Jenny Craig Pavilion · at San Diego · Conference game
Closing line
SF -5.5✓ SF covered by 7.5
SF -5.5✓ SF covered by 7.5Closing total148.5Over by 22.5
| SF | This season | USD |
|---|---|---|
| 13-13 | Record | 9-16 |
| 11-15 | ATS | 14-11 |
| 13-13 | O/U | 10-15 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SF 79–74 USD · ✓ SF (66%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SF | 36 | 56 | 92 |
| USD | 41 | 38 | 79 |
1st half: SF 36, USD 41 (USD by 5). The model had SF by 3.0 and a total of 71.3 (actual 77).
Team stats
| SF | USD | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-48 58% | Field goals | 28-58 48% |
| 9-21 43% | 3-pointers | 8-22 36% |
| 27-35 77% | Free throws | 15-18 83% |
| 30 6 off | Rebounds | 23 7 off |
| 17 | Assists | 15 |
| 4 | Steals | 6 |
| 1 | Blocks | 0 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 18 | Fouls | 23 |
| 38 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 22 | Fast-break points | 6 |
Players
| SF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Fuchs F | 35 | 21 | 13 | 3 | 7-10 | 0-0 |
| Ryan Beasley G | 32 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 3-6 | 0-1 |
| Vukasin Masic G | 32 | 22 | 3 | 1 | 7-11 | 4-7 |
| Legend Smiley G | 30 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 3-7 | 3-6 |
| Junjie Wang F | 21 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 3-5 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Guillermo Diaz-Graham F | 24 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 4-4 | 1-1 |
| Mookie Cook F | 23 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Aidan Braccia G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Weilun Zhao, Sean Blakely Drummond, Veniamin Abosi, Saba Gigiberia, Tyrone Riley IV, Ndewedo Newbury, Isa Silva
| USD | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toneari Lane G | 40 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 6-10 | 4-7 |
| Juanse Gorosito G | 31 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 4-8 | 1-4 |
| Dominique Ford G | 28 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 7-14 | 0-2 |
| Emmanuel Callas G | 16 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Assane Diop F | 13 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Vuk Boskovic F | 30 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 2-7 | 2-6 |
| Adrian McIntyre G | 23 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 3-5 | 1-3 |
| Alejandro Aviles F | 10 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Tim Moore Jr. F | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Boden Grant, D'Arrae Goodwin, Piotr Winkowski, Caleb Versher, Brandon Benjamin, Nick Del Bosque, Gavin Ripp, Kjay Bradley, Josh Hecht, Neel Beniwal, Ty-Laur Johnson
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSF -5.5
ModelSF -4.8
Model edgeUSD +0.7
L SF covered
Total
Market148.5
Model152.5
Model edgeOver 4.0
W Over
Projected score
SF 78.6 · USD 73.9
SF 92 · USD 79
Win probability
SF 66%
1st half
Spread
SF -3.0
USD -5.0
Total
71.3
77 points
Projected score
SF 37.2 · USD 34.2
SF 36 · USD 41
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSF -4.5
1 → SF
CloseSF -5.5
1 pt toward SF
Total
Open148.5
no move
Close148.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
SF -238 · USD +195
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SF -4.5 · closed SF -5.5 · moved 1 toward SFmodel SF -5
model SF -5
Opened 148.5 · unchangedmodel 152.5
model 152.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SF | 3-7 30% | 3-7 30% | 7-3 70% |
| USD | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
SF 8–1 USDSF leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · SF has won the last 6 meetings · SF 4-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2025-26 | USD 64 @ SF 74 | SF -12.5 | USD W |
| Feb 15, 2024-25 | SF 84 @ USD 61 | USD +12.5 | SF W |
| Jan 25, 2024-25 | USD 69 @ SF 81 | SF -17.5 | USD W |
| Feb 1, 2023-24 | USD 79 @ SF 95 | SF -18.5 | USD W |
| Jan 11, 2023-24 | SF 83 @ USD 63 | USD +10.5 | SF W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
San Francisco
26 games played
Straight up
13-13
50% wins
Against the spread
11-15
42% covers · avg −3.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-13
50% overs · avg +0.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ MEM | L 70-76 | +2.5 | L −3.5 | 157.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 12 | vs PRST | W 80-70 | -13.5 | L −3.5 | 154.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 15 | vs BRAD | W 75-64 | -9.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 18 | vs NWST | W 84-64 | -16.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 22 | vs MINN | W 77-65 | +1.5 | W +13.5 | 140.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 27 | vs COLO | L 69-79 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 150.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 28 | vs NEV | L 65-81 | -5.5 | L −21.5 | 142.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 3 | vs UNA | L 63-65 | -16.5 | L −18.5 | 145.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 7 | vs MSST | W 65-62 | +4.5 | W +7.5 | 150.5 | U 127 |
| Dec 13 | @ SLU | L 75-85 | +12.5 | W +2.5 | 155.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 17 | vs LUC | W 85-71 | -11.5 | W +2.5 | 143.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 21 | vs MORG | W 94-64 | -25.5 | W +4.5 | 145.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 28 | @ SEA | W 67-59 | +2.5 | W +10.5 | 146.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 30 | @ ORST | L 62-70 | -4.5 | L −12.5 | 144.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 2 | vsUSD | W 74-64 | -12.5 | L −2.5 | 152.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 4 | vs PORT | W 73-68 | -11.5 | L −6.5 | 147.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 8 | @ LMU | L 82-84 | +1.5 | L −0.5 | 141.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 10 | @ PEPP | W 80-60 | -7.5 | W +12.5 | 140.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 13 | vs SMC | L 68-82 | +5.5 | L −8.5 | 141.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 18 | vs WSU | W 85-80 | -5.5 | L −0.5 | 146.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 24 | @ GONZ | L 66-68 | +15.5 | W +13.5 | 149.5 | U 134 |
| Jan 28 | @ SCU | L 73-88 | +9.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 31 | vs PAC | W 87-82 | -4.5 | W +0.5 | 138.5 | O 169 |
| Feb 4 | vsLMU | L 75-84 | -8.5 | L −17.5 | 145.5 | O 159 |
| Feb 7 | @SMC | L 54-79 | +11.5 | L −13.5 | 142.5 | U 133 |
| Feb 12 | vsORST | L 63-90 | -8.5 | L −35.5 | 140.5 | O 153 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@MEM
MEML 70-76
−3.5
12
vsPRST
PRSTW 80-70
−3.5
15
vsBRAD
BRADW 75-64
+1.5
18
vsNWST
NWSTW 84-64
+3.5
22
vsMINN
MINNW 77-65
+13.5
27
vsCOLO
COLOL 69-79
−11.5
28
vsNEV
NEVL 65-81
−21.5
3
vsUNA
UNAL 63-65
−18.5
7
vsMSST
MSSTW 65-62
+7.5
13
@SLU
SLUL 75-85
+2.5
17
vsLUC
LUCW 85-71
+2.5
21
vsMORG
MORGW 94-64
+4.5
28
@SEA
SEAW 67-59
+10.5
30
@ORST
ORSTL 62-70
−12.5
2
vsUSD
USDW 74-64
−2.5
4
vsPORT
PORTW 73-68
−6.5
8
@LMU
LMUL 82-84
−0.5
10
@PEPP
PEPPW 80-60
+12.5
13
vsSMC
SMCL 68-82
−8.5
18
vsWSU
WSUW 85-80
−0.5
24
@GONZ
GONZL 66-68
+13.5
28
@SCU
SCUL 73-88
−5.5
31
vsPAC
PACW 87-82
+0.5
4
vsLMU
LMUL 75-84
−17.5
7
@SMC
SMCL 54-79
−13.5
12
vsORST
ORSTL 63-90
−35.5
covered 11didn’t cover 15avg −3.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@MEM
MEML 70-76
−11.5
12
vsPRST
PRSTW 80-70
−4.5
15
vsBRAD
BRADW 75-64
−7.5
18
vsNWST
NWSTW 84-64
+4.5
22
vsMINN
MINNW 77-65
+1.5
27
vsCOLO
COLOL 69-79
−2.5
28
vsNEV
NEVL 65-81
+3.5
3
vsUNA
UNAL 63-65
−17.5
7
vsMSST
MSSTW 65-62
−23.5
13
@SLU
SLUL 75-85
+4.5
17
vsLUC
LUCW 85-71
+12.5
21
vsMORG
MORGW 94-64
+12.5
28
@SEA
SEAW 67-59
−20.5
30
@ORST
ORSTL 62-70
−12.5
2
vsUSD
USDW 74-64
−14.5
4
vsPORT
PORTW 73-68
−6.5
8
@LMU
LMUL 82-84
+24.5
10
@PEPP
PEPPW 80-60
−0.5
13
vsSMC
SMCL 68-82
+8.5
18
vsWSU
WSUW 85-80
+18.5
24
@GONZ
GONZL 66-68
−15.5
28
@SCU
SCUL 73-88
+10.5
31
vsPAC
PACW 87-82
+30.5
4
vsLMU
LMUL 75-84
+13.5
7
@SMC
SMCL 54-79
−9.5
12
vsORST
ORSTL 63-90
+12.5
over 13under 13avg +0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
San Diego
25 games played
Straight up
9-16
36% wins
Against the spread
14-11
56% covers · avg +0.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-15
40% overs · avg +0.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | vs IDST | L 68-71 | -4.5 | L −7.5 | 152.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 12 | vs IDHO | W 78-74 | +1.5 | W +5.5 | 155.5 | U 152 |
| Nov 18 | vs GRAM | W 78-68 | -6.5 | W +3.5 | 149.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 21 | vs UCR | L 71-85 | -7.5 | L −21.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 25 | vs CBU | L 61-76 | +7.5 | L −7.5 | 146.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 30 | @ LBSU | L 72-76 | -2.5 | L −6.5 | 147.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 5 | @ SJSU | L 69-86 | +6.5 | L −10.5 | 144.5 | O 155 |
| Dec 9 | vs USC | L 81-94 | +14.5 | W +1.5 | 158.5 | O 175 |
| Dec 13 | vs NAU | W 78-69 | -4.5 | W +4.5 | 149.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 19 | @ UCSD | W 82-80 | +12.5 | W +14.5 | 156.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 22 | @ WASH | L 56-86 | +18.5 | L −11.5 | 159.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 28 | vsPAC | W 66-54 | +2.5 | W +14.5 | 150.5 | U 120 |
| Dec 30 | vsGONZ | L 93-99 | +29.5 | W +23.5 | 160.5 | O 192 |
| Jan 2 | @SF | L 64-74 | +12.5 | W +2.5 | 152.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 4 | @SCU | L 70-98 | +17.5 | L −10.5 | 161.5 | O 168 |
| Jan 8 | vsPEPP | W 83-63 | -4.5 | W +15.5 | 149.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 10 | @PAC | L 70-77 | +8.5 | W +1.5 | 147.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 15 | @SEA | L 64-75 | +9.5 | L −1.5 | 147.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 21 | vsWSU | W 96-92 | +1.5 | W +5.5 | 152.5 | O 188 |
| Jan 24 | vsSCU | L 73-85 | +13.5 | W +1.5 | 162.5 | U 158 |
| Jan 28 | @PEPP | W 92-88 | -2.5 | W +1.5 | 151.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 31 | vsORST | L 76-78 | -3.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | O 154 |
| Feb 4 | @SMC | L 60-87 | +20.5 | L −6.5 | 148.5 | U 147 |
| Feb 7 | @LMU | L 63-83 | +6.5 | L −13.5 | 151.5 | U 146 |
| Feb 11 | vsPORT | W 71-58 | -1.5 | W +11.5 | 150.5 | U 129 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vsIDST
IDSTL 68-71
−7.5
12
vsIDHO
IDHOW 78-74
+5.5
18
vsGRAM
GRAMW 78-68
+3.5
21
vsUCR
UCRL 71-85
−21.5
25
vsCBU
CBUL 61-76
−7.5
30
@LBSU
LBSUL 72-76
−6.5
5
@SJSU
SJSUL 69-86
−10.5
9
vsUSC
USCL 81-94
+1.5
13
vsNAU
NAUW 78-69
+4.5
19
@UCSD
UCSDW 82-80
+14.5
22
@WASH
WASHL 56-86
−11.5
28
vsPAC
PACW 66-54
+14.5
30
vsGONZ
GONZL 93-99
+23.5
2
@SF
SFL 64-74
+2.5
4
@SCU
SCUL 70-98
−10.5
8
vsPEPP
PEPPW 83-63
+15.5
10
@PAC
PACL 70-77
+1.5
15
@SEA
SEAL 64-75
−1.5
21
vsWSU
WSUW 96-92
+5.5
24
vsSCU
SCUL 73-85
+1.5
28
@PEPP
PEPPW 92-88
+1.5
31
vsORST
ORSTL 76-78
−5.5
4
@SMC
SMCL 60-87
−6.5
7
@LMU
LMUL 63-83
−13.5
11
vsPORT
PORTW 71-58
+11.5
covered 14didn’t cover 11avg +0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vsIDST
IDSTL 68-71
−13.5
12
vsIDHO
IDHOW 78-74
−3.5
18
vsGRAM
GRAMW 78-68
−3.5
21
vsUCR
UCRL 71-85
+3.5
25
vsCBU
CBUL 61-76
−9.5
30
@LBSU
LBSUL 72-76
+0.5
5
@SJSU
SJSUL 69-86
+10.5
9
vsUSC
USCL 81-94
+16.5
13
vsNAU
NAUW 78-69
−2.5
19
@UCSD
UCSDW 82-80
+5.5
22
@WASH
WASHL 56-86
−17.5
28
vsPAC
PACW 66-54
−30.5
30
vsGONZ
GONZL 93-99
+31.5
2
@SF
SFL 64-74
−14.5
4
@SCU
SCUL 70-98
+6.5
8
vsPEPP
PEPPW 83-63
−3.5
10
@PAC
PACL 70-77
−0.5
15
@SEA
SEAL 64-75
−8.5
21
vsWSU
WSUW 96-92
+35.5
24
vsSCU
SCUL 73-85
−4.5
28
@PEPP
PEPPW 92-88
+28.5
31
vsORST
ORSTL 76-78
+3.5
4
@SMC
SMCL 60-87
−1.5
7
@LMU
LMUL 63-83
−5.5
11
vsPORT
PORTW 71-58
−21.5
over 10under 15avg +0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
San Francisco
13-13 overall · 6-8 in conference · West Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Oregon St63–90
- L@ Saint Mary's54–79
- Lvs LMU75–84
- Wvs Pacific87–82
- L@ Santa Clara73–88
3 days since their last game.
San Diego
9-16 overall · 5-9 in conference · West Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Portland71–58
- L@ LMU63–83
- L@ Saint Mary's60–87
- Lvs Oregon St76–78
- W@ Pepperdine92–88
4 days since their last game.