The Sobrato Center · at San Francisco · Conference game
Closing line
SF -8.5✓ LMU covered by 17.5
SF -8.5✓ LMU covered by 17.5Closing total145.5Over by 13.5
 LMU | This season | SF |
|---|---|---|
| 10-13 | Record | 13-10 |
| 11-12 | ATS | 11-12 |
| 12-11 | O/U | 11-12 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: LMU 67–76 SF · ✗ SF (77%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LMU | 37 | 47 | 84 |
| SF | 32 | 43 | 75 |
1st half: LMU 37, SF 32 (LMU by 5). The model had SF by 4.8 and a total of 66.8 (actual 69).
Team stats
| LMU | SF | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-60 48% | Field goals | 16-50 32% |
| 10-24 42% | 3-pointers | 6-21 29% |
| 16-21 76% | Free throws | 37-42 88% |
| 36 10 off | Rebounds | 34 10 off |
| 14 | Assists | 7 |
| 5 | Steals | 3 |
| 5 | Blocks | 3 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 31 | Fouls | 19 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 20 |
| 10 | Fast-break points | 12 |
Players
| LMU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Shelley F | 38 | 27 | 3 | 6 | 9-16 | 1-3 |
| Rodney Brown Jr. G | 37 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 8-14 | 4-8 |
| Aaron McBride F | 31 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 5-8 | 0-0 |
| Jan Vide G | 25 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 0-6 | 0-2 |
| Rick Issanza C | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Myron Amey Jr. G | 26 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 4-6 | 4-6 |
| AJ Thomas G | 14 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Josh Dalton F | 14 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2-5 | 1-4 |
| Rokas Jocius F | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Nakyel Shelton G | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Cooper Smith, Jael Martin, Marley Zeller, George Tupy, Kevin Carney, Tanner Thomas
| SF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Beasley G | 37 | 30 | 7 | 1 | 4-10 | 1-3 |
| Tyrone Riley IV G | 37 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 1-5 | 1-3 |
| Legend Smiley G | 35 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3-9 | 2-5 |
| Junjie Wang F | 26 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 3-8 | 2-5 |
| David Fuchs F | 18 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0-4 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Mookie Cook F | 19 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Guillermo Diaz-Graham F | 16 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2-6 | 0-2 |
| Vukasin Masic G | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Saba Gigiberia C | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Weilun Zhao G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Aidan Braccia, Veniamin Abosi, Sean Blakely Drummond, Ndewedo Newbury, Isa Silva
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSF -8.5
ModelSF -8.3
Model edgeLMU +0.2
W LMU covered
Total
Market145.5
Model142.7
Model edgeUnder 2.8
L Over
Projected score
LMU 67.2 · SF 75.5
LMU 84 · SF 75
Win probability
SF 77%
1st half
Spread
SF -4.8
LMU -5.0
Total
66.8
69 points
Projected score
LMU 31 · SF 35.8
LMU 37 · SF 32
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSF -7.5
1 → SF
CloseSF -8.5
1 pt toward SF
Total
Open142.5
▲ 3
Close145.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
LMU +310 · SF -395
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SF -7.5 · closed SF -8.5 · moved 1 toward SFmodel SF -8.5 matches the line
model SF -8.5 = line ✓
Opened 142.5 · closed 145.5 · moved 3 upmodel 142.5
model 142.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LMU | 2-8 20% | 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% |
| SF | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
LMU 1–6 SFSF leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · LMU 1-6 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2025-26 | SF 82 @ LMU 84 | LMU -1.5 | LMU W |
| Feb 8, 2024-25 | SF 72 @ LMU 66 | LMU +2.5 | SF W |
| Dec 28, 2024-25 | LMU 55 @ SF 70 | SF -10.5 | SF W |
| Feb 17, 2023-24 | SF 82 @ LMU 59 | LMU +8.5 | SF W |
| Jan 18, 2023-24 | LMU 74 @ SF 90 | SF -10.5 | SF W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
LMU
23 games played
Straight up
10-13
43% wins
Against the spread
11-12
48% covers · avg −2.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-11
52% overs · avg −0.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | vs EWU | W 70-62 | -9.5 | L −1.5 | 153.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 8 | vs UAPB | W 94-72 | -19.5 | W +2.5 | 157.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 11 | @ UTEP | W 71-58 | +1.5 | W +14.5 | 144.5 | U 129 |
| Nov 14 | vs TROY | W 74-63 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 140.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 17 | @ UCSB | W 78-74 | +3.5 | W +7.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 24 | vs FAU | L 65-76 | +3.5 | L −7.5 | 144.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 25 | vs OHIO | W 70-58 | -3.5 | W +8.5 | 144.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 28 | vs STBK | L 68-71 | -10.5 | L −13.5 | 138.5 | O 139 |
| Dec 2 | vs SLU | L 70-91 | +7.5 | L −13.5 | 150.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 16 | vs UCSD | L 57-67 | +1.5 | L −8.5 | 150.5 | U 124 |
| Dec 19 | vs UNA | W 91-57 | -10.5 | W +23.5 | 140.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 23 | vs MORG | W 83-56 | -23.5 | W +3.5 | 144.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 28 | vs SMC | L 73-78 | +9.5 | W +4.5 | 143.5 | O 151 |
| Dec 30 | vs PAC | W 80-71 | -3.5 | W +5.5 | 139.5 | O 151 |
| Jan 2 | @ WSU | L 76-78 | +3.5 | W +1.5 | 142.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 4 | @ GONZ | L 47-82 | +25.5 | L −9.5 | 154.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 8 | vsSF | W 84-82 | -1.5 | W +0.5 | 141.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 10 | @ SCU | L 72-103 | +11.5 | L −19.5 | 153.5 | O 175 |
| Jan 14 | @ ORST | L 70-76 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 140.5 | O 146 |
| Jan 17 | vs PORT | L 58-71 | -8.5 | L −21.5 | 148.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 21 | @ SEA | L 59-69 | +4.5 | L −5.5 | 141.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 28 | vsORST | L 69-72 | -5.5 | L −8.5 | 141.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 31 | vsSCU | L 73-104 | +8.5 | L −22.5 | 153.5 | O 177 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
vsEWU
EWUW 70-62
−1.5
8
vsUAPB
UAPBW 94-72
+2.5
11
@UTEP
UTEPW 71-58
+14.5
14
vsTROY
TROYW 74-63
+6.5
17
@UCSB
UCSBW 78-74
+7.5
24
vsFAU
FAUL 65-76
−7.5
25
vsOHIO
OHIOW 70-58
+8.5
28
vsSTBK
STBKL 68-71
−13.5
2
vsSLU
SLUL 70-91
−13.5
16
vsUCSD
UCSDL 57-67
−8.5
19
vsUNA
UNAW 91-57
+23.5
23
vsMORG
MORGW 83-56
+3.5
28
vsSMC
SMCL 73-78
+4.5
30
vsPAC
PACW 80-71
+5.5
2
@WSU
WSUL 76-78
+1.5
4
@GONZ
GONZL 47-82
−9.5
8
vsSF
SFW 84-82
+0.5
10
@SCU
SCUL 72-103
−19.5
14
@ORST
ORSTL 70-76
−7.5
17
vsPORT
PORTL 58-71
−21.5
21
@SEA
SEAL 59-69
−5.5
28
vsORST
ORSTL 69-72
−8.5
31
vsSCU
SCUL 73-104
−22.5
covered 11didn’t cover 12avg −2.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
vsEWU
EWUW 70-62
−21.5
8
vsUAPB
UAPBW 94-72
+8.5
11
@UTEP
UTEPW 71-58
−15.5
14
vsTROY
TROYW 74-63
−3.5
17
@UCSB
UCSBW 78-74
+6.5
24
vsFAU
FAUL 65-76
−3.5
25
vsOHIO
OHIOW 70-58
−16.5
28
vsSTBK
STBKL 68-71
+0.5
2
vsSLU
SLUL 70-91
+10.5
16
vsUCSD
UCSDL 57-67
−26.5
19
vsUNA
UNAW 91-57
+7.5
23
vsMORG
MORGW 83-56
−5.5
28
vsSMC
SMCL 73-78
+7.5
30
vsPAC
PACW 80-71
+11.5
2
@WSU
WSUL 76-78
+11.5
4
@GONZ
GONZL 47-82
−25.5
8
vsSF
SFW 84-82
+24.5
10
@SCU
SCUL 72-103
+21.5
14
@ORST
ORSTL 70-76
+5.5
17
vsPORT
PORTL 58-71
−19.5
21
@SEA
SEAL 59-69
−13.5
28
vsORST
ORSTL 69-72
−0.5
31
vsSCU
SCUL 73-104
+23.5
over 12under 11avg −0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
San Francisco
23 games played
Straight up
13-10
57% wins
Against the spread
11-12
48% covers · avg −1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-12
48% overs · avg −0.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ MEM | L 70-76 | +2.5 | L −3.5 | 157.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 12 | vs PRST | W 80-70 | -13.5 | L −3.5 | 154.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 15 | vs BRAD | W 75-64 | -9.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 18 | vs NWST | W 84-64 | -16.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 22 | vs MINN | W 77-65 | +1.5 | W +13.5 | 140.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 27 | vs COLO | L 69-79 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 150.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 28 | vs NEV | L 65-81 | -5.5 | L −21.5 | 142.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 3 | vsUNA | L 63-65 | -16.5 | L −18.5 | 145.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 7 | vs MSST | W 65-62 | +4.5 | W +7.5 | 150.5 | U 127 |
| Dec 13 | @SLU | L 75-85 | +12.5 | W +2.5 | 155.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 17 | vs LUC | W 85-71 | -11.5 | W +2.5 | 143.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 21 | vsMORG | W 94-64 | -25.5 | W +4.5 | 145.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 28 | @SEA | W 67-59 | +2.5 | W +10.5 | 146.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 30 | @ORST | L 62-70 | -4.5 | L −12.5 | 144.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 2 | vs USD | W 74-64 | -12.5 | L −2.5 | 152.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 4 | vsPORT | W 73-68 | -11.5 | L −6.5 | 147.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 8 | @LMU | L 82-84 | +1.5 | L −0.5 | 141.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 10 | @ PEPP | W 80-60 | -7.5 | W +12.5 | 140.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 13 | vsSMC | L 68-82 | +5.5 | L −8.5 | 141.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 18 | vsWSU | W 85-80 | -5.5 | L −0.5 | 146.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 24 | @GONZ | L 66-68 | +15.5 | W +13.5 | 149.5 | U 134 |
| Jan 28 | @SCU | L 73-88 | +9.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 31 | vsPAC | W 87-82 | -4.5 | W +0.5 | 138.5 | O 169 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@MEM
MEML 70-76
−3.5
12
vsPRST
PRSTW 80-70
−3.5
15
vsBRAD
BRADW 75-64
+1.5
18
vsNWST
NWSTW 84-64
+3.5
22
vsMINN
MINNW 77-65
+13.5
27
vsCOLO
COLOL 69-79
−11.5
28
vsNEV
NEVL 65-81
−21.5
3
vsUNA
UNAL 63-65
−18.5
7
vsMSST
MSSTW 65-62
+7.5
13
@SLU
SLUL 75-85
+2.5
17
vsLUC
LUCW 85-71
+2.5
21
vsMORG
MORGW 94-64
+4.5
28
@SEA
SEAW 67-59
+10.5
30
@ORST
ORSTL 62-70
−12.5
2
vsUSD
USDW 74-64
−2.5
4
vsPORT
PORTW 73-68
−6.5
8
@LMU
LMUL 82-84
−0.5
10
@PEPP
PEPPW 80-60
+12.5
13
vsSMC
SMCL 68-82
−8.5
18
vsWSU
WSUW 85-80
−0.5
24
@GONZ
GONZL 66-68
+13.5
28
@SCU
SCUL 73-88
−5.5
31
vsPAC
PACW 87-82
+0.5
covered 11didn’t cover 12avg −1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@MEM
MEML 70-76
−11.5
12
vsPRST
PRSTW 80-70
−4.5
15
vsBRAD
BRADW 75-64
−7.5
18
vsNWST
NWSTW 84-64
+4.5
22
vsMINN
MINNW 77-65
+1.5
27
vsCOLO
COLOL 69-79
−2.5
28
vsNEV
NEVL 65-81
+3.5
3
vsUNA
UNAL 63-65
−17.5
7
vsMSST
MSSTW 65-62
−23.5
13
@SLU
SLUL 75-85
+4.5
17
vsLUC
LUCW 85-71
+12.5
21
vsMORG
MORGW 94-64
+12.5
28
@SEA
SEAW 67-59
−20.5
30
@ORST
ORSTL 62-70
−12.5
2
vsUSD
USDW 74-64
−14.5
4
vsPORT
PORTW 73-68
−6.5
8
@LMU
LMUL 82-84
+24.5
10
@PEPP
PEPPW 80-60
−0.5
13
vsSMC
SMCL 68-82
+8.5
18
vsWSU
WSUW 85-80
+18.5
24
@GONZ
GONZL 66-68
−15.5
28
@SCU
SCUL 73-88
+10.5
31
vsPAC
PACW 87-82
+30.5
over 11under 12avg −0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
LMU
10-13 overall · 2-9 in conference · West Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Santa Clara73–104
- Lvs Oregon St69–72
- L@ Seattle U59–69
- Lvs Portland58–71
- L@ Oregon St70–76
4 days since their last game.
San Francisco
13-10 overall · 6-5 in conference · West Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Pacific87–82
- L@ Santa Clara73–88
- L@ Gonzaga66–68
- Wvs Washington St85–80
- Lvs Saint Mary's68–82
4 days since their last game.