UD Arena · at Dayton · Conference game
Closing line
DAY -16.5✓ DAY covered by 10.5
DAY -16.5✓ DAY covered by 10.5Closing total141.5Under by 12.5
 LUC | This season | DAY |
|---|---|---|
| 5-13 | Record | 13-4 |
| 5-13 | ATS | 8-9 |
| 10-8 | O/U | 6-11 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: LUC 64–81 DAY · ✓ DAY (92%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LUC | 30 | 21 | 51 |
| DAY | 31 | 47 | 78 |
1st half: LUC 30, DAY 31 (DAY by 1). The model had DAY by 9.7 and a total of 67.8 (actual 61).
Team stats
| LUC | DAY | |
|---|---|---|
| 19-57 33% | Field goals | 23-52 44% |
| 4-17 24% | 3-pointers | 10-23 43% |
| 9-16 56% | Free throws | 22-28 79% |
| 42 16 off | Rebounds | 34 7 off |
| 10 | Assists | 11 |
| 3 | Steals | 11 |
| 5 | Blocks | 7 |
| 19 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 21 | Fouls | 18 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 22 |
| 3 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| LUC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Reese G | 32 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0-7 | 0-2 |
| Nic Anderson G | 30 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 1-6 | 1-3 |
| Kymany Houinsou G | 30 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 4-7 | 0-0 |
| Joshua Ola-Joseph F | 28 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 4-10 | 0-2 |
| Miles Rubin C | 28 | 14 | 8 | 1 | 7-15 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Deywilk Tavarez G | 28 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2-10 | 2-8 |
| Daniil Glazkov G | 13 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Brayden Young F | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Sam Yurasek G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Zachary Royster F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Xavier Amos, Justin Moore, Chuck Love III, Kayde Dotson, Alexander Richardson, Dominick Harris
| DAY | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javon Bennett G | 35 | 19 | 2 | 4 | 6-14 | 3-6 |
| Keonte Jones G | 34 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 3-9 | 1-2 |
| Bryce Heard G | 32 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 3-7 | 0-1 |
| De'Shayne Montgomery G | 29 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 7-14 | 3-8 |
| Jaiun Simon F | 26 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jacob Conner F | 18 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Amal L'Etang F | 14 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Sean Pouedet G | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Damon Friery F | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
Did not play: Makai Grant, Will Maxwell, Evan Dickey, Jordan Derkack, Jaron McKie, Adam Njie, Malcolm Thomas
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenDAY -18.5
2 → LUC
CloseDAY -16.5
2 pts toward LUC
Total
Open141.5
no move
Close141.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
LUC +1100 · DAY -2100
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened DAY -18.5 · closed DAY -16.5 · moved 2 toward LUCmodel DAY -16.5 matches the line
model DAY -16.5 = line ✓
Opened 141.5 · unchangedmodel 144.5
model 144.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | DAY -16.5 | DAY -16.4 | LUC +0.1 | L DAY covered |
| Total | 141.5 | 144.7 | Over 3.2 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | LUC 64.2 · DAY 80.6 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | DAY -9.7 | DAY -1.0 |
| 1H total | 67.8 | 61 |
| 1H projected score | LUC 29.1 · DAY 38.7 | LUC 30 · DAY 31 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LUC | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% | 8-2 80% |
| DAY | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 6 since 2021-22
LUC 2–4 DAYDAY leads · 6 games since 2021-22 · LUC 5-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2025-26 | DAY 70 @ LUC 68 | LUC +7.5 | LUC W |
| Feb 21, 2024-25 | DAY 72 @ LUC 76 | LUC +0.5 | LUC W |
| Jan 18, 2024-25 | LUC 81 @ DAY 83 | DAY -10.5 | LUC W |
| Mar 1, 2023-24 | DAY 72 @ LUC 77 | LUC +1.5 | LUC W |
| Feb 17, 2022-23 | DAY 65 @ LUC 49 | LUC +7.5 | DAY W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Loyola Chicago
18 games played
Straight up
5-13
28% wins
Against the spread
5-13
28% covers · avg −8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-8
56% overs · avg +1.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs CLE | W 91-88 | -17.5 | L −14.5 | 151.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 6 | vs MERC | L 65-73 | -21.5 | L −29.5 | 144.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 9 | vs UNT | L 62-64 | -1.5 | L −3.5 | 138.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 13 | @ WICH | L 74-95 | +5.5 | L −15.5 | 153.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 16 | vs CSU | L 67-80 | +3.5 | L −9.5 | 151.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 21 | vs NIU | L 59-76 | -13.5 | L −30.5 | 148.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 25 | vs UNI | L 51-72 | +8.5 | L −12.5 | 134.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 26 | vs SJSU | L 51-63 | +1.5 | L −10.5 | 136.5 | U 114 |
| Dec 2 | vs CMU | W 83-72 | -6.5 | W +4.5 | 140.5 | O 155 |
| Dec 6 | vs PRIN | W 73-68 | -6.5 | L −1.5 | 136.5 | O 141 |
| Dec 14 | vs CHST | L 75-84 | -15.5 | L −24.5 | 140.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 17 | @ SF | L 71-85 | +11.5 | L −2.5 | 143.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 20 | vs SCU | W 80-78 | +15.5 | W +17.5 | 151.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 31 | @ URI | W 61-57 | +9.5 | W +13.5 | 145.5 | U 118 |
| Jan 3 | vsDAY | L 68-70 | +7.5 | W +5.5 | 140.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 7 | vs DAV | L 64-79 | +1.5 | L −13.5 | 136.5 | O 143 |
| Jan 10 | @ GW | L 66-101 | +14.5 | L −20.5 | 154.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 13 | vs GMU | L 74-82 | +11.5 | W +3.5 | 140.5 | O 156 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsCLE
CLEW 91-88
−14.5
6
vsMERC
MERCL 65-73
−29.5
9
vsUNT
UNTL 62-64
−3.5
13
@WICH
WICHL 74-95
−15.5
16
vsCSU
CSUL 67-80
−9.5
21
vsNIU
NIUL 59-76
−30.5
25
vsUNI
UNIL 51-72
−12.5
26
vsSJSU
SJSUL 51-63
−10.5
2
vsCMU
CMUW 83-72
+4.5
6
vsPRIN
PRINW 73-68
−1.5
14
vsCHST
CHSTL 75-84
−24.5
17
@SF
SFL 71-85
−2.5
20
vsSCU
SCUW 80-78
+17.5
31
@URI
URIW 61-57
+13.5
3
vsDAY
DAYL 68-70
+5.5
7
vsDAV
DAVL 64-79
−13.5
10
@GW
GWL 66-101
−20.5
13
vsGMU
GMUL 74-82
+3.5
covered 5didn’t cover 13avg −8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCLE
CLEW 91-88
+27.5
6
vsMERC
MERCL 65-73
−6.5
9
vsUNT
UNTL 62-64
−12.5
13
@WICH
WICHL 74-95
+15.5
16
vsCSU
CSUL 67-80
−4.5
21
vsNIU
NIUL 59-76
−13.5
25
vsUNI
UNIL 51-72
−11.5
26
vsSJSU
SJSUL 51-63
−22.5
2
vsCMU
CMUW 83-72
+14.5
6
vsPRIN
PRINW 73-68
+4.5
14
vsCHST
CHSTL 75-84
+18.5
17
@SF
SFL 71-85
+12.5
20
vsSCU
SCUW 80-78
+6.5
31
@URI
URIW 61-57
−27.5
3
vsDAY
DAYL 68-70
−2.5
7
vsDAV
DAVL 64-79
+6.5
10
@GW
GWL 66-101
+12.5
13
vsGMU
GMUL 74-82
+15.5
over 10under 8avg +1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Dayton
17 games played
Straight up
13-4
76% wins
Against the spread
8-9
47% covers · avg −1.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-11
35% overs · avg −2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs CAN | W 88-48 | -25.5 | W +14.5 | 142.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 8 | vs UMBC | W 77-71 | -25.5 | L −19.5 | 154.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 11 | @ CIN | L 62-74 | +5.5 | L −6.5 | 147.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 15 | vs BCU | W 91-82 | -21.5 | L −12.5 | 148.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 19 | @ MARQ | W 77-71 | +6.5 | W +12.5 | 151.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 22 | vs NCCU | W 74-55 | -29.5 | L −10.5 | 146.5 | U 129 |
| Nov 27 | vs GTWN | W 84-79 | -1.5 | W +3.5 | 145.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 28 | vs BYU | L 79-83 | +9.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 2 | vs ETSU | W 88-71 | -11.5 | W +5.5 | 140.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 6 | vs UVA | L 73-86 | +5.5 | L −7.5 | 147.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 13 | vs UNF | W 84-61 | -30.5 | L −7.5 | 159.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 16 | vs FSU | W 97-69 | -6.5 | W +21.5 | 162.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 20 | vs LIB | L 61-64 | -9.5 | L −12.5 | 142.5 | U 125 |
| Dec 31 | vs FOR | W 63-56 | -16.5 | L −9.5 | 139.5 | U 119 |
| Jan 3 | @LUC | W 70-68 | -7.5 | L −5.5 | 140.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 6 | vsGW | W 79-72 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 154.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 13 | @ DUQ | W 71-65 | -2.5 | W +3.5 | 152.5 | U 136 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsCAN
CANW 88-48
+14.5
8
vsUMBC
UMBCW 77-71
−19.5
11
@CIN
CINL 62-74
−6.5
15
vsBCU
BCUW 91-82
−12.5
19
@MARQ
MARQW 77-71
+12.5
22
vsNCCU
NCCUW 74-55
−10.5
27
vsGTWN
GTWNW 84-79
+3.5
28
vsBYU
BYUL 79-83
+5.5
2
vsETSU
ETSUW 88-71
+5.5
6
vsUVA
UVAL 73-86
−7.5
13
vsUNF
UNFW 84-61
−7.5
16
vsFSU
FSUW 97-69
+21.5
20
vsLIB
LIBL 61-64
−12.5
31
vsFOR
FORW 63-56
−9.5
3
@LUC
LUCW 70-68
−5.5
6
vsGW
GWW 79-72
+4.5
13
@DUQ
DUQW 71-65
+3.5
covered 8didn’t cover 9avg −1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCAN
CANW 88-48
−6.5
8
vsUMBC
UMBCW 77-71
−6.5
11
@CIN
CINL 62-74
−11.5
15
vsBCU
BCUW 91-82
+24.5
19
@MARQ
MARQW 77-71
−3.5
22
vsNCCU
NCCUW 74-55
−17.5
27
vsGTWN
GTWNW 84-79
+17.5
28
vsBYU
BYUL 79-83
+11.5
2
vsETSU
ETSUW 88-71
+18.5
6
vsUVA
UVAL 73-86
+11.5
13
vsUNF
UNFW 84-61
−14.5
16
vsFSU
FSUW 97-69
+3.5
20
vsLIB
LIBL 61-64
−17.5
31
vsFOR
FORW 63-56
−20.5
3
@LUC
LUCW 70-68
−2.5
6
vsGW
GWW 79-72
−3.5
13
@DUQ
DUQW 71-65
−16.5
over 6under 11avg −2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Loyola Chicago
5-13 overall · 1-4 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs George Mason74–82
- L@ G Washington66–101
- Lvs Davidson64–79
- Lvs Dayton68–70
- W@ Rhode Island61–57
3 days since their last game.
Dayton
13-4 overall · 4-0 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Duquesne71–65
- Wvs G Washington79–72
- W@ Loyola Chicago70–68
- Wvs Fordham63–56
- Lvs Liberty61–64
3 days since their last game.