Michael J. Hagan '85 Arena · at Saint Joseph's · Conference game
Closing line
GW -1.5✓ JOES covered by 4.5
GW -1.5✓ JOES covered by 4.5Closing total155.5Under by 6.5
| GW | This season | JOES |
|---|---|---|
| 12-9 | Record | 12-8 |
| 11-10 | ATS | 10-10 |
| 10-11 | O/U | 8-12 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: GW 80–76 JOES · ✗ GW (63%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| GW | 30 | 43 | 73 |
| JOES | 35 | 41 | 76 |
1st half: GW 30, JOES 35 (JOES by 5). The model had GW by 2.4 and a total of 72.7 (actual 65).
Team stats
| GW | JOES | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-67 36% | Field goals | 28-57 49% |
| 15-45 33% | 3-pointers | 9-26 35% |
| 10-14 71% | Free throws | 11-13 85% |
| 38 18 off | Rebounds | 30 8 off |
| 14 | Assists | 16 |
| 6 | Steals | 6 |
| 1 | Blocks | 4 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 15 | Fouls | 10 |
| 18 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 6 |
Players
| GW | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Autry G | 33 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 5-11 | 4-10 |
| Luke Hunger F | 31 | 11 | 9 | 1 | 4-12 | 1-5 |
| Garrett Johnson F | 29 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 4-13 | 3-9 |
| Jean Aranguren G | 28 | 11 | 9 | 4 | 4-8 | 2-3 |
| Christian Jones G | 24 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1-6 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tre Dinkins G | 20 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3-9 | 3-8 |
| Bubu Benjamin G | 18 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3-7 | 2-6 |
| Tyrone Marshall Jr. F | 17 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Jalen Rougier-Roane, Mohamed Binzagr, Rafael Castro, Amir Arrington, Ty Bevins, Vincent Chaudhri, Trey Moss
| JOES | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derek Simpson G | 38 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 5-15 | 0-6 |
| Dasear Haskins F | 37 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 6-11 | 2-5 |
| Jaiden Glover-Toscano G | 31 | 23 | 3 | 2 | 8-9 | 5-6 |
| Justice Ajogbor C | 30 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Austin Williford G | 30 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 4-11 | 0-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Anthony Finkley F | 14 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2-4 | 2-3 |
| Khaafiq Myers G | 12 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Jaden Smith C | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Kevin Kearney F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Billy Rayer, Mekai Johnson, Will Lange, Owen Verna, Steven Solano, Al Amadou
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketGW -1.5
ModelGW -3.8
Model edgeGW +2.3
L JOES covered
Total
Market155.5
Model155.2
Model edgeUnder 0.3
W Under
Projected score
GW 79.5 · JOES 75.7
GW 73 · JOES 76
Win probability
GW 63%
1st half
Spread
GW -2.4
JOES -5.0
Total
72.7
65 points
Projected score
GW 37.5 · JOES 35.1
GW 30 · JOES 35
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenGW -2.5
1 → JOES
CloseGW -1.5
1 pt toward JOES
Total
Open154.5
▲ 1
Close155.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
GW -120 · JOES +100
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened GW -2.5 · closed GW -1.5 · moved 1 toward JOESmodel GW -4
model GW -4
Opened 154.5 · closed 155.5 · moved 1 upmodel 155
model 155
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| GW | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% |
| JOES | 6-4 60% | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 6 since 2021-22
GW 1–5 JOESJOES leads · 6 games since 2021-22 · JOES has won the last 4 meetings · GW 1-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2024-25 | JOES 79 @ GW 68 | GW +2.5 | JOES W |
| Feb 21, 2023-24 | GW 75 @ JOES 79 | JOES -13.5 | GW W |
| Mar 8, 2022-23 | JOES 87 vs GW 76 | GW -1.5 | JOES W |
| Feb 11, 2022-23 | GW 69 @ JOES 81 | JOES -4.5 | JOES W |
| Jan 25, 2022-23 | JOES 91 @ GW 92 | GW -3.5 | JOES W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
G Washington
21 games played
Straight up
12-9
57% wins
Against the spread
11-10
52% covers · avg +0 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-11
48% overs · avg +1.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs ME | W 67-47 | -20.5 | L −0.5 | 143.5 | U 114 |
| Nov 8 | vs USF | W 99-95 | +1.5 | W +5.5 | 159.5 | O 194 |
| Nov 12 | vs AMER | W 107-67 | -17.5 | W +22.5 | 151.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 15 | vs ODU | W 96-73 | -15.5 | W +7.5 | 155.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 19 | vs UMBC | W 89-52 | -22.5 | W +14.5 | 160.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 23 | vs MCN | L 86-92 | -5.5 | L −11.5 | 157.5 | O 178 |
| Nov 24 | vs MTSU | W 92-79 | -9.5 | W +3.5 | 158.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 25 | vs MUR | L 95-96 | -7.5 | L −8.5 | 167.5 | O 191 |
| Dec 2 | @ ARMY | W 84-70 | -19.5 | L −5.5 | 156.5 | U 154 |
| Dec 6 | vs W&M | W 99-86 | -13.5 | L −0.5 | 174.5 | O 185 |
| Dec 10 | vs DEL | L 58-70 | -21.5 | L −33.5 | 152.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 13 | vs FLA | L 70-80 | +14.5 | W +4.5 | 162.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 31 | @ RICH | W 99-85 | -2.5 | W +11.5 | 162.5 | O 184 |
| Jan 3 | vs LAS | W 77-55 | -16.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 6 | @ DAY | L 72-79 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 154.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 10 | vs LUC | W 101-66 | -14.5 | W +20.5 | 154.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 14 | vs DAV | L 79-84 | -9.5 | L −14.5 | 150.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 19 | @ GMU | L 64-69 | +1.5 | L −3.5 | 153.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 24 | vsRICH | W 85-69 | -10.5 | W +5.5 | 159.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 27 | @ SLU | L 76-79 | +10.5 | W +7.5 | 167.5 | U 155 |
| Jan 31 | vs FOR | L 65-79 | -11.5 | L −25.5 | 150.5 | U 144 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsME
MEW 67-47
−0.5
8
vsUSF
USFW 99-95
+5.5
12
vsAMER
AMERW 107-67
+22.5
15
vsODU
ODUW 96-73
+7.5
19
vsUMBC
UMBCW 89-52
+14.5
23
vsMCN
MCNL 86-92
−11.5
24
vsMTSU
MTSUW 92-79
+3.5
25
vsMUR
MURL 95-96
−8.5
2
@ARMY
ARMYW 84-70
−5.5
6
vsW&M
W&MW 99-86
−0.5
10
vsDEL
DELL 58-70
−33.5
13
vsFLA
FLAL 70-80
+4.5
31
@RICH
RICHW 99-85
+11.5
3
vsLAS
LASW 77-55
+5.5
6
@DAY
DAYL 72-79
−4.5
10
vsLUC
LUCW 101-66
+20.5
14
vsDAV
DAVL 79-84
−14.5
19
@GMU
GMUL 64-69
−3.5
24
vsRICH
RICHW 85-69
+5.5
27
@SLU
SLUL 76-79
+7.5
31
vsFOR
FORL 65-79
−25.5
covered 11didn’t cover 10avg +0 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsME
MEW 67-47
−29.5
8
vsUSF
USFW 99-95
+34.5
12
vsAMER
AMERW 107-67
+22.5
15
vsODU
ODUW 96-73
+13.5
19
vsUMBC
UMBCW 89-52
−19.5
23
vsMCN
MCNL 86-92
+20.5
24
vsMTSU
MTSUW 92-79
+12.5
25
vsMUR
MURL 95-96
+23.5
2
@ARMY
ARMYW 84-70
−2.5
6
vsW&M
W&MW 99-86
+10.5
10
vsDEL
DELL 58-70
−24.5
13
vsFLA
FLAL 70-80
−12.5
31
@RICH
RICHW 99-85
+21.5
3
vsLAS
LASW 77-55
−18.5
6
@DAY
DAYL 72-79
−3.5
10
vsLUC
LUCW 101-66
+12.5
14
vsDAV
DAVL 79-84
+12.5
19
@GMU
GMUL 64-69
−20.5
24
vsRICH
RICHW 85-69
−5.5
27
@SLU
SLUL 76-79
−12.5
31
vsFOR
FORL 65-79
−6.5
over 10under 11avg +1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Saint Joseph's
20 games played
Straight up
12-8
60% wins
Against the spread
10-10
50% covers · avg +0.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-12
40% overs · avg −2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs LAF | W 85-76 | -13.5 | L −4.5 | 138.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 8 | vs DREX | W 76-65 | -9.5 | W +1.5 | 139.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 12 | @ VT | L 59-94 | +12.5 | L −22.5 | 158.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 17 | @ PENN | L 74-83 | -5.5 | L −14.5 | 163.5 | U 157 |
| Nov 20 | @ UNLV | L 85-99 | +10.5 | L −3.5 | 161.5 | O 184 |
| Nov 30 | vs PRIN | W 60-58 | -5.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | U 118 |
| Dec 6 | vs TEM | W 70-69 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 147.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 9 | vs COPP | W 87-65 | -22.5 | L −0.5 | 146.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 11 | @ SYR | L 63-71 | +11.5 | W +3.5 | 146.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 18 | vs DSU | W 67-51 | -17.5 | L −1.5 | 137.5 | U 118 |
| Dec 22 | vs CCU | L 62-68 | -7.5 | L −13.5 | 144.5 | U 130 |
| Dec 31 | @SLU | L 79-102 | +19.5 | L −3.5 | 161.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 3 | vsDAV | L 56-62 | +1.5 | L −4.5 | 139.5 | U 118 |
| Jan 7 | vs DUQ | W 97-90 | +1.5 | W +8.5 | 149.5 | O 187 |
| Jan 11 | @RICH | W 67-65 | +7.5 | W +9.5 | 150.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 14 | vs SBU | W 68-64 | +1.5 | W +5.5 | 147.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 19 | @ VCU | L 72-79 | +14.5 | W +7.5 | 151.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 24 | vsDAY | W 81-74 | +6.5 | W +13.5 | 139.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 27 | @LUC | W 85-64 | -1.5 | W +19.5 | 143.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 31 | @LAS | W 67-58 | -2.5 | W +6.5 | 142.5 | U 125 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsLAF
LAFW 85-76
−4.5
8
vsDREX
DREXW 76-65
+1.5
12
@VT
VTL 59-94
−22.5
17
@PENN
PENNL 74-83
−14.5
20
@UNLV
UNLVL 85-99
−3.5
30
vsPRIN
PRINW 60-58
−3.5
6
vsTEM
TEMW 70-69
+2.5
9
vsCOPP
COPPW 87-65
−0.5
11
@SYR
SYRL 63-71
+3.5
18
vsDSU
DSUW 67-51
−1.5
22
vsCCU
CCUL 62-68
−13.5
31
@SLU
SLUL 79-102
−3.5
3
vsDAV
DAVL 56-62
−4.5
7
vsDUQ
DUQW 97-90
+8.5
11
@RICH
RICHW 67-65
+9.5
14
vsSBU
SBUW 68-64
+5.5
19
@VCU
VCUL 72-79
+7.5
24
vsDAY
DAYW 81-74
+13.5
27
@LUC
LUCW 85-64
+19.5
31
@LAS
LASW 67-58
+6.5
covered 10didn’t cover 10avg +0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsLAF
LAFW 85-76
+22.5
8
vsDREX
DREXW 76-65
+1.5
12
@VT
VTL 59-94
−5.5
17
@PENN
PENNL 74-83
−6.5
20
@UNLV
UNLVL 85-99
+22.5
30
vsPRIN
PRINW 60-58
−28.5
6
vsTEM
TEMW 70-69
−8.5
9
vsCOPP
COPPW 87-65
+5.5
11
@SYR
SYRL 63-71
−12.5
18
vsDSU
DSUW 67-51
−19.5
22
vsCCU
CCUL 62-68
−14.5
31
@SLU
SLUL 79-102
+19.5
3
vsDAV
DAVL 56-62
−21.5
7
vsDUQ
DUQW 97-90
+37.5
11
@RICH
RICHW 67-65
−18.5
14
vsSBU
SBUW 68-64
−15.5
19
@VCU
VCUL 72-79
−0.5
24
vsDAY
DAYW 81-74
+15.5
27
@LUC
LUCW 85-64
+5.5
31
@LAS
LASW 67-58
−17.5
over 8under 12avg −2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
G Washington
12-9 overall · 4-5 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Fordham65–79
- L@ Saint Louis76–79
- Wvs Richmond85–69
- L@ George Mason64–69
- Lvs Davidson79–84
4 days since their last game.
Saint Joseph's
12-8 overall · 6-3 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ La Salle67–58
- W@ Loyola Chicago85–64
- Wvs Dayton81–74
- L@ VCU72–79
- Wvs St Bonaventure68–64
4 days since their last game.