Rose Hill Gym · at Fordham · Conference game
Closing line
GMU -5.5✓ GMU covered by 3.5
GMU -5.5✓ GMU covered by 3.5Closing total134.5Under by 9.5
| GMU | This season | FOR |
|---|---|---|
| 13-1 | Record | 6-6 |
| 7-7 | ATS | 7-5 |
| 7-7 | O/U | 3-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: GMU 70–66 FOR · ✓ GMU (65%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| GMU | 23 | 44 | 67 |
| FOR | 28 | 30 | 58 |
1st half: GMU 23, FOR 28 (FOR by 5). The model had GMU by 2.7 and a total of 63.6 (actual 51).
Team stats
| GMU | FOR | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-48 48% | Field goals | 23-67 34% |
| 1-11 9% | 3-pointers | 6-23 26% |
| 20-26 77% | Free throws | 6-10 60% |
| 34 6 off | Rebounds | 41 19 off |
| 14 | Assists | 10 |
| 6 | Steals | 6 |
| 3 | Blocks | 2 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 17 | Fouls | 19 |
| 40 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| GMU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kory Mincy G | 37 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 4-10 | 0-4 |
| Masai Troutman G | 32 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| Riley Allenspach F | 25 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 8-14 | 0-2 |
| Jahari Long G | 23 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Malik Presley G | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Fatt Hill G | 24 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 1-5 | 0-1 |
| Stas Sivka F | 15 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Dola Adebayo F | 12 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Emmanuel Kanga F | 11 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Nick Ellington F | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Devin Booker, Isaiah Skinn, Ryan-Preston Mendy, T.J. Prosise, Ben Woodward, Brayden O'Connor
| FOR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dejour Reaves G | 36 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 6-19 | 1-5 |
| Akira Jacobs F | 33 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1-8 | 0-4 |
| Rikus Schulte F | 31 | 6 | 16 | 1 | 2-9 | 0-1 |
| Jack Whitbourn C | 28 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 6-11 | 1-2 |
| Marcus Greene G | 22 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3-8 | 2-6 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Louis Lesmond G | 26 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 1-6 | 1-2 |
| Kingston Price G | 22 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 4-6 | 1-3 |
| Jameson O'Toole G | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Roor Akhuar, Christian Henry, Abass Bodija, Max Miller, Aidan Crotty, Ryan Pettis, Zarique Nutter, Jace Howard
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketGMU -5.5
ModelGMU -4.3
Model edgeFOR +1.2
L GMU covered
Total
Market134.5
Model135.6
Model edgeOver 1.1
L Under
Projected score
GMU 70 · FOR 65.6
GMU 67 · FOR 58
Win probability
GMU 65%
1st half
Spread
GMU -2.7
FOR -5.0
Total
63.6
51 points
Projected score
GMU 33.1 · FOR 30.4
GMU 23 · FOR 28
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenGMU -5.5
no move
CloseGMU -5.5
No change since the open
Total
Open134.5
no move
Close134.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
GMU -230 · FOR +190
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened GMU -5.5 · unchangedmodel GMU -4.5
model GMU -4.5
Opened 134.5 · unchangedmodel 135.5
model 135.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| GMU | 9-1 90% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% |
| FOR | 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
GMU 2–3 FORFOR leads · 5 games since 2021-22 · GMU 1-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2024-25 | FOR 64 @ GMU 74 | GMU -11.5 | FOR W |
| Feb 27, 2023-24 | GMU 60 @ FOR 61 | FOR +1.5 | FOR W |
| Mar 1, 2022-23 | FOR 58 @ GMU 64 | GMU -3.5 | GMU W |
| Mar 10, 2021-22 | GMU 49 vs FOR 54 | FOR +6.5 | FOR W |
| Feb 20, 2021-22 | GMU 47 @ FOR 50 | FOR +6 | FOR W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
George Mason
14 games played
Straight up
13-1
93% wins
Against the spread
7-7
50% covers · avg −0.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-7
50% overs · avg +1.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs WOF | W 70-46 | -14.5 | W +9.5 | 140.5 | U 116 |
| Nov 7 | vs WIN | W 96-90 | -9.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | O 186 |
| Nov 15 | vs UNH | W 61-44 | -24.5 | L −7.5 | 144.5 | U 105 |
| Nov 18 | vs JAX | W 79-57 | -16.5 | W +5.5 | 136.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 24 | vs OHIO | W 92-69 | -7.5 | W +15.5 | 142.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 25 | vs FAU | W 74-65 | -4.5 | W +4.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 29 | vs JMU | W 82-66 | -12.5 | W +3.5 | 141.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 2 | vs COR | W 99-81 | -10.5 | W +7.5 | 155.5 | O 180 |
| Dec 6 | @ VT | L 62-73 | +4.5 | L −6.5 | 144.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 13 | vs ODU | W 73-61 | -16.5 | L −4.5 | 144.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 21 | vs L-MD | W 86-79 | -23.5 | L −16.5 | 146.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 28 | vs PENN | W 83-79 | -16.5 | L −12.5 | 146.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 31 | @ LAS | W 80-75 | -8.5 | L −3.5 | 134.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 3 | vs URI | W 61-50 | -6.5 | W +4.5 | 139.5 | U 111 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsWOF
WOFW 70-46
+9.5
7
vsWIN
WINW 96-90
−3.5
15
vsUNH
UNHW 61-44
−7.5
18
vsJAX
JAXW 79-57
+5.5
24
vsOHIO
OHIOW 92-69
+15.5
25
vsFAU
FAUW 74-65
+4.5
29
vsJMU
JMUW 82-66
+3.5
2
vsCOR
CORW 99-81
+7.5
6
@VT
VTL 62-73
−6.5
13
vsODU
ODUW 73-61
−4.5
21
vsL-MD
L-MDW 86-79
−16.5
28
vsPENN
PENNW 83-79
−12.5
31
@LAS
LASW 80-75
−3.5
3
vsURI
URIW 61-50
+4.5
covered 7didn’t cover 7avg −0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsWOF
WOFW 70-46
−24.5
7
vsWIN
WINW 96-90
+39.5
15
vsUNH
UNHW 61-44
−39.5
18
vsJAX
JAXW 79-57
−0.5
24
vsOHIO
OHIOW 92-69
+18.5
25
vsFAU
FAUW 74-65
−4.5
29
vsJMU
JMUW 82-66
+6.5
2
vsCOR
CORW 99-81
+24.5
6
@VT
VTL 62-73
−9.5
13
vsODU
ODUW 73-61
−10.5
21
vsL-MD
L-MDW 86-79
+18.5
28
vsPENN
PENNW 83-79
+15.5
31
@LAS
LASW 80-75
+20.5
3
vsURI
URIW 61-50
−28.5
over 7under 7avg +1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Fordham
12 games played
Straight up
6-6
50% wins
Against the spread
7-5
58% covers · avg +0.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-9
25% overs · avg −8.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs NJIT | L 61-72 | -14.5 | L −25.5 | 147.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 11 | vs WAG | W 63-61 | -12.5 | L −10.5 | 139.5 | U 124 |
| Nov 14 | @ IONA | L 71-76 | +5.5 | W +0.5 | 157.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 20 | vs LIU | W 69-53 | -4.5 | W +11.5 | 145.5 | U 122 |
| Nov 29 | vs UALB | W 88-68 | -10.5 | W +9.5 | 143.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 30 | vs COLG | L 62-72 | +1.5 | L −8.5 | 142.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 6 | vs HC | L 69-70 | -10.5 | L −11.5 | 138.5 | O 139 |
| Dec 10 | vs FDU | W 75-54 | -11.5 | W +9.5 | 141.5 | U 129 |
| Dec 13 | vs MAN | W 82-53 | -8.5 | W +20.5 | 147.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 22 | vs NHVN | W 65-47 | -13.5 | W +4.5 | 127.5 | U 112 |
| Dec 31 | @ DAY | L 56-63 | +16.5 | W +9.5 | 139.5 | U 119 |
| Jan 4 | vs RICH | L 75-83 | +2.5 | L −5.5 | 142.5 | O 158 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsNJIT
NJITL 61-72
−25.5
11
vsWAG
WAGW 63-61
−10.5
14
@IONA
IONAL 71-76
+0.5
20
vsLIU
LIUW 69-53
+11.5
29
vsUALB
UALBW 88-68
+9.5
30
vsCOLG
COLGL 62-72
−8.5
6
vsHC
HCL 69-70
−11.5
10
vsFDU
FDUW 75-54
+9.5
13
vsMAN
MANW 82-53
+20.5
22
vsNHVN
NHVNW 65-47
+4.5
31
@DAY
DAYL 56-63
+9.5
4
vsRICH
RICHL 75-83
−5.5
covered 7didn’t cover 5avg +0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsNJIT
NJITL 61-72
−14.5
11
vsWAG
WAGW 63-61
−15.5
14
@IONA
IONAL 71-76
−10.5
20
vsLIU
LIUW 69-53
−23.5
29
vsUALB
UALBW 88-68
+12.5
30
vsCOLG
COLGL 62-72
−8.5
6
vsHC
HCL 69-70
+0.5
10
vsFDU
FDUW 75-54
−12.5
13
vsMAN
MANW 82-53
−12.5
22
vsNHVN
NHVNW 65-47
−15.5
31
@DAY
DAYL 56-63
−20.5
4
vsRICH
RICHL 75-83
+15.5
over 3under 9avg −8.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
George Mason
13-1 overall · 2-0 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Rhode Island61–50
- W@ La Salle80–75
- Wvs Penn83–79
- Wvs Loyola MD86–79
- Wvs Old Dominion73–61
4 days since their last game.
Fordham
6-6 overall · 0-2 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Richmond75–83
- L@ Dayton56–63
- Wvs New Haven65–47
- Wvs Manhattan82–53
- Wvs FDU75–54
3 days since their last game.