UPMC Cooper Fieldhouse · at Duquesne · Conference game
Closing line
VCU -5.5✓ VCU covered by 7.5
Closing total165.5Over by 7.5
| This season | DUQ | |
|---|---|---|
| 10-4 | Record | 7-5 |
| 7-7 | ATS | 5-7 |
| 8-6 | O/U | 10-2 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: VCU 84–79 DUQ · ✓ VCU (68%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| VCU | 46 | 47 | 93 |
| DUQ | 34 | 46 | 80 |
1st half: VCU 46, DUQ 34 (VCU by 12). The model had VCU by 3.3 and a total of 76.5 (actual 80).
Team stats
| VCU | DUQ | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-54 54% | Field goals | 28-53 53% |
| 11-25 44% | 3-pointers | 8-23 35% |
| 24-31 77% | Free throws | 16-25 64% |
| 33 10 off | Rebounds | 25 6 off |
| 15 | Assists | 17 |
| 9 | Steals | 7 |
| 6 | Blocks | 3 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 19 | Fouls | 27 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 12 | Fast-break points | 23 |
Players
| VCU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Jennings G | 32 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 1-6 | 0-1 |
| Nyk Lewis G | 31 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 3-6 | 1-3 |
| Lazar Djokovic F | 27 | 18 | 11 | 0 | 4-7 | 1-2 |
| Barry Evans F | 22 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Jadrian Tracey G | 20 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 4-6 | 3-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Terrence Hill Jr. G | 22 | 21 | 0 | 3 | 7-12 | 2-5 |
| Michael Belle F | 21 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Keyshawn Mitchell F | 13 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Ahmad Nowell G | 12 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 5-7 | 2-4 |
Did not play: Jordan Tillery, Jordann Dumont, Obinnaya Okafor, Christian Fermin, Tyrell Ward
| DUQ | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tarence Guinyard G | 37 | 22 | 1 | 5 | 8-13 | 2-5 |
| Jakub Necas F | 30 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Cam Crawford G | 25 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0-5 | 0-4 |
| David Dixon F | 25 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Jimmie Williams G | 17 | 20 | 2 | 2 | 6-8 | 3-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jake DiMichele G | 23 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 3-8 | 1-4 |
| Maximus Edwards G | 19 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 4-7 | 2-5 |
| Alex Williams F | 15 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Lazar Milosevic F | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Dom Aekins, Frederik Jellum, Seamus McDermott, Brandon Hall, Lucas Prolla, Stef van Bussel, John Hugley IV, Ethan Anish, Arness Lawson
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketVCU -5.5
ModelVCU -5.4
Model edgeDUQ +0.1
L VCU covered
Total
Market165.5
Model163.5
Model edgeUnder 2.0
L Over
Projected score
VCU 84.4 · DUQ 79.1
VCU 93 · DUQ 80
Win probability
VCU 68%
1st half
Spread
VCU -3.3
VCU -12.0
Total
76.5
80 points
Projected score
VCU 39.9 · DUQ 36.6
VCU 46 · DUQ 34
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenVCU -5.5
no move
CloseVCU -5.5
No change since the open
Total
Open164.5
▲ 1
Close165.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
VCU -258 · DUQ +210
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened VCU -5.5 · unchangedmodel VCU -5.5 matches the line
model VCU -5.5 = line ✓
Opened 164.5 · closed 165.5 · moved 1 upmodel 163.5
model 163.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8-2 80% | 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% | |
| 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% | 8-2 80% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
VCU 2–3 DUQDUQ leads · 5 games since 2021-22 · VCU 0-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2024-25 | VCU 71 @ DUQ 62 | DUQ +9.5 | DUQ W |
| Mar 17, 2023-24 | DUQ 57 vs VCU 51 | VCU -1.5 | DUQ W |
| Mar 5, 2023-24 | DUQ 69 @ VCU 59 | VCU -4.5 | DUQ W |
| Jan 4, 2022-23 | VCU 70 @ DUQ 79 | DUQ +1.5 | DUQ W |
| Feb 5, 2021-22 | DUQ 62 @ VCU 71 | VCU -10 | DUQ W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
VCU
14 games played
Straight up
10-4
71% wins
Against the spread
7-7
50% covers · avg +1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-6
57% overs · avg +5.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs | W 103-74 | -25.5 | W +3.5 | 133.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 7 | vs | L 77-80 | +2.5 | L −0.5 | 163.5 | U 157 |
| Nov 12 | vs | W 78-61 | -20.5 | L −3.5 | 147.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 17 | @ | L 79-85 | +11.5 | W +5.5 | 164.5 | U 164 |
| Nov 22 | vs | W 101-58 | -32.5 | W +10.5 | 151.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 26 | vs | W 78-66 | -1.5 | W +10.5 | 172.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 27 | vs | L 74-89 | +6.5 | L −8.5 | 161.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 28 | vs | W 86-68 | -2.5 | W +15.5 | 153.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 5 | vs | W 83-57 | -19.5 | W +6.5 | 154.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 10 | vs | L 78-81 | -8.5 | L −11.5 | 157.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 15 | vs | W 84-58 | -30.5 | L −4.5 | 143.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 18 | vs | W 105-83 | -19.5 | W +2.5 | 154.5 | O 188 |
| Dec 22 | vs | W 100-79 | -30.5 | L −9.5 | 145.5 | O 179 |
| Dec 31 | vs | W 89-82 | -9.5 | L −2.5 | 157.5 | O 171 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
WAG
W 103-74
+3.5
7
vs
USU
L 77-80
−0.5
12
vs
SPU
W 78-61
−3.5
17
@
NCSU
L 79-85
+5.5
22
vs
COPP
W 101-58
+10.5
26
vs
USF
W 78-66
+10.5
27
vs
VAN
L 74-89
−8.5
28
vs
VT
W 86-68
+15.5
5
vs
SAM
W 83-57
+6.5
10
vs
UNM
L 78-81
−11.5
15
vs
NIA
W 84-58
−4.5
18
vs
AMER
W 105-83
+2.5
22
vs
RID
W 100-79
−9.5
31
vs
SBU
W 89-82
−2.5
covered 7didn’t cover 7avg +1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
WAG
W 103-74
+43.5
7
vs
USU
L 77-80
−6.5
12
vs
SPU
W 78-61
−8.5
17
@
NCSU
L 79-85
−0.5
22
vs
COPP
W 101-58
+7.5
26
vs
USF
W 78-66
−28.5
27
vs
VAN
L 74-89
+1.5
28
vs
VT
W 86-68
+0.5
5
vs
SAM
W 83-57
−14.5
10
vs
UNM
L 78-81
+1.5
15
vs
NIA
W 84-58
−1.5
18
vs
AMER
W 105-83
+33.5
22
vs
RID
W 100-79
+33.5
31
vs
SBU
W 89-82
+13.5
over 8under 6avg +5.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Duquesne
12 games played
Straight up
7-5
58% wins
Against the spread
5-7
42% covers · avg −0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-2
83% overs · avg +10.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs | W 83-63 | -17.5 | W +2.5 | 139.5 | O 146 |
| Nov 7 | vs | W 92-80 | -12.5 | L −0.5 | 157.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 11 | vs | W 87-81 | -12.5 | L −6.5 | 162.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 15 | @ | L 77-87 | +10.5 | W +0.5 | 151.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 19 | vs | W 92-78 | -14.5 | L −0.5 | 150.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 22 | vs | L 86-93 | -7.5 | L −14.5 | 147.5 | O 179 |
| Dec 2 | vs | L 79-83 | -5.5 | L −9.5 | 170.5 | U 162 |
| Dec 6 | vs | W 84-75 | -9.5 | L −0.5 | 150.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 10 | @ | L 64-86 | +14.5 | L −7.5 | 150.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 13 | @ | L 75-78 | +5.5 | W +2.5 | 151.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 22 | vs | W 103-59 | -19.5 | W +24.5 | 143.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 30 | @ | W 89-83 | +2.5 | W +8.5 | 150.5 | O 172 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
NIA
W 83-63
+2.5
7
vs
SHU
W 92-80
−0.5
11
vs
QUC
W 87-81
−6.5
15
@
VILL
L 77-87
+0.5
19
vs
L-MD
W 92-78
−0.5
22
vs
NE
L 86-93
−14.5
2
vs
W&M
L 79-83
−9.5
6
vs
STBK
W 84-75
−0.5
10
@
BOIS
L 64-86
−7.5
13
@
NEV
L 75-78
+2.5
22
vs
CAN
W 103-59
+24.5
30
@
DAV
W 89-83
+8.5
covered 5didn’t cover 7avg −0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
NIA
W 83-63
+6.5
7
vs
SHU
W 92-80
+14.5
11
vs
QUC
W 87-81
+5.5
15
@
VILL
L 77-87
+12.5
19
vs
L-MD
W 92-78
+19.5
22
vs
NE
L 86-93
+31.5
2
vs
W&M
L 79-83
−8.5
6
vs
STBK
W 84-75
+8.5
10
@
BOIS
L 64-86
−0.5
13
@
NEV
L 75-78
+1.5
22
vs
CAN
W 103-59
+18.5
30
@
DAV
W 89-83
+21.5
over 10under 2avg +10.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
VCU
10-4 overall · 1-0 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs St Bonaventure89–82
- Wvs Rider100–79
- Wvs American105–83
- Wvs Niagara84–58
- Lvs New Mexico78–81
3 days since their last game.
Duquesne
7-5 overall · 1-0 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Davidson89–83
- Wvs Canisius103–59
- L@ Nevada75–78
- L@ Boise St64–86
- Wvs Stony Brook84–75
4 days since their last game.