FLA | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Dartmouth
10 games played
Straight up
4-6
40% wins
Against the spread
4-6
40% covers · avg +0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-5
50% overs · avg +0.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9 | vs MRST | L 56-75 | -1.5 | L −20.5 | 138.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 12 | @ BRY | L 75-82 | +1.5 | L −5.5 | 151.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 16 | vs APP | L 77-85 | +1.5 | L −6.5 | 140.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 29 | @ SPU | W 87-61 | +3.5 | W +29.5 | 144.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 3 | vs UNH | W 69-68 | -8.5 | L −7.5 | 147.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 6 | @ WYO | L 80-93 | +14.5 | W +1.5 | 156.5 | O 173 |
| Dec 9 | @ CSU | L 55-76 | +20.5 | L −0.5 | 153.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 13 | vs BU | W 77-64 | -2.5 | W +10.5 | 144.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 16 | @ HC | W 89-64 | -1.5 | W +23.5 | 147.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 19 | @ SHU | L 63-85 | -1.5 | L −23.5 | 155.5 | U 148 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
9
vsMRST
MRSTL 56-75
−20.5
12
@BRY
BRYL 75-82
−5.5
16
vsAPP
APPL 77-85
−6.5
29
@SPU
SPUW 87-61
+29.5
3
vsUNH
UNHW 69-68
−7.5
6
@WYO
WYOL 80-93
+1.5
9
@CSU
CSUL 55-76
−0.5
13
vsBU
BUW 77-64
+10.5
16
@HC
HCW 89-64
+23.5
19
@SHU
SHUL 63-85
−23.5
covered 4didn’t cover 6avg +0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
9
vsMRST
MRSTL 56-75
−7.5
12
@BRY
BRYL 75-82
+5.5
16
vsAPP
APPL 77-85
+21.5
29
@SPU
SPUW 87-61
+3.5
3
vsUNH
UNHW 69-68
−10.5
6
@WYO
WYOL 80-93
+16.5
9
@CSU
CSUL 55-76
−22.5
13
vsBU
BUW 77-64
−3.5
16
@HC
HCW 89-64
+5.5
19
@SHU
SHUL 63-85
−7.5
over 5under 5avg +0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Florida
12 games played
Straight up
8-4
67% wins
Against the spread
4-8
33% covers · avg −3.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-8
33% overs · avg −7.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs ARIZ | L 87-93 | -3.5 | L −9.5 | 164.5 | O 180 |
| Nov 6 | vs UNF | W 104-64 | -43.5 | L −3.5 | 169.5 | U 168 |
| Nov 11 | vs FSU | W 78-76 | -17.5 | L −15.5 | 180.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 16 | vs MIA | W 82-68 | -10.5 | W +3.5 | 171.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 21 | vs MRMK | W 80-45 | -36.5 | L −1.5 | 158.5 | U 125 |
| Nov 27 | vs TCU | L 80-84 | -11.5 | L −15.5 | 155.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 28 | vs PROV | W 90-78 | -12.5 | L −0.5 | 169.5 | U 168 |
| Dec 2 | @ DUKE | L 66-67 | +9.5 | W +8.5 | 157.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 9 | vs CONN | L 73-77 | +4.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 13 | vs GW | W 80-70 | -14.5 | L −4.5 | 162.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 17 | vs SFPA | W 102-61 | -44.5 | L −3.5 | 156.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 21 | vs COLG | W 90-60 | -27.5 | W +2.5 | 156.5 | U 150 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsARIZ
ARIZL 87-93
−9.5
6
vsUNF
UNFW 104-64
−3.5
11
vsFSU
FSUW 78-76
−15.5
16
vsMIA
MIAW 82-68
+3.5
21
vsMRMK
MRMKW 80-45
−1.5
27
vsTCU
TCUL 80-84
−15.5
28
vsPROV
PROVW 90-78
−0.5
2
@DUKE
DUKEL 66-67
+8.5
9
vsCONN
CONNL 73-77
+0.5
13
vsGW
GWW 80-70
−4.5
17
vsSFPA
SFPAW 102-61
−3.5
21
vsCOLG
COLGW 90-60
+2.5
covered 4didn’t cover 8avg −3.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsARIZ
ARIZL 87-93
+15.5
6
vsUNF
UNFW 104-64
−1.5
11
vsFSU
FSUW 78-76
−26.5
16
vsMIA
MIAW 82-68
−21.5
21
vsMRMK
MRMKW 80-45
−33.5
27
vsTCU
TCUL 80-84
+8.5
28
vsPROV
PROVW 90-78
−1.5
2
@DUKE
DUKEL 66-67
−24.5
9
vsCONN
CONNL 73-77
+4.5
13
vsGW
GWW 80-70
−12.5
17
vsSFPA
SFPAW 102-61
+6.5
21
vsCOLG
COLGW 90-60
−6.5
over 4under 8avg −7.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Dartmouth
4-6 overall · 0-0 in conference · Ivy League
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Sacred Heart63–85
- W@ Holy Cross89–64
- Wvs Boston U77–64
- L@ Colorado St55–76
- L@ Wyoming80–93
A week or more of rest.
Florida
8-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Colgate90–60
- Wvs Saint Francis Red Wolves102–61
- Wvs G Washington80–70
- Lvs UConn73–77
- L@ Duke66–67
A week or more of rest.