McDougald-McLendon Arena · at NC Central · Conference game
Closing line
NORF -1.5✓ NCCU covered by 3.5
NORF -1.5✓ NCCU covered by 3.5Closing total141.5Under by 5.5
| NORF | This season | NCCU |
|---|---|---|
| 3-10 | Record | 0-11 |
| 6-7 | ATS | 6-5 |
| 8-5 | O/U | 4-7 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: NORF 72–70 NCCU · ✗ NORF (58%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NORF | 31 | 36 | 67 |
| NCCU | 38 | 31 | 69 |
1st half: NORF 31, NCCU 38 (NCCU by 7). The model had NORF by 1.5 and a total of 66.2 (actual 69).
Team stats
| NORF | NCCU | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-62 40% | Field goals | 24-62 39% |
| 4-17 24% | 3-pointers | 4-21 19% |
| 13-20 65% | Free throws | 17-25 68% |
| 40 17 off | Rebounds | 44 19 off |
| 9 | Assists | 17 |
| 7 | Steals | 6 |
| 9 | Blocks | 5 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 18 | Fouls | 15 |
| 42 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| NORF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony McComb III G | 38 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 3-12 | 1-4 |
| Elijah Jamison G | 34 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 6-16 | 2-8 |
| Devon Ellis F | 29 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 7-15 | 1-3 |
| Keyontae Lewis F | 22 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Adrean Newton G | 16 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| My'kel Jenkins G | 21 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Jaquel Morris F | 18 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Jordan Leaks G | 12 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Dian Wright-Forde G | 10 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Mekhi Reid, Melo Baines, Dramane Camara, Ahmad Torrence, Yel Deeng, Ryan Williams
| NCCU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gage Lattimore G | 39 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 4-11 | 2-7 |
| Khouri Carvey F | 37 | 24 | 11 | 1 | 9-16 | 0-0 |
| Dionte Johnson G | 37 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 2-7 | 0-1 |
| Tekao Carpenter G | 26 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2-8 | 2-7 |
| Ramondo Battle II F | 9 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jae Slack F | 31 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 3-9 | 0-3 |
| Kyric Davis G | 13 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Kelechi Okworogwo F | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Ryan Archey G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Khalil Arnold G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Gbenga Olubi, Caleb Ellison, Camren Daniels, Justin Edwards, Jonathan Dunn
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketNORF -1.5
ModelNORF -2.3
Model edgeNORF +0.8
L NCCU covered
Total
Market141.5
Model141.3
Model edgeUnder 0.2
W Under
Projected score
NORF 71.8 · NCCU 69.5
NORF 67 · NCCU 69
Win probability
NORF 58%
1st half
Spread
NORF -1.5
NCCU -7.0
Total
66.2
69 points
Projected score
NORF 33.9 · NCCU 32.4
NORF 31 · NCCU 38
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenNORF -4.5
3 → NCCU
CloseNORF -1.5
3 pts toward NCCU
Total
Open142.5
▼ 1
Close141.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
NORF -142 · NCCU +120
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened NORF -4.5 · closed NORF -1.5 · moved 3 toward NCCUmodel NORF -2.5
model NORF -2.5
Opened 142.5 · closed 141.5 · moved 1 downmodel 141.5 matches the line
model 141.5 = line ✓
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NORF | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% | 7-3 70% |
| NCCU | 0-10 0% | 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
NORF 5–4 NCCUNORF leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · NORF 4-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2024-25 | NORF 87 @ NCCU 91 | NCCU +5.5 | NCCU W |
| Feb 3, 2024-25 | NCCU 78 @ NORF 81 | NORF -9.5 | NCCU W |
| Feb 19, 2023-24 | NCCU 74 @ NORF 80 | NORF -6.5 | NCCU W |
| Jan 8, 2023-24 | NORF 58 @ NCCU 60 | NCCU -1.5 | NCCU W |
| Mar 10, 2022-23 | NORF 72 vs NCCU 65 | NCCU -0.5 | NORF W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Norfolk St
13 games played
Straight up
3-10
23% wins
Against the spread
6-7
46% covers · avg +0.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-5
62% overs · avg −1.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | vs W&M | L 78-81 | +2.5 | L −0.5 | 158.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 11 | @ ODU | L 57-60 | +8.5 | W +5.5 | 149.5 | U 117 |
| Nov 14 | @ TOW | L 41-51 | +13.5 | W +3.5 | 138.5 | U 92 |
| Nov 21 | vs HAMP | W 62-60 | -2.5 | L −0.5 | 133.5 | U 122 |
| Nov 23 | @ WYO | L 67-75 | +15.5 | W +7.5 | 141.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 29 | @ ARIZ | L 61-98 | +35.5 | L −1.5 | 146.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 6 | @ JMU | L 67-68 | +10.5 | W +9.5 | 138.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 10 | @ BAY | L 67-97 | +26.5 | L −3.5 | 148.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 18 | vs GRAM | L 68-80 | -1.5 | L −13.5 | 135.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 19 | vs JKST | W 82-72 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 140.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 21 | @ UTEP | W 72-71 | +10.5 | W +11.5 | 136.5 | O 143 |
| Dec 22 | vs UCI | L 70-89 | +11.5 | L −7.5 | 136.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 28 | @ UL | L 54-63 | +3.5 | L −5.5 | 126.5 | U 117 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
vsW&M
W&ML 78-81
−0.5
11
@ODU
ODUL 57-60
+5.5
14
@TOW
TOWL 41-51
+3.5
21
vsHAMP
HAMPW 62-60
−0.5
23
@WYO
WYOL 67-75
+7.5
29
@ARIZ
ARIZL 61-98
−1.5
6
@JMU
JMUL 67-68
+9.5
10
@BAY
BAYL 67-97
−3.5
18
vsGRAM
GRAML 68-80
−13.5
19
vsJKST
JKSTW 82-72
+4.5
21
@UTEP
UTEPW 72-71
+11.5
22
vsUCI
UCIL 70-89
−7.5
28
@UL
ULL 54-63
−5.5
covered 6didn’t cover 7avg +0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
vsW&M
W&ML 78-81
+0.5
11
@ODU
ODUL 57-60
−32.5
14
@TOW
TOWL 41-51
−46.5
21
vsHAMP
HAMPW 62-60
−11.5
23
@WYO
WYOL 67-75
+0.5
29
@ARIZ
ARIZL 61-98
+12.5
6
@JMU
JMUL 67-68
−3.5
10
@BAY
BAYL 67-97
+15.5
18
vsGRAM
GRAML 68-80
+12.5
19
vsJKST
JKSTW 82-72
+13.5
21
@UTEP
UTEPW 72-71
+6.5
22
vsUCI
UCIL 70-89
+22.5
28
@UL
ULL 54-63
−9.5
over 8under 5avg −1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
NC Central
11 games played
Straight up
0-11
0% wins
Against the spread
6-5
55% covers · avg −1.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-7
36% overs · avg −1.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ NCSU | L 66-114 | +31.5 | L −16.5 | 145.5 | O 180 |
| Nov 7 | @ UVA | L 62-81 | +34.5 | W +15.5 | 151.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 9 | @ APP | L 54-76 | +10.5 | L −11.5 | 136.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 14 | @ UNC | L 53-97 | +34.5 | L −9.5 | 159.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 22 | @ DAY | L 55-74 | +29.5 | W +10.5 | 146.5 | U 129 |
| Nov 25 | @ UPST | L 67-82 | +7.5 | L −7.5 | 148.5 | O 149 |
| Dec 3 | @JMU | L 62-67 | +14.5 | W +9.5 | 143.5 | U 129 |
| Dec 6 | vs NCAT | L 54-69 | +2.5 | L −12.5 | 142.5 | U 123 |
| Dec 9 | @ UK | L 67-103 | +42.5 | W +6.5 | 148.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 20 | vs LONG | L 72-74 | +3.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 29 | @ PSU | L 67-90 | +23.5 | W +0.5 | 150.5 | O 157 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@NCSU
NCSUL 66-114
−16.5
7
@UVA
UVAL 62-81
+15.5
9
@APP
APPL 54-76
−11.5
14
@UNC
UNCL 53-97
−9.5
22
@DAY
DAYL 55-74
+10.5
25
@UPST
UPSTL 67-82
−7.5
3
@JMU
JMUL 62-67
+9.5
6
vsNCAT
NCATL 54-69
−12.5
9
@UK
UKL 67-103
+6.5
20
vsLONG
LONGL 72-74
+1.5
29
@PSU
PSUL 67-90
+0.5
covered 6didn’t cover 5avg −1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@NCSU
NCSUL 66-114
+34.5
7
@UVA
UVAL 62-81
−8.5
9
@APP
APPL 54-76
−6.5
14
@UNC
UNCL 53-97
−9.5
22
@DAY
DAYL 55-74
−17.5
25
@UPST
UPSTL 67-82
+0.5
3
@JMU
JMUL 62-67
−14.5
6
vsNCAT
NCATL 54-69
−19.5
9
@UK
UKL 67-103
+21.5
20
vsLONG
LONGL 72-74
−0.5
29
@PSU
PSUL 67-90
+6.5
over 4under 7avg −1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Norfolk St
3-10 overall · 0-0 in conference · Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Louisiana54–63
- Lvs UC Irvine70–89
- W@ UTEP72–71
- Wvs Jackson St82–72
- Lvs Grambling68–80
6 days since their last game.
NC Central
0-11 overall · 0-0 in conference · Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Penn State67–90
- Lvs Longwood72–74
- L@ Kentucky67–103
- Lvs NC A&T54–69
- L@ James Madison62–67
5 days since their last game.