Save Mart Center · at Fresno St · Conference game
Closing line
CSU -3.5✓ FRES covered by 13.5
CSU -3.5✓ FRES covered by 13.5Closing total139.5Over by 8.5
| CSU | This season | FRES |
|---|---|---|
| 10-5 | Record | 6-9 |
| 10-5 | ATS | 9-6 |
| 8-7 | O/U | 5-10 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: CSU 73–68 FRES · ✗ CSU (67%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CSU | 22 | 47 | 69 |
| FRES | 36 | 43 | 79 |
1st half: CSU 22, FRES 36 (FRES by 14). The model had CSU by 3.1 and a total of 66.4 (actual 58).
Team stats
| CSU | FRES | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-56 46% | Field goals | 24-53 45% |
| 8-29 28% | 3-pointers | 8-20 40% |
| 9-12 75% | Free throws | 23-24 96% |
| 31 10 off | Rebounds | 32 9 off |
| 11 | Assists | 13 |
| 6 | Steals | 7 |
| 2 | Blocks | 1 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 20 | Fouls | 16 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 21 | Fast-break points | 14 |
Players
| CSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jevin Muniz G | 34 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 4-9 | 2-5 |
| Josh Pascarelli G | 33 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 5-12 | 1-7 |
| Brandon Rechsteiner G | 32 | 18 | 0 | 3 | 6-14 | 3-9 |
| Carey Booth F | 29 | 15 | 9 | 0 | 6-9 | 1-3 |
| Rashaan Mbemba F | 17 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Augustinas Kiudulas F | 19 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 3-5 | 1-2 |
| Jase Butler G | 19 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Jojo McIver G | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Nikola Djapa C | 8 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Darnez Slater, Docker Tedeschi, Kyle Jorgensen, Charlie Dortch, Jon Mekonnen
| FRES | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeShawn Gory F | 37 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 7-15 | 0-4 |
| Jake Heidbreder G | 36 | 23 | 0 | 1 | 3-6 | 1-3 |
| Zaon Collins G | 31 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 3-9 | 1-3 |
| Wilson Jacques C | 28 | 8 | 12 | 1 | 2-7 | 0-0 |
| David Douglas Jr. G | 24 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 4-6 | 2-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Cameron Faas G | 17 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Jac Mani F | 15 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 3-6 | 2-3 |
| Bastien Rieber G | 9 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| DJ Stickman G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Matteo Porto, Nathan Zulemie, Gasper Kocevar, Aram Vladimir Soqui Urbano, Troy Jenkins, Makhan Diouf
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketCSU -3.5
ModelCSU -5.0
Model edgeCSU +1.5
L FRES covered
Total
Market139.5
Model141.7
Model edgeOver 2.2
W Over
Projected score
CSU 73.4 · FRES 68.3
CSU 69 · FRES 79
Win probability
CSU 67%
1st half
Spread
CSU -3.1
FRES -14.0
Total
66.4
58 points
Projected score
CSU 34.8 · FRES 31.6
CSU 22 · FRES 36
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenCSU -4.5
1 → FRES
CloseCSU -3.5
1 pt toward FRES
Total
Open136.5
▲ 3
Close139.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
CSU -198 · FRES +164
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened CSU -4.5 · closed CSU -3.5 · moved 1 toward FRESmodel CSU -5
model CSU -5
Opened 136.5 · closed 139.5 · moved 3 upmodel 141.5
model 141.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CSU | 6-4 60% | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% |
| FRES | 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% | 2-8 20% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
CSU 7–0 FRESCSU leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · CSU has won the last 7 meetings · CSU 5-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2024-25 | CSU 69 @ FRES 64 | FRES +11.5 | FRES W |
| Jan 7, 2024-25 | FRES 64 @ CSU 91 | CSU -15.5 | CSU W |
| Feb 3, 2023-24 | CSU 73 @ FRES 61 | FRES +6.5 | CSU W |
| Mar 8, 2022-23 | FRES 65 vs CSU 67 | CSU -3.5 | FRES W |
| Feb 18, 2022-23 | CSU 60 @ FRES 57 | FRES -2.5 | CSU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Colorado St
15 games played
Straight up
10-5
67% wins
Against the spread
10-5
67% covers · avg +0.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-7
53% overs · avg +0.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs UIW | W 98-64 | -10.5 | W +23.5 | 147.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 9 | vs OMA | W 97-74 | -14.5 | W +8.5 | 153.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 12 | vs CP | W 93-79 | -18.5 | L −4.5 | 165.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 16 | @ LUC | W 80-67 | -3.5 | W +9.5 | 151.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 21 | vs DEN | L 81-83 | -18.5 | L −20.5 | 149.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 26 | vs VT | L 64-66 | +4.5 | W +2.5 | 153.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 27 | vs WICH | W 76-70 | -1.5 | W +4.5 | 142.5 | O 146 |
| Nov 28 | vs USF | W 83-68 | +2.5 | W +17.5 | 155.5 | U 151 |
| Dec 6 | vs COLO | W 91-86 | -1.5 | W +3.5 | 149.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 9 | vs DART | W 76-55 | -20.5 | W +0.5 | 153.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 20 | @ USU | L 58-100 | +10.5 | L −31.5 | 147.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 30 | vs NEV | L 62-75 | -1.5 | L −14.5 | 139.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 3 | @ GCU | W 70-60 | +6.5 | W +16.5 | 143.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 6 | vs UNM | L 70-80 | +1.5 | L −8.5 | 143.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 9 | vs UNLV | W 70-62 | -6.5 | W +1.5 | 151.5 | U 132 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsUIW
UIWW 98-64
+23.5
9
vsOMA
OMAW 97-74
+8.5
12
vsCP
CPW 93-79
−4.5
16
@LUC
LUCW 80-67
+9.5
21
vsDEN
DENL 81-83
−20.5
26
vsVT
VTL 64-66
+2.5
27
vsWICH
WICHW 76-70
+4.5
28
vsUSF
USFW 83-68
+17.5
6
vsCOLO
COLOW 91-86
+3.5
9
vsDART
DARTW 76-55
+0.5
20
@USU
USUL 58-100
−31.5
30
vsNEV
NEVL 62-75
−14.5
3
@GCU
GCUW 70-60
+16.5
6
vsUNM
UNML 70-80
−8.5
9
vsUNLV
UNLVW 70-62
+1.5
covered 10didn’t cover 5avg +0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsUIW
UIWW 98-64
+14.5
9
vsOMA
OMAW 97-74
+17.5
12
vsCP
CPW 93-79
+6.5
16
@LUC
LUCW 80-67
−4.5
21
vsDEN
DENL 81-83
+14.5
26
vsVT
VTL 64-66
−23.5
27
vsWICH
WICHW 76-70
+3.5
28
vsUSF
USFW 83-68
−4.5
6
vsCOLO
COLOW 91-86
+27.5
9
vsDART
DARTW 76-55
−22.5
20
@USU
USUL 58-100
+10.5
30
vsNEV
NEVL 62-75
−2.5
3
@GCU
GCUW 70-60
−13.5
6
vsUNM
UNML 70-80
+6.5
9
vsUNLV
UNLVW 70-62
−19.5
over 8under 7avg +0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Fresno St
15 games played
Straight up
6-9
40% wins
Against the spread
9-6
60% covers · avg +1.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-10
33% overs · avg −9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | vs UPST | L 66-67 | -9.5 | L −10.5 | 164.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 8 | vs LBSU | W 82-62 | -6.5 | W +13.5 | 142.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 12 | vs UCSD | L 73-78 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 148.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 15 | vs UVU | W 75-74 | +4.5 | W +5.5 | 156.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 18 | vs SFA | W 80-78 | +2.5 | W +4.5 | 146.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 21 | vs NOLA | W 85-76 | -6.5 | W +2.5 | 154.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 26 | vs PEPP | W 76-53 | -2.5 | W +20.5 | 150.5 | U 129 |
| Nov 30 | vs CSUB | L 71-76 | -10.5 | L −15.5 | 150.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 6 | @ ARK | L 58-82 | +19.5 | L −4.5 | 161.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 10 | @ CSUN | L 87-89 | +3.5 | W +1.5 | 161.5 | O 176 |
| Dec 20 | @UNLV | L 72-84 | +8.5 | L −3.5 | 159.5 | U 156 |
| Dec 30 | vsUSU | L 63-72 | +14.5 | W +5.5 | 154.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 3 | vsNEV | L 65-66 | +4.5 | W +3.5 | 146.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 6 | @ SJSU | W 70-55 | -1.5 | W +13.5 | 149.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 10 | @ SDSU | L 52-71 | +14.5 | L −4.5 | 146.5 | U 123 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
vsUPST
UPSTL 66-67
−10.5
8
vsLBSU
LBSUW 82-62
+13.5
12
vsUCSD
UCSDL 73-78
−6.5
15
vsUVU
UVUW 75-74
+5.5
18
vsSFA
SFAW 80-78
+4.5
21
vsNOLA
NOLAW 85-76
+2.5
26
vsPEPP
PEPPW 76-53
+20.5
30
vsCSUB
CSUBL 71-76
−15.5
6
@ARK
ARKL 58-82
−4.5
10
@CSUN
CSUNL 87-89
+1.5
20
@UNLV
UNLVL 72-84
−3.5
30
vsUSU
USUL 63-72
+5.5
3
vsNEV
NEVL 65-66
+3.5
6
@SJSU
SJSUW 70-55
+13.5
10
@SDSU
SDSUL 52-71
−4.5
covered 9didn’t cover 6avg +1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
vsUPST
UPSTL 66-67
−31.5
8
vsLBSU
LBSUW 82-62
+1.5
12
vsUCSD
UCSDL 73-78
+2.5
15
vsUVU
UVUW 75-74
−7.5
18
vsSFA
SFAW 80-78
+11.5
21
vsNOLA
NOLAW 85-76
+6.5
26
vsPEPP
PEPPW 76-53
−21.5
30
vsCSUB
CSUBL 71-76
−3.5
6
@ARK
ARKL 58-82
−21.5
10
@CSUN
CSUNL 87-89
+14.5
20
@UNLV
UNLVL 72-84
−3.5
30
vsUSU
USUL 63-72
−19.5
3
vsNEV
NEVL 65-66
−15.5
6
@SJSU
SJSUW 70-55
−24.5
10
@SDSU
SDSUL 52-71
−23.5
over 5under 10avg −9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Colorado St
10-5 overall · 2-3 in conference · Pac-12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs UNLV70–62
- Lvs New Mexico70–80
- W@ Grand Canyon70–60
- Lvs Nevada62–75
- L@ Utah State58–100
4 days since their last game.
Fresno St
6-9 overall · 1-4 in conference · Pac-12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ San Diego St52–71
- W@ San José St70–55
- Lvs Nevada65–66
- Lvs Utah State63–72
- L@ UNLV72–84
3 days since their last game.