Save Mart Center · at Fresno St · Conference game
Closing line
UNLV -1.5✓ FRES covered by 3.5
UNLV -1.5✓ FRES covered by 3.5Closing total153.5Over by 40.5
| UNLV | This season | FRES |
|---|---|---|
| 9-11 | Record | 9-11 |
| 9-11 | ATS | 13-7 |
| 11-9 | O/U | 7-13 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UNLV 76–76 FRES · ✗ UNLV (51%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNLV | 50 | 46 | 96 |
| FRES | 49 | 49 | 98 |
1st half: UNLV 50, FRES 49 (UNLV by 1). The model had UNLV by 0.3 and a total of 70.9 (actual 99).
Team stats
| UNLV | FRES | |
|---|---|---|
| 31-56 55% | Field goals | 29-49 59% |
| 9-23 39% | 3-pointers | 8-15 53% |
| 25-36 69% | Free throws | 32-44 73% |
| 33 12 off | Rebounds | 23 6 off |
| 13 | Assists | 11 |
| 8 | Steals | 6 |
| 3 | Blocks | 0 |
| 19 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 35 | Fouls | 28 |
| 38 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 11 | Fast-break points | 21 |
Players
| UNLV | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Howie Fleming Jr. G | 37 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 9-12 | 1-3 |
| Issac Williamson G | 35 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 4-11 | 1-6 |
| Kimani Hamilton F | 35 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 4-9 | 2-4 |
| Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn G | 32 | 28 | 3 | 4 | 10-13 | 4-6 |
| Emmanuel Stephen C | 18 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Walter Brown F | 20 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3-4 | 1-2 |
| Al Green G | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Naas Cunningham F | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Jacob Bannarbie F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jalen Cunningham, Xavier Brumfield, Mason Abittan, Tyrin Jones, Myles Che, Ladji Dembele
| FRES | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Heidbreder G | 39 | 29 | 3 | 1 | 9-14 | 4-7 |
| DeShawn Gory F | 36 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 5-11 | 0-1 |
| Wilson Jacques C | 35 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| Zaon Collins G | 28 | 16 | 1 | 3 | 5-11 | 1-2 |
| David Douglas Jr. G | 25 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Bastien Rieber G | 21 | 15 | 1 | 4 | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Cameron Faas G | 12 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Gasper Kocevar C | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Aram Vladimir Soqui Urbano G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Matteo Porto, Nathan Zulemie, DJ Stickman, Troy Jenkins, Makhan Diouf, Jac Mani
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUNLV -1.5
ModelUNLV -0.2
Model edgeFRES +1.3
W FRES covered
Total
Market153.5
Model151.5
Model edgeUnder 2.0
L Over
Projected score
UNLV 75.9 · FRES 75.6
UNLV 96 · FRES 98
Win probability
UNLV 51%
1st half
Spread
UNLV -0.3
UNLV -1.0
Total
70.9
99 points
Projected score
UNLV 35.6 · FRES 35.3
UNLV 50 · FRES 49
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenFRES -1.5
3 → UNLV
CloseUNLV -1.5
3 pts toward UNLV
Total
Open149.5
▲ 4
Close153.5
Up 4 since the open
Moneyline
UNLV -125 · FRES +105
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened FRES -1.5 · closed UNLV -1.5 · moved 3 toward UNLVmodel UNLV -0
model UNLV -0
Opened 149.5 · closed 153.5 · moved 4 upmodel 151.5
model 151.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNLV | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
| FRES | 4-6 40% | 7-3 70% | 2-8 20% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
UNLV 6–3 FRESUNLV leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · UNLV has won the last 5 meetings · UNLV 3-6 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025-26 | FRES 72 @ UNLV 84 | UNLV -8.5 | UNLV W |
| Feb 15, 2024-25 | UNLV 52 @ FRES 51 | FRES +8.5 | FRES W |
| Dec 28, 2024-25 | FRES 77 @ UNLV 87 | UNLV -15.5 | FRES W |
| Feb 14, 2023-24 | UNLV 67 @ FRES 65 | FRES +4.5 | FRES W |
| Jan 30, 2023-24 | FRES 69 @ UNLV 78 | UNLV -7.5 | UNLV W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UNLV
20 games played
Straight up
9-11
45% wins
Against the spread
9-11
45% covers · avg −2.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-9
55% overs · avg +0.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs UTM | L 81-86 | -16.5 | L −21.5 | 146.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 8 | vs UTC | W 101-69 | -7.5 | W +24.5 | 155.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 11 | vs MONT | L 93-102 | -10.5 | L −19.5 | 157.5 | O 195 |
| Nov 16 | @ MEM | W 92-78 | +9.5 | W +23.5 | 163.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 20 | vs JOES | W 99-85 | -10.5 | W +3.5 | 161.5 | O 184 |
| Nov 24 | vs MD | L 67-74 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 164.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 25 | vs ALA | L 76-115 | +13.5 | L −25.5 | 181.5 | O 191 |
| Nov 27 | vs RUTG | L 65-80 | -4.5 | L −19.5 | 153.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 7 | @ STAN | W 75-74 | +9.5 | W +10.5 | 164.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 13 | vs TNST | L 60-63 | -12.5 | L −15.5 | 161.5 | U 123 |
| Dec 20 | vsFRES | W 84-72 | -8.5 | W +3.5 | 159.5 | U 156 |
| Jan 3 | vs AF | W 67-39 | -14.5 | W +13.5 | 142.5 | U 106 |
| Jan 6 | @ WYO | L 66-98 | +4.5 | L −27.5 | 154.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 9 | @ CSU | L 62-70 | +6.5 | L −1.5 | 151.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 13 | vs BOIS | W 89-85 | +1.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | O 174 |
| Jan 17 | @ SJSU | W 76-62 | -7.5 | W +6.5 | 146.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 20 | @ USU | W 86-76 | +15.5 | W +25.5 | 156.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 24 | vs SDSU | L 71-82 | +3.5 | L −7.5 | 149.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 27 | vs UNM | L 61-89 | +3.5 | L −24.5 | 155.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 30 | @ NEV | L 76-89 | +7.5 | L −5.5 | 147.5 | O 165 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsUTM
UTML 81-86
−21.5
8
vsUTC
UTCW 101-69
+24.5
11
vsMONT
MONTL 93-102
−19.5
16
@MEM
MEMW 92-78
+23.5
20
vsJOES
JOESW 99-85
+3.5
24
vsMD
MDL 67-74
−4.5
25
vsALA
ALAL 76-115
−25.5
27
vsRUTG
RUTGL 65-80
−19.5
7
@STAN
STANW 75-74
+10.5
13
vsTNST
TNSTL 60-63
−15.5
20
vsFRES
FRESW 84-72
+3.5
3
vsAF
AFW 67-39
+13.5
6
@WYO
WYOL 66-98
−27.5
9
@CSU
CSUL 62-70
−1.5
13
vsBOIS
BOISW 89-85
+5.5
17
@SJSU
SJSUW 76-62
+6.5
20
@USU
USUW 86-76
+25.5
24
vsSDSU
SDSUL 71-82
−7.5
27
vsUNM
UNML 61-89
−24.5
30
@NEV
NEVL 76-89
−5.5
covered 9didn’t cover 11avg −2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsUTM
UTML 81-86
+20.5
8
vsUTC
UTCW 101-69
+14.5
11
vsMONT
MONTL 93-102
+37.5
16
@MEM
MEMW 92-78
+6.5
20
vsJOES
JOESW 99-85
+22.5
24
vsMD
MDL 67-74
−23.5
25
vsALA
ALAL 76-115
+9.5
27
vsRUTG
RUTGL 65-80
−8.5
7
@STAN
STANW 75-74
−15.5
13
vsTNST
TNSTL 60-63
−38.5
20
vsFRES
FRESW 84-72
−3.5
3
vsAF
AFW 67-39
−36.5
6
@WYO
WYOL 66-98
+9.5
9
@CSU
CSUL 62-70
−19.5
13
vsBOIS
BOISW 89-85
+23.5
17
@SJSU
SJSUW 76-62
−8.5
20
@USU
USUW 86-76
+5.5
24
vsSDSU
SDSUL 71-82
+3.5
27
vsUNM
UNML 61-89
−5.5
30
@NEV
NEVL 76-89
+17.5
over 11under 9avg +0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Fresno St
20 games played
Straight up
9-11
45% wins
Against the spread
13-7
65% covers · avg +2.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-13
35% overs · avg −8.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | vs UPST | L 66-67 | -9.5 | L −10.5 | 164.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 8 | vs LBSU | W 82-62 | -6.5 | W +13.5 | 142.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 12 | vs UCSD | L 73-78 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 148.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 15 | vs UVU | W 75-74 | +4.5 | W +5.5 | 156.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 18 | vs SFA | W 80-78 | +2.5 | W +4.5 | 146.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 21 | vs NOLA | W 85-76 | -6.5 | W +2.5 | 154.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 26 | vs PEPP | W 76-53 | -2.5 | W +20.5 | 150.5 | U 129 |
| Nov 30 | vs CSUB | L 71-76 | -10.5 | L −15.5 | 150.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 6 | @ ARK | L 58-82 | +19.5 | L −4.5 | 161.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 10 | @ CSUN | L 87-89 | +3.5 | W +1.5 | 161.5 | O 176 |
| Dec 20 | @UNLV | L 72-84 | +8.5 | L −3.5 | 159.5 | U 156 |
| Dec 30 | vsUSU | L 63-72 | +14.5 | W +5.5 | 154.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 3 | vsNEV | L 65-66 | +4.5 | W +3.5 | 146.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 6 | @SJSU | W 70-55 | -1.5 | W +13.5 | 149.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 10 | @SDSU | L 52-71 | +14.5 | L −4.5 | 146.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 13 | vsCSU | W 79-69 | +3.5 | W +13.5 | 139.5 | O 148 |
| Jan 17 | vsWYO | W 63-60 | +3.5 | W +6.5 | 145.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 21 | @UNM | L 74-83 | +15.5 | W +6.5 | 151.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 24 | vs GCU | L 57-68 | +4.5 | L −6.5 | 145.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 31 | @AF | W 79-62 | -9.5 | W +7.5 | 141.5 | U 141 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
vsUPST
UPSTL 66-67
−10.5
8
vsLBSU
LBSUW 82-62
+13.5
12
vsUCSD
UCSDL 73-78
−6.5
15
vsUVU
UVUW 75-74
+5.5
18
vsSFA
SFAW 80-78
+4.5
21
vsNOLA
NOLAW 85-76
+2.5
26
vsPEPP
PEPPW 76-53
+20.5
30
vsCSUB
CSUBL 71-76
−15.5
6
@ARK
ARKL 58-82
−4.5
10
@CSUN
CSUNL 87-89
+1.5
20
@UNLV
UNLVL 72-84
−3.5
30
vsUSU
USUL 63-72
+5.5
3
vsNEV
NEVL 65-66
+3.5
6
@SJSU
SJSUW 70-55
+13.5
10
@SDSU
SDSUL 52-71
−4.5
13
vsCSU
CSUW 79-69
+13.5
17
vsWYO
WYOW 63-60
+6.5
21
@UNM
UNML 74-83
+6.5
24
vsGCU
GCUL 57-68
−6.5
31
@AF
AFW 79-62
+7.5
covered 13didn’t cover 7avg +2.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
vsUPST
UPSTL 66-67
−31.5
8
vsLBSU
LBSUW 82-62
+1.5
12
vsUCSD
UCSDL 73-78
+2.5
15
vsUVU
UVUW 75-74
−7.5
18
vsSFA
SFAW 80-78
+11.5
21
vsNOLA
NOLAW 85-76
+6.5
26
vsPEPP
PEPPW 76-53
−21.5
30
vsCSUB
CSUBL 71-76
−3.5
6
@ARK
ARKL 58-82
−21.5
10
@CSUN
CSUNL 87-89
+14.5
20
@UNLV
UNLVL 72-84
−3.5
30
vsUSU
USUL 63-72
−19.5
3
vsNEV
NEVL 65-66
−15.5
6
@SJSU
SJSUW 70-55
−24.5
10
@SDSU
SDSUL 52-71
−23.5
13
vsCSU
CSUW 79-69
+8.5
17
vsWYO
WYOW 63-60
−22.5
21
@UNM
UNML 74-83
+5.5
24
vsGCU
GCUL 57-68
−20.5
31
@AF
AFW 79-62
−0.5
over 7under 13avg −8.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UNLV
9-11 overall · 5-5 in conference · Mountain West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Nevada76–89
- Lvs New Mexico61–89
- Lvs San Diego St71–82
- W@ Utah State86–76
- W@ San José St76–62
4 days since their last game.
Fresno St
9-11 overall · 4-6 in conference · Pac-12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Air Force79–62
- Lvs Grand Canyon57–68
- L@ New Mexico74–83
- Wvs Wyoming63–60
- Wvs Colorado St79–69
3 days since their last game.