John M. Belk Arena · at Davidson · Conference game
Closing line
DAV -2.5✓ DUQ covered by 8.5
DAV -2.5✓ DUQ covered by 8.5Closing total150.5Over by 21.5
 DUQ | This season | DAV |
|---|---|---|
| 6-5 | Record | 7-4 |
| 4-7 | ATS | 5-6 |
| 9-2 | O/U | 6-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: DUQ 76–77 DAV · ✗ DAV (53%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | OT | 2OT | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DUQ | 30 | 39 | 6 | 14 | 89 |
| DAV | 33 | 36 | 6 | 8 | 83 |
1st half: DUQ 30, DAV 33 (DAV by 3). The model had DAV by 0.4 and a total of 71.3 (actual 63).
Team stats
| DUQ | DAV | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-69 41% | Field goals | 30-76 39% |
| 16-35 46% | 3-pointers | 11-37 30% |
| 17-21 81% | Free throws | 12-15 80% |
| 53 14 off | Rebounds | 39 10 off |
| 15 | Assists | 12 |
| 5 | Steals | 8 |
| 3 | Blocks | 8 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 6 |
| 15 | Fouls | 14 |
| 22 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 7 |
Players
| DUQ | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tarence Guinyard G | 46 | 24 | 4 | 6 | 9-17 | 5-12 |
| Jimmie Williams G | 40 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 3-14 | 2-7 |
| Cam Crawford G | 37 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1-6 | 1-4 |
| Jakub Necas F | 37 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 3-7 | 1-2 |
| David Dixon F | 37 | 6 | 13 | 1 | 2-6 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Alex Williams F | 15 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 4-7 | 3-4 |
| Maximus Edwards G | 14 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 4-9 | 3-5 |
| Jake DiMichele G | 13 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Lazar Milosevic F | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Frederik Jellum, Dom Aekins, Brandon Hall, Lucas Prolla, John Hugley IV, Stef van Bussel, Seamus McDermott, Ethan Anish, Arness Lawson
| DAV | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Friedrichsen G | 41 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 6-17 | 4-10 |
| Sam Brown G | 36 | 23 | 5 | 4 | 9-19 | 2-7 |
| Josh Scovens F | 33 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Devin Brown G | 26 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2-8 | 1-3 |
| Ian Platteeuw C | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Roberts Blums G | 27 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 6-15 | 3-11 |
| Sean Logan F | 26 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Manie Joses F | 19 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Hunter Adam G | 18 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| JaQualon Roberts F | 16 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Phillip Kavu, John Nowland, RJ Greer, Nick Coval, Joe Hurlburt, Brock Matheny
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketDAV -2.5
ModelDAV -0.9
Model edgeDUQ +1.6
W DUQ covered
Total
Market150.5
Model152.3
Model edgeOver 1.8
W Over
Projected score
DUQ 75.7 · DAV 76.6
DUQ 89 · DAV 83
Win probability
DAV 53%
1st half
Spread
DAV -0.4
DAV -3.0
Total
71.3
63 points
Projected score
DUQ 35.5 · DAV 35.9
DUQ 30 · DAV 33
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenDUQ -1.5
4 → DAV
CloseDAV -2.5
4 pts toward DAV
Total
Open152.5
▼ 2
Close150.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
DUQ +114 · DAV -135
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened DUQ -1.5 · closed DAV -2.5 · moved 4 toward DAVmodel DAV -1
model DAV -1
Opened 152.5 · closed 150.5 · moved 2 downmodel 152.5
model 152.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DUQ | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% | 8-2 80% |
| DAV | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
DUQ 0–5 DAVDAV leads · 5 games since 2021-22 · DAV has won the last 5 meetings · DUQ 1-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2024-25 | DUQ 71 @ DAV 77 | DAV -4.5 | DAV W |
| Feb 7, 2023-24 | DAV 72 @ DUQ 59 | DUQ -6.5 | DAV W |
| Feb 26, 2022-23 | DAV 71 @ DUQ 67 | DUQ -4.5 | DAV W |
| Feb 23, 2021-22 | DAV 74 @ DUQ 50 | DUQ +8.5 | DAV W |
| Feb 14, 2021-22 | DUQ 61 @ DAV 72 | DAV -14 | DUQ W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Duquesne
11 games played
Straight up
6-5
55% wins
Against the spread
4-7
36% covers · avg −0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-2
82% overs · avg +10 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs NIA | W 83-63 | -17.5 | W +2.5 | 139.5 | O 146 |
| Nov 7 | vs SHU | W 92-80 | -12.5 | L −0.5 | 157.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 11 | vs QUC | W 87-81 | -12.5 | L −6.5 | 162.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 15 | @ VILL | L 77-87 | +10.5 | W +0.5 | 151.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 19 | vs L-MD | W 92-78 | -14.5 | L −0.5 | 150.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 22 | vs NE | L 86-93 | -7.5 | L −14.5 | 147.5 | O 179 |
| Dec 2 | vs W&M | L 79-83 | -5.5 | L −9.5 | 170.5 | U 162 |
| Dec 6 | vs STBK | W 84-75 | -9.5 | L −0.5 | 150.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 10 | @ BOIS | L 64-86 | +14.5 | L −7.5 | 150.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 13 | @ NEV | L 75-78 | +5.5 | W +2.5 | 151.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 22 | vs CAN | W 103-59 | -19.5 | W +24.5 | 143.5 | O 162 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsNIA
NIAW 83-63
+2.5
7
vsSHU
SHUW 92-80
−0.5
11
vsQUC
QUCW 87-81
−6.5
15
@VILL
VILLL 77-87
+0.5
19
vsL-MD
L-MDW 92-78
−0.5
22
vsNE
NEL 86-93
−14.5
2
vsW&M
W&ML 79-83
−9.5
6
vsSTBK
STBKW 84-75
−0.5
10
@BOIS
BOISL 64-86
−7.5
13
@NEV
NEVL 75-78
+2.5
22
vsCAN
CANW 103-59
+24.5
covered 4didn’t cover 7avg −0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsNIA
NIAW 83-63
+6.5
7
vsSHU
SHUW 92-80
+14.5
11
vsQUC
QUCW 87-81
+5.5
15
@VILL
VILLL 77-87
+12.5
19
vsL-MD
L-MDW 92-78
+19.5
22
vsNE
NEL 86-93
+31.5
2
vsW&M
W&ML 79-83
−8.5
6
vsSTBK
STBKW 84-75
+8.5
10
@BOIS
BOISL 64-86
−0.5
13
@NEV
NEVL 75-78
+1.5
22
vsCAN
CANW 103-59
+18.5
over 9under 2avg +10 ptslonger = bigger margin
Davidson
11 games played
Straight up
7-4
64% wins
Against the spread
5-6
45% covers · avg +0.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-5
55% overs · avg −0.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | vs WSU | W 85-69 | -4.5 | W +11.5 | 153.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 11 | @ CLT | W 62-55 | +1.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | U 117 |
| Nov 15 | vs BGSU | W 91-87 | -4.5 | L −0.5 | 144.5 | O 178 |
| Nov 21 | vs BC | W 59-49 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 140.5 | U 108 |
| Nov 23 | vs USU | L 60-94 | +9.5 | L −24.5 | 147.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 28 | vs NCAT | W 90-74 | -13.5 | W +2.5 | 145.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 4 | vs CIT | W 79-63 | -18.5 | L −2.5 | 137.5 | O 142 |
| Dec 7 | vs SMC | L 61-70 | +8.5 | L −0.5 | 137.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 13 | vs MERC | W 80-47 | -11.5 | W +21.5 | 132.5 | U 127 |
| Dec 18 | vs TEM | L 63-68 | -5.5 | L −10.5 | 141.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 22 | @ KU | L 61-90 | +14.5 | L −14.5 | 139.5 | O 151 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vsWSU
WSUW 85-69
+11.5
11
@CLT
CLTW 62-55
+8.5
15
vsBGSU
BGSUW 91-87
−0.5
21
vsBC
BCW 59-49
+11.5
23
vsUSU
USUL 60-94
−24.5
28
vsNCAT
NCATW 90-74
+2.5
4
vsCIT
CITW 79-63
−2.5
7
vsSMC
SMCL 61-70
−0.5
13
vsMERC
MERCW 80-47
+21.5
18
vsTEM
TEML 63-68
−10.5
22
@KU
KUL 61-90
−14.5
covered 5didn’t cover 6avg +0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vsWSU
WSUW 85-69
+0.5
11
@CLT
CLTW 62-55
−26.5
15
vsBGSU
BGSUW 91-87
+33.5
21
vsBC
BCW 59-49
−32.5
23
vsUSU
USUL 60-94
+6.5
28
vsNCAT
NCATW 90-74
+18.5
4
vsCIT
CITW 79-63
+4.5
7
vsSMC
SMCL 61-70
−6.5
13
vsMERC
MERCW 80-47
−5.5
18
vsTEM
TEML 63-68
−10.5
22
@KU
KUL 61-90
+11.5
over 6under 5avg −0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Duquesne
6-5 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Canisius103–59
- L@ Nevada75–78
- L@ Boise St64–86
- Wvs Stony Brook84–75
- Lvs William & Mary79–83
A week or more of rest.
Davidson
7-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Kansas61–90
- Lvs Temple63–68
- Wvs Mercyhurst80–47
- Lvs Saint Mary's61–70
- Wvs The Citadel79–63
A week or more of rest.